What AlpArray tells us about stress and water resources under the Alpine Region

The seismological AlpArray has shed much light on Earth`s structure and earthquakes in the Alpine region. Beside these two classical seismological applications (“events” and “structure”), a dataset of this kind can also be used for other purposes, and the geophysics group at the University of Vienna has been interested in extending the range of applications also into non-classical domains over the last years. The data have helped us understand non-tectonic phenomena that generate seismic waves in the region, both of natural (such as water, wind, rockfalls, etc.), and of human origin (such as explosions, fires, trains, etc.). This has also extended the use of seismic data across the Earth`s surface, using seismic wave coupling with infrasound. In this presentation, we focus on new applications of seismic data that extend the “structural” portfolio of seismological techniques, based on nonlinear elasticity (temporal velocity changes). “Pump-probe” approaches use a known test signal to infer subsurface properties. One such test signal is given by tidal stress, which we use as “pump” and ambient noise as “probe”, to infer the orientation of mechanical stress acting at crustal depth throughout the Alpine region. This complements the World Stress Map in regions, where we have previously not had stress data - allowing us, for example, to understand why certain major faults in the Eastern Alps (the Periadriatic Line and the Giudicarie Fault) do not rupture seismically, different from less mature, but more favorably-oriented faults. A particularly promising new application of seismic waves is the study of water in the shallow subsurface, which affects seismic wave velocities. We show that seismic waves can be used to constrain the hydraulic properties of ground water reservoirs from seismic data. Ground water level is often sensitive to air-pressure variations, and we can use the latter as “pump” to explore ground water reservoir characteristics throughout the Alpine region. The large regional variation in observed admissivity throughout Central Europe indicates the effects of thermally-related and air-pressure-related influences. The study of seismological AlpArray data shows that also changes of soil moisture can be made visible by seismic imaging. Such variations occur periodically, but there are also important long-term trends, which show different characteristics in different regions. Seismic data can fill the observational gap in soil moisture, in a wide range of distances, and importantly, in the depth range that is relevant for plant growth. This shows that seismology can give rather useful constraints for understanding the consequences of climate change

Estimating the upper limit of prehistoric peak ground acceleration using an in situ, intact and vulnerable stalagmite from Plavecka priepast cave (Detrekoi-zsomboly), Little Carpathians, Slovakia-first results

Earthquakes hit urban centres in Europe infrequently, but occasionally with disastrous effects. Obtaining an unbiased view of seismic hazard (and risk) is therefore very important. In principle, the best way to test probabilistic seismic hazard assessments (PSHAs) is to compare them with observations that are entirely independent of the procedure used to produce PSHA models. Arguably, the most valuable information in this context should be information on long-term hazard, namely maximum intensities (or magnitudes) occurring over time intervals that are at least as long as a seismic cycle. The new observations can provide information of maximum intensity (or magnitude) for long timescale as an input data for PSHA studies as well. Long-term information can be gained from intact stalagmites in natural caves. These formations survived all earthquakes that have occurred over thousands of years, depending on the age of the stalagmite. Their 'survival' requires that the horizontal ground acceleration (HGA) has never exceeded a certain critical value within that time period. Here, we present such a stalagmite-based case study from the Little Carpathians of Slovakia. A specially shaped, intact and vulnerable stalagmite in the Plavecka priepast cave was examined in 2013. This stalagmite is suitable for estimating the upper limit of horizontal peak ground acceleration generated by prehistoric earthquakes. The critical HGA values as a function of time going back into the past determined from the stalagmite that we investigated are presented. For example, at the time of Joko event (1906), the critical HGA value cannot have been higher than 1 and 1.3 m/s(2) at the time of the assumed Carnuntum event (similar to 340 AD), and 3000 years ago, it must have been lower than 1.7 m/s(2). We claimed that the effect of Joko earthquake (1906) on the location of the Plavecka priepast cave is consistent with the critical HGA value provided by the stalagmite we investigated. The approach used in this study yields significant new constraints on the seismic hazard, as tectonic structures close to Plavecka priepast cave did not generate strong earthquakes in the last few thousand years. The results of this study are highly relevant given that the two capitals, Vienna and Bratislava, are located within 40 and 70 km of the cave, respectively.Web of Science2151130111

Comprehensive investigation of intact, vulnerable stalagmites to estimate an upper limit on prehistoric ground acceleration

Non-intrusive in situ measurements were carried out in caves in Hungary, Bulgaria and Slovakia in order to determine the fundamental frequencies (FF) and horizontal ground accelerations (HGA) resulting in failure of intact, slim, vulnerable stalagmites. Similar investigations are planned in Austria at the Eastern Alps. The main steps of investigation are: 1) FF of intact stalagmites were determined by in situ observation. 2) Density, Young’s modulus and tensile fa ilure stress of broken stalagmites ha ve been measured in mechanical laboratory. 3) The value of HGA resulting in failure and FF of stalagmite were assessed by theoretical calculations. 4) Age determination of co re-samples. The upper limit for HGA, a g , for slim stalagmites determined by theoretical calculations, can arise even for moderate-sized eart hquakes. The FF of the investigated stalagmites are low. The geological stru ctures close to the investigated caves did not excite paleoearthquakes in the determined time period, corresponding to HGA larger than the determined a g values

Seismic detection of rockslides at regional scale: examples from the Eastern Alps and feasibility of kurtosis-based event location

Seismic records can provide detailed insight into the mechanisms of gravitational mass movements. Catastrophic events that generate long-period seismic radiation have been studied in detail, and monitoring systems have been developed for applications on a very local scale. Here we demonstrate that similar techniques can also be applied to regional seismic networks, which show great potential for real-time and large-scale monitoring and analysis of rockslide activity. This paper studies 19 moderate-sized to large rockslides in the Eastern Alps that were recorded by regional seismic networks within distances of a few tens of kilometers to more than 200&thinsp;km. We develop a simple and fully automatic processing chain that detects, locates, and classifies rockslides based on vertical-component seismic records. We show that a kurtosis-based onset picker is suitable to detect the very emergent onsets of rockslide signals and to locate the rockslides within a few kilometers from the true origin using a grid search and a 1-D seismic velocity model. Automatic discrimination between rockslides and local earthquakes is possible by a combination of characteristic parameters extracted from the seismic records, such as kurtosis or maximum-to-mean amplitude ratios. We attempt to relate the amplitude of the seismic records to the documented rockslide volume and reveal a potential power law in agreement with earlier studies. Since our approach is based on simplified methods we suggest and discuss how each step of the automatic processing could be expanded and improved to achieve more detailed results in the future.</p

From mountain summits to roots: Crustal structure of the Eastern Alps and Bohemian Massif along longitude 13.3°E

The crustal structure of the Eastern Alps and adjacent tectonic units investigated in this work sheds new light on the relationship of surface geology to geodynamic processes operating at depth. Of particular interest are the nature of a previously proposed Moho gap south and east of the Tauern Window, the plate tectonic affinity of the steeply dipping Eastern Alpine slab, and the relationship of the Alps to the Neogene sedimentary basins and the Bohemian Massif. To address these questions, we use various seismological approaches based on converted waves from the temporary passive experiment EASI (Eastern Alpine Seismic Investigation), a complementary experiment of the AlpArray project. The EASI is a densely spaced, 540 km long seismic network along 13.3°E we operated for more than a year. The uppermost-crustal structures in and near the Alps exhibit dipping layers and/or tilted anisotropy that correlate well with surface geology observations. The Moho, despite its variable appearance, is clearly identified along most of the swath. The Variscan lithospheric blocks beneath the Bohemian Massif are imaged with sub-vertical boundaries. Beneath the Eastern Alps, the shape of the Moho is consistent with bi-vergent orogenic thickening, with a steeper and deeper-reaching Adriatic plate plunging northwards beneath the European plate in the north. At the junction of these plates at depth, around the previously proposed Moho gap, the root of the Eastern Alps is a broad trough characterized by a zone of low velocity-gradient that is up to 20 km thick, transitioning between crust and mantle. Our receiver-function results corroborate earlier lithosphere-upper mantle seismic tomography images, and highlight the Adriatic affinity of the Eastern Alpine slab. The zigzag deployment pattern of stations in the EASI experiment also allows distinction of short-wavelength variations perpendicular to the profile, both within the shallow and the deep crust. This underlines the importance of applying 3D imaging in complex geodynamic systems.ISSN:0040-195

Seismic anisotropy in the mantle of a tectonically inverted extensional basin: A shear-wave splitting and mantle xenolith study on the western Carpathian-Pannonian region

Information on seismic anisotropy in the Earth's mantle can be obtained from (1) shear-wave splitting analyses which allow to distinguish single or multi-layered anisotropy and delay time of the fast and slow polarized wave can indicate its thickness, and (2) studying mantle peridotites where seismic properties can be inferred from lattice preferred orientation of deformed minerals. We provide a detailed shear-wave splitting map of the western part of the Carpathian-Pannonian region (CPR), an extensional basin recently experiencing tectonic inversion, using splitting data. We then compare the results with seismic properties reported from mantle xenoliths to characterize the depth, thickness, and regional differences of the anisotropic layer in the mantle. Mantle anisotropy is different in the northern and the central/southern part of the western CPR. In the northern part, the lack of azimuthal dependence of the fast split S-wave indicates a single anisotropic layer, which agrees with xenolith data from the Nógrád-Gömör volcanic field. Systematic azimuthal variations in several stations in the central areas point to multiple anisotropic layers, which may be explained by two distinct xenolith subgroups described in the Bakony-Balaton Highland. The shallower layer probably has a ‘fossilized’ lithospheric structure, representing former asthenospheric flow, whereas the deeper one reflects structures attributed to present-day convergent tectonics, also observed in the regional NW-SE fast S-wave orientations. In the Styrian Basin at the western rim of the CPR, results are ambiguous as shear-wave splitting data hint at the presence of multiple anisotropic layers. Spatial coherency analysis of the splitting parameters places the center of the anisotropic layer at ~140–150 km depth under the Western Carpathians, which implies a total thickness of ~220–240 km. Thicknesses estimated from seismic properties of xenoliths give lower values, pointing to heterogeneously distributed anisotropy or different orientation of the mineral deformation structures

Supporting Innovation in Organic Agriculture: A European Perspective Using Experience from the SOLID Project

Organic farming is recognized as one source for innovation helping agriculture to develop sustainably. However, the understanding of innovation in agriculture is characterized by technical optimism, relying mainly on new inputs and technologies originating from research. The paper uses the alternative framework of innovation systems describing innovation as the outcome of stakeholder interaction and examples from the SOLID (Sustainable Organic Low-Input Dairying) project to discuss the role of farmers, researchers and knowledge exchange for innovation. We used a farmer-led participatory approach to identify problems of organic and low-input dairy farming in Europe and develop and evaluate innovative practices. Experience so far shows that improvements of sustainability can be made through better exploitation of knowledge. For example, it is recognized that optimal utilization of good quality forage is vitally important, but farmers showed a lack of confidence in the reliability of forage production both in quantity and quality. We conclude that the systems framework improves the understanding of innovation processes in organic agriculture. Farmer-led research is an effective way to bring together the scientific approach with the farmers’ practical and context knowledge in finding solutions to problems experienced by farmers and to develop sustainability

TIDieR-Placebo: A guide and checklist for reporting placebo and sham controls

Background Placebo or sham controls are the standard against which the benefits and harms of many active interventions are measured. Whilst the components and the method of their delivery have been shown to affect study outcomes, placebo and sham controls are rarely reported and often not matched to those of the active comparator. This can influence how beneficial or harmful the active intervention appears to be. Without adequate descriptions of placebo or sham controls, it is difficult to interpret results about the benefits and harms of active interventions within placebo-controlled trials. To overcome this problem, we developed a checklist and guide for reporting placebo or sham interventions. Methods and findings We developed an initial list of items for the checklist by surveying experts in placebo research (n = 14). Because of the diverse contexts in which placebo or sham treatments are used in clinical research, we consulted experts in trials of drugs, surgery, physiotherapy, acupuncture, and psychological interventions. We then used a multistage online Delphi process with 53 participants to determine which items were deemed to be essential. We next convened a group of experts and stakeholders (n = 16). Our main output was a modification of the existing Template for Intervention Description and Replication (TIDieR) checklist; this allows the key features of both active interventions and placebo or sham controls to be concisely summarised by researchers. The main differences between TIDieR-Placebo and the original TIDieR are the explicit requirement to describe the setting (i.e., features of the physical environment that go beyond geographic location), the need to report whether blinding was successful (when this was measured), and the need to present the description of placebo components alongside those of the active comparator. Conclusions We encourage TIDieR-Placebo to be used alongside TIDieR to assist the reporting of placebo or sham components and the trials in which they are used