jHawanet: an open-source project for the implementation and assessment of multi-objective evolutionary algorithms on water distribution networks

[EN] Efficient design and management of water distribution networks is critical for conservation of water resources and minimization of both energy requirements and maintenance costs. Several computational routines have been proposed for the optimization of operational parameters that govern such networks. In particular, multi-objective evolutionary algorithms have proven to be useful both properly describing a network and optimizing its performance. Despite these computational advances, practical implementation of multi-objective optimization algorithms for water networks is an abstruse subject for researchers and engineers, particularly since efficient coupling between multi-objective algorithms and the hydraulic network model is required. Further, even if the coupling is successfully implemented, selecting the proper set of multi-objective algorithms for a given network, and addressing the quality of the obtained results (i.e., the approximate Pareto frontier) introduces additional complexities that further hinder the practical application of these algorithms. Here, we present an open-source project that couples the EPANET hydraulic network model with the jMetal framework for multi-objective optimization, allowing flexible implementation and comparison of different metaheuristic optimization algorithms through statistical quality assessment. Advantages of this project are discussed by comparing the performance of different multi-objective algorithms (i.e., NSGA-II, SPEA2, SMPSO) on case study water pump networks available in the literatureThis research and the APC were funded by the Comision Nacional de Investigacion Cientifica y Tecnologica (Conicyt), grant number 1180660Gutierrez-Bahamondes, JH.; Salgueiro, Y.; Silva-Rubio, SA.; Alsina, MA.; Mora-Melia, D.; Fuertes-Miquel, VS. (2019). jHawanet: an open-source project for the implementation and assessment of multi-objective evolutionary algorithms on water distribution networks. Water. 11(10):1-17. https://doi.org/10.3390/w111020181171110Wang, Y., Hua, Z., & Wang, L. (2018). Parameter Estimation of Water Quality Models Using an Improved Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimization. Water, 10(1), 32. doi:10.3390/w10010032Letting, L., Hamam, Y., & Abu-Mahfouz, A. (2017). Estimation of Water Demand in Water Distribution Systems Using Particle Swarm Optimization. Water, 9(8), 593. doi:10.3390/w9080593Ngamalieu-Nengoue, U. A., Martínez-Solano, F. J., Iglesias-Rey, P. L., & Mora-Meliá, D. (2019). Multi-Objective Optimization for Urban Drainage or Sewer Networks Rehabilitation through Pipes Substitution and Storage Tanks Installation. Water, 11(5), 935. doi:10.3390/w11050935Morley, M. ., Atkinson, R. ., Savić, D. ., & Walters, G. . (2001). GAnet: genetic algorithm platform for pipe network optimisation. Advances in Engineering Software, 32(6), 467-475. doi:10.1016/s0965-9978(00)00107-1Van Thienen, P., & Vertommen, I. (2015). Gondwana: A Generic Optimization Tool for Drinking Water Distribution Systems Design and Operation. Procedia Engineering, 119, 1212-1220. doi:10.1016/j.proeng.2015.08.978Mala-Jetmarova, H., Sultanova, N., & Savic, D. (2017). Lost in optimisation of water distribution systems? A literature review of system operation. Environmental Modelling & Software, 93, 209-254. doi:10.1016/j.envsoft.2017.02.009Durillo, J. J., & Nebro, A. J. (2011). jMetal: A Java framework for multi-objective optimization. Advances in Engineering Software, 42(10), 760-771. doi:10.1016/j.advengsoft.2011.05.014Ravber, M., Mernik, M., & Črepinšek, M. (2017). The impact of Quality Indicators on the rating of Multi-objective Evolutionary Algorithms. Applied Soft Computing, 55, 265-275. doi:10.1016/j.asoc.2017.01.03

Two-Stage Multi-Objective Meta-Heuristics for Environmental and Cost-Optimal Energy Refurbishment at District Level

Energy efficiency and environmental performance optimization at the district level are following an upward trend mostly triggered by minimizing the Global Warming Potential (GWP) to 20% by 2020 and 40% by 2030 settled by the European Union (EU) compared with 1990 levels. This paper advances over the state of the art by proposing two novel multi-objective algorithms, named Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm (NSGA-II) and Multi-Objective Harmony Search (MOHS), aimed at achieving cost-effective energy refurbishment scenarios and allowing at district level the decision-making procedure. This challenge is not trivial since the optimisation process must provide feasible solutions for a simultaneous environmental and economic assessment at district scale taking into consideration highly demanding real-based constraints regarding district and buildings’ specific requirements. Consequently, in this paper, a two-stage optimization methodology is proposed in order to reduce the energy demand and fossil fuel consumption with an affordable investment cost at building level and minimize the total payback time while minimizing the GWP at district level. Aimed at demonstrating the effectiveness of the proposed two-stage multi-objective approaches, this work presents simulation results at two real district case studies in Donostia-San Sebastian (Spain) for which up to a 30% of reduction of GWP at district level is obtained for a Payback Time (PT) of 2–3 years.Part of this work has been developed from results obtained during the H2020 “Optimised Energy Efficient Design Platform for Refurbishment at District Level” (OptEEmAL) project, Grant No. 680676

A decision support methodology to enhance the competitiveness of the Turkish automotive industry

This is the post-print (final draft post-refereeing) version of the article. Copyright @ 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.Three levels of competitiveness affect the success of business enterprises in a globally competitive environment: the competitiveness of the company, the competitiveness of the industry in which the company operates and the competitiveness of the country where the business is located. This study analyses the competitiveness of the automotive industry in association with the national competitiveness perspective using a methodology based on Bayesian Causal Networks. First, we structure the competitiveness problem of the automotive industry through a synthesis of expert knowledge in the light of the World Economic Forum’s competitiveness indicators. Second, we model the relationships among the variables identified in the problem structuring stage and analyse these relationships using a Bayesian Causal Network. Third, we develop policy suggestions under various scenarios to enhance the national competitive advantages of the automotive industry. We present an analysis of the Turkish automotive industry as a case study. It is possible to generalise the policy suggestions developed for the case of Turkish automotive industry to the automotive industries in other developing countries where country and industry competitiveness levels are similar to those of Turkey

Application of computational intelligence to explore and analyze system architecture and design alternatives

Systems Engineering involves the development or improvement of a system or process from effective need to a final value-added solution. Rapid advances in technology have led to development of sophisticated and complex sensor-enabled, remote, and highly networked cyber-technical systems. These complex modern systems present several challenges for systems engineers including: increased complexity associated with integration and emergent behavior, multiple and competing design metrics, and an expansive design parameter solution space. This research extends the existing knowledge base on multi-objective system design through the creation of a framework to explore and analyze system design alternatives employing computational intelligence. The first research contribution is a hybrid fuzzy-EA model that facilitates the exploration and analysis of possible SoS configurations. The second contribution is a hybrid neural network-EA in which the EA explores, analyzes, and evolves the neural network architecture and weights. The third contribution is a multi-objective EA that examines potential installation (i.e. system) infrastructure repair strategies. The final contribution is the introduction of a hierarchical multi-objective evolutionary algorithm (MOEA) framework with a feedback mechanism to evolve and simultaneously evaluate competing subsystem and system level performance objectives. Systems architects and engineers can utilize the frameworks and approaches developed in this research to more efficiently explore and analyze complex system design alternatives --Abstract, page iv

Intelligent systems in manufacturing: current developments and future prospects

Global competition and rapidly changing customer requirements are demanding increasing changes in manufacturing environments. Enterprises are required to constantly redesign their products and continuously reconfigure their manufacturing systems. Traditional approaches to manufacturing systems do not fully satisfy this new situation. Many authors have proposed that artificial intelligence will bring the flexibility and efficiency needed by manufacturing systems. This paper is a review of artificial intelligence techniques used in manufacturing systems. The paper first defines the components of a simplified intelligent manufacturing systems (IMS), the different Artificial Intelligence (AI) techniques to be considered and then shows how these AI techniques are used for the components of IMS

A holistic multi-methodology for sustainable renovation

A review of the barriers for building renovation has revealed a lack of methodologies, which can promote sustainability objectives and assist various stakeholders during the design stage of building renovation/retrofitting projects. The purpose of this paper is to develop a Holistic Multi-methodology for Sustainable Renovation, which aims to deal with complexity of renovation projects. It provides a framework through which to involve the different stakeholders in the design process to improve group learning and group decision-making, and hence make the building renovation design process more robust and efficient. Therefore, the paper discusses the essence of multifaceted barriers in building renovation regarding cultural changes and technological/physical changes. The outcome is a proposal for a multi-methodology framework, which is developed by introducing, evaluating and mixing methods from Soft Systems Methodologies (SSM) with Multiple Criteria Decision Making (MCDM). The potential of applying the proposed methodology in renovation projects is demonstrated through a case study

How to Evaluate Solutions in Pareto-based Search-Based Software Engineering? A Critical Review and Methodological Guidance

With modern requirements, there is an increasing tendency of considering multiple objectives/criteria simultaneously in many Software Engineering (SE) scenarios. Such a multi-objective optimization scenario comes with an important issue -- how to evaluate the outcome of optimization algorithms, which typically is a set of incomparable solutions (i.e., being Pareto non-dominated to each other). This issue can be challenging for the SE community, particularly for practitioners of Search-Based SE (SBSE). On one hand, multi-objective optimization could still be relatively new to SE/SBSE researchers, who may not be able to identify the right evaluation methods for their problems. On the other hand, simply following the evaluation methods for general multi-objective optimization problems may not be appropriate for specific SE problems, especially when the problem nature or decision maker's preferences are explicitly/implicitly available. This has been well echoed in the literature by various inappropriate/inadequate selection and inaccurate/misleading use of evaluation methods. In this paper, we first carry out a systematic and critical review of quality evaluation for multi-objective optimization in SBSE. We survey 717 papers published between 2009 and 2019 from 36 venues in seven repositories, and select 95 prominent studies, through which we identify five important but overlooked issues in the area. We then conduct an in-depth analysis of quality evaluation indicators/methods and general situations in SBSE, which, together with the identified issues, enables us to codify a methodological guidance for selecting and using evaluation methods in different SBSE scenarios.Comment: This paper has been accepted by IEEE Transactions on Software Engineering, available as full OA: https://ieeexplore.ieee.org/document/925218

Forecasting Long-Term Government Bond Yields: An Application of Statistical and AI Models

This paper evaluates several artificial intelligence and classical algorithms on their ability of forecasting the monthly yield of the US 10-year Treasury bonds from a set of four economic indicators. Due to the complexity of the prediction problem, the task represents a challenging test for the algorithms under evaluation. At the same time, the study is of particular significance for the important and paradigmatic role played by the US market in the world economy. Four data-driven artificial intelligence approaches are considered, namely, a manually built fuzzy logic model, a machine learned fuzzy logic model, a self-organising map model and a multi-layer perceptron model. Their performance is compared with the performance of two classical approaches, namely, a statistical ARIMA model and an econometric error correction model. The algorithms are evaluated on a complete series of end-month US 10-year Treasury bonds yields and economic indicators from 1986:1 to 2004:12. In terms of prediction accuracy and reliability of the modelling procedure, the best results are obtained by the three parametric regression algorithms, namely the econometric, the statistical and the multi-layer perceptron model. Due to the sparseness of the learning data samples, the manual and the automatic fuzzy logic approaches fail to follow with adequate precision the range of variations of the US 10-year Treasury bonds. For similar reasons, the self-organising map model gives an unsatisfactory performance. Analysis of the results indicates that the econometric model has a slight edge over the statistical and the multi-layer perceptron models. This suggests that pure data-driven induction may not fully capture the complicated mechanisms ruling the changes in interest rates. Overall, the prediction accuracy of the best models is only marginally better than the prediction accuracy of a basic one-step lag predictor. This result highlights the difficulty of the modelling task and, in general, the difficulty of building reliable predictors for financial markets.interest rates; forecasting; neural networks; fuzzy logic.

Optimization Techniques for Automated Software Test Data Generation

Esta tesis propone una variedad de contribuciones al campo de pruebas evolutivas. Hemos abarcados un amplio rango de aspectos relativos a las pruebas de programas: código fuente procedimental y orientado a objetos, paradigmas estructural y funcional, problemas mono-objetivo y multi-objetivo, casos de prueba aislados y secuencias de pruebas, y trabajos teóricos y experimentales. En relación a los análisis llevados a cabo, hemos puesto énfasis en el análisis estadístico de los resultados para evaluar la significancia práctica de los resultados. En resumen, las principales contribuciones de la tesis son: Definición de una nueva medida de distancia para el operador instanceof en programas orientados a objetos: En este trabajo nos hemos centrado en un aspecto relacionado con el software orientado a objetos, la herencia, para proponer algunos enfoques que pueden ayudar a guiar la búsqueda de datos de prueba en el contexto de las pruebas evolutivas. En particular, hemos propuesto una medida de distancia para computar la distancia de ramas en presencia del operador instanceof en programas Java. También hemos propuesto dos operadores de mutación que modifican las soluciones candidatas basadas en la medida de distancia definida. Definición de una nueva medida de complejidad llamada ``Branch Coverage Expectation'': En este trabajo nos enfrentamos a la complejidad de pruebas desde un punto de vista original: un programa es más complejo si es más difícil de probar de forma automática. Consecuentemente, definimos la ``Branch Coverage Expectation'' para proporcionar conocimiento sobre la dificultad de probar programas. La fundación de esta medida se basa en el modelo de Markov del programa. El modelo de Markov proporciona fundamentos teóricos. El análisis de esta medida indica que está más correlacionada con la cobertura de rama que las otras medidas de código estáticas. Esto significa que esto es un buen modo de estimar la dificultad de probar un programa. Predicción teórica del número de casos de prueba necesarios para cubrir un porcentaje concreto de un programa: Nuestro modelo de Markov del programa puede ser usado para proporcionar una estimación del número de casos de prueba necesarios para cubrir un porcentaje concreto del programa. Hemos comparado nuestra predicción teórica con la media de las ejecuciones reales de un generador de datos de prueba. Este modelo puede ayudar a predecir la evolución de la fase de pruebas, la cual consecuentemente puede ahorrar tiempo y coste del proyecto completo. Esta predicción teórica podría ser también muy útil para determinar el porcentaje del programa cubierto dados un número de casos de prueba. Propuesta de enfoques para resolver el problema de generación de datos de prueba multi-objetivo: En ese capítulo estudiamos el problema de la generación multi-objetivo con el fin de analizar el rendimiento de un enfoque directo multi-objetivo frente a la aplicación de un algoritmo mono-objetivo seguido de una selección de casos de prueba. Hemos evaluado cuatro algoritmos multi-objetivo (MOCell, NSGA-II, SPEA2, y PAES) y dos algoritmos mono-objetivo (GA y ES), y dos algoritmos aleatorios. En términos de convergencia hacía el frente de Pareto óptimo, GA y MOCell han sido los mejores resolutores en nuestra comparación. Queremos destacar que el enfoque mono-objetivo, donde se ataca cada rama por separado, es más efectivo cuando el programa tiene un grado de anidamiento alto. Comparativa de diferentes estrategias de priorización en líneas de productos y árboles de clasificación: En el contexto de pruebas funcionales hemos tratado el tema de la priorización de casos de prueba con dos representaciones diferentes, modelos de características que representan líneas de productos software y árboles de clasificación. Hemos comparado cinco enfoques relativos al método de clasificación con árboles y dos relativos a líneas de productos, cuatro de ellos propuestos por nosotros. Los resultados nos indican que las propuestas para ambas representaciones basadas en un algoritmo genético son mejores que el resto en la mayoría de escenarios experimentales, es la mejor opción cuando tenemos restricciones de tiempo o coste. Definición de la extensión del método de clasificación con árbol para la generación de secuencias de pruebas: Hemos definido formalmente esta extensión para la generación de secuencias de pruebas que puede ser útil para la industria y para la comunidad investigadora. Sus beneficios son claros ya que indudablemente el coste de situar el artefacto bajo pruebas en el siguiente estado no es necesario, a la vez que reducimos significativamente el tamaño de la secuencia utilizando técnicas metaheurísticas. Particularmente nuestra propuesta basada en colonias de hormigas es el mejor algoritmo de la comparativa, siendo el único algoritmo que alcanza la cobertura máxima para todos los modelos y tipos de cobertura. Exploración del efecto de diferentes estrategias de seeding en el cálculo de frentes de Pareto óptimos en líneas de productos: Estudiamos el comportamiento de algoritmos clásicos multi-objetivo evolutivos aplicados a las pruebas por pares de líneas de productos. El grupo de algoritmos fue seleccionado para cubrir una amplia y diversa gama de técnicas. Nuestra evaluación indica claramente que las estrategias de seeding ayudan al proceso de búsqueda de forma determinante. Cuanta más información se disponga para crear esta población inicial, mejores serán los resultados obtenidos. Además, gracias al uso de técnicas multi-objetivo podemos proporcionar un conjunto de pruebas adecuado mayor o menor, en resumen, que mejor se adapte a sus restricciones económicas o tecnológicas. Propuesta de técnica exacta para la computación del frente de Pareto óptimo en líneas de productos software: Hemos propuesto un enfoque exacto para este cálculo en el caso multi-objetivo con cobertura paiwise. Definimos un programa lineal 0-1 y un algoritmo basado en resolutores SAT para obtener el frente de Pareto verdadero. La evaluación de los resultados nos indica que, a pesar de ser un fantástico método para el cálculo de soluciones óptimas, tiene el inconveniente de la escalabilidad, ya que para modelos grandes el tiempo de ejecución sube considerablemente. Tras realizar un estudio de correlaciones, confirmamos nuestras sospechas, existe una alta correlación entre el tiempo de ejecución y el número de productos denotado por el modelo de características del programa