An Efficient Method to Take into Account Forecast Uncertainties in Large Scale Probabilistic Power Flow

The simulation of uncertainties due to renewable and load forecasts is becoming more and more important in security assessment analyses performed on large scale networks. This paper presents an efficient method to account for forecast uncertainties in probabilistic power flow (PPF) applications, based on the combination of PCA (Principal Component Analysis) and PEM (Point Estimate Method), in the context of operational planning studies applied to large scale AC grids. The benchmark against the conventional PEM method applied to large power system models shows that the proposed method assures high speed up ratios, preserving a good accuracy of the marginal distributions of the outputs

Probabilistic assessment of Net Transfer Capacity considering forecast uncertainties

In transmission system planning, researchers propose methods to assess the effect of uncertainties of power system operating condition due to forecasting errors of intermittent generation and loads. In particular probabilistic power flow methods are used to calculate the probability distributions of the voltages and the branch currents, starting from the distributions of power injections/absorptions. These uncertainties play a key role in the operational planning of power systems, as certain configurations of load and intermittent generation can cause security problems. This paper aims to propose a probabilistic methodology to assess Net Transfer Capacity (NTC) among network areas, which quantifies forecast error uncertainties by applying the Point Estimate Method (PEM) combined with Third Order Polynomial Normal (TPN) Transformation. This approach is compared with a conventional NTC assessment technique and has been tested on an IEEE test system

Mapping spaces and automorphism groups of toric noncommutative spaces

We develop a sheaf theory approach to toric noncommutative geometry which allows us to formalize the concept of mapping spaces between two toric noncommutative spaces. As an application we study the 'internalized' automorphism group of a toric noncommutative space and show that its Lie algebra has an elementary description in terms of braided derivations

A Risk-Based Methodology and Tool Combining Threat Analysis and Power System Security Assessment

A thorough investigation of power system security requires the analysis of the vulnerabilities to natural and man-related threats which potentially trigger multiple contingencies. In particular, extreme weather events are becoming more and more frequent due to climate changes and often cause large load disruptions on the system, thus the support for security enhancement gets tricky. Exploiting data coming from forecasting systems in a security assessment environment can help assess the risk of operating power systems subject to the disturbances provoked by the weather event itself. In this context, the paper proposes a security assessment methodology, based on an updated definition of risk suitable for power system risk evaluations. Big data analytics can be useful to get an accurate model for weather-related threats. The relevant software (SW) platform integrates the security assessment methodology with prediction systems which provide short term forecasts of the threats affecting the system. The application results on a real wet snow threat scenario in the Italian High Voltage grid demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed approach with respect to conventional security approaches, by complementing the conventional "N - 1" security criterion and exploiting big data to link the security assessment phase to the analysis of incumbent threat

HISTOPATOLOGIA COMPARATIVA EM FÍGADOS DE BOVINOS, BUBALINOS E OVINOS INFECTADOS POR Fasciola hepatica

Através técnicas de rotina para histopatologia foram examinados fígados de bovinos, bubalinos e ovinos infectados por Fasciola hepatica. As colorações utilizadas foram Hematoxilina- Eosina, Tricrômico de Schorr, Tricrômico de Mallory e Azul de Toluidina. As principais lesões observadas foram cortes de parasitas em ductos biliares, fibrose portal, hiperplasia de ducto biliar, fibrose de parede de ducto biliar e infiltração por linfócitos, plasmócitos, eosinófilos e neutrófilos. Lesões de ductos biliares mais calibrosos são observados mais acentuadamente em bovinos e bubalinos que em ovinos. No entanto, a eosinofilia está presente de forma mais acentuada em ovinos que nas demais espécies. Comparando os resultados obtidos, conclui-se que a fasciolose em bovinos e bubalinos se trata de uma doença crônica. Nos ovinos o predomínio de eosinófilos caracteriza fase inicial de fasciolose crônica. Hepatopathology of infection by Fasciola hepatica in cattle, buffaloes and sheep Abstract A histopathological study on hepatic lesions caused by Fasciola hepatica has been carried out three domestic ruminants: cattle, buffalos and sheep. Liver samples were processed by routine histological methods. The staining procedures included hematoxilin-eosine, Schorr (triple staining), Mallory (triple staining) and toluidine blue. The most frequent lesions found were the following ones: parasite sections inside the billiary ducts, portal system fibrosis and billiary duct hyperplasia. Lymphocytes, plasmocytes, eosinophils and neutrophils, characteristics of a chronic disease, were found in bovines and bubalines. The presence of eosinophils in sheeps was characteristic of the initial phase of a chronic fascioliasis

Pixel segmented ionization chamber for therapeutical beams of photons and hadrons

Abstract A fast and precise detector to monitor on-line the dose delivered by an active scanning therapeutical beam has been built and tested

Lhx1 Is Required for Specification of the Renal Progenitor Cell Field

In the vertebrate embryo, the kidney is derived from the intermediate mesoderm. The LIM-class homeobox transcription factor lhx1 is expressed early in the intermediate mesoderm and is one of the first genes to be expressed in the nephric mesenchyme. In this study, we investigated the role of Lhx1 in specification of the kidney field by either overexpressing or depleting lhx1 in Xenopus embryos or depleting lhx1 in an explant culture system. By overexpressing a constitutively-active form of Lhx1, we established its capacity to expand the kidney field during the specification stage of kidney organogenesis. In addition, the ability of Lhx1 to expand the kidney field diminishes as kidney organogenesis transitions to the morphogenesis stage. In a complimentary set of experiments, we determined that embryos depleted of lhx1, show an almost complete loss of the kidney field. Using an explant culture system to induce kidney tissue, we confirmed that expression of genes from both proximal and distal kidney structures is affected by the absence of lhx1. Taken together our results demonstrate an essential role for Lhx1 in driving specification of the entire kidney field from the intermediate mesoderm