Deriving Clinical Prediction Rules from Stroke Outcome Research

Background and Purpose. Our Purpose Was to Determine Whether Clinical Prediction Rules Could Be Derived from Current Stroke Outcome Research. Summary of Report. We Reviewed 92 Articles on Stroke Outcome Research to Determine their Suitability for Implementation as a Clinical Prediction Rule. Methodological Problems in Many of These Studies Made Implementation of their Results as a Clinical Prediction Rule Difficult. Conclusions. Implementation of Stroke Outcome Research as Clinical Prediction Rules Would Be Facilitated by Description of Patient Population Demographics; Precise Definitions of Predictor and Outcome Measures; Stratification of Patients by Stroke Mechanism; Use of Adequate Patient Sample Sizes; and Description of the Mathematical Methods Used, Including Coding Schemes, Cut points, Beta Coefficients, Constant Terms, and a Priori Probabilities. © 1991 American Heart Association, Inc

Real Estate Income and Value Cycles: A Model of Market Dynamics

We develop a theoretical real estate cycles model linking economic fundamentals to real estate income and value. We estimate and test an econometric model specification, based on the theoretical model, using MSA level data for twenty office markets in the United States. Our major conclusion is that cities that exhibit seemingly different cyclical office market behavior may be statistically characterized by our three-parameter econometric specification. The parameters are MSA-specific amplitude, through the CAP rate, cycle duration (peak-to-peak), via the rate of partial adjustments to changing expectations about stabilized NOI and the market trend.

A Reference Model for Providing Statistical Consulting Services in an Academic Library Setting

Princeton University Library, through its Data and Statistical Services (DSS) unit, goes further than many libraries in providing consulting on statistical methods as well as software support for data library users. Princeton requires all third and fourth year undergraduates to do independent original research papers and theses in their disciplines of concentration. These requirements create a clientele of students who need to conduct relatively sophisticated statistical analysis, but who may or may not possess the necessary skills required to do so. This paper describes the model we employ at Princeton DSS to help these patrons, drawing on our experience as data consultants to discuss how it works in practice

Singularity resolution in gauged supergravity and conifold unification

We obtain a unified picture for the conifold singularity resolution. We propose that the gauged supergravity, through a novel prescription for the twisting, provides as appropriate framework to smooth out singularities in the context of gravity duals of supersymmetric gauge theories.Instituto de Física La Plat

Towards geometric inflation: The cubic case

We present an up to cubic curvature correction to General Relativity with the following features: (i) its vacuum spectrum solely consists of a graviton, (ii) it possesses well-behaved black hole solutions which coincide with those of Einsteinian cubic gravity, (iii) its cosmology is well-posed as an initial value problem and, most importantly, (iv) it entails a geometric mechanism triggering an inflationary period in the early universe (driven by radiation) with a graceful exit to a late-time cosmology arbitrarily close to ΛCDM.GA wishes to acknowledge the hospitality of the IGFAE–USC and the postdoctoral fellowship from CONACYT (grant 207620). The work of JDE is supported by MINECO FPA2014-52218 and FPA2017-84436-P, Xunta de Galicia ED431C 2017/07, FEDER, and the María de Maeztu Unit of Excellence MDM-2016-0692S

Semi-local cosmic strings and the cosmological constant problem

We study the cosmological constant problem in a three-dimensional N = 2 supergravity theory with gauge group SU (2)global × U (1)local. The model we consider is known to admit string-like configurations, the so-called semi-local cosmic strings. We show that the stability of these solitonic solutions is provided by supersymmetry through the existence of a lower bound for the energy, even though the manifold of the Higgs vacuum does not contain non-contractible loops. Charged Killing spinors do exist over configurations that saturate the Bogomol'nyi bound, as a consequence of an Aharonov-Bohmlike effect. Nevertheless, there are no physical fermionic zero modes on these backgrounds. The exact vanishing of the cosmological constant does not imply, then, Bose-Fermi degeneracy. This provides a non-trivial example of the recent claim made by Witten on the vanishing of the cosmological constant in three dimensions without unphysical degeneracies.Facultad de Ciencias Exacta

Causality constraints on corrections to the graviton three-point coupling

We consider higher derivative corrections to the graviton three-point coupling within a weakly coupled theory of gravity. Lorentz invariance allows further structures beyond the one present in the Einstein theory. We argue that these are constrained by causality. We devise a thought experiment involving a high energy scattering process which leads to causality violation if the graviton three-point vertex contains the additional structures. This violation cannot be fixed by adding conventional particles with spins J ≤ 2. But, it can be fixed by adding an infinite tower of extra massive particles with higher spins, J > 2. In AdS theories this implies a constraint on the conformal anomaly coefficients a−c c . 1 ∆2 gap in terms of ∆gap, the dimension of the lightest single trace operator with spin J > 2. For inflation, or de Sitter-like solutions, it indicates the existence of massive higher spin particles if the gravity wave non-gaussianity deviates significantly from the one computed in the Einstein theoryS

Wrapped branes with fluxes in 8d gauged supergravity

We study the gravity dual of several wrapped D-brane configurations in presence of 4-form RR fluxes partially piercing the unwrapped directions. We present a systematic approach to obtain these solutions from those without fluxes. We use D=8 gauged supergravity as a starting point to build up these solutions. The configurations include (smeared) M2-branes at the tip of a G_2 cone on S^3 x S^3, D2-D6 branes with the latter wrapping a special Lagrangian 3-cycle of the complex deformed conifold and an holomorphic sphere in its cotangent bundle T^*S^2, D3-branes at the tip of the generalized resolved conifold, and others obtained by means of T duality and KK reduction. We elaborate on the corresponding N=1 and N=2 field theories in 2+1 dimensions.Comment: 32 pages, LateX, v2: minor changes, reference added, v3: section 3.5.2 improve

T-duality equivalences beyond string theory

We examine a two parameter family of gravitational actions which contains higher-derivative terms. These are such that the entire action is invariant under corrected T-duality rules, which we derive explicitly. Generically this action does not describe low energy string backgrounds except for isolated choices for the parameters. Nevertheless, we demonstrate that in this theory the entropy and the temperature of generic non-extremal black hole solutions are T-duality invariant. This further supports the idea put forward in our previous work that T-duality might provide physical equivalences beyond the realm of string theoryWe are grateful to Ted Jacobson, Eric Lescano, Diego Marqués, Sudipta Sarkar and Yuji Tachikawa for fruitful discussions. The work of J.D.E. is supported by the Ministry of Science grant FPA2017-84436-P, Xunta de Galicia ED431C 2017/07, FEDER, and the María de Maeztu Unit of Excellence MDM-2016-0692. He wishes to thank Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso and Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez for hospitality, during the visit funded by CONICYT MEC 80150093. He is also thankful to the Physics Department of the University of Buenos Aires, where part of this work was done under the support of the Milstein program. J.A.S.-G. acknowledges support from CUAASC grant of Chulalongkorn University and Spanish FPI fellowship from FEDER grant FPA-2011-22594. A.V.L. is supported by the Spanish MECD fellowship FPU16/06675.S

T-duality and high-derivative gravity theories: the BTZ black hole/string paradigm

We show that the temperature and entropy of a BTZ black hole are invariant under T-duality to next to leading order in M ⋆− 2, M⋆ being the scale suppressing higher-curvature/derivative terms in the Lagrangian. We work in the framework of a twoparameter family of theories exhibiting T-duality, which includes (but goes beyond) String Theory. Interestingly enough, the AdS/CFT correspondence enforces quantization conditions on these parameters. In the particular case of bosonic/heterotic string theory, our results extend those of a classical paper by Horowitz and Welch. For generic (albeit quantized) values of the parameters, it suggests that T-duality might be an interesting tool to constrain consistent low-energy effective actions while entailing physical equivalences outside String Theory. Moreover, it generates a new family of regular asymptotically flat black string solutions in three-dimensionsThe work of J.D.E. is supported by MINECO FPA2014-52218, Xunta de Galicia ED431C 2017/07, FEDER, and the María de Maeztu Unit of Excellence MDM-2016-0692. He wishes to thank Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso and Universidad Adolfo Ibáñez for hospitality, during the visit funded by CONICYT MEC 80150093. He is also thankful to the Physics Department of the University of Buenos Aires, where part of this work was done under the support of the Milstein program. J.A.S.-G. acknowledges support from CUAASC grant of Chulalongkorn University and Spanish FPI fellowship from FEDER grant FPA2011-22594. A.V.L. is supported by the Spanish MECD fellowship FPU16/06675S