Pruning rules for optimal runway sequencing

This paper investigates runway sequencing for real world scenarios at one of the world's busiest airports, London Heathrow. Several pruning principles are introduced that enable significant reductions of the problem's average complexity, without compromising the optimality of the resulting sequences, nor compromising the modelling of important real world constraints and objectives. The pruning principles are generic and can be applied in a variety of heuristic, meta-heuristic or exact algorithms. They could also be applied to different runway configurations, as well as to different variants of the machine scheduling problem with sequence dependent setup times, the generic variant of the runway sequencing problem in this paper. They have been integrated into a dynamic program for runway sequencing, which has been shown to be able to generate optimal sequences for large scale problems at an extremely low computational cost, whilst considering complex non-linear and non-convex objective functions that offer significant flexibility to model real world preferences and real world constraints. The results shown here counter the proliferation of papers that claim that runway sequencing problems are too complex to solve exactly and therefore attempt to solve them heuristically

Finding optimal alternatives based on efficient comparative preference inference

Choosing the right or the best option is often a demanding and challenging task for the user (e.g., a customer in an online retailer) when there are many available alternatives. In fact, the user rarely knows which offering will provide the highest value. To reduce the complexity of the choice process, automated recommender systems generate personalized recommendations. These recommendations take into account the preferences collected from the user in an explicit (e.g., letting users express their opinion about items) or implicit (e.g., studying some behavioral features) way. Such systems are widespread; research indicates that they increase the customers' satisfaction and lead to higher sales. Preference handling is one of the core issues in the design of every recommender system. This kind of system often aims at guiding users in a personalized way to interesting or useful options in a large space of possible options. Therefore, it is important for them to catch and model the user's preferences as accurately as possible. In this thesis, we develop a comparative preference-based user model to represent the user's preferences in conversational recommender systems. This type of user model allows the recommender system to capture several preference nuances from the user's feedback. We show that, when applied to conversational recommender systems, the comparative preference-based model is able to guide the user towards the best option while the system is interacting with her. We empirically test and validate the suitability and the practical computational aspects of the comparative preference-based user model and the related preference relations by comparing them to a sum of weights-based user model and the related preference relations. Product configuration, scheduling a meeting and the construction of autonomous agents are among several artificial intelligence tasks that involve a process of constrained optimization, that is, optimization of behavior or options subject to given constraints with regards to a set of preferences. When solving a constrained optimization problem, pruning techniques, such as the branch and bound technique, point at directing the search towards the best assignments, thus allowing the bounding functions to prune more branches in the search tree. Several constrained optimization problems may exhibit dominance relations. These dominance relations can be particularly useful in constrained optimization problems as they can instigate new ways (rules) of pruning non optimal solutions. Such pruning methods can achieve dramatic reductions in the search space while looking for optimal solutions. A number of constrained optimization problems can model the user's preferences using the comparative preferences. In this thesis, we develop a set of pruning rules used in the branch and bound technique to efficiently solve this kind of optimization problem. More specifically, we show how to generate newly defined pruning rules from a dominance algorithm that refers to a set of comparative preferences. These rules include pruning approaches (and combinations of them) which can drastically prune the search space. They mainly reduce the number of (expensive) pairwise comparisons performed during the search while guiding constrained optimization algorithms to find optimal solutions. Our experimental results show that the pruning rules that we have developed and their different combinations have varying impact on the performance of the branch and bound technique

Methodological and empirical challenges in modelling residential location choices

The modelling of residential locations is a key element in land use and transport planning. There are significant empirical and methodological challenges inherent in such modelling, however, despite recent advances both in the availability of spatial datasets and in computational and choice modelling techniques. One of the most important of these challenges concerns spatial aggregation. The housing market is characterised by the fact that it offers spatially and functionally heterogeneous products; as a result, if residential alternatives are represented as aggregated spatial units (as in conventional residential location models), the variability of dwelling attributes is lost, which may limit the predictive ability and policy sensitivity of the model. This thesis presents a modelling framework for residential location choice that addresses three key challenges: (i) the development of models at the dwelling-unit level, (ii) the treatment of spatial structure effects in such dwelling-unit level models, and (iii) problems associated with estimation in such modelling frameworks in the absence of disaggregated dwelling unit supply data. The proposed framework is applied to the residential location choice context in London. Another important challenge in the modelling of residential locations is the choice set formation problem. Most models of residential location choices have been developed based on the assumption that households consider all available alternatives when they are making location choices. Due the high search costs associated with the housing market, however, and the limited capacity of households to process information, the validity of this assumption has been an on-going debate among researchers. There have been some attempts in the literature to incorporate the cognitive capacities of households within discrete choice models of residential location: for instance, by modelling households’ choice sets exogenously based on simplifying assumptions regarding their spatial search behaviour (e.g., an anchor-based search strategy) and their characteristics. By undertaking an empirical comparison of alternative models within the context of residential location choice in the Greater London area this thesis investigates the feasibility and practicality of applying deterministic choice set formation approaches to capture the underlying search process of households. The thesis also investigates the uncertainty of choice sets in residential location choice modelling and proposes a simplified probabilistic choice set formation approach to model choice sets and choices simultaneously. The dwelling-level modelling framework proposed in this research is practice-ready and can be used to estimate residential location choice models at the level of dwelling units without requiring independent and disaggregated dwelling supply data. The empirical comparison of alternative exogenous choice set formation approaches provides a guideline for modellers and land use planners to avoid inappropriate choice set formation approaches in practice. Finally, the proposed simplified choice set formation model can be applied to model the behaviour of households in online real estate environments.Open Acces

On Graphical Modeling of Preference and Importance

In recent years, CP-nets have emerged as a useful tool for supporting preference elicitation, reasoning, and representation. CP-nets capture and support reasoning with qualitative conditional preference statements, statements that are relatively natural for users to express. In this paper, we extend the CP-nets formalism to handle another class of very natural qualitative statements one often uses in expressing preferences in daily life - statements of relative importance of attributes. The resulting formalism, TCP-nets, maintains the spirit of CP-nets, in that it remains focused on using only simple and natural preference statements, uses the ceteris paribus semantics, and utilizes a graphical representation of this information to reason about its consistency and to perform, possibly constrained, optimization using it. The extra expressiveness it provides allows us to better model tradeoffs users would like to make, more faithfully representing their preferences

Constrained domain maximum likelihood estimation and the loss function in statistical pattern recognition

In this thesis we present a new estimation algorithm for statistical models which does not incurs in the over-trainning problems. This new estimation techinque, the so-called, constrained domain maximum likelihood estimation (CDMLE) holds all the theoretical properties of the maximum likelihood estimation and furthermore it does not provides overtrained parameter sets. On the other hand, the impliations of the the 0-1 loss function assumption are analysed in the pattern recognition tasks. Specifically, more versatile functions are designed without increasing the optimal classification rule costs. This approach is applied to the statistical machine translation problem.Andrés Ferrer, J. (2008). Constrained domain maximum likelihood estimation and the loss function in statistical pattern recognition. http://hdl.handle.net/10251/13638Archivo delegad

Conditional preference networks: efficient dominance testing and learning

Modelling and reasoning about preference is necessary for applications such as recommendation and decision support systems. Such systems are becoming increasingly prevalent in all aspects of our daily lives as technology advances. Thus, preference representation is a wide area of interest within the Artificial Intelligence community. Conditional preference networks, or CP-nets, are one of the most popular models for representing a person's preference structure. In this thesis, we address two issues with this model that make it difficult to utilise in practice. First, answering dominance queries efficiently. Dominance queries ask for the relative preference between a given pair of outcomes. Such queries are natural and essential for effectively reasoning about a person's preferences. However, they are complex to answer given a CP-net representation of preference. Second, learning a person's CP-net from observational data. In order to utilise a CP-net representation of a person's preferences, we must first determine the correct model. As direct elicitation is not always possible or practical, we must be able to learn CP-nets passively from the data we can observe. We provide two distinct methods of improving dominance testing efficiency for CP-nets. The first utilises a quantitative representation of preference in order to prune the associated search tree. The second reduces the size of a dominance testing problem by preprocessing the CP-net. Both methods are shown experimentally to significantly improve dominance testing efficiency. Furthermore, both are shown to outperform existing methods. These techniques can be combined with one another, and with the existing methods, in order to further improve efficiency. We also introduce a new, score-based learning technique for CP-nets. Most existing work on CP-net learning uses pairwise outcome preferences as data. However, such preferences are often impossible to observe passively from user actions, particularly in online settings, where users typically choose from a variety of options. Contrastingly, our method assumes a history of user choices as data, which is observable in a wide variety of contexts. Experimental evaluation of this method finds that the learned CP-nets show high levels of agreement with the true preference structures and with previously unseen (future) data

A specification-based QoS-aware design framework for service-based applications

Effective and accurate service discovery and composition rely on complete specifications of service behaviour, containing inputs and preconditions that are required before service execution, outputs, effects and ramifications of a successful execution and explanations for unsuccessful executions. The previously defined Web Service Specification Language (WSSL) relies on the fluent calculus formalism to produce such rich specifications for atomic and composite services. In this work, we propose further extensions that focus on the specification of QoS profiles, as well as partially observable service states. Additionally, a design framework for service-based applications is implemented based on WSSL, advancing state of the art by being the first service framework to simultaneously provide several desirable capabilities, such as supporting ramifications and partial observability, as well as non-determinism in composition schemas using heuristic encodings; providing explanations for unexpected behaviour; and QoS-awareness through goal-based techniques. These capabilities are illustrated through a comparative evaluation against prominent state-of-the-art approaches based on a typical SBA design scenario