Numerical simulation of creep notched bar of P91 steel

Numerous components designed for use at elevated temperatures now exhibit multiaxial stress states as a result of geometric modification and material inhomogeneity. It is necessary to anticipate the creep rupture life of such components when subjected to multiaxial load. In this work finite element analysis has been performed to study the influence of different notches, namely blunt and medium notches on the stress distribution across the notch throat during the creep exposure. Within the FE model, a ductility exhaustion model based on the Cocks and Ashby model was utilized to forecast the creep rupture time of notched bar P91 material. The lower and upper bound of creep ductility are employed in the FE analysis. Different notch specimens have different stress and damage distribution. It is shown that for both types of notches, the von Mises stress is lower than the net stress, indicating the notch strengthening effect. The accumulation of creep damage in the minimum cross-section at each element across the notch throat increases over time. The point at which damage first occurs is closer to the notch root for the medium notch than for the blunt notch. The long-term rupture life predicted for blunt notch specimens appears to be comparable to that of uniaxial specimens. The upper bound creep ductility better predicts the rupture life for medium notches

Temporal trends in safety of carotid endarterectomy in asymptomatic patients

Objective: To systematically review temporal changes in perioperative safety of carotid endarterectomy (CEA) in asymptomatic individuals in trial and registry studies. Methods: The MEDLINE and EMBASE databases were searched using the terms “carotid” and “endarterectomy” and “asymptomatic” from 1947 to August 23, 2014. Articles dealing with 50%–99% stenosis in asymptomatic individuals were included and low-volume studies were excluded. The primary endpoint was 30-day stroke or death and the secondary endpoint was 30-day all-cause mortality. Statistical analysis was performed using random-effects meta-regression for registry data and for trial data graphical interpretation alone was used. Results: Six trials (n = 4,431 procedures) and 47 community registries (n = 204,622 procedures) reported data between 1983 and 2013. Registry data showed a significant decrease in postoperative stroke or death incidence over the period 1991–2010, equivalent to a 6% average proportional annual reduction (95% credible interval [CrI] 4%–7%; p < 0.001). Considering postoperative all-cause mortality, registry data showed a significant 5% average proportional annual reduction (95% CrI 3%–9%; p < 0.001). Trial data showed a similar visual trend. Conclusions: CEA is safer than ever before and high-volume registry results closely mirror the results of trials. New benchmarks for CEA are a stroke or death risk of 1.2% and a mortality risk of 0.4%. This information will prove useful for quality improvement programs, for health care funders, and for those re-examining the long-term benefits of asymptomatic revascularization in future trials

Suppression of savanna ants alters invertebrate composition and influences key ecosystem processes

In almost every ecosystem, ants (Hymenoptera: Formicidae) are the dominant terrestrial invertebrate group. Their functional value was highlighted by Wilson (1987) who famously declared that invertebrates are the “little things that run the world.” However, while it is generally accepted that ants fulfil important functions, few studies have tested these assumptions and demonstrated what happens in their absence. We report on a novel large‐scale field experiment in undisturbed savanna habitat where we examined how ants influence the abundance of other invertebrate taxa in the system, and affect the key processes of decomposition and herbivory. Our experiment demonstrated that ants suppressed the abundance and activity of beetles, millipedes, and termites, and also influenced decomposition rates and levels of herbivory. Our study is the first to show that top‐down control of termites by ants can have important ecosystem consequences. Further studies are needed to elucidate the effects ant communities have on other aspects of the ecosystem (e.g., soils, nutrient cycling, the microbial community) and how their relative importance for ecosystem function varies among ecosystem types (e.g., savanna vs. forest)

Genetic diversity of Campylobacter jejuni and Campylobacter coli isolates from conventional broiler flocks and the impacts of sampling strategy and laboratory method

The genetic diversity of Campylobacter jejuni and Campylobacter coli isolates from commercial broiler farms was examined by multilocus sequence typing (MLST), with an assessment of the impact of the sample type and laboratory method on the genotypes of Campylobacter isolated. A total of 645 C. jejuni and 106 C. coli isolates were obtained from 32 flocks and 17 farms, with 47 sequence types (STs) identified. The Campylobacter jejuni isolates obtained by different sampling approaches and laboratory methods were very similar, with the same STs identified at similar frequencies, and had no major effect on the genetic profile of Campylobacter population in broiler flocks at the farm level. For C. coli, the results were more equivocal. While some STs were widely distributed within and among farms and flocks, analysis of molecular variance (AMOVA) revealed a high degree of genetic diversity among farms for C. jejuni, where farm effects accounted for 70.5% of variance, and among flocks from the same farm (9.9% of variance for C. jejuni and 64.1% for C. coli). These results show the complexity of the population structure of Campylobacter in broiler production and that commercial broiler farms provide an ecological niche for a wide diversity of genotypes. The genetic diversity of C. jejuni isolates among broiler farms should be taken into account when designing studies to understand Campylobacter populations in broiler production and the impact of interventions. We provide evidence that supports synthesis of studies on C. jejuni populations even when laboratory and sampling methods are not identical

An evaluation of the capability of data conversion of impression creep test

High temperature power plant components are now working far beyond their operative designed life. Establishing their in-service material properties has become a matter of significant concern for power generation companies. Advantages for the assessment of creep material properties may come from miniature specimen creep testing techniques, like impression creep testing method, which can be treated as a quasistatic non-destructive technique and requires a small volume of material that can be scooped from in-service critical components, and can produce reliable secondary creep data. This paper presents an overview of impression creep testing method to highlight the capability in determining the minimum creep strain rate data by use of conversion relationships that relates uniaxial creep test data and impression creep test data. Stepped-load and stepped-temperature impression creep tests are also briefly described. Furthermore, the paper presents some new impression creep test data and their correlation with uniaxial data, obtained from P91, P92 and ½CrMoV steels at different stresses and temperatures. The presented data, in terms of creep strain rate against the reference uniaxial stress, are useful for calibration of impression creep testing technique and provide further comparative results for the evaluation of the reliability of the method in determining secondary creep properties

A practical method for optimised earth electrode designs at transmission towers exposed to lightning

A large percentage of transmission line outages in Malaysia are due to lightning activity with backflashover being the main cause. Previous investigations have indicated that tower footing earth resistance is one of the main factors in reducing the occurrence of backflashovers. The present studies review some of the tower earthing design options. From this standard designs are proposed together with a practical method of optimising the design based on soil resistivity measurement data. The process is presented via a procedure which includes the main measurement and design steps. This allows different standard designs to be selected to suit the type of soil structure at the site of the proposed transmission tower. Where measurements indicate a high resistivity layer with underlying low resistivity soil, an electrode design relying more on driven rods is used. Conversely, a design using more horizontal electrode would be selected where the soil structure is of low resistivity above high. Trial installations using the newly designed electrode arrangements have been conducted and preliminary results indicate significant improvements in lightning performance

Creep-fatigue crack growth behaviour of P91 steels

The importance of predicting failure due to combined creep-fatigue crack growth in high temperature power-plant components has become of great importance importance due to the need for plant to ‘load follow’ in response to fluctuations in demands and the availability of renewables. P91 steel has been widely utilized in conventional plant components. Creep fatigue crack growth (CFCG) tests have been performed on compact specimens at temperatures ranging between 600° C to 625° C. The experimental results have been compared to static creep, high cycle fatigue and CFCG test data available in literature on P91 steel. The CFCG data has been characterised using stress intensity factor range parameter, ΔK and C* parameter. The crack growth per cycle and ∆K relationship shows that at high frequency, the CFCG behaviour tends to that of high cycle fatigue crack growth and at low frequency, the contribution of creep becomes increasingly more significant. The correlation between crack growth rate and C* parameter, shows that most CFCG data fall within the creep crack growth (CCG) P91 data band which may indicate that the crack growth behaviour is dominated by creep processes. Fractography has also shown an intergranular, ductile fracture surface indicating creep dominance for the conditions considered. A linear cummulative rule has ben used to predict the CFCG experimental result

Cost-Effective Use of Silver Dressings for the Treatment of Hard-to-Heal Chronic Venous Leg Ulcers

Aim To estimate the cost-effectiveness of silver dressings using a health economic model based on time-to-wound-healing in hard-to-heal chronic venous leg ulcers (VLUs). Background Chronic venous ulceration affects 1–3% of the adult population and typically has a protracted course of healing, resulting in considerable costs to the healthcare system. The pathogenesis of VLUs includes excessive and prolonged inflammation which is often related to critical colonisation and early infection. The use of silver dressings to control this bioburden and improve wound healing rates remains controversial. Methods A decision tree was constructed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of treatment with silver compared with non-silver dressings for four weeks in a primary care setting. The outcomes: ‘Healed ulcer’, ‘Healing ulcer’ or ‘No improvement’ were developed, reflecting the relative reduction in ulcer area from baseline to four weeks of treatment. A data set from a recent meta-analysis, based on four RCTs, was applied to the model. Results Treatment with silver dressings for an initial four weeks was found to give a total cost saving (£141.57) compared with treatment with non-silver dressings. In addition, patients treated with silver dressings had a faster wound closure compared with those who had been treated with non-silver dressings. Conclusion The use of silver dressings improves healing time and can lead to overall cost savings. These results can be used to guide healthcare decision makers in evaluating the economic aspects of treatment with silver dressings in hard-to-heal chronic VLUs

Future fire risk under climate change and deforestation scenarios in tropical Borneo

This is the final version. Available from IOP Publishing via the DOI in this record. Data availability statement: The data that support the findings of this study are available upon reasonable request from the authors.Fire in the tropical peatland forests of Borneo is an environmental issue with interactions with climate change and deforestation, and the consequences have local and global implications. While research has shown that fire severity and frequency are expected to increase with climate change, there is conflicting model and observational data as to the effect of deforestation on precipitation, which is a key metric for fire risk. To better understand the changes in fire risk from deforestation and climate change we ran simulations of the climate scenario RCP8.5 with and without total deforestation using regional climate model RegCM4. The output was then used for calculations of the Fire Weather Index. We find that annual temperature change from deforestation at elevations above 500m is 53% of the change over the 21st Century in RCP8.5. Fire risk is significantly affected by both climate change and deforestation, despite some increases in precipitation from deforestation. While the multi model dry season (June-August) mean increases in fire risk are larger from elevated atmospheric carbon dioxide, the increases in maximum fire risk are larger from deforestation. The altitude is a good predictor of fire risk change, with larger increases at more densely populated lower elevations where the peatlands are concentrated and smaller increases at higher elevations. Therefore, while deforestation generally causes a smaller increase in climate-related fire risk than climate change, its local control and heterogeneous effects compared to global carbon emissions makes it critical for climate mitigation policy. These high-resolution simulations provide a guide to the most vulnerable areas of Borneo from climatic increases in fire risk.Natural Environment Research Council (NERC