Minibus driving behaviour on the Cape Town to Mthatha route

Paper presented at the 33rd Annual Southern African Transport Conference 7-10 July 2014 "Leading Transport into the Future", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.Minibus taxis are considered to be notoriously dangerous and are seen as the epitome of bad driving in South Africa in particular, and Sub-Saharan Africa in general. Minibus taxis are used for long-distance and urban travel. This paper focuses on long-distance travel, and considers one of the routes with a high number of fatalities, namely the 1200km route travelled between Cape Town and Mthatha in the Eastern Cape. The paper presents the analysis of speed and location information, gathered by voluntary tracking of various taxis completing the notorious round trip over weekends and festive seasons. The results clearly demonstrate that no regard is paid to the legal limit of 100 km/h, with speeds of up to 159km/h recorded. Compared with normal passenger vehicles, the minibus taxis demonstrate similar speeding profiles, despite the lower speed limit. The results exhibit a speed dependence on route-section, direction of travel, departure time, and whether the driver is also the owner.This paper was transferred from the original CD ROM created for this conference. The material was published using Adobe Acrobat 10.1.0 Technology. The original CD ROM was produced by CE Projects cc. Postal Address: PO Box 560 Irene 0062 South Africa. Tel.: +27 12 667 2074 Fax: +27 12 667 2766 E-mail: [email protected]

Factors that influence the geometric detection pattern of vehicle-based licence plate recognition camera systems

Licence plate recognition (LPR) systems are used to automatically extract the characters from licence plates positioned in front of a camera. The geometric detection pattern is the region within which the system can accurately recognise licence plates and is of special interest when the system is mounted in a moving vehicle. In this research, the theory surrounding camera optics was investigated and used as the basis of a software simulation model. Inspired by the simulation measurements, a real-world experimental test was conducted to further explore the influence various factors have on the geometric detection pattern. Analysis of these measurements provided greater insight how multiple factors individually contribute to the shape and size of the geometric detection pattern and serves as a guide in the design of vehicle-based LPR systemsPapers Presented at the 2018 37th Southern African Transport Conference 9-12 July 2018 Pretoria, South Africa. Theme "Towards a desired transport future: safe, sufficient and affordable"

Mapping the informal public transport network in Kampala with smartphones : making sense of an organically evolved chaotic system in an emerging city in Sub-Saharan Africa

In cities in the emerging world, public transport networks are governed by a large number of agents, each with their own agendas, priorities, incentives and resources, interacting nonlinearly through complex feedback loops. The transport system in these cities have developed into a semi-chaotic self-organizing structure with seemingly unpredictable behaviour to an outside observer. This is due to user agent actions by passengers, independent determination of operating plans and practices by transport operators, and a managing authority exhibiting a lack of will (both political and institutional), to implement adequate control measures to provide regulation and management of these systems. Based on the problems that face transport systems in developing cities and public transport in particular, this paper reports on an attempt to understand the supply of public transport in the Kampala area in a novel manner. We describe a mapping approach using a custom-developed smartphone application which was used to quickly and accurately capture informal transport systems for analysis and study of urban mobility where no dependable data was currently available. Secondly, based on the data created by the study project, to provide insights into the routes, operations and characteristics of the minibus taxi network which convey the majority of Kampala?s travelers. Our hypothesis is that by understanding the network in geospatial terms, we will be able to create benefits for all role-players and improve the efficiency and effectiveness of the supply of public transport to more closely match the demand for public transport in an emerging world city.Paper presented at the 35th Annual Southern African Transport Conference 4-7 July 2016 "Transport ? a catalyst for socio-economic growth and development opportunities to improve quality of life", CSIR International Convention Centre, Pretoria, South Africa.The Minister of Transport, South AfricaTransportation Research Board of the US

Decarbonising South Africa’s paratransit with hydrogen : a simulated case study

Papers presented virtually at the 41st International Southern African Transport Conference on 10-13 July 2023.As fuel prices climb and the global automotive sector migrates to more sustainable vehicle technologies, the future of South Africa’s minibus taxis is in flux. The authors’ previous research has found that battery electric technology struggles to meet all the mobility requirements of minibus taxis. They investigate the technical feasibility of powering taxis with hydrogen fuel cells instead. The following results are projected using a custom-built simulator, and tracking data of taxis based in Stellenbosch, South Africa. Each taxi requires around 12 kg of hydrogen gas per day to travel an average distance of 360 km. 465 kWh of electricity, or 860 m2 of solar panels, would electrolyse the required green hydrogen. An economic analysis was conducted on the capital and operational expenses of a system of ten hydrogen taxis and an electrolysis plant. Such a pilot project requires a minimum investment of € 3.8 million (R 75 million), for a 20 year period. Although such a small scale roll-out is technically feasible and would meet taxis’ performance requirements, the investment cost is too high, making it financially unfeasible. They conclude that a large scale solution would need to be investigated to improve financial feasibility; however, South Africa’s limited electrical generation capacity poses a threat to its technical feasibility. The simulator is uploaded at: https://gitlab.com/eputs/ev-fleet-sim-fcv-model

Using tracking data and an electro-mobility simulator to establish the energy requirements of electric minibus taxis in Tshwane

Papers presented virtually at the 41st International Southern African Transport Conference on 10-13 July 2023.The minibus taxi (MBT) is the dominant form of public transport across Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA). With a growing global call for greener transport, MBTs are seen as a key sector of implementation. The electrification of MBTs entails many challenges, including limited electricity resources and the lack of understanding of MBTs’ operational behaviour. In this paper, we estimate the electricity demand for future electric MBTs in the City of Tshwane, South Africa. We use existing origin and destination mobility data, which originated from vehicle-based tracking, and a micro-mobility simulation tool with an embedded electric vehicle model, called EV-Fleet-Sim. This simulation tool uses various SUMO packages to simulate mobility and calculate energy expenditure. The mobility dataset consists of various stop locations from a MBT fleet’s daily operation. The simulator uses a routing model, a virtual map, and a virtual driver model to convert the origin and destination data to high-fidelity mobility traces. The results are used in the electro-kinetic model to estimate the vehicles’ energy needs, from which charging opportunities can be derived. To illustrate this process and outputs, eight exemplar taxis with different operational patterns are selected for analysis. The results show a minimum and maximum median daily energy usage of 56 kWh and 215 kWh respectively, based on the mean observed daily distances travelled of 94 km to 330 km. While the energy demand varies significantly according to trip length and type of operation of the sub-fleet of 8 vehicles, clear morning and afternoon peaks are identified, along with charging opportunities during midday and at night

Boekbespreking

No abstract available

Risk profiles and one-year outcomes of patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation in India: Insights from the GARFIELD-AF Registry.

BACKGROUND: The Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD-Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) is an ongoing prospective noninterventional registry, which is providing important information on the baseline characteristics, treatment patterns, and 1-year outcomes in patients with newly diagnosed non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). This report describes data from Indian patients recruited in this registry. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 52,014 patients with newly diagnosed AF were enrolled globally; of these, 1388 patients were recruited from 26 sites within India (2012-2016). In India, the mean age was 65.8 years at diagnosis of NVAF. Hypertension was the most prevalent risk factor for AF, present in 68.5% of patients from India and in 76.3% of patients globally (P < 0.001). Diabetes and coronary artery disease (CAD) were prevalent in 36.2% and 28.1% of patients as compared with global prevalence of 22.2% and 21.6%, respectively (P < 0.001 for both). Antiplatelet therapy was the most common antithrombotic treatment in India. With increasing stroke risk, however, patients were more likely to receive oral anticoagulant therapy [mainly vitamin K antagonist (VKA)], but average international normalized ratio (INR) was lower among Indian patients [median INR value 1.6 (interquartile range {IQR}: 1.3-2.3) versus 2.3 (IQR 1.8-2.8) (P < 0.001)]. Compared with other countries, patients from India had markedly higher rates of all-cause mortality [7.68 per 100 person-years (95% confidence interval 6.32-9.35) vs 4.34 (4.16-4.53), P < 0.0001], while rates of stroke/systemic embolism and major bleeding were lower after 1 year of follow-up. CONCLUSION: Compared to previously published registries from India, the GARFIELD-AF registry describes clinical profiles and outcomes in Indian patients with AF of a different etiology. The registry data show that compared to the rest of the world, Indian AF patients are younger in age and have more diabetes and CAD. Patients with a higher stroke risk are more likely to receive anticoagulation therapy with VKA but are underdosed compared with the global average in the GARFIELD-AF. CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION-URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01090362

Characterizing the movement patterns of minibus taxis in Kampala’s paratransit system

This is a research article about urban travelers in Africa depend on minibus taxis for their daily social and business commutingUrban travelers in Africa depend on minibus taxis for their daily social and business commuting. This paratransit system is loosely regulated, self-organizing, and evolves organically in response to demand. Our study used floating car data to analyze and describe the movement characteristics of nine minibus taxis in Kampala, Uganda. We made three intriguing findings. Firstly, in searching for, picking up and transporting passengers, minibus taxi trajectories followed a heavy-tailed power-law distribution similar to a “L´evy walk”. Secondly, their routes’ topology and shape gradually changed. Thirdly, the extraordinary winding (expressed in terms of tortuosity) of the paths suggested the extreme determination of the drivers’ search for passengers. Our findings could help city planners to build on the self-organizing characteristics of the minibus taxi system, and improve the mobility of travelers, by optimizing routes and the distribution of public amenities

Transforming Paratransit in Africa's congested Cities: An ICT- enabled Integrated Demand Responsive Transport (iDRT) approach

This is a conference paper on developing cities in Africa and the Global South are grappling with the problem of inadequate public transport provision.Developing cities in Africa and the Global South are grappling with the problem of inadequate public transport provision. The informal privately-run paratransit system consisting of mini- and micro-buses, shared taxis (jitneys), motorcycle and bicycle taxis has seen substantial growth since the early nineties. This loosely-regulated transport system is associated with many challenges that include congestion, high crash rates, high levels of noise and air pollution. In this paper we describe the origin and current status of this structurally unique paratransit system. We then reviewed the transport master plans of four East African cities (Dar es Salaam, Kampala, Kigali, and Nairobi) and identify remaining planning gaps. We found that all the four cities reviewed lacked satisfactory plans for multi-modal public transport integration, demand responsiveness, and ICT integration which are essential to every modern and efficient public transport system. We then proposed a conceptual organised public transport system (ICT-enabled iDRT). We described how it could be adapted for a highly congested city like Kampala in order transform its existing chaotic paratransit system into an efficient public transport system that could make commuters happier and safer, reduce costs and considerably reduce pollutio