36 research outputs found
Periodic optimal control for biomass productivity maximization in a photobioreactor using natural light
We address the question of optimization of the microalgal biomass long term
productivity in the framework of production in photobioreactors under the
influence of day/night cycles. For that, we propose a simple bioreactor model
accounting for light attenuation in the reactor due to biomass density and
obtain the control law that optimizes productivity over a single day through
the application of Pontryagin's maximum principle, with the dilution rate being
the main control. An important constraint on the obtained solution is that the
biomass in the reactor should be at the same level at the beginning and at the
end of the day so that the same control can be applied everyday and optimizes
some form of long term productivity. Several scenarios are possible depending
on the microalgae's strain parameters and the maximal admissible value of the
dilution rate: bang-bang or bang-singular-bang control or, if the growth rate
of the algae is very strong in the presence of light, constant maximal
dilution. A bifurcation diagram is presented to illustrate for which values of
the parameters these different behaviors occur. Finally, a simple sub-optimal
bang-bang strategy is proposed that numerically achieves productivity levels
that almost match those of the optimal strategy
Optimal life-history strategies in seasonal consumer-resource dynamics.
International audienceThe interplay between individual adaptive life histories and populations dynamics is an important issue in ecology. In this context, we considered a seasonal consumer-resource model with nonoverlapping generations. We focused on the consumers decision-making process through which they maximize their reproductive output via a differential investment into foraging for resources or reproducing. Our model takes a semi-discrete form, and is composed of a continuous time within-season part, similar to a dynamic model of energy allocation, and of a discrete time part, depicting the between seasons reproduction and mortality processes. We showed that the optimal foraging-reproduction strategies of the consumers may be "determinate" or "indeterminate" depending on the season length. More surprisingly, it depended on the consumers population density as well, with large densities promoting indeterminacy. A bifurcation analysis showed that the long-term dynamics produced by this model were quite rich, ranging from both populations' extinction, coexistence at some season-to-season equilibrium or on (quasi)-periodic motions, to initial condition-dependent dynamics. Interestingly, we observed that any long-term sustainable situation corresponds to indeterminate consumers' strategies. Finally, a comparison with a model involving typical nonoptimal consumers highlighted the stabilizing effects of the optimal life histories of the consumers
Optimization of a photobioreactor biomass production using natural light
We address the question of optimization of the biomass long term productivity
in the framework of microalgal biomass production in photobioreactors under the
influence of day/night cycles. For that, we propose a simple bioreactor model
accounting for light attenuation in the reactor due to biomass density and
obtain the control law that optimizes productivity over a single day through
the application of Pontryagin's maximum principle, with the dilution rate being
the control. An important constraint on the obtained solution is that the
biomass in the reactor should be at the same level at the beginning and at the
end of the day so that the same control can be applied everyday and optimizes
the long term productivity. Several scenarios are possible depending on the
microalgae's strain parameters and the maximal admissible value of the dilution
rate: bang-bang or bang-singular-bang control or, if the growth rate of the
algae is very strong in the presence of light, constant maximal dilution. A
bifurcation diagram is presented to illustrate for which values of the
parameters these different behaviors occur
Join forces or cheat: evolutionary analysis of a consumer-resource system
In this work we study the process of mutant invasion on an example of a
consumer-resource system with annual character of the behavior. Namely,
individuals are active during seasons of fixed length separated by winter
periods. All individuals die at the end of the season and the size of the next
generation is determined by the number of offspring produced during the past
season. The rate at which the consumers produce immature offspring depends on
their internal energy which can be increased by feeding. The reproduction of
the resource simply occurs at a constant rate. At the beginning, we consider a
population of consumers maximizing their common fitness, all consumers being
individuals having the same goal function and acting for the common good. We
suppose that a small fraction of the consumer population may appear at the
beginning of one season and start to behave as mutants in the main population.
We study how such invasion occurs
Epidemiology of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Japan during the first and second waves
Following the emergence and worldwide spread of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), each country has attempted to control the disease in different ways. The first patient with COVID-19 in Japan was diagnosed on 15 January 2020, and until 31 October 2020, the epidemic was characterized by two large waves. To prevent the first wave, the Japanese government imposed several control measures such as advising the public to avoid the 3Cs (closed spaces with poor ventilation, crowded places with many people nearby, and close-contact settings such as close-range conversations) and implementation of "cluster buster" strategies. After a major epidemic occurred in April 2020 (the first wave), Japan asked its citizens to limit their numbers of physical contacts and announced a non-legally binding state of emergency. Following a drop in the number of diagnosed cases, the state of emergency was gradually relaxed and then lifted in all prefectures of Japan by 25 May 2020. However, the development of another major epidemic (the second wave) could not be prevented because of continued chains of transmission, especially in urban locations. The present study aimed to descriptively examine propagation of the COVID-19 epidemic in Japan with respect to time, age, space, and interventions implemented during the first and second waves. Using publicly available data, we calculated the effective reproduction number and its associations with the timing of measures imposed to suppress transmission. Finally, we crudely calculated the proportions of severe and fatal COVID-19 cases during the first and second waves. Our analysis identified key characteristics of COVID-19, including density dependence and also the age dependence in the risk of severe outcomes. We also identified that the effective reproduction number during the state of emergency was maintained below the value of 1 during the first wave
A hospital-related outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 associated with a novel variant Cal.20C (B.1.429) in Taiwan : transmission potential and outbreak containment under intensified contact tracing, January–February 2021
Objectives
A hospital-related cluster of 22 COVID-19 cases occurred in Taiwan in January–February 2021. Rigorous control measures were introduced and could only be relaxed once the outbreak was declared over. Each day after the apparent outbreak end, we estimated the risk of future cases occurring, to inform decision-making.
Methods
Probabilistic transmission networks were reconstructed and transmission parameters (the reproduction number R and overdispersion parameter k) were estimated. We estimated the reporting delay during the outbreak (Scenario 1). We also considered a counterfactual scenario with less effective interventions characterized by a longer reporting delay (Scenario 2). Each day, we estimated the risk of future cases under both scenarios.
Results
The values of R and k were estimated to be 1.30 (95% credible interval: 0.57,3.80) and 0.38 (0.12,1.20), respectively. The mean reporting delays considered were 2.5 days (Scenario 1) and 7.8 days (Scenario 2). The inferred probability of future cases occurring declined more quickly in Scenario 1 than Scenario 2.
Conclusions
Following outbreak containment, rigorous control measures allowed the outbreak to be declared over quickly. This highlights the need for effective interventions, not only to reduce cases during outbreaks but also to allow outbreaks to be declared over with confidence
Infectious disease risks among refugees from North Korea.
OBJECTIVES: The characteristics of disease in North Korea, including severe malnutrition and infectious disease risks, have not been openly and widely analyzed. This study was performed to estimate the risks of infectious diseases among refugees from North Korea. METHODS: A literature review of clinical studies among North Korean defectors was conducted to statistically estimate the risks of infectious diseases among North Korean subjects. RESULTS: A total of six groups of data from five publications covering the years 2004 to 2014 were identified. Tuberculosis and viral hepatitis appeared to be the two most common infectious diseases, especially among adult refugees. When comparing the risks of infectious diseases between North Korean and Syrian refugees, it is critical to remember that Plasmodium vivax malaria has been endemic in North Korea, while cutaneous leishmaniasis has frequently been seen among Syrian migrants. CONCLUSIONS: Valuable datasets from health surveys of defectors were reviewed. In addition to tuberculosis and viral hepatitis, which were found to be the two most common infectious diseases, a special characteristic of North Korean defectors was Plasmodium vivax malaria. This needs to be added to the list of differential diagnoses for pyretic patients
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Antibiotic stress selects against cooperation in the pathogenic bacterium Pseudomonas aeruginosa
Cheats are a pervasive threat to public goods production in natural and human communities, as they benefit from the commons without contributing to it. Although ecological antagonisms such as predation, parasitism, competition, and abiotic environmental stress play key roles in shaping population biology, it is unknown how such stresses generally affect the ability of cheats to undermine cooperation. We used theory and experiments to address this question in the pathogenic bacterium, Pseudomonas aeruginosa Although public goods producers were selected against in all populations, our competition experiments showed that antibiotics significantly increased the advantage of nonproducers. Moreover, the dominance of nonproducers in mixed cultures was associated with higher resistance to antibiotics than in either monoculture. Mathematical modeling indicates that accentuated costs to producer phenotypes underlie the observed patterns. Mathematical analysis further shows how these patterns should generalize to other taxa with public goods behaviors. Our findings suggest that explaining the maintenance of cooperative public goods behaviors in certain natural systems will be more challenging than previously thought. Our results also have specific implications for the control of pathogenic bacteria using antibiotics and for understanding natural bacterial ecosystems, where subinhibitory concentrations of antimicrobials frequently occur