Valuation under randomness of players in coalitions, with an application to the Dutch filmindustry

In this paper we introduce a new and objective method to measure the quality of proposals from collaborating professionals. The quality or potential of a professional in a proposal is in uenced by a random environment. We derive a (numerical) value which measures the potential of a proposal by collaborating professionals. Furthermore, we provide the best linear unbiased estimator of the potential of a professional.\ud We apply our method to estimate the values of Dutch films, from collaborating producers and filmmakers, released in 2010. Our method is shown to obtain good results. Furthermore, as a by-product we rank producers, directors and screenwriters of Dutch films up to 2011. These rankings are concluded to be fair

Estimating the potential of collaborating professionals, with an application to the Dutch film industry

Professionals often collaborate in projects. Some of these projects require funding, so before the collaboration can start a proposal for the project is submitted. This proposal will then be evaluated by a committee. The goal of the committee is to recognise proposals that are likely to be very successful. In this paper, we introduce a new numerical method to estimate the expected potential of a proposal. This method helps in identifying proposals that may turn out to be the most successful. The estimation is derived from the past performances of the professionals involved and takes into account the uncertainty of a contribution of a professional to a proposal. We apply our method to the Dutch film industry. We estimate the potential of proposals for new films released in 2010. The value of a film depends on the number of visitors in cinemas and the artistic prizes won. Our estimates are very good, indicating that past performances of filmmakers provide a very good indication of the potential of their new film. As a by-product of our method, rankings of producers, directors, and screenwriters of Dutch films up to 2011 are obtained

Analysis of the activity of alpha 1-adrenoceptor antagonists in rat aorta.

1. In this study, the effect of seven alpha 1-adrenoceptor antagonists (tamsulosin, phentolamine, prazosin, WB-4101, 5-methylurapidil, spiperone and HV723) have been examined on the contractile response to noradrenaline (NA) and phenylephrine (PE) in rat isolated aorta. 2. NA and PE, when administered using a cumulative dosing schedule, both produced concentration-dependent contraction of aortic rings. It was possible to fit the individual concentration-effect (E/[A]) curve data to the Hill equation to provide estimates of the curve midpoint location (p[A]50 = 7.74 +/- 0.10 and 7.14 +/- 0.18), midpoint slope (nH = 0.82 +/- 0.03 and 0.99 +/- 0.10) and upper asymptote (alpha = 3.2 +/- 0.3 and 3.1 +/- 0.2 g) parameters for NA and PE, respectively. However, the Hill equation provided a better fit to the E/[A] curve data obtained with another contractile agent, 5-hydroxytryptamine (5-HT) (p[A50] = 6.09 +/- 0.08, nH = 1.49 +/- 0.09, alpha = 2.6 +/- 0.3 g), as judged by calculation of the mean sum of squares of the differences between the observed and predicted values. 3. All of the antagonists investigated produced concentration-dependent inhibition of the contractile responses of the aorta to NA and PE. Although no significant effects on the upper asymptotes of the E/[A] curves of any of the antagonists tested were detected, only tamsulosin and 5-methylurapidil did not have a significant effect on the slope (nH) of the NA and PE E/[A] curves. The other antagonists produced significant steepening of the curves obtained with NA and/or PE. 4. Notwithstanding the fact that one of the basic criteria for simple competitive antagonism at a single receptor class was not always satisfied, the individual log [A]50 values estimated in the absence and presence of antagonist within each experiment were fitted to the competitive model. The Schild plot slope parameters for the antagonism of NA and PE by phentolamine and HV723 were found to be significantly less than unity. The Schild plot slope parameters for the other antagonists were not significantly different from unity. 5. In the absence of evidence to suggest that the deviations from simple competitive antagonism were due to failure to satisfy basic experimental conditions for quantitative analysis, an attempt was made to see whether the data could be accounted for by an existing two-receptor model (Furchgott, 1981). The goodness-of-fit obtained with the two-receptor model was significantly better than that obtained with the one-receptor model. Furthermore, with the exception of the data obtained with phentolamine, the pKB estimates for the two receptors were independent of whether NA or PE was used as agonist. 6. To determine which alpha 1-adrenoceptor subtypes may be associated with those defined by the two receptor model, the mean pKB estimates obtained from the two-receptor model fit were compared with affinities measured by Laz et al. (1994) for rat cloned alpha 1-adrenoceptor subtypes expressed in COS-7 cells. The sum of squared differences of the data points from the line of identity was smallest for both pKB1 and pKB2 in the case of the alpha 1a/d-adrenoceptor (now referred to as alpha 1d-adrenoceptor; Hieble et al., 1995). Therefore, the complexity exposed in this study may be due to the expression of closely-related forms of the alpha 1d-adrenoceptor. However, relatively good matches were also found between pKB1 and alpha 1c and between pKB2 and alpha 1b. Therefore, on the basis of these data, it is not possible to rule out the involvement of all three alpha 1-adrenoceptors. The conflicting reports concerning the characteristics of the alpha 1-adrenoceptor population mediating contraction of the rat aorta may, at least in part, be due to the lack of highly selective ligands and to between-assay variation in the expression of multiple alpha 1-adrenoceptors

Estimating the potential of collaborating professionals, with an application to the Dutch film industry

Professionals often collaborate in projects. Some of these projects require funding, so before the collaboration can start a proposal for the project is submitted. This proposal will then be evaluated by a committee. The goal of the committee is to recognise proposals that are likely to be very successful. In this paper, we introduce a new numerical method to estimate the expected potential of a proposal. This method helps in identifying proposals that may turn out to be the most successful. The estimation is derived from the past performances of the professionals involved and takes into account the uncertainty of a contribution of a professional to a proposal. We apply our method to the Dutch film industry. We estimate the potential of proposals for new films released in 2010. The value of a film depends on the number of visitors in cinemas and the artistic prizes won. Our estimates are very good, indicating that past performances of filmmakers provide a very good indication of the potential of their new film. As a by-product of our method, rankings of producers, directors, and screenwriters of Dutch films up to 2011 are obtained

The diagnostic yield of whole-exome sequencing targeting a gene panel for hearing impairment in the Netherlands

Hearing impairment (HI) is genetically heterogeneous which hampers genetic counseling and molecular diagnosis. Testing of several single HI-related genes is laborious and expensive. In this study, we evaluate the diagnostic utility of whole-exome sequencing (WES) targeting a panel of HI-related genes. Two hundred index patients, mostly of Dutch origin, with presumed hereditary HI underwent WES followed by targeted analysis of an HI gene panel of 120 genes. We found causative variants underlying the HI in 67 of 200 patients (33.5%). Eight of these patients have a large homozygous deletion involving STRC, OTOA or USH2A, which could only be identified by copy number variation detection. Variants of uncertain significance were found in 10 patients (5.0%). In the remaining 123 cases, no potentially causative variants were detected (61.5%). In our patient cohort, causative variants in GJB2, USH2A, MYO15A and STRC, and in MYO6 were the leading causes for autosomal recessive and dominant HI, respectively. Segregation analysis and functional analyses of variants of uncertain significance will probably further increase the diagnostic yield of WES

The diagnostic yield of whole-exome sequencing targeting a gene panel for hearing impairment in The Netherlands

Hearing impairment (HI) is genetically heterogeneous which hampers genetic counseling and molecular diagnosis. Testing of several single HI-related genes is laborious and expensive. In this study, we evaluate the diagnostic utility of whole-exome sequencing (WES) targeting a panel of HI-related genes. Two hundred index patients, mostly of Dutch origin, with presumed hereditary HI underwent WES followed by targeted analysis of an HI gene panel of 120 genes. We found causative variants underlying the HI in 67 of 200 patients (33.5%). Eight of these patients have a large homozygous deletion involving STRC, OTOA or USH2A, which could only be identified by copy number variation detection. Variants of uncertain significance were found in 10 patients (5.0%). In the remaining 123 cases, no potentially causative variants were detected (61.5%). In our patient cohort, causative variants in GJB2, USH2A, MYO15A and STRC, and in MYO6 were the leading causes for autosomal recessive and dominant HI, respectively. Segregation analysis and functional analyses of variants of uncertain significance will probably further increase the diagnostic yield of WES

Genome-wide association study of classical hodgkin lymphoma and epstein-barr virus status-defined subgroups

Background Accumulating evidence suggests that risk factors for classical Hodgkin lymphoma (cHL) differ by tumor Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) status. This potential etiological heterogeneity is not recognized in current disease classification. Methods We conducted a genome-wide association study of 1200 cHL patients and 6417 control subjects, with validation in an independent replication series, to identify common genetic variants associated with total cHL and subtypes defined by tumor EBV status. Multiple logistic regression was used to calculate odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) assuming a log-additive genetic model for the variants. All statistical tests were two-sided. Results Two novel loci associated with total cHL irrespective of EBV status were identified in the major histocompatibility complex region; one resides adjacent to MICB (rs2248462: OR = 0.61, 95% CI = 0.53 to 0.69, P = 1.3 × 10(-13)) and the other at HLA-DRA (rs2395185: OR = 0.56, 95% CI = 0.50 to 0.62, P = 8.3 × 10(-25)) with both results confirmed in an independent replication series. Consistent with previous reports, associations were found between EBV-positive cHL and genetic variants within the class I region (rs2734986, HLA-A: OR = 2.45, 95% CI = 2.00 to 3.00, P = 1.2 × 10(-15); rs6904029, HCG9: OR = 0.46, 95% CI = 0.36 to 0.59, P = 5.5 × 10(-10)) and between EBV-negative cHL and rs6903608 within the class II region (rs6903608, HLA-DRA: OR = 2.08, 95% CI = 1.84 to 2.35, P = 6.1 × 10(-31)). The association between rs6903608 and EBV-negative cHL was confined to the nodular sclerosis histological subtype. Evidence for an association between EBV-negative cHL and rs20541 (5q31, IL13: OR = 1.53, 95% CI = 1.32 to 1.76, P = 5.4 x 10(-9)), a variant previously linked to psoriasis and asthma, was observed; however, the evidence for replication was less clear. Notably, one additional psoriasis-associated variant, rs27524 (5q15, ERAP1), showed evidence of an association with cHL in the genome-wide association study (OR = 1.21, 95% CI = 1.10 to 1.33, P = 1.5 × 10(-4)) and replication series (P = .03). Conclusion Overall, these results provide strong evidence that EBV status is an etiologically important classification of cHL and also suggest that some components of the pathological process are common to both EBV-positive and EBV-negative patients