Differences between repeated borehole temperature logs in the southern Canadian Prairies-validating borehole climatology

International audienceTemperature-depth (T-z) profiles from twenty-four shallow boreholes of less than 250 m in depth located in flat, semi-arid areas of the southern Canadian Prairie Provinces initially measured in the late 1980's and early 1990's and repeated between 2004 and 2006 show strong ground surface temperature (GST) warming signatures. GST changes of 0.1?0.2°C, and 0.4°C, are observed between the measurements for the shorter (decade) and longer (two decades) time spans, respectively. Borehole sites with repeated temperature logs are selected to demonstrate that multiple T-z profiles provide general agreement between GST warming and observed surface air temperature (SAT) warming measured at nearby historical climate stations. A comparison of measured changes from repeated temperature logs with those simulated from SAT forcing demonstrates the influence of SAT on the observed deviation of temperature with depth despite variations in snow cover. Repeated borehole measurements from the northern Great Plains of the USA also identify a similar positive temperature change but of lower magnitude. Temperature changes since 1900 in the southern Canadian Prairies and the adjoining northern Great Plains of the USA, as derived from the functional state inversion (FSI) of deeper borehole logs, average 2.5°C but show a strong latitudinal gradient

Increasing silicon concentrations in Bohemian Forest lakes

International audienceLong-term trends of dissolved silicon (Si) concentrations in five glacial lakes in the Bohemian Forest, Czech Republic, recovering from acidification show higher mobility of Si from the soil to surface waters despite lower atmospheric deposition of acids. Si increased by 0.95 to 1.95 µmol yr-1 (36 to 51%) from 1986-2004 and with increasing pH. A change in soil solution conditions because of a sharp decrease in acidic deposition has led to marked decline in Al mobility and to considerable decreases in dissolved Al, especially Al3+. The increase in Si may be related to: (1) unblocking of the inhibitory effect of dissolved Al on weathering of aluminosilicates, (2) biogenic opal (phytoliths) dissolving faster, and/or (3) lower Si precipitation as secondary aluminosilicates in soil. The change in Al speciation on the dissolution rate of biogenic silica is critical. A lack of change in Si at sites outside central Europe may be explained by small or no decline in mobility of dissolved Al. The effect of a long-term increase in temperature was probably minor

Repeated temperature logs from the sites of the Czech, Slovenian and Portuguese borehole climate stations

International audienceTwo borehole climate stations were established in Slovenia and Portugal within a joint Czech-Slovenian-Portuguese project in the years 2003?2005. They completed the older Czech station, which has been operating since the year 1994. We report here on the repeated temperature logs carried out within 6 boreholes at the sites of the stations and their surroundings within a time span of 8?20 years (1985?2005). The repeated logs revealed subsurface warming in all the boreholes amounting to 0.2?0.6°C below the depth of the annual run at 20 m. The depth of the Czech borehole (140 m) and the Portuguese borehole (180 m) was sufficient enough for a reconstruction of the ground surface temperature (GST) history of the last 150?200 years and their comparison with the surface air temperature (SAT) series measured in Prague (since 1771) and Lisbon (1856), respectively. The reconstructed histories reproduce reasonably well the amplitude of the recent warming, 1?1.5°C above the long-term mean. The depth of all four Slovenian boreholes, 100 m, did not allow the inversion, but it was possible to apply it to a deep borehole 5 km apart from the Slovenian station. The obtained GST history was compared with SAT series from Ljubljana (since 1851). Alternatively, a compatibility of the observed temporal changes of subsurface temperature with surface air temperature series measured in Prague, Ljubljana and Lisbon was checked by comparing differences of the repeated logs with the synthetic ones. These were calculated by using the SAT series as a forcing function at a surface of transient geothermal models of the borehole sites. A degree of agreement varies from very well to rather poor, probably depending on unaccounted site specific factors, which are to be specified by a long-term temperature monitoring at the established stations

Paleoclimatic reconstructions in Western Canada from subsurface temperatures: consideration of groundwater flow

International audienceThe surface temperature forcing is responsible for the majority of the observed deviation of temperature with depth. In some cases, differences higher than the error of measurements are observed between the model and measurements. These can be an indication that other factors than surface temperature change influence subsurface temperature. Groundwater flow is one of the possible candidates

Paleoclimatic reconstructions in western Canada from boreholetemperature logs: surface air temperature forcing and groundwater flow

International audienceModelling of surface temperature change effect on temperature vs.~depth and temperature-depth logs in Western Canada Sedimentary Basin show that SAT (surface air temperature) forcing is the main driving factor for the underground temperature changes diffusing with depth. It supports the validity of the basic hypothesis of borehole temperature paleoclimatology, namely that the ground surface temperature is systematically coupled with the air temperature in the longer term (decades, centuries). While the highest groundwater recharge rate used in the modelling suggests that for this extreme case some of the observed curvature in the profile, could be due to groundwater flow, it is more likely that the low recharge rates in this semi-arid region would have minimal impact. We conclude that surface temperature forcing is responsible for most of the observed anomalous temperature profile

Inferred gas hydrate and permafrost stability history models linked to climate change in the Beaufort-Mackenzie Basin, Arctic Canada

Atmospheric methane from episodic gas hydrate (GH) destabilization, the "clathrate gun" hypothesis, is proposed to affect past climates, possibly since the Phanerozoic began or earlier. In the terrestrial Beaufort-Mackenzie Basin (BMB), GHs occur commonly below thick ice-bearing permafrost (IBP), but they are rare within it. Two end-member GH models, where gas is either trapped conventionally (Case 1) or where it is trapped dynamically by GH formation (Case 2), were simulated using profile (1-D) models and a 14 Myr ground surface temperature (GST) history based on marine isotopic data, adjusted to the study setting, constrained by deep heat flow, sedimentary succession conductivity, and observed IBP and Type I GH contacts in Mallik wells. Models consider latent heat effects throughout the IBP and GH intervals. Case 1 GHs formed at ~0.9 km depth only ~1 Myr ago by in situ transformation of conventionally trapped natural gas. Case 2 GHs begin to form at ~290–300 m ~6 Myr ago in the absence of lithological migration barriers. During glacial intervals Case 2 GH layers expand both downward and upward as the permafrost grows downward through and intercalated with GHs. The distinctive model results suggest that most BMB GHs resemble Case 1 models, based on the observed distinct and separate occurrences of GHs and IBP and the lack of observed GH intercalations in IBP. Case 2 GHs formed >255 m, below a persistent ice-filled permafrost layer that is as effective a seal to upward methane migration as are Case 1 lithological seals. All models respond to GST variations, but in a delayed and muted manner such that GH layers continue to grow even as the GST begins to increase. The models show that the GH stability zone history is buffered strongly by IBP during the interglacials. Thick IBP and GHs could have persisted since ~1.0 Myr ago and ~4.0 Myr ago for Cases 1 and 2, respectively. Offshore BMB IBP and GHs formed terrestrially during Pleistocene sea level low stands. Where IBP is sufficiently thick, both IBP and GHs persist even where inundated by a Holocene sea level rise and both are also expected to persist into the next glacial even if atmospheric CO<sub>2</sub> doubles. We do not address the "clathrate gun" hypothesis directly, but our models show that sub-IBP GHs respond to, rather than cause GST changes, due to both how GST changes propagates with depth and latent heat effects. Models show that many thick GH accumulations are prevented from contributing methane to the atmosphere, because they are almost certainly trapped below either ice-filled IBP or lithological barriers. Where permafrost is sufficiently thick, combinations of geological structure, thermal processes and material properties make sub-IBP GHs unlikely sources for significant atmospheric methane fluxes. Our sub-IBP GH model histories suggest that similar models applied to other GH settings could improve the understanding of GHs and their potential to affect climate

Primary mucinous tumors of the ovary: an interobserver reproducibility and detailed molecular study reveals significant overlap between diagnostic categories

Primary ovarian mucinous tumors represent a heterogeneous group of neoplasms, and their diagnosis may be challenging. We analyzed 124 primary ovarian mucinous tumors originally diagnosed as mucinous borderline tumors (MBTs) or mucinous carcinomas (MCs), with an emphasis on interobserver diagnostic agreement and the potential for diagnostic support by molecular profiling using a next-generation sequencing targeted panel of 727 DNA and 147 RNA genes. Fourteen experienced pathologists independently assigned a diagnosis from preset options, based on a review of a single digitized slide from each tumor. After excluding 1 outlier participant, there was a moderate agreement in diagnosing the 124 cases when divided into 3 categories (κ = 0.524, for mucinous cystadenoma vs MBT vs MC). A perfect agreement for the distinction between mucinous cystadenoma/MBT as a combined category and MC was found in only 36.3% of the cases. Differentiating between MBTs and MCs with expansile invasion was particularly problematic. After a reclassification of the tumors into near-consensus diagnostic categories on the basis of the initial participant results, a comparison of molecular findings between the MBT and MC groups did not show major and unequivocal differences between MBTs and MCs or between MCs with expansile vs infiltrative pattern of invasion. In contrast, HER2 overexpression or amplification was found only in 5.3% of MBTs and in 35.3% of all MCs and in 45% of MCs with expansile invasion. Overall, HER2 alterations, including mutations, were found in 42.2% of MCs. KRAS mutations were found in 65.5% and PIK3CA mutations in 6% of MCs. In summary, although the diagnostic criteria are well-described, diagnostic agreement among our large group of experienced gynecologic pathologists was only moderate. Diagnostic categories showed a molecular overlap. Nonetheless, molecular profiling may prove to be therapeutically beneficial in advanced-stage, recurrent, or metastatic MCs. MTG8 - Moleculaire pathologie van gynecologische tumorenMolecular tumour pathology - and tumour genetic

Evidence of climate warming from underground temperatures in NW Italy

The ground surface temperature (GST) history in NW Italy was reconstructed for the last three centuries by means of temperature-depth data recorded in a borehole in 1982. The results indicate relatively warmer periods in the 18th century and at the end the 1970s. A more recent set of underground temperature data was recorded in 1996. The comparison with the earlier thermal logging shows an evident temperature increase in the uppermost 80 m. Two different inversion techniques yield a subsurface temperature increase of 0.8-1.0 K since the 1980s. The inferred climatic model is consistent with the air temperature variations recorded at the Genoa University meteorological station. (C) 2000 Elsevier Science B.V