Long-term variations in global sea level extremes

Decadal to multidecadal variations in sea level extremes unrelated to mean sea level changes have been investigated using long tide gauge records distributed worldwide. A state space approach has been applied that provides robust solutions and uncertainties of the time evolving characteristics of extremes, allowing for data gaps and uneven sampling, both common features of historical sea level time series. Two different models have been formulated for the intensity and for the occurrence of extreme sea level events and have been applied independently to each tide gauge record. Our results reveal two key findings: first, the intensity and the frequency of occurrence of extreme sea levels unrelated to mean sea level vary coherently on decadal scales in most of the sites examined (63 out of 77) and, second, extreme sea level changes are regionally consistent, thus pointing toward a common large-scale forcing. This variability of extremes associated with climate drivers should be considered in the framework of climate change studies

Editorial: Sea level variability and change

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Behaviour of steel prestressing wires under extreme conditions of strain rate and temperature

The purpose of this paper is to provide information on the behaviour of steel prestressing wires under likely conditions that could be expected during a fire or impact loads. Four loadings were investigated: a) the influence of strain rate – from 10–3 to 600 s–1 – at room temperature, b) the influence of temperature – from 24 to 600 °C – at low strain rate, c) the influence of the joint effect of strain rate and temperature, and d) damage after three plausible fire scenarios. At room temperature it was found that using “static” values is a safe option. At high temperatures our results are in agreement with design codes. Regarding the joint effect of temperature and strain rate, mechanical properties decrease with increasing temperature, although for a given temperature, yield stress and tensile strength increase with strain rate. The data provided can be used profitably to model the mechanical behaviour of steel wires under different scenarios

Mean sea level variability in the North Sea: Processes and implications

Mean sea level (MSL) variations across a range of time scales are examined for the North Sea under the consideration of different forcing factors since the late 19th century. We use multiple linear regression models, which are validated for the second half of the 20th century against the output of a tide+surge model, to determine the barotropic response of the ocean to fluctuations in atmospheric forcing. We find that local atmospheric forcing mainly initiates MSL variability on time scales up to a few years, with the inverted barometric effect dominating the variability along the UK and Norwegian coastlines and wind controlling the MSL variability in the south from Belgium up to Denmark. On decadal time scales, MSL variability mainly reflects steric changes, which are largely forced remotely. A spatial correlation analysis of altimetry observations and gridded steric heights suggests evidence for a coherent signal extending from the Norwegian shelf down to the Canary Islands. This fits with the theory of longshore wind forcing along the eastern boundary of the North Atlantic causing coastally trapped waves to propagate over thousands of kilometers along the continental slope. Implications of these findings are assessed with statistical Monte-Carlo experiments. It is demonstrated that the removal of known variability increases the signal to noise ratio with the result that: (i) linear trends can be estimated more accurately; (ii) possible accelerations (as expected, e.g., due to anthropogenic climate change) can be detected much earlier. Such information is of crucial importance for anticipatory coastal management, engineering, and planning

Efecto de la temperatura en la rotura por despegue de una placa de ateroma

Las placas de ateroma de las paredes arteriales son acumulaciones de lípidos y otras sustancias que modifican las propiedades de la pared vascular. El principal problema que presentan estas placas es su rotura y despegue de la pared, con la posibilidad de obstruir la circulación de la sangre. En este trabajo se analiza, mediante un modelo animal en conejos, el efecto que una variación de temperatura (por ejemplo en un proceso febril) puede tener en la aparición de tensiones tangenciales entre la placa y la pared. Para ello se han obtenido las propiedades termomecánicas de la pared arterial y de la placa de ateroma. Asimismo, se ha elaborado un modelo para estimar las tensiones generadas por un incremento de temperatura. Como ejemplo se muestra que un aumento de la temperatura de 4ºC, que correspondería a una fiebre de algo más de 40ºC, puede generar elevadas tensiones capaces de provocar el despegue de la placa. - Atheroma plaques are accumulations of lipids and other substances attached to the inner side of the artery walls, which modify the mechanical behaviour of the artery wall. Their main problem comes when the plaque breaks and incorporates to the blood flow, because it can eventually block blood circulation and damage to the surrounding tissues and organs. This work explores, by means of a rabbit model, the effect of temperature variation on the development of interfacial shear stresses between plaque and wall. The thermomechanical properties of arterial wall and atheroma plaques have been obtained. A simplified model has also been developed in order to estimate the stress level, which has shown that due to a moderate temperature increment of 4ºC interfacial shear stresses can reach high values, enough to provoke plaque rupture and detachment

Decadal variability of European sea level extremes in relation to the solar activity

This study investigates the relationship between decadal changes in solar activity and sea level extremes along the European coasts and derived from tide gauge data. Autumn sea level extremes vary with the 11 year solar cycle at Venice as suggested by previous studies, but a similar link is also found at Trieste. In addition, a solar signal in winter sea level extremes is also found at Venice, Trieste, Marseille, Ceuta, Brest, and Newlyn. The influence of the solar cycle is also evident in the sea level extremes derived from a barotropic model with spatial patterns that are consistent with the correlations obtained at the tide gauges. This agreement indicates that the link to the solar cycle is through modulation of the atmospheric forcing. The only atmospheric regional pattern that showed variability at the 11 year period was the East Atlantic pattern

Mediterranean sea-level reconstruction spanning 1960-2018

We have used spatiotemporal Bayesian methods to produce statistically rigorous estimates of sea-level trends in the Mediterranean Sea since 1960 by combining tide gauge and satellite altimetry data. Furthermore, we have also quantified the contributions from sterodynamic sea-level change, land-mass changes and glacial isostatic adjustment to the trends

Sea level changes at Tenerife Island (NE Tropical Atlantic) since 1927

Hourly sea level observations measured by five tide gauges at Santa Cruz harbor (Tenerife Island), in the Northeastern Tropical Atlantic, have been merged to build a consistent and almost continuous sea level record starting in 1927. Datum continuity was ensured using high precision leveling information. The time series underwent a detailed quality control in order to remove outliers, time drifts, and datum shifts. The resulting sea level record was then used to describe the low frequency (interannual to decadal) sea level variability at Tenerife. It was found that at interannual and longer time scales, the observed sea level changes are primarily driven by steric sea level variations. Such steric changes are originated by coastal trapped waves induced by longshore winds along the continental coast and propagate poleward. Observed sea level rise at Tenerife was 2.09?±?0.04 mm/yr since 1927. According to the hydrographic observations in the area, only half of this trend was attributed to steric sea level changes for the top 500 m, at least since 1950

ALES+: Adapting a homogenous ocean retracker for satellite altimetry to sea ice leads, coastal and inland waters

Water level from sea ice-covered oceans is particularly challenging to retrieve with satellite radar altimeters due to the different shapes assumed by the returned signal compared with the standard open ocean waveforms. Valid measurements are scarce in large areas of the Arctic and Antarctic Oceans, because sea level can only be estimated in the openings in the sea ice (leads and polynyas). Similar signal-related problems affect also measurements in coastal and inland waters. This study presents a fitting (also called retracking) strategy (ALES+) based on a subwaveform retracker that is able to adapt the fitting of the signal depending on the sea state and on the slope of its trailing edge. The algorithm modifies the existing Adaptive Leading Edge Subwaveform retracker originally designed for coastal waters, and is applied to Envisat and ERS-2 missions. The validation in a test area of the Arctic Ocean demonstrates that the presented strategy is more precise than the dedicated ocean and sea ice retrackers available in the mission products. It decreases the retracking open ocean noise by over 1 cm with respect to the standard ocean retracker and is more precise by over 1 cm with respect to the standard sea ice retracker used for fitting specular echoes. Compared to an existing open ocean altimetry dataset, the presented strategy increases the number of sea level retrievals in the sea ice-covered area and the correlation with a local tide gauge. Further tests against in-situ data show that also the quality of coastal retrievals increases compared to the standard ocean product in the last 6 km within the coast. ALES+ improves the sea level determination at high latitudes and is adapted to fit reflections from any water surface. If used in the open ocean and in the coastal zone, it improves the current official products based on ocean retrackers. First results in the inland waters show that the correlation between water heights from ALES+ and from in-situ measurement is always over 0.95