Banking crises in Europe: the importance of region - specific early warning models

Banking crises, albeit rare, can have nefarious consequences. As such, it is relevant to understand not only what factors cause these crises, but what variables can be used in their early detection. Economic integration still requires country speci cities to be considered in macro-prudential monitoring. This project explores the dynamics of banking crises, the role of economic and stock market growth as warning variables for several European regions. Dynamic probit models are used in a panel dataset. Results show that real GDP, stock market growth and house price growth are good indicators of crisis, and separate models for regions within the Eurozone predict crisis more accurately

Reading curriculum-based measurement: screening Portuguese students at risk for dyslexia

This poster presentation will present results from a study developed within the rst level of support, primary prevention, which was focused on identifying and preventing academic problems from occurring in those students enrolled in a school setting. How progress measurement was used in reading comprehension as a universal school screening system for third-grade Portuguese students will be analyzed. Results for level and growth in both groups of students at risk and not at risk and the risk factors presented in the study participants will also be presented and discussed

Dificuldades de aprendizagem específicas centradas na leitura: a monitorização com base no currículo no contexto do modelo de atendimento à diversidade, como forma de identificar alunos em risco

Esta comunicação tem por finalidade apresentar resultados de um estudo a decorrer no ano lectivo 2010/2011 num Agrupamento de Escolas, em Portugal. Considerando que cerca de 80% dos alunos com dificuldades de aprendizagem específicas (DAE) não progride adequadamente na leitura (Shaywitz, 2008), pretende-se conhecer o nível de leitura dos alunos do 3ºano, identificar alunos em risco de desenvolverem DAE na leitura e conhecer também o seu nível de leitura

For a better understanding of specific reading disabilities in reading

Este artigo tem por objetivo contribuir para a clarificação da definição de dificuldades de aprendizagem específicas (DAE) em geral e na leitura, em particular. Adicionalmente, são apresentados resultados de um estudo quantitativo e é delineada, a partir destes resultados, uma forma de atuação face aos problemas na leitura, onde se inserem as DAE, que toma o nome de Modelo Educativo Preventivo.This paper aims to contribute to the clarification of the definition of specific learning disabilities (SLD) in general and in reading, in particular. Additionally, results of a quantitative study are outlined and, based on these results, a way of acting against the problems in reading, including SLD, which is called Preventive Educational Model.Este trabalho foi financiado pela Fundação para a Ciência e a Tecnologia (FCT) com uma bolsa PROTEC, com a referência SFRH/PROTEC/67381/2010.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Screening Portuguese students at risk for dyslexia with curriculum-based measurement-Maze

In Portugal the field of Specific Learning Disabilities is characterized by a lack of a technically adequate system of school-wide screening and progress monitoring (Martins, 2006). Emphasis on the need of this system has increased as a result of national research (i.e., Mourão, 2011; Patrão, 2010) within the context of a Multi-level Prevention System. Additionally, Portuguese educational theorists who teach, research, conduct clinics, and write about specific learning disabilities, also documented this need (Martins, 2006).info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Screening Portuguese students at risk for dyslexia with curriculum-based measurement-Maze

In Portugal the field of Specific Learning Disabilities is characterized by a lack of a technically adequate system of school-wide screening and progress monitoring (Martins, 2006). Emphasis on the need of this system has increased as a result of national research (i.e., Mourão, 2011; Patrão, 2010) within the context of a Multi-level Prevention System. Additionally, Portuguese educational theorists who teach, research, conduct clinics, and write about specific learning disabilities, also documented this need (Martins, 2006).info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Characterization of portuguese students at risk of specific learning disabilities based on results of curriculum-based measurement in reading comprehension

This poster aims to present results from a study that aimed to characterize Portuguese students at risk of specific learning disabilities based on results of curriculum-based measurement (CBM) in reading comprehension. Additionally, the objectives of the study were to show 1) the differences between students at risk and not at risk; 2) qualitative data related to environmental and personal factors that were present in students considered at risk; 3) acceptance and reliability of the CBM probe.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Episódios de intervenção sócio-educativa: uma reflexão

A supervisão da intervenção socioeducativa faz parte do quotidiano da nossa atividade profissional na Escola Superior de Educação de Bragança. Assumindo uma supervisão ecológica (Alarcão & Canha, 2013; Shon, 2001) e uma reflexão analisada mais como uma prática social do que como uma atividade privada (Dewey, 1953; Zeichner, 1993), apresentamos um estudo que visa explorar os episódios de intervenção socioeducativa relatados pelos formandos (N=67), no âmbito da licenciatura em Educação Social. Para isso foi utilizada uma abordagem qualitativa, de natureza exploratória. Assim esperamos contribuir para que os supervisores possam refletir acerca do papel que desempenham e, em conformidade, melhorar os serviços prestados aos formandos

Tidal changes in estuarine systems induced by local geomorphologic modifications

Although rising global sea levels will affect the estuarine flooded areas over the coming decades, the local and regional-scale processes will also induce important changes in these coastal systems. The main aim of this work is to investigate possible tidal changes in estuarine systems induced by local geomorphologic modifications, analysing the particular case of Ria de Aveiro which is in risk of inundation. Located in the Portuguese west coast, this tidally driven lagoon has a large area of mostly abandoned salt pans, which are in progressive degradation caused by the lack of maintenance and by the strong currents which erode their protective walls. To explore possible tidal changes the hydrodynamic model ELCIRC was applied to Ria de Aveiro to simulate and analyse the impact in the lagoon hydrodynamics of this degradation which results in the enlargement of the lagoon flooded area. A high-resolution grid (grid spacing of the order of 1 m) was developed in order to represent the narrow channels adjacent to the salt pans. The hydrodynamic model was then successfully calibrated and assessed for skill for the Aveiro lagoon through comparison between measurements and model results and quantification of the numerical accuracy. The model was subsequently used to investigate the effect of the flooded lagoon area enlargement on tidal propagation in Ria de Aveiro. Simulations were performed for three geomorphologic configurations, representing the reference or present situation and two flooded scenarios. Results were compared through the analysis of tidal currents, tidal asymmetry and tidal prism. The increase of the lagoon flooded area results in an intensification of the tidal currents, tidal prism and tidal asymmetry. Results also indicate that the tidal prism further increases when the flooding depth increases. Otherwise, changes in tidal currents and in tidal asymmetry pattern are negligible with the increase of the flooded area depth. These results indicate that modifications of the flooded area of estuarine systems will result in tidal changes, with an intensification of the actual tidal patterns induced by the enlargement of inundation areas