Seasonal variations in Greenland Ice Sheet motion : Inland extent and behaviour at higher elevations

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Sensitivity of tidewater glaciers to submarine melting governed by plume locations

This work was funded by NERC award NE/P011365/1 (CALISMO: Calving laws for Ice Sheet Models) to PI Benn.The response of tidewater glaciers to ocean warming remains a key uncertainty in sea level rise predictions. Here we use a 3‐D numerical model to examine the response of an idealized tidewater glacier to spatial variations in submarine melt rate. While melting toward the center of the terminus causes only a localized increase in mass loss, melting near the lateral margins triggers increased calving across the width of the glacier, causing the terminus to retreat at several times the width‐averaged melt rate. This occurs because melting near the margins has a greater disruptive impact on the compressive stress arch that transfers resistance from the side walls to the body of the glacier. We suggest that the rate of terminus advance or retreat may thus be governed by the difference between ice velocity and submarine melting in the slow‐flowing zones away from the glacier center.Publisher PDFPeer reviewe

Subglacial Drainage Evolution Modulates Seasonal Ice Flow Variability of Three Tidewater Glaciers in Southwest Greenland

B.J.D was funded in the form of a PhD studentship provided by the Scottish Association for Geosciences, Environment and Society (SAGES) and the University of St Andrews, UK. J.M.L is supported by a UKRI Future Leaders Fellowship (Grant No. MR/S017232/1). D.F would like to acknowledge the support of this work through the EPSRC and ESRC Centre for Doctoral Training on Quantification and Management of Risk and Uncertainty in Complex Systems Environments Grant No. (EP/L015927/1).Surface‐derived meltwater can access the bed of the Greenland Ice Sheet, causing seasonal velocity variations. The magnitude, timing and net impact on annual average ice flow of these seasonal perturbations depends on the hydraulic efficiency of the subglacial drainage system. We examine the relationships between drainage system efficiency and ice velocity, at three contrasting tidewater glaciers in southwest Greenland during 2014‐2019, using high‐resolution remotely sensed ice velocities, modelled surface melting, subglacial discharge at the terminus and results from buoyant plume modelling. All glaciers underwent a seasonal speed‐up, which usually coincided with surface melt‐onset, and subsequent slow‐down, which usually followed inferred subglacial channelisation. The amplitude and timing of these speed variations differed between glaciers, with the speed‐up being larger and more prolonged at our fastest study glacier. At all glaciers, however, the seasonal variations in ice flow are consistent with inferred changes in hydraulic efficiency of the subglacial drainage system, and qualitatively indicative of a flow regime in which annually‐averaged ice velocity is relatively insensitive to inter‐annual variations in meltwater supply – so‐called ‘ice flow self‐regulation’. These findings suggest that subglacial channel formation may exert a strong control on seasonal ice flow variations, even at fast‐flowing tidewater glaciers.Publisher PDFPeer reviewe

A model for tidewater glacier undercutting by submarine melting

Dynamic change at the marine-terminating margins of the Greenland Ice Sheet may be initiated by the ocean, particularly where subglacial runoff drives vigorous ice-marginal plumes and rapid submarine melting. Here we model submarine melt-driven undercutting of tidewater glacier termini, simulating a process which is key to understanding ice-ocean coupling. Where runoff emerges from broad subglacial channels we find that undercutting has only a weak impact on local submarine melt rate but increases total ablation by submarine melting due to the larger submerged ice surface area. Thus, the impact of melting is determined not only by the melt rate magnitude but also by the slope of the ice-ocean interface. We suggest that the most severe undercutting occurs at the maximum height in the fjord reached by the plume, likely promoting calving of ice above. It remains unclear, however, whether undercutting proceeds sufficiently rapidly to influence calving at Greenland's fastest-flowing glaciers

An Inverse Method for Estimating Layer Thickness 1 and Volume with Time of a Thin CO 2 -filled Layer at 2 the Sleipner Field, North Sea

Migration of CO 2 through storage reservoirs can be monitored using time-lapse seismic reflection surveys. At the Sleipner Field, injected CO 2 is distributed throughout nine layers within the reservoir. These layers are too thin to be seismically resolvable by direct measurement of the separation between reflections from the top and bottom of each layer. Here, we develop and apply an inverse method for measuring thickness changes of the shallowest layer. Our approach combines differences in travel time down to a specific reflection together with amplitude measurements to determine layer thicknesses from time-lapse surveys. A series of synthetic forward models were used to test the robustness of our inverse approach and to quantify uncer- tainties. In the absence of ambient noise, this approach can unambiguously resolve layer thickness. If a realistic ambient noise distribution is included, layer thicknesses of 1–6 m are accurately retrieved with an uncertainty of ±0.5 m. We used this approach to generate a thickness map of the shallowest layer. The fidelity of this result was tested using measurements of layer thickness determined from the 2010 broadband seismic survey. The calculated volume of CO 2 within the shallowest layer increases at a rate that is quadratic in time, despite an approximately constant injection rate into the base of the reservoir. This result is consistent with a diminished growth rate of the areal extent of underlying layers. Finally, the relationship between caprock topography and layer thickness is explored and potential migration pathways that charge this layer are identified

WESTT (Workload, Error, Situational Awareness, Time and Teamwork): An analytical prototyping system for command and control

Modern developments in the use of information technology within command and control allow unprecedented scope for flexibility in the way teams deal with tasks. These developments, together with the increased recognition of the importance of knowledge management within teams present difficulties for the analyst in terms of evaluating the impacts of changes to task composition or team membership. In this paper an approach to this problem is presented that represents team behaviour in terms of three linked networks (representing task, social network structure and knowledge) within the integrative WESTT software tool. In addition, by automating analyses of workload and error based on the same data that generate the networks, WESTT allows the user to engage in the process of rapid and iterative “analytical prototyping”. For purposes of illustration an example of the use of this technique with regard to a simple tactical vignette is presented

Effect of near-terminus subglacial hydrology on tidewater glacier submarine melt rates

Submarine melting of Greenlandic tidewater glacier termini is proposed as a possiblemechanism driving their recent thinning and retreat. We use a general circulation model, MITgcm, tosimulate water circulation driven by subglacial discharge at the terminus of an idealized tidewater glacier.We vary the spatial distribution of subglacial discharge emerging at the grounding line of the glacier andexamine the effect on submarine melt volume and distribution. We find that subglacial hydrology exerts animportant control on submarine melting; under certain conditions a distributed system can induce a factor5 more melt than a channelized system, with plumes from a single channel inducing melt over only alocalized area. Subglacial hydrology also controls the spatial distribution of melt, which has the potential tocontrol terminus morphology and calving style. Our results highlight the need to constrain near-terminussubglacial hydrology at tidewater glaciers if we are to represent ocean forcing accurately

On the Ethics of Trade Credit: Understanding Good Payment Practice in the Supply Chain

In spite of its commercial importance and signs of clear concern in public policy arenas, trade credit has not been subjected to systematic, extended analysis in the business ethics literature, even where suppliers as a stakeholder group have been considered. This paper makes the case for serious consideration of the ethics of trade credit and explores the issues surrounding slow payment of debts. It discusses trade debt as a kind of promise, but— noting that not all promises are good ones—goes on to develop an analysis of the ethics of trade credit grounded in an understanding of its fundamental purpose. Making a distinction between ‘‘operating’’ trade credit and ‘‘financial’’ trade credit, the paper provides an account of the maximum period for which it is appropriate for one company to delay payment to another from which it has purchased goods or services. The concern of commentators and policy makers that companies should not take too long to pay their debts is affirmed, but the understanding of what timely payment means is significantly finessed, with one conclusion being that, if debts have not already been settled according to acceptable standard terms of trade, cash should pass quickly back along the supply chain once the customer in the final product market has paid. The analysis has implications not only for companies that take credit but also for external parties that seek to rate companies or set regulations according to speed of payment—an approach that is shown to be misleadingly simplistic, albeit well intentioned. A corresponding important responsibility for suppliers, not to extend excessive credit (and thus act as a quasi-bank), also follows from the analysis developed. Having provided a novel analysis of an important business problem, the paper then discusses some of the related practical issues and makes suggestions for further research