Lightweight Adaptation of Classifiers to Users and Contexts: Trends of the Emerging Domain

Intelligent computer applications need to adapt their behaviour to contexts and users, but conventional classifier adaptation methods require long data collection and/or training times. Therefore classifier adaptation is often performed as follows: at design time application developers define typical usage contexts and provide reasoning models for each of these contexts, and then at runtime an appropriate model is selected from available ones. Typically, definition of usage contexts and reasoning models heavily relies on domain knowledge. However, in practice many applications are used in so diverse situations that no developer can predict them all and collect for each situation adequate training and test databases. Such applications have to adapt to a new user or unknown context at runtime just from interaction with the user, preferably in fairly lightweight ways, that is, requiring limited user effort to collect training data and limited time of performing the adaptation. This paper analyses adaptation trends in several emerging domains and outlines promising ideas, proposed for making multimodal classifiers user-specific and context-specific without significant user efforts, detailed domain knowledge, and/or complete retraining of the classifiers. Based on this analysis, this paper identifies important application characteristics and presents guidelines to consider these characteristics in adaptation design

Using visualization, variable selection and feature extraction to learn from industrial data

Although the engineers of industry have access to process data, they seldom use advanced statistical tools to solve process control problems. Why this reluctance? I believe that the reason is in the history of the development of statistical tools, which were developed in the era of rigorous mathematical modelling, manual computation and small data sets. This created sophisticated tools. The engineers do not understand the requirements of these algorithms related, for example, to pre-processing of data. If algorithms are fed with unsuitable data, or parameterized poorly, they produce unreliable results, which may lead an engineer to turn down statistical analysis in general. This thesis looks for algorithms that probably do not impress the champions of statistics, but serve process engineers. This thesis advocates three properties in an algorithm: supervised operation, robustness and understandability. Supervised operation allows and requires the user to explicate the goal of the analysis, which allows the algorithm to discover results that are relevant to the user. Robust algorithms allow engineers to analyse raw process data collected from the automation system of the plant. The third aspect is understandability: the user must understand how to parameterize the model, what is the principle of the algorithm, and know how to interpret the results. The above criteria are justified with the theories of human learning. The basis is the theory of constructivism, which defines learning as construction of mental models. Then I discuss the theories of organisational learning, which show how mental models influence the behaviour of groups of persons. The next level discusses statistical methodologies of data analysis, and binds them to the theories of organisational learning. The last level discusses individual statistical algorithms, and introduces the methodology and the algorithms proposed by this thesis. This methodology uses three types of algorithms: visualization, variable selection and feature extraction. The goal of the proposed methodology is to reliably and understandably provide the user with information that is related to a problem he has defined interesting. The above methodology is illustrated by an analysis of an industrial case: the concentrator of the Hitura mine. This case illustrates how to define the problem with off-line laboratory data, and how to search the on-line data for solutions. A major advantage of algorithmic study of data is efficiency: the manual approach reported in the early took approximately six man months; the automated approach of this thesis created comparable results in few weeks.reviewe

Determining Solution Space Characteristics for Real-Time Strategy Games and Characterizing Winning Strategies

The underlying goal of a competing agent in a discrete real-time strategy (RTS) game is to defeat an adversary. Strategic agents or participants must define an a priori plan to maneuver their resources in order to destroy the adversary and the adversary\u27s resources as well as secure physical regions of the environment. This a priori plan can be generated by leveraging collected historical knowledge about the environment. This knowledge is then employed in the generation of a classification model for real-time decision-making in the RTS domain. The best way to generate a classification model for a complex problem domain depends on the characteristics of the solution space. An experimental method to determine solution space (search landscape) characteristics is through analysis of historical algorithm performance for solving the specific problem. We select a deterministic search technique and a stochastic search method for a priori classification model generation. These approaches are designed, implemented, and tested for a specific complex RTS game, Bos Wars. Their performance allows us to draw various conclusions about applying a competing agent in complex search landscapes associated with RTS games

Quantitative structure fate relationships for multimedia environmental analysis

Key physicochemical properties for a wide spectrum of chemical pollutants are unknown. This thesis analyses the prospect of assessing the environmental distribution of chemicals directly from supervised learning algorithms using molecular descriptors, rather than from multimedia environmental models (MEMs) using several physicochemical properties estimated from QSARs. Dimensionless compartmental mass ratios of 468 validation chemicals were compared, in logarithmic units, between: a) SimpleBox 3, a Level III MEM, propagating random property values within statistical distributions of widely recommended QSARs; and, b) Support Vector Regressions (SVRs), acting as Quantitative Structure-Fate Relationships (QSFRs), linking mass ratios to molecular weight and constituent counts (atoms, bonds, functional groups and rings) for training chemicals. Best predictions were obtained for test and validation chemicals optimally found to be within the domain of applicability of the QSFRs, evidenced by low MAE and high q2 values (in air, MAE≤0.54 and q2≥0.92; in water, MAE≤0.27 and q2≥0.92).Las propiedades fisicoquímicas de un gran espectro de contaminantes químicos son desconocidas. Esta tesis analiza la posibilidad de evaluar la distribución ambiental de compuestos utilizando algoritmos de aprendizaje supervisados alimentados con descriptores moleculares, en vez de modelos ambientales multimedia alimentados con propiedades estimadas por QSARs. Se han comparado fracciones másicas adimensionales, en unidades logarítmicas, de 468 compuestos entre: a) SimpleBox 3, un modelo de nivel III, propagando valores aleatorios de propiedades dentro de distribuciones estadísticas de QSARs recomendados; y, b) regresiones de vectores soporte (SVRs) actuando como relaciones cuantitativas de estructura y destino (QSFRs), relacionando fracciones másicas con pesos moleculares y cuentas de constituyentes (átomos, enlaces, grupos funcionales y anillos) para compuestos de entrenamiento. Las mejores predicciones resultaron para compuestos de test y validación correctamente localizados dentro del dominio de aplicabilidad de los QSFRs, evidenciado por valores bajos de MAE y valores altos de q2 (en aire, MAE≤0.54 y q2≥0.92; en agua, MAE≤0.27 y q2≥0.92)

E-Learning

Technology development, mainly for telecommunications and computer systems, was a key factor for the interactivity and, thus, for the expansion of e-learning. This book is divided into two parts, presenting some proposals to deal with e-learning challenges, opening up a way of learning about and discussing new methodologies to increase the interaction level of classes and implementing technical tools for helping students to make better use of e-learning resources. In the first part, the reader may find chapters mentioning the required infrastructure for e-learning models and processes, organizational practices, suggestions, implementation of methods for assessing results, and case studies focused on pedagogical aspects that can be applied generically in different environments. The second part is related to tools that can be adopted by users such as graphical tools for engineering, mobile phone networks, and techniques to build robots, among others. Moreover, part two includes some chapters dedicated specifically to e-learning areas like engineering and architecture

Proceedings of the 18th Irish Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Science

These proceedings contain the papers that were accepted for publication at AICS-2007, the 18th Annual Conference on Artificial Intelligence and Cognitive Science, which was held in the Technological University Dublin; Dublin, Ireland; on the 29th to the 31st August 2007. AICS is the annual conference of the Artificial Intelligence Association of Ireland (AIAI)

Corporate Bankruptcy Prediction

Bankruptcy prediction is one of the most important research areas in corporate finance. Bankruptcies are an indispensable element of the functioning of the market economy, and at the same time generate significant losses for stakeholders. Hence, this book was established to collect the results of research on the latest trends in predicting the bankruptcy of enterprises. It suggests models developed for different countries using both traditional and more advanced methods. Problems connected with predicting bankruptcy during periods of prosperity and recession, the selection of appropriate explanatory variables, as well as the dynamization of models are presented. The reliability of financial data and the validity of the audit are also referenced. Thus, I hope that this book will inspire you to undertake new research in the field of forecasting the risk of bankruptcy