Development of the global inflammatory bowel disease visualization of epidemiology studies in the 21st century (GIVES-21)

Abstract Background There is a rapid increase in the incidence of inflammatory bowel diseases (IBD) in newly industrialized countries, yet epidemiological data is incomplete. We herein report the methodology adopted to study the incidence of IBD in newly industrialized countries and to evaluate the effect of environmental factors including diet on IBD development. Methods Global IBD Visualization of Epidemiology Studies in the 21st Century (GIVES-21) is a population-based cohort of newly diagnosed persons with Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis in Asia, Africa, and Latin America to be followed prospectively for 12 months. New cases were ascertained from multiple sources and were entered into a secured online system. Cases were confirmed using standard diagnostic criteria. In addition, endoscopy, pathology and pharmacy records from each local site were searched to ensure completeness of case capture. Validated environmental and dietary questionnaires were used to determine exposure in incident cases prior to diagnosis. Results Through November 2022, 106 hospitals from 24 regions (16 Asia; 6 Latin America; 2 Africa) have joined the GIVES-21 Consortium. To date, over 290 incident cases have been reported. All patients have demographic data, clinical disease characteristics, and disease course data including healthcare utilization, medication history and environmental and dietary exposures data collected. We have established a comprehensive platform and infrastructure required to examine disease incidence, risk factors and disease course of IBD in the real-world setting. Conclusions The GIVES-21 consortium offers a unique opportunity to investigate the epidemiology of IBD and explores new clinical research questions on the association between environmental and dietary factors and IBD development in newly industrialized countries

TRENDS IN INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE INCIDENCE AND PREVALENCE ACROSS EPIDEMIOLOGIC STAGES: A GLOBAL SYSTEMATIC REVIEW WITH META-ANALYSIS

Abstract BACKGROUND Rising incidence and prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) observed historically in early-industrialized regions now also appear in newly-industrialized and emerging regions. The epidemiology of IBD has been proposed to progress across epidemiologic stages: 1. Emergence (low incidence and prevalence); 2. Acceleration in Incidence (rapid rising incidence); and 3. Compounding Prevalence (stabilizing incidence, rapid rising prevalence). AIM To gather real-world data on the incidence and prevalence of IBD and characterize global regions in each epidemiologic stage by meta-analyses. METHODS Two previous systematic reviews (database inception–2010; 2010–2016) were updated with a search of MEDLINE, Embase, PubMed, and Web of Science (2017–2023) to identify all population-based studies reporting the incidence or prevalence of Crohn’s disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC). International partners provided a secondary review of the included studies from their local regions. Incidence and prevalence rates (per 100,000 population), stratified by epidemiologic stage, were meta-analyzed to determine pooled rates with associated 95% confidence intervals (95%CI). A Cochrane Q test was used to investigate differences between epidemiologic stages for both CD and UC. RESULTS After assessing 1,250 manuscripts, a total of 491 studies (439 incidence, 228 prevalence) from 80 global regions spanning 1920-2022 were identified by the systematic review (Figure 1). All data identified with our search strategy are available to view in an open-access, online interactive data repository (https://gives21.shinyapps.io/dashboard/) created with Shiny for R. The pooled incidence of CD and UC per 100,000 person-years rose from 0.28 (95%CI: 0.21, 0.36) and 0.57 (95%CI: 0.47, 0.69) in Stage 1 to 2.13 (95%CI: 1.88, 2.42) and 4.05 (95%CI: 3.65, 4.50) in Stage 2 to 9.34 (95%CI: 8.73, 9.99) and 14.07 (95%CI: 13.09, 15.12) in Stage 3 (Table 1). Similarly, the pooled prevalence of CD and UC per 100,000 persons rose from 1.96 (95%CI: 1.41, 2.74) and 6.35 (95%CI: 4.45, 9.07) in Stage 1 to 22.18 (95%CI: 17.96, 27.38) and 45.36 (95%CI: 37.84, 54.38) in Stage 2 to 186.18 (95%CI: 163.18, 212.42) and 255.92 (95%CI: 230.60, 284.02) in Stage 3 (Table 1). Subgroup analysis confirmed differences in both incidence and prevalence for CD and UC between epidemiologic stages (p<0.001). DISCUSSION This is the most comprehensive systematic review on the incidence and prevalence of IBD. The amalgamated real-world data from this study highlight the rising global burden of IBD across three distinct epidemiologic stages: 1. Emergence, 2. Acceleration in Incidence, and 3. Compounding Prevalence. Figure 1 Systematic review study selection flowchart including a brief overview of two previous systematic reviews: Molodecky, N.A. et al. Gastroenterology. 2012;142(1):46-54 and Ng, S.C. et al. Lancet. 2017;390(10114):2769-78. Table 1 Pooled incidence and prevalence rates per 100,000 population for Crohn’s disease and ulcerative colitis. Cochrane Q subgroup analysis for difference in estimates between epidemiologic stages. † Represents the number of study-subregion groups used in the calculation of pooled rates and their 95% confidence intervals

Cortisol awakening response and developmental outcomes at 6–7 years in children born extremely preterm

BackgroundExtremely preterm (EPT) birth has been related to dysregulation of stress responses and behavioral/learning problems at school age. Early adverse experiences can blunt HPA axis reactivity. We hypothesized that an attenuated cortisol awakening response would be associated with developmental and behavioral problems at school age in EPT children.MethodsThis secondary analysis of a sub-cohort of the SUPPORT study included children born between 24 and 27 weeks, evaluated at 6-7 years with a neurodevelopmental battery and cortisol measures. Differences were tested between EPT and a term-born group. Relationships of cortisol awakening response to test scores were analyzed.ResultsCortisol was measured in 110 EPT and 29 term-born 6-7 year olds. Unadjusted WISC-IV and NEPSY-II scores were significantly worse among EPT children only. Conners Parent Rating Scale behavior scores were significantly worse among EPT children. After adjusting for covariates, blunted cortisol awakening responses were found to be associated with poorer scores on memory tests and greater problems with inattention for the EPT group (p &lt; 0.05) only.ConclusionsAmong children born EPT, we identified an association of blunted cortisol awakening response with memory and inattention problems. This may have implications related to stress reactivity and its relationship to learning problems in children born EPT.ClinicaltrialsGov idExtended Follow-up at School Age for the SUPPORT Neuroimaging and Neurodevelopmental Outcomes (NEURO) Cohort: NCT00233324.ImpactIn children born EPT, stress reactivity may have a relationship to learning problems. Cortisol awakening response should be a component for follow-up in EPT born children. Components of executive function, such as memory and attention, are related to stress reactivity

The surgical safety checklist and patient outcomes after surgery: a prospective observational cohort study, systematic review and meta-analysis

© 2017 British Journal of Anaesthesia Background: The surgical safety checklist is widely used to improve the quality of perioperative care. However, clinicians continue to debate the clinical effectiveness of this tool. Methods: Prospective analysis of data from the International Surgical Outcomes Study (ISOS), an international observational study of elective in-patient surgery, accompanied by a systematic review and meta-analysis of published literature. The exposure was surgical safety checklist use. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality and the secondary outcome was postoperative complications. In the ISOS cohort, a multivariable multi-level generalized linear model was used to test associations. To further contextualise these findings, we included the results from the ISOS cohort in a meta-analysis. Results are reported as odds ratios (OR) with 95% confidence intervals. Results: We included 44 814 patients from 497 hospitals in 27 countries in the ISOS analysis. There were 40 245 (89.8%) patients exposed to the checklist, whilst 7508 (16.8%) sustained ≥1 postoperative complications and 207 (0.5%) died before hospital discharge. Checklist exposure was associated with reduced mortality [odds ratio (OR) 0.49 (0.32–0.77); P\u3c0.01], but no difference in complication rates [OR 1.02 (0.88–1.19); P=0.75]. In a systematic review, we screened 3732 records and identified 11 eligible studies of 453 292 patients including the ISOS cohort. Checklist exposure was associated with both reduced postoperative mortality [OR 0.75 (0.62–0.92); P\u3c0.01; I2=87%] and reduced complication rates [OR 0.73 (0.61–0.88); P\u3c0.01; I2=89%). Conclusions: Patients exposed to a surgical safety checklist experience better postoperative outcomes, but this could simply reflect wider quality of care in hospitals where checklist use is routine

Prospective observational cohort study on grading the severity of postoperative complications in global surgery research

Background The Clavien–Dindo classification is perhaps the most widely used approach for reporting postoperative complications in clinical trials. This system classifies complication severity by the treatment provided. However, it is unclear whether the Clavien–Dindo system can be used internationally in studies across differing healthcare systems in high- (HICs) and low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). Methods This was a secondary analysis of the International Surgical Outcomes Study (ISOS), a prospective observational cohort study of elective surgery in adults. Data collection occurred over a 7-day period. Severity of complications was graded using Clavien–Dindo and the simpler ISOS grading (mild, moderate or severe, based on guided investigator judgement). Severity grading was compared using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). Data are presented as frequencies and ICC values (with 95 per cent c.i.). The analysis was stratified by income status of the country, comparing HICs with LMICs. Results A total of 44 814 patients were recruited from 474 hospitals in 27 countries (19 HICs and 8 LMICs). Some 7508 patients (16·8 per cent) experienced at least one postoperative complication, equivalent to 11 664 complications in total. Using the ISOS classification, 5504 of 11 664 complications (47·2 per cent) were graded as mild, 4244 (36·4 per cent) as moderate and 1916 (16·4 per cent) as severe. Using Clavien–Dindo, 6781 of 11 664 complications (58·1 per cent) were graded as I or II, 1740 (14·9 per cent) as III, 2408 (20·6 per cent) as IV and 735 (6·3 per cent) as V. Agreement between classification systems was poor overall (ICC 0·41, 95 per cent c.i. 0·20 to 0·55), and in LMICs (ICC 0·23, 0·05 to 0·38) and HICs (ICC 0·46, 0·25 to 0·59). Conclusion Caution is recommended when using a treatment approach to grade complications in global surgery studies, as this may introduce bias unintentionally

Critical care admission following elective surgery was not associated with survival benefit: prospective analysis of data from 27 countries

This was an investigator initiated study funded by Nestle Health Sciences through an unrestricted research grant, and by a National Institute for Health Research (UK) Professorship held by RP. The study was sponsored by Queen Mary University of London

Health-status outcomes with invasive or conservative care in coronary disease

BACKGROUND In the ISCHEMIA trial, an invasive strategy with angiographic assessment and revascularization did not reduce clinical events among patients with stable ischemic heart disease and moderate or severe ischemia. A secondary objective of the trial was to assess angina-related health status among these patients. METHODS We assessed angina-related symptoms, function, and quality of life with the Seattle Angina Questionnaire (SAQ) at randomization, at months 1.5, 3, and 6, and every 6 months thereafter in participants who had been randomly assigned to an invasive treatment strategy (2295 participants) or a conservative strategy (2322). Mixed-effects cumulative probability models within a Bayesian framework were used to estimate differences between the treatment groups. The primary outcome of this health-status analysis was the SAQ summary score (scores range from 0 to 100, with higher scores indicating better health status). All analyses were performed in the overall population and according to baseline angina frequency. RESULTS At baseline, 35% of patients reported having no angina in the previous month. SAQ summary scores increased in both treatment groups, with increases at 3, 12, and 36 months that were 4.1 points (95% credible interval, 3.2 to 5.0), 4.2 points (95% credible interval, 3.3 to 5.1), and 2.9 points (95% credible interval, 2.2 to 3.7) higher with the invasive strategy than with the conservative strategy. Differences were larger among participants who had more frequent angina at baseline (8.5 vs. 0.1 points at 3 months and 5.3 vs. 1.2 points at 36 months among participants with daily or weekly angina as compared with no angina). CONCLUSIONS In the overall trial population with moderate or severe ischemia, which included 35% of participants without angina at baseline, patients randomly assigned to the invasive strategy had greater improvement in angina-related health status than those assigned to the conservative strategy. The modest mean differences favoring the invasive strategy in the overall group reflected minimal differences among asymptomatic patients and larger differences among patients who had had angina at baseline