Human reliability analysis-accounting for human actions and external factors through the project life cycle

Airplanes, ships, nuclear power plants and chemical production plants (including oil & gas facilities) are examples of industries that depend upon the interaction between operators and machines. Consequently, to assess the risks of those systems, not only the reliability of the technological components has to be accounted for, but also the ‘human model’. For this reason, engineers have been working together with psychologists and sociologists to understand cognitive functions and how the organisational context influences individual actions. Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) identifies and analyses the causes, consequences and contributions of human performance (including failures) in complex sociotechnical systems. Generally, HRA research is concentrated in modelling workers’ performance in the “sharp-end”, assessing the ones directly involved in handling the system, especially operators. However, in theory, a reliability analysis can be applied to any kind of human action, including those from designers and managers. This research will evaluate a way of conducting HRA in the design process, as previous research has demonstrated that design failure is the predominant contributor to human errors (Moura et al., 2016). Bayesian Network (BN) – a systematic way of learning from experience and incorporating new evidence (deterministic or probabilistic) – is proposed to model the complex relationships within cognitive functions, organisational and technological factors. Conditional probability tables have been obtained from a dataset of major accidents from different industry sectors (Moura et al. 2017), using a classification scheme developed by Hollnagel (1998) for an HRA method called CREAM – Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method. The model allows to infer which factors most influence human performance in different scenarios. Also, we will discuss if the model can be applied to any human actions through the project life cycle— since the design phase to the operational phase, including their management

Aerospace Medicine and Biology: A continuing Bibliography with Indexes

This bibliography lists 205 reports, articles, and other documents introduced into the NASA scientific and technical information system in October 1985

Safety and Reliability - Safe Societies in a Changing World

The contributions cover a wide range of methodologies and application areas for safety and reliability that contribute to safe societies in a changing world. These methodologies and applications include: - foundations of risk and reliability assessment and management - mathematical methods in reliability and safety - risk assessment - risk management - system reliability - uncertainty analysis - digitalization and big data - prognostics and system health management - occupational safety - accident and incident modeling - maintenance modeling and applications - simulation for safety and reliability analysis - dynamic risk and barrier management - organizational factors and safety culture - human factors and human reliability - resilience engineering - structural reliability - natural hazards - security - economic analysis in risk managemen

The Application of Mixed Reality Within Civil Nuclear Manufacturing and Operational Environments

This thesis documents the design and application of Mixed Reality (MR) within a nuclear manufacturing cell through the creation of a Digitally Assisted Assembly Cell (DAAC). The DAAC is a proof of concept system, combining full body tracking within a room sized environment and bi-directional feedback mechanism to allow communication between users within the Virtual Environment (VE) and a manufacturing cell. This allows for training, remote assistance, delivery of work instructions, and data capture within a manufacturing cell. The research underpinning the DAAC encompasses four main areas; the nuclear industry, Virtual Reality (VR) and MR technology, MR within manufacturing, and finally the 4 th Industrial Revolution (IR4.0). Using an array of Kinect sensors, the DAAC was designed to capture user movements within a real manufacturing cell, which can be transferred in real time to a VE, creating a digital twin of the real cell. Users can interact with each other via digital assets and laser pointers projected into the cell, accompanied by a built-in Voice over Internet Protocol (VoIP) system. This allows for the capture of implicit knowledge from operators within the real manufacturing cell, as well as transfer of that knowledge to future operators. Additionally, users can connect to the VE from anywhere in the world. In this way, experts are able to communicate with the users in the real manufacturing cell and assist with their training. The human tracking data fills an identified gap in the IR4.0 network of Cyber Physical System (CPS), and could allow for future optimisations within manufacturing systems, Material Resource Planning (MRP) and Enterprise Resource Planning (ERP). This project is a demonstration of how MR could prove valuable within nuclear manufacture. The DAAC is designed to be low cost. It is hoped this will allow for its use by groups who have traditionally been priced out of MR technology. This could help Small to Medium Enterprises (SMEs) close the double digital divide between themselves and larger global corporations. For larger corporations it offers the benefit of being low cost, and, is consequently, easier to roll out across the value chain. Skills developed in one area can also be transferred to others across the internet, as users from one manufacturing cell can watch and communicate with those in another. However, as a proof of concept, the DAAC is at Technology Readiness Level (TRL) five or six and, prior to its wider application, further testing is required to asses and improve the technology. The work was patented in both the UK (S. R EDDISH et al., 2017a), the US (S. R EDDISH et al., 2017b) and China (S. R EDDISH et al., 2017c). The patents are owned by Rolls-Royce and cover the methods of bi-directional feedback from which users can interact from the digital to the real and vice versa. Stephen Reddish Mixed Mode Realities in Nuclear Manufacturing Key words: Mixed Mode Reality, Virtual Reality, Augmented Reality, Nuclear, Manufacture, Digital Twin, Cyber Physical Syste

Human Reliability assessment in oil tanker operations

This research is carried out to improve Human Reliability Analysis (HRA) in oil tanker operations in general, to extend and enhance in specific Cognitive Reliability and Error Analysis Method (CREAM), with the aim of reducing human error and thus subsequently preventing oil tanker spills. It is concentrated on oil tanker operations to address the limitation of availability of human reliability data in the maritime domain. The continual occurrence of oil tanker spills, which was substantiated with analysis of historical data of oil tanker incidents/accidents from 1970 to 2008, provides a judicious reason to conduct this research. The critical review of Formal Safety Assessment (FSA) and HRA results in the development of a conceptual framework of HRA facilitating FSA and incorporating Human Organisational Factors (HOF), which addresses the shortcomings of the generic HRA and FSA methodologies that exist independently in the management of oil tankers to prevent oil spills. The CREAM is reviewed due to its prominent use in identifying the root causes of human error. However, its inability of providing solutions to an incident/accident investigation and robust quantification of human reliability features stimulates the development of an advanced CREAM and a human reliability quantification model using a combined Analytic Hierarchical Process (AHP) and fuzzy logic approach in this research. In addition to facilitating identification of the root causes of human error, the advanced CREAM also provides the solutions to a quantification model, which enables the development of HRA data in the maritime domain. Furthermore, lack of CREAM studies on relationships among Common Performance Conditions (CPCs) is addressed by proposing a Decision Making Trial and Evaluation Laboratory (DEMATEL) model, which allows for a comprehensive understanding of relationships and interdependencies among the CPCs. The model could also be used toappreciate and assimilate the relationships and interdependencies among human factor variables involved in other transportation systems and industrial fields. Finally, the research is concluded with an integrated AHP and fuzzy Technique for Order Preference by Similarity to the Ideal Solution (TOPSIS) model for determining the selection of an appropriate risk control option (RCO) while performing an incident/accident investigation by taking subjective judgments of decision makers into consideration. This research as a pioneer work in developing and applying advanced techniques to improve the generic CREAM in oil tanker operations establishes a foundation for future effort to improve the use of CREAM in other industries. The techniques developed can also be tailored to investigate and deal with an incident/accident effectively, resulting in the reduction of human error within the system management of any organisatio

Risk Management for the Future

A large part of academic literature, business literature as well as practices in real life are resting on the assumption that uncertainty and risk does not exist. We all know that this is not true, yet, a whole variety of methods, tools and practices are not attuned to the fact that the future is uncertain and that risks are all around us. However, despite risk management entering the agenda some decades ago, it has introduced risks on its own as illustrated by the financial crisis. Here is a book that goes beyond risk management as it is today and tries to discuss what needs to be improved further. The book also offers some cases

Process Resilience Analysis Framework for Design and Operations

Process plants are complex socio-technical systems that degrade gradually and change with advancing technology. This research deals with exploring and answering questions related to the uncertainties involved in the process systems, and their complexity. It aims to systematically integrate resilience in process design and operations through three different phases of prediction, survival, and recovery using a novel framework called Process Resilience Analysis Framework (PRAF). The analysis relies on simulation, data-driven models and optimization approach employing the resilience metrics developed in this research. In particular, an integrated method incorporating aspects of process operations, equipment maintenance, and process safety is developed for the following three phases: •Prediction: to find the feasible operating region under changing conditions using Bayesian approach, global sensitivity analysis, and robust simulation methods, •Survival: to determine optimal operations and maintenance strategies using simulation, Bayesian regression analysis, and optimization, and •Recovery: to develop a strategy for emergency barriers in abnormal situations using dynamic simulation, Bayesian analysis, and optimization. Examples of a batch reactor, and cooling tower operations process unit are used to illustrate the application of PRAF. The results demonstrate that PRAF is successful in capturing the interactions between the process operability characteristics, maintenance, and safety policy. The prediction phase analysis leads to good dynamic response and stability of operations. The survival phase helps in the reduction of unplanned shutdown and downtime. The recovery phase results in in reduced severity of consequences, and response time and overall enhanced recovery. Overall, PRAF achieves flexibility, controllability and reliability of the system, supports more informed decision-making and profitable process systems

Nuclear Power

The world of the twenty first century is an energy consuming society. Due to increasing population and living standards, each year the world requires more energy and new efficient systems for delivering it. Furthermore, the new systems must be inherently safe and environmentally benign. These realities of today's world are among the reasons that lead to serious interest in deploying nuclear power as a sustainable energy source. Today's nuclear reactors are safe and highly efficient energy systems that offer electricity and a multitude of co-generation energy products ranging from potable water to heat for industrial applications. The goal of the book is to show the current state-of-the-art in the covered technical areas as well as to demonstrate how general engineering principles and methods can be applied to nuclear power systems