Autoimmune thyroiditis as a risk factor for stroke: a historical cohort study.

OBJECTIVE: To investigate the effect of autoimmune thyroiditis (AIT) on risk of stroke and to assess whether any increased risk (1) varied by AIT duration, and (2) was independent of classic cardiovascular risk factors. METHODS: This was a large historical cohort study using data from The Health Improvement Network Database. Rates of first stroke during follow-up in thyroxine-treated patients with AIT (n = 34,907) were compared with those in matched individuals without AIT (n = 149,632) using random-effects Poisson regression models. RESULTS: There was strong evidence for a slightly increased risk of stroke in patients with AIT (adjusted rate ratio = 1.10, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.20). The observed increase was partly independent of cardiovascular risk factors. Higher effect sizes were identified in the first year after AIT diagnosis (rate ratio = 1.33, 95% confidence interval: 1.14-1.56) but not in the long-term, consistent with a residual effect of hypothyroidism. CONCLUSION: Our results support the hypothesis of a slightly increased risk of stroke in patients with AIT. The higher effect size found soon after AIT diagnosis suggests an increased cardiovascular risk due to thyroid-hormone deficiency rather than a cumulative effect of autoimmune pathology. Better screening and early treatment of patients with asymptomatic hypothyroid AIT could help reduce excess risk of stroke in the first year after diagnosis

Mirror Symmetries for Brane Configurations and Branes at Singularities

We study local mirror symmetry on non-compact Calabi-Yau manifolds (conifold type of singularities) in the presence of D3 brane probes. Using an intermediate brane setup of NS 5-branes `probed' by D4 resp. D5 branes, we can explicitly T-dualize three isometry directions to relate a non-compact Calabi-Yau manifold to its local mirror. The intermediate brane setup is the one that is best suited to read off the gauge theory on the probe. Both intervals and boxes of NS 5-branes appear as brane setups. Going from one to the other is equivalent to performing a conifold transition in the dual geometry. One result of our investigation is that the brane box rules as they have been discussed so far should be generalized. Our new rules do not need diagonal fields localized at the intersection. The old rules reappear on baryonic branches of the theory.Comment: LaTeX2e, 36 pages; typos corrected and 3 references adde

New N=1 Superconformal Field Theories and their Supergravity Description

In this note we construct a new class of superconformal field theories as mass deformed N=4 super Yang-Mills theories. We will argue that these theories correspond to the fixed points which were recently found by Khavaev, Pilch and Warner studying the deformations of the dual IIB string theory on AdS_5\times S^5.Comment: LaTeX2e; v2: 2 references added; v3: discussion about selfduality correcte

Changes in Risk Perceptions During the 2014 Ebola Virus Disease Epidemic: Results of Two Consecutive Surveys Among the General Population in Lower Saxony, Germany

Background: The Ebola virus disease (EVD) outbreak 2014 received extensive news media coverage, which faded out before the outbreak ended. News media coverage impacts risk perception; it is, however, unclear if the components of risk perception (affective and cognitive responses) change differently over time. Methods: In an online panel, we asked participants (n = 1376) about EVD risk perceptions at the epidemic\u27s peak (November 2014) and after news media coverage faded out (August 2015). We investigated worry (affective response), perceived likelihood of infection, perceived personal impact, and coping efficacy (dimensions of cognitive response), and knowledge about transmission. Differences between the surveys with respect to manifestations of affective and cognitive dimensions were tested using the Wilcoxon signed-rank test. The association between individual change in knowledge and worries about EVD in the first survey was investigated using linear regression. Results: In November 2014, the survey was filled in by 974 participants. Ten months later, 662 of them were still members of the online panel and were invited to the follow-up survey. Among the 620 respondents, affective response decreased between the surveys. Knowledge about EVD also decreased; however, participants worried about EVD in 2014 had increased knowledge in 2015. Perceived likelihood of infection decreased over time, while perceived personal impact and coping efficacy did not. Conclusions: Risk communication appealing to cognitive reactions by informing clearly on the risk of infection in unaffected countries may decrease inappropriate behaviors

N=1 Supersymmetric Gauge Theories and Supersymmetric 3-cycles

In this paper we discuss the strong coupling limit of chiral N=1 supersymmetric gauge theory via their embedding into M-theory. In particular we focus on the brane box models of Hanany and Zaffaroni and show that after a T-duality transformation their M-theory embedding is described by supersymmetric 3-cycles; its geometry will encode the holomorphic non-perturbative information about the gauge theory.Comment: 36 pages, LaTeX2e, 10 figures, additional references added, minor correction

Seropositivity of Borrelia burgdorferi s.l. in Germany—an analysis across four German National Cohort (NAKO) study sites

Lyme borreliosis (LB) is caused by the transmission of Borrelia burgdorferi s.l. from ticks to humans. Climate affects tick abundance, and climate change is projected to promote shifts in abundance in Europe, potentially increasing human exposure. We analyzed serum samples collected between the years 2014-2019 from German National Cohort (NAKO) participants at four study sites (Augsburg, Berlin, Hanover, Münster) for immunoglobulin G (IgG) and immunoglobulin M (IgM) antibodies using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and line blot immunoassay as confirmatory test for positive and equivocal ELISA samples. We reported crude and weighted seropositivity proportions for local estimates. We used mixed model analysis to investigate associated factors, such as age, sex, migration background, or animal contacts. We determined the serostatus of 14,207 participants. The weighted seropositivity proportions were 3.4% (IgG) and 0.4% (IgM) in Augsburg, 4.1% (IgG) and 0.6% (IgM) in northern Berlin, 3.0% (IgG) and 0.9% (IgM) in Hanover, and 2.7% (IgG) and 0.6% (IgM) in Münster. We found higher odds for IgG seropositivity with advancing age (p < 0.001), among males compared to females (p < 0.001) and reduced odds among participants with migration background compared to those without (p = 0.001). We did not find evidence for an association between serostatus and depression, children within the household, or animal contact, respectively. We found low seropositivity proportions and indications of differences across the study locations, although between-group comparisons did not yield significant results. Comparisons to earlier research are subject to important limitations; however, our results indicate no major increases in seropositivity over time. Nevertheless, monitoring of seropositivity remains critical in light of potential climate-related Borrelia exposure

Cerebrospinal fluid neurofilament light in suspected sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease

Sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (sCJD) is the most common form of human prion disease. It is invariably fatal and displays a short clinical disease stage. The key event in sCJD is the propagation of a beta-sheet rich conformer of the physiological PrPC protein, known as PrPSc. Neuropathological disease characteristics include gliosis, neuronal loss and spongiform degeneration; disease clinical manifestations refer to mental and visual disabilities, cognitive impairment, gait or limb ataxia, myoclonus and mutism. Definite sCJD diagnosis requires post-mortem brain material histopathological examination. However, highly certain pre-mortem differential diagnosis is desired to exclude other treatable disorders and to reduce disease transmission risks. Detection and/or quantification of cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) biomarkers reflecting neuronal damage and PrPC misfolding in the diseased brain significantly enhance pre-mortem diagnosis. Previously established and newly identified biomarkers are used towards this direction. Increased CSF Neurofilament light chain (NFL) concentrations have been reported in several neurological disorders, including prion diseases. In the present study, we analyzed CSF NFL levels in two independent patient cohorts, consisting of highly suspected sCJD cases that were further classified as sCJD or non-CJD according to established diagnostic criteria. CSF NFL concentrations were increased in sCJD compared to non-CJD cases in both cohorts (area under the curve (with 95% confidence interval) equal to 0.89 (0.82 to 0.97) and 0.86 (0.77 to 0.96), respectively. CSF NFL was associated neither to age nor to sex but correlated with total-tau concentrations in both cohorts. Overall, our data provide independent validation of CSF NFL utility in sCJD differential diagnosis

Immune Status in Children Before Liver Transplantation—A Cross-Sectional Analysis Within the ChilsSFree Multicentre Cohort Study

Background: Both, markers of cellular immunity and serum cytokines have been proposed as potential biomarkers for graft rejection after liver transplantation. However, no good prognostic model is available for the prediction of acute cellular rejection. The impact of underlying disease and demographic factors on immune status before pediatric liver transplantation (pLTx) is still poorly understood. We investigated expression of immune markers before pLTx, in order to better understand the pre-transplant immune status. Improved knowledge of the impact of pre-transplant variables may enhance our understanding of immunological changes post pLTx in the future.Methods: This is a cross-sectional analysis of data from the ChilSFree study, a European multicentre cohort study investigating the longitudinal patterns of immune response before and after pLTx. Immune cell counts and soluble immune markers were measured in 155 children 1–30 days before pLTx by TruCount analysis and BioPlex assays. Results were logarithmised due to skewed distributions and then compared according to age, sex, and diagnosis using t-tests, ANOVAs, and Tukey post-hoc tests. The association between immune markers at time of pLTx and patients' age was assessed using a fractional polynomial approach. Multivariable regression models were used to assess the relative contribution of each factor.Results: Sex had no effect on immune status. We found strong evidence for age-specific differences in the immune status. The majority of immune markers decreased in a log-linear way with increasing age. T and B cells showed a sharp increase within the first months of life followed by a log-linear decline in older age groups. Several immune markers were strongly associated with underlying diagnoses. The effects of age and underlying disease remained virtually unchanged when adjusting for each other in multivariable models.Discussion: We show for the first time that age and diagnosis are major independent determinants of cellular and soluble immune marker levels in children with end-stage liver disease. These results need to be considered for future research on predictive immune monitoring after pLTx

Einfluss von Impfungen und Kontaktreduktionen auf die dritte Welle der SARS-CoV-2-Pandemie und perspektivische Rückkehr zu prä-pandemischem Kontaktverhalten

Das im Epidemiologischen Bulletin 13/2021 vorgestellte mathematische Modell schätzt die voraussichtlichen Effekte der COVID-19-Impfung in der Bevölkerung in Deutschland und vergleicht mögliche Strategien zur Priorisierung einzelner Bevölkerungsgruppen bei Knappheit der verfügbaren Impfstoffdosen. Das Modell ermöglicht nicht nur die Abbildung des aktuellen Infektionsgeschehens, sondern kann über Fragestellungen zur Impfstrategie hinaus auch Strategien zur Lockerung der bestehenden bzw. die Wiederaufnahme von Kontaktbeschränkungen analysieren. Dabei können saisonale Effekte auf die Übertragung von SARS-CoV-2 sowie der Einfluss neuer Virusvarianten berücksichtigt werden