Probabilistic Framework for Sensor Management

A probabilistic sensor management framework is introduced, which maximizes the utility of sensor systems with many different sensing modalities by dynamically configuring the sensor system in the most beneficial way. For this purpose, techniques from stochastic control and Bayesian estimation are combined such that long-term effects of possible sensor configurations and stochastic uncertainties resulting from noisy measurements can be incorporated into the sensor management decisions

Finite Impulse Response Filtering Algorithm with Adaptive Horizon Size Selection and Its Applications

It is known, that unlike the Kalman filter (KF) finite impulse response (FIR) filters allow to avoid the divergence and unsatisfactory object tracking connected with temporary perturbations and abrupt object changes. The main challenge is to provide the appropriate choice of a sliding window size for them. In this paper, the new finite impulse response (FIR) filtering algorithm with the adaptive horizon size selection is proposed. The algorithm uses the receding horizon optimal (RHOFIR) filter which receives estimates, an abrupt change detector and an adaptive recurrent mechanism for choosing the window size. Monotonicity and asymptotic properties of the estimation error covariance matrix and the RHOFIR filter gain are established. These results form a solid foundation for justifying the principal possibility to tune the filter gain using them and the developed adaptation mechanism. The proposed algorithm (the ARHOFIR filter) allows reducing the impact of disturbances by varying adaptively the sliding window size. The possibility of this follows from the fact that the window size affects the filter characteristics in different ways. The ARHOFIR filter chooses a large horizon size in the absence of abrupt disturbances and a little during the time intervals of their action. Due to this, it has better transient characteristics compared to the KF and RHOFIR filter at intervals where there is temporary uncertainty and may provide the same accuracy of estimates as the KF in their absence. By simulation, it is shown that the ARHOFIR filter is more robust than the KF and RHOFIR filter for the temporarily uncertain systems

Learning Dynamic Systems for Intention Recognition in Human-Robot-Cooperation

This thesis is concerned with intention recognition for a humanoid robot and investigates how the challenges of uncertain and incomplete observations, a high degree of detail of the used models, and real-time inference may be addressed by modeling the human rationale as hybrid, dynamic Bayesian networks and performing inference with these models. The key focus lies on the automatic identification of the employed nonlinear stochastic dependencies and the situation-specific inference

A multi-model ensemble Kalman filter for data assimilation and forecasting

Data assimilation (DA) aims to optimally combine model forecasts and observations that are both partial and noisy. Multi-model DA generalizes the variational or Bayesian formulation of the Kalman filter, and we prove that it is also the minimum variance linear unbiased estimator. Here, we formulate and implement a multi-model ensemble Kalman filter (MM-EnKF) based on this framework. The MM-EnKF can combine multiple model ensembles for both DA and forecasting in a flow-dependent manner; it uses adaptive model error estimation to provide matrix-valued weights for the separate models and the observations. We apply this methodology to various situations using the Lorenz96 model for illustration purposes. Our numerical experiments include multiple models with parametric error, different resolved scales, and different fidelities. The MM-EnKF results in significant error reductions compared to the best model, as well as to an unweighted multi-model ensemble, with respect to both probabilistic and deterministic error metrics.Comment: 23 pages, 10 figure