3,141 research outputs found
Data-driven prediction of thresholded time series of rainfall and self-organized criticality models
Data-Optimized Coronal Field Model: I. Proof of Concept
Deriving the strength and direction of the three-dimensional (3D) magnetic
field in the solar atmosphere is fundamental for understanding its dynamics.
Volume information on the magnetic field mostly relies on coupling 3D
reconstruction methods with photospheric and/or chromospheric surface vector
magnetic fields. Infrared coronal polarimetry could provide additional
information to better constrain magnetic field reconstructions. However,
combining such data with reconstruction methods is challenging, e.g., because
of the optical-thinness of the solar corona and the lack and limitations of
stereoscopic polarimetry. To address these issues, we introduce the
Data-Optimized Coronal Field Model (DOCFM) framework, a model-data fitting
approach that combines a parametrized 3D generative model, e.g., a magnetic
field extrapolation or a magnetohydrodynamic model, with forward modeling of
coronal data. We test it with a parametrized flux rope insertion method and
infrared coronal polarimetry where synthetic observations are created from a
known "ground truth" physical state. We show that this framework allows us to
accurately retrieve the ground truth 3D magnetic field of a set of force-free
field solutions from the flux rope insertion method. In observational studies,
the DOCFM will provide a means to force the solutions derived with different
reconstruction methods to satisfy additional, common, coronal constraints. The
DOCFM framework therefore opens new perspectives for the exploitation of
coronal polarimetry in magnetic field reconstructions and for developing new
techniques to more reliably infer the 3D magnetic fields that trigger solar
flares and coronal mass ejections.Comment: 14 pages, 6 figures; Accepted for publication in Ap
The Vela Pulsar and its Synchrotron Nebula
(Abridged) We present high-resolution Chandra X-ray observations of PSR
B0833-45, the 89 ms pulsar associated with the Vela supernova remnant. We have
acquired two observations separated by one month to search for changes in the
pulsar and its environment following an extreme glitch in its rotation
frequency. We find a well-resolved nebula with a toroidal morphology remarkably
similar to that observed in the Crab Nebula, along with an axial Crab-like jet.
Between the two observations the flux from the pulsar is found to be steady to
within 0.75%; the 3 sigma limit on the fractional increase in the pulsar's
X-ray flux is < ~10^-5 of the inferred glitch energy. We use this limit to
constrain parameters of glitch models and neutron star structure. We do find a
significant increase in the flux of the nebula's outer arc; if associated with
the glitch, the inferred propagation velocity is > 0.7c, similar to that seen
in the brightening of the Crab Nebula wisps. We propose an explanation for the
X-ray structure of the Vela synchrotron nebula based on a model originally
developed for the Crab Nebula. In a departure from the Crab model, the
magnetization parameter "sigma" of the Vela pulsar wind is allowed to be of
order unity; this is consistent with the simplest MHD transport of magnetic
field from the pulsar to the nebula, where B < 4 X 10^-4 G. We review effects
that may enhance the probability of alignment between the spin axis and space
velocity of a pulsar, and speculate that short-period, slowly moving pulsars
are just the ones best-suited to producing synchrotron nebulae with such
aligned structures.Comment: 16 pages with 8 figures, uses LaTex, emulateapj.sty. Refereed
version. To appear in The Astrophysical Journa
Contemplative Science: An Insider's Prospectus
This chapter describes the potential far‐reaching consequences of contemplative higher education for the fields of science and medicine
Prevalence of Small-scale Jets from the Networks of the Solar Transition Region and Chromosphere
As the interface between the Sun's photosphere and corona, the chromosphere
and transition region play a key role in the formation and acceleration of the
solar wind. Observations from the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph reveal
the prevalence of intermittent small-scale jets with speeds of 80-250 km/s from
the narrow bright network lanes of this interface region. These jets have
lifetimes of 20-80 seconds and widths of 300 km or less. They originate from
small-scale bright regions, often preceded by footpoint brightenings and
accompanied by transverse waves with ~20 km/s amplitudes. Many jets reach
temperatures of at least ~100000 K and constitute an important element of the
transition region structures. They are likely an intermittent but persistent
source of mass and energy for the solar wind.Comment: Figs 1-4 & S1-S5; Movies S1-S8; published in Science, including the
main text and supplementary materials. Reference: H. Tian, E. E. DeLuca, S.
R. Cranmer, et al., Science 346, 1255711 (2014
High-resolution Observations of the Shock Wave Behavior for Sunspot Oscillations with the Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph
We present the first results of sunspot oscillations from observations by the
Interface Region Imaging Spectrograph. The strongly nonlinear oscillation is
identified in both the slit-jaw images and the spectra of several emission
lines formed in the transition region and chromosphere. We first apply a single
Gaussian fit to the profiles of the Mgii 2796.35 {\AA}, Cii 1335.71 {\AA}, and
Si iv 1393.76 {\AA} lines in the sunspot. The intensity change is about 30%.
The Doppler shift oscillation reveals a sawtooth pattern with an amplitude of
about 10 km/s in Si iv. In the umbra the Si iv oscillation lags those of Cii
and Mgii by about 3 and 12 s, respectively. The line width suddenly increases
as the Doppler shift changes from redshift to blueshift. However, we
demonstrate that this increase is caused by the superposition of two emission
components. We then perform detailed analysis of the line profiles at a few
selected locations on the slit. The temporal evolution of the line core is
dominated by the following behavior: a rapid excursion to the blue side,
accompanied by an intensity increase, followed by a linear decrease of the
velocity to the red side. The maximum intensity slightly lags the maximum
blueshift in Si iv, whereas the intensity enhancement slightly precedes the
maximum blueshift in Mgii. We find a positive correlation between the maximum
velocity and deceleration, a result that is consistent with numerical
simulations of upward propagating magnetoacoustic shock waves.Comment: 5 figures, in ApJ. Correction of time lags (correct values are 3 and
12s) made on June 17 201
Screening and brief interventions for hazardous and harmful alcohol use in primary care: a cluster randomised controlled trial protocol
A large number of randomised controlled trials in health settings have consistently reported positive effects of brief intervention in terms of reductions in alcohol use. However,although alcohol misuse is common amongst offenders, there is limited evidence of alcohol brief interventions in the criminal justice field. This factorial pragmatic cluster randomised controlledtrial with Offender Managers (OMs) as the unit of randomisation will evaluate the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of different models of screening to identify hazardous and harmful drinkers in probation and different intensities of brief intervention to reduce excessive drinking in probation clients.
Ninety-six OMs from 9 probation areas across 3 English regions (the NorthEast Region (n = 4) and London and the South East Regions (n = 5)) will be recruited. OMs will berandomly allocated to one of three intervention conditions: a client information leaflet control condition (n = 32 OMs); 5-minute simple structured advice (n = 32 OMs) and 20-minute brieflifestyle counselling delivered by an Alcohol Health Worker (n = 32 OMs). Randomisation will be stratified by probation area. To test the relative effectiveness of different screening methods all OMs will be randomised to either the Modified Single Item Screening Questionnaire (M-SASQ) orthe Fast Alcohol Screening Test (FAST). There will be a minimum of 480 clients recruited into the trial. There will be an intention to treat analysis of study outcomes at 6 and 12 months postintervention. Analysis will include client measures (screening result, weekly alcohol consumption,alcohol-related problems, re-offending, public service use and quality of life) and implementation measures from OMs (the extent of screening and brief intervention beyond the minimum recruitment threshold will provide data on acceptability and feasibility of different models of brief intervention). We will also examine the practitioner and organisational factors associated with successful implementation.The trial will evaluate the impact of screening and brief alcohol intervention in routine probation work and therefore its findings will be highly relevant to probation teams and thus the criminal justice system in the UK
Active debris multi-removal mission concept based on hybrid propulsion
During the last 40 years, the mass of the artificial objects in orbit increased quite steadily at the rate of about 145 metric tons annually, leading to about 7000 metric tons. Most of the cross-sectional area and mass (97% in low Earth orbit) is concentrated in about 4500 intact abandoned objects plus a further 1000 operational spacecraft. Analyses have shown that the most effective mitigation strategy should focus on the disposal of objects with larger cross-sectional area and mass from densely populated orbits. Recent NASA results have shown that the worldwide adoption of mitigation measures in conjunction with active yearly removal of approximately 0.2–0.5% of the abandoned objects would stabilize the debris population. Targets would have typical masses between 500 and 1000 kg in the case of spacecraft, and of more than 1000 kg for rocket upper stages. In the case of Cosmos-3M second stages, more than one object is located nearly in the same orbital plane. This provides the opportunity of multi-removal missions, more suitable for yearly removal rate and cost reduction needs. This paper deals with the feasibility study of a mission for the active removal of large abandoned objects in low Earth orbit. In particular, a mission is studied in which the removal of two Cosmos-3M second stages, that are numerous in low Earth orbit, is considered. The removal system relies on a Chaser spacecraft which performs rendezvous maneuvers with the two targets. The first Cosmos-3M stage is captured and an autonomous de-orbiting kit, carried by the Chaser, is attached to it. The de-orbiting kit includes a Hybrid Propulsion Module, which is remotely ignited to perform stage disposal and controlled reentry after Chaser separation. Then, the second Cosmos-3M stage is captured and, in this case, the primary propulsion system of the Chaser is used for the disposal of the mated configuration. Critical mission aspects and related technologies are investigated at a preliminary level. In particular, an innovative electro-adhesive system for target capture, a mechanical system for the hard docking with the target and a hybrid propulsion system suitable for rendezvous, de-orbiting and controlled reentry operations are analyzed. This is performed on the basis of a preliminary mission profile, in which suitable rendezvous and disposal strategies have been considered and investigated by numerical analysis. A preliminary system mass budget is also performed, showing that the Chaser overall mass is about 1350 kg, including a primary propulsion system of about 300 kg and a de-orbiting kit with a mass of about 200 kg. This system is suitable to be launched with VEGA, actually the cheapest European space launcher
Aurora B potentiates Mps1 activation to ensure rapid checkpoint establishment at the onset of mitosis
The mitotic checkpoint prevents mitotic exit until all chromosomes are attached to spindle microtubules. Aurora B kinase indirectly invokes this checkpoint by destabilizing incorrect attachments; however, a more direct role remains controversial. In contrast, activity of the kinase Mps1 is indispensible for the mitotic checkpoint. Here we show that Aurora B and Hec1 are needed for efficient Mps1 recruitment to unattached kinetochores, allowing rapid Mps1 activation at the onset of mitosis. Live monitoring of cyclin B degradation reveals that this is essential to establish the mitotic checkpoint quickly at the start of mitosis. Delayed Mps1 activation and checkpoint establishment upon Aurora B inhibition or Hec1 depletion are rescued by tethering Mps1 to kinetochores, demonstrating that Mps1 recruitment is the primary role of Aurora B and Hec1 in mitotic checkpoint signalling. These data demonstrate a direct role for Aurora B in initiating the mitotic checkpoint rapidly at the onset of mitosis
- …