Spatio-temporal analysis of the urban–rural gradient structure: an application in a Mediterranean mountainous landscape (Serra San Bruno, Italy)

Abstract. The most recent and significant transformations of European landscapes have occurred as a consequence of a series of diffused, varied and often connected phenomena: urban growth and sprawl, agricultural intensification in the most suitable areas and agricultural abandonment in marginal areas. These phenomena can affect dramatically ecosystems' structure and functioning, since certain modifications cause landscape fragmentation while others tend to increase homogeneity. Thus, a thorough comprehension of the evolution trends of landscapes, in particular those linked to urban-rural relations, is crucial for a sustainable landscape planning. In this framework, the main objectives of the present paper are: (a) to investigate Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) transformations and dynamics that occurred over the period 1955–2006 in the municipality of Serra San Bruno (Calabria, Italy), an area particularly representative of the Mediterranean mountainous landscape; (b) to compare the settlement growth with the urban planning tools in charge in the study area; (c) to examine the relationship between urban–rural gradient, landscape metrics, demographic and physical variables; (d) to investigate the evolution of urban–rural gradient composition and configuration along significant axes of landscape changes. Data with a high level of detail (minimum mapping unit 0.2 ha) were obtained through the digitisation of historical aerial photographs and digital orthophotos identifying LULC classes according to the Corine Land Cover legend. The investigated period was divided into four significant time intervals, which were specifically analysed to detect LULC changes. Differently from previous studies, in the present research the spatio-temporal analysis of urban–rural gradient was performed through three subsequent steps: (1) kernel density analysis of settlements; (2) analysis of landscape structure by means of metrics calculated using a moving window method; (3) analysis of composition and configuration of the urban–rural gradient within three landscape profiles located along significant axes of LULC change. The use of thematic overlays and transition matrices enabled a precise identification of the LULC changes that had taken place over the examined period. As a result, a detailed description and mapping of the landscape dynamics were obtained. Furthermore, landscape profiling technique, using continuous data, allowed an innovative and valuable approach for analysing and interpreting urban–rural gradient structure over space and time

Spatio-temporal dynamics along the terrain gradient of diverse landscape

Land use (LU) land cover (LC) information at a temporal scale illustrates the physical coverage of the Earth’s terrestrial surface according to its use and provides the intricate information for effective planning and management activities.  LULC changes are stated as local and location specifc, collectively they act as drivers of global environmental changes. Understanding and predicting the impact of LULC change processes requires long term historical restorations and projecting into the future of land cover changes at regional to global scales. The present study aims at quantifying spatio temporal landscape dynamics along the gradient of varying terrains presented in the landscape by multi-data approach (MDA). MDA incorporates multi temporal satellite imagery with demographic data and other additional relevant data sets. The gradient covers three different types of topographic features, planes; hilly terrain and coastal region to account the signifcant role of elevation in land cover change. The seasonality is another aspect to be considered in the vegetation dominated landscapes; variations are accounted using multi seasonal data. Spatial patterns of the various patches are identifed and analysed using landscape metrics to understand the forest fragmentation. The prediction of likely changes in 2020 through scenario analysis has been done to account for the changes, considering the present growth rates and due to the proposed developmental projects. This work summarizes recent estimates on changes in cropland, agricultural intensifcation, deforestation, pasture expansion, and urbanization as the causal factors for LULC change

Landscape metrics and indices : an overview of their use in landscape research

The aim of this overview paper is to analyze the use of various landscape metrics and landscape indices for the characterization of landscape structure and various processes at both landscape and ecosystem level. We analyzed the appearance of the terms landscape metrics/indexes/indices in combination with seven main categories in the field of landscape ecology [1) use/selection and misuse of metrics, 2) biodiversity and habitat analysis; 3) water quality; 4) evaluation of the landscape pattern and its change; 5) urban landscape pattern, road network; 6) aesthetics of landscape; 7) management, planning and monitoring] in the titles, abstracts and/or key words of research papers published in international peer-reviewed scientific journals indexed by the Institute of Science Information (ISI) Web of Science (WoS) from 1994 to October 2008. Most of the landscape metrics and indices are used concerning biodiversity and habitat analysis, and also the evaluation of landscape pattern and its change (up to 25 articles per year). There are only a few articles on the relationships of landscape metrics/indices/indexes to social aspects and landscape perception

Spatio-temporal analysis of the urban–rural gradient structure: an application in a Mediterranean mountainous landscape (Serra San Bruno, Italy)

The most recent and significant transformations of European landscapes have occurred as a consequence of a series of diffused, varied and often connected phenomena: urban growth and sprawl, agricultural intensification in the most suitable areas and agricultural abandonment in marginal areas. These phenomena can affect dramatically ecosystems' structure and functioning, since certain modifications cause landscape fragmentation while others tend to increase homogeneity. Thus, a thorough comprehension of the evolution trends of landscapes, in particular those linked to urban-rural relations, is crucial for a sustainable landscape planning. In this framework, the main objectives of the present paper are: (a) to investigate Land Use/Land Cover (LULC) transformations and dynamics that occurred over the period 1955–2006 in the municipality of Serra San Bruno (Calabria, Italy), an area particularly representative of the Mediterranean mountainous landscape; (b) to compare the settlement growth with the urban planning tools in charge in the study area; (c) to examine the relationship between urban–rural gradient, landscape metrics, demographic and physical variables; (d) to investigate the evolution of urban–rural gradient composition and configuration along significant axes of landscape changes. Data with a high level of detail (minimum mapping unit 0.2 ha) were obtained through the digitisation of historical aerial photographs and digital orthophotos identifying LULC classes according to the Corine Land Cover legend. The investigated period was divided into four significant time intervals, which were specifically analysed to detect LULC changes. Differently from previous studies, in the present research the spatio-temporal analysis of urban–rural gradient was performed through three subsequent steps: (1) kernel density analysis of settlements; (2) analysis of landscape structure by means of metrics calculated using a moving window method; (3) analysis of composition and configuration of the urban–rural gradient within three landscape profiles located along significant axes of LULC change. The use of thematic overlays and transition matrices enabled a precise identification of the LULC changes that had taken place over the examined period. As a result, a detailed description and mapping of the landscape dynamics were obtained. Furthermore, landscape profiling technique, using continuous data, allowed an innovative and valuable approach for analysing and interpreting urban–rural gradient structure over space and time

Analyzing spatial patterns and dynamics of landscapes and ecosystem services – Exploring fine-scale data and indicators

In den vergangenen Jahrzehnten hat der Einfluss des Menschen auf Ökosysteme stark zugenommen. Tendenzen der Landnutzungsänderung, darunter die Ausdehnung von Städten und die Intensivierung der Landwirtschaft als Folge des Bevölkerungsanstiegs und damit des Nahrungsmittel- und Energiebedarfs, führen zu Umweltproblemen wie dem Verlust von Lebensraum und biologischer Vielfalt. Die zunehmende Verfügbarkeit von Daten mit feiner räumlicher Auflösung kann die Analyse von Merkmalen und Prozessen in Landschaften mit Hilfe von räumlichen Metriken unterstützen. Das Ziel dieser Arbeit ist es, feinskalige Daten und räumliche Metriken zu integrieren, um Indikatoren zur Messung und Bewertung von Landnutzung, Ökosystemdienstleistungen und deren räumlichen Mustern zu entwickeln und folgende Fragen zu beantworten: Wie können Landnutzungsänderungen und Ökosystemleistungen einer Landschaft beschrieben und analysiert werden? Und, wie kann die Landschaftsperspektive zu unserem Verständnis von Landsystemen beitragen? In zwei verschiedenen Weltregionen werden Landschaften mit Hilfe von Hexagonen als räumliche Einheiten untersucht. Diese dienen zur Analyse von räumlichen Mustern und Beziehungen zwischen verschiedenen Indikatoren (z. B. Ökosystemdienstleistungen) und die Konzeptualisierung von Prozessen auf Landschaftsebene. Obwohl sich einige Phänomene auf feinen räumlichen Skalen manifestieren, ist es für die Operationalisierung und Überwachung dieser Prozesse notwendig, ‚herauszuzoomen‘. Der Landschaftsansatz im Zusammenhang mit Ökosystemleistungen bietet wichtige Perspektiven im Hinblick auf Umweltauswirkungen, die durch Landnutzungsänderungen verursacht werden. Dabei können Indikatoren, die die ökologische, ökonomische und soziale Dimension verknüpfen, dazu beitragen, regionalspezifisches Wissen über Landschaftsdynamiken zu erlangen und dieses Wissen an Entscheidungsträger weiterzugeben, um gezielte Maßnahmen für ein nachhaltiges Landmanagement zu entwickeln.Over the last decades, anthropogenic pressures on ecosystems have been increasing. Trends of land use change including urban expansion and agricultural intensification driven by population increase, and hence food and energy demand, cause environmental challenges including habitat and biodiversity loss. Analyzing major trends of land use change requires additional metrics to capture local processes on a landscape spatial scale. Increasing fine-scale data availability can support analyses of characteristics and processes of landscapes with the help of spatial metrics, e.g. distance or density measures. The aims of this thesis are to incorporate fine-scale data and spatial metrics to develop indicators to measure and assess land-use, ecosystem services (ESS) and their spatial patterns to answer the following questions: How can land use change and ecosystem services of landscapes be described and analyzed? And how can the landscape perspective contribute to our understanding of land systems? The thesis includes three case studies in two different world regions: 1) characteristics of land use within a peri-urban gradient in Dar es Salaam, Tanzania, 2) characteristics of agricultural landscapes in Brandenburg, Germany, and 3) ecosystem service relationships at different spatial units and scales. In both regions, landscapes are investigated with hexagons as spatial units for the analysis of spatial patterns and relationships among different indicators (i.e., ESS) and conceptualize processes on a landscape level. The landscape approach in context with ecosystem services offers important perspectives regarding environmental impacts caused by land use change. Thereby, metrics integrating the ecological, economic, and social dimensions can support obtaining region-specific knowledge on landscape dynamics and transferring this knowledge to decision-makers to design targeted measures towards sustainable land management

Land Cover classification and change-detection analysis using multi-temporal remote sensed imagery and landscape metrics

AbstractRemote Sensing (RS) data and techniques, in combination with GIS and landscape metrics, are fundamental to analyse and characterise Land Cover (LC) and its changes. The case study here described, has been conducted in the area of Avellino (Southern Italy). To characterise the dynamics of changes during a fifty year period (1954–2004), a multitemporal set of images has been processed: aerial photos (1954), and Landsat scenes (MSS 1975, TM 1985 and 1993, ETM+ 2004). LC pattern and its changes are linked to both natural and social processes whose driving role has been clearly demonstrated in the case study: after the disastrous Irpinia earthquake (1980), specific zoning laws and urban plans have significantly addressed landscape change

Identifying urban growth patterns through land-use/land-cover spatio-temporal metrics: Simulation and analysis

[EN] The spatial pattern of urban growth determines how the physical, socio-economic and environmental characteristics of urban areas change over time. Monitoring urban areas for early identification of spatial patterns facilitates assuring their sustainable growth. In this paper, we assess the use of spatio-temporal metrics from land-use/land-cover (LULC) maps to identify growth patterns. We applied LULC change models to simulate different scenarios of urban growth spatial patterns (i.e., expansion, compact, dispersed, road-based and leapfrog) on various baseline urban forms (i.e., monocentric, polycentric, sprawl and linear). Then, we computed the spatio-temporal metrics for the simulated scenarios, selected the most informative metrics by applying discriminant analysis and classified the growth patterns using clustering methods. Two metrics, Weighted mean expansion and Weighted Euclidean distance, which account for the densification, compactness and concentration of urban growth, were the most efficient for classifying the five growth patterns, despite the influence of the baseline urban form. These metrics have the potential to identify growth patterns for monitoring and evaluating the management of developing urban areas.This work was supported by the the Spanish Ministerio de Economia y Competitividad and FEDER [CGL2016-80705-R].Sapena Moll, M.; Ruiz Fernández, LÁ. (2021). Identifying urban growth patterns through land-use/land-cover spatio-temporal metrics: Simulation and analysis. International Journal of Geographical Information Science. 35(2):375-396. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658816.2020.181746337539635

‘Pulsing’ cities and ‘swarming’ metropolises: A simplified, entropy-based approach to long-term urban development

Relocating activities along the fringe, re-designing economic functions, and re-modelling settlement structures across larger regions and broader spatial scales, reflect the inherent shift toward complex metropolitan systems. A refined understanding of urban change requires the adoption of a ‘complex thinking’ that focuses on adaptive behaviour of key agents and local development networks within highly volatile real estate markets. By linking ecology with regional science, our study investigates speed and spatial direction of building activity rates introducing original indicators of urban growth and an exploratory multivariate statistics of the evolving socioeconomic context in the Athens’ region, Greece. Having experienced spatially uncoordinated growth that often resulted in self-organised settlements and socially diversified neighbourhoods, Athens was a paradigmatic example of complex metropolitan systems in Europe. The empirical findings of our study identify non-linear stages of the metropolitan cycle supporting the assumption that long-term urban expansion is a recursive process, with irregular accelerations and decelerations, and a complex relationship between spatial and temporal dimensions. Urban transformations are associated with a broad spectrum of socioeconomic conditions. While playing a variable role over the last century, the most relevant factors in Athens’ growth include population dynamics, urban concentration, and wealth accumulation. Considering such dynamics, spatial planning is required to give adaptive responses to discontinuous socioeconomic development increasingly dependent on territorial aspects and environmental constraints

Effects of changing scales on landscape patterns and spatial modeling under urbanization

Spatial scale is an eternal topic in landscape pattern related analysis. This paper examined the spatial scale effect of landscape pattern changes and their relationships with urbanization indicators in Qingdao using a series of sampling blocks. The results indicated that, with the increasing block scale, the mean patch density and aggregation within a block decreased, whereas the diversity increased. Furthermore, the expanding scale amplified the mean change ratio of landscape metrics and eliminated local drastic changes and regional variation trends along an urban-to-rural gradient, which would be obvious at a finer block scale. Meanwhile, the adjusted R2 of GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) models increased with an increasing block size, especially when the block scale changed from 1 km to 5 km. Odd-numbered block scales performed better than even-numbered block scales