Interactions among land cover, disturbance, and productivity across Arctic-Boreal ecosystems of Northwestern North America from remote sensing

Arctic and Boreal ecosystems are experiencing accelerated carbon cycling that coincides with trends in the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI), a widely used remotely sensed proxy for vegetation productivity. Meanwhile, a variety of processes are extensively altering Arctic-Boreal land cover, complicating the relationship between NDVI and productivity. Because high-quality information on land cover is lacking, understanding of relationships among Arctic-Boreal greenness trends, productivity, and land cover change is lacking. Multidecadal time series of moderate resolution (30 m) reflectance data from Landsat and high resolution (<4 m) imagery were used to map annual cover and quantify changes in land cover over the study domain of NASA’s Arctic-Boreal Vulnerability Experiment. Results identify two primary modes of ecosystem transformation that are consistent with increased high latitude productivity: (1) in the Boreal biome, simultaneous decreases in Evergreen Forest area and increases in Deciduous Forest area caused by fire and harvest; and (2) climate change-induced expansion of Arctic Shrub and Herbaceous vegetation. Land cover change imposes first-order control on the sign and magnitude of NDVI trends. Over a quarter of NDVI trends were associated with land cover change. Relative to locations with stable land cover, areas of land cover change were twice as likely to exhibit statistically significant trends in Landsat-derived NDVI. The highest magnitude trends were concentrated in areas of forest disturbance and regrowth and shrub expansion, while undisturbed land showed subtler, but widespread, greening trends. Based on Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 data, sun-induced fluorescence, a proxy for productivity, reflected relationships among land cover, disturbance age, and productivity that were not fully captured in NDVI data. In contrast with NDVI, time series of aboveground biomass provide physically-based measures of productivity in forests. Using Landsat-based land cover and reflectance and ICESat lidar data, aboveground biomass was mapped annually across the study domain. Most forests showed increasing biomass, with wildfires imposing substantial interannual variability and harvest imposing steady biomass losses. This dissertation provides new information on how disturbances are driving land cover and productivity change across Arctic-Boreal northwestern North America and reveals insights regarding the interpretation of remote sensing observations in these biomes

Remote sensing-based estimation of gross primary production in a subalpine grassland

This study investigates the performances in a terrestrial ecosystem of gross primary production (GPP) estimation of a suite of spectral vegetation indexes (VIs) that can be computed from currently orbiting platforms. Vegetation indexes were computed from near-surface field spectroscopy measurements collected using an automatic system designed for high temporal frequency acquisition of spectral measurements in the visible near-infrared region. Spectral observations were collected for two consecutive years in Italy in a subalpine grassland equipped with an eddy covariance (EC) flux tower that provides continuous measurements of net ecosystem carbon dioxide (CO2) exchange (NEE) and the derived GPP. Different VIs were calculated based on ESA-MERIS and NASA-MODIS spectral bands and correlated with biophysical (Leaf area index, LAI; fraction of photosynthetically active radiation intercepted by green vegetation, f IPARg), biochemical (chlorophyll concentration) and ecophysiological (green light-use efficiency, LUEg) canopy variables. In this study, the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) was the index best correlated with LAI and f IPARg (r = 0.90 and 0.95, respectively), the MERIS terrestrial chlorophyll index (MTCI) with leaf chlorophyll content (r = 0.91) and the photochemical reflectance index (PRI551), computed as (R531 −R551)/(R531 +R551) with LUEg (r = 0.64). Subsequently, these VIs were used to estimate GPP using different modelling solutions based on Monteith’s lightuse efficiency model describing the GPP as driven by the photosynthetically active radiation absorbed by green vegetation (APARg) and by the efficiency (") with which plants use the absorbed radiation to fix carbon via photosynthesis. Results show that GPP can be successfully modelled with a combination of VIs and meteorological data or VIs only. Vegetation indexes designed to be more sensitive to chlorophyll content explained most of the variability in GPP in the ecosystem investigated, characterised by a strong seasonal dynamic of GPP. Accuracy in GPP estimation slightly improves when taking into account high frequency modulations of GPP driven by incident PAR or modelling LUEg with the PRI in model formulation. Similar results were obtained for both measured daily VIs and VIs obtained as 16-day composite time series and then downscaled from the compositing period to daily scale (resampled data). However, the use of resampled data rather than measured daily input data decreases the accuracy of the total GPP estimation on an annual basis.JRC.H.4-Monitoring Agricultural Resource

시공간 해상도 향상을 통한 식생 변화 모니터링

학위논문(박사) -- 서울대학교대학원 : 환경대학원 협동과정 조경학, 2023. 2. 류영렬.육상 생태계에서 대기권과 생물권의 상호 작용을 이해하기 위해서는 식생 변화의 모니터링이 필요하다. 이 때, 위성영상은 지표면을 관측하여 식생지도를 제공할 수 있지만, 지표변화의 상세한 정보는 구름이나 위성 이미지의 공간 해상도에 의해 제한되었다. 또한 위성영상의 시공간 해상도가 식생지도를 통한 광합성 모니터링에 미치는 영향은 완전히 밝혀지지 않았다. 본 논문에서는 고해상도 식생 지도를 일단위로 생성하기 위성 영상의 시공간 해상도를 향상시키는 것을 목표로 하였다. 고해상도 위성영상을 활용한 식생 변화 모니터링을 시공간적으로 확장하기 위해 1) 정지궤도 위성을 활용한 영상융합을 통해 시간해상도 향상, 2) 적대적생성네트워크를 활용한 공간해상도 향상, 3) 시공간해상도가 높은 위성영상을 토지피복이 균질하지 않은 공간에서 식물 광합성 모니터링을 수행하였다. 이처럼, 위성기반 원격탐지에서 새로운 기술이 등장함에 따라 현재 및 과거의 위성영상은 시공간 해상도 측면에서 향상되어 식생 변화의 모니터링 할 수 있다. 제2장에서는 정지궤도위성영상을 활용하는 시공간 영상융합으로 식물의 광합성을 모니터링 했을 때, 시간해상도가 향상됨을 보였다. 시공간 영상융합 시, 구름탐지, 양방향 반사 함수 조정, 공간 등록, 시공간 융합, 시공간 결측치 보완 등의 과정을 거친다. 이 영상융합 산출물은 경작관리 등으로 식생 지수의 연간 변동이 큰 두 장소(농경지와 낙엽수림)에서 평가하였다. 그 결과, 시공간 영상융합 산출물은 결측치 없이 현장관측을 예측하였다 (R2 = 0.71, 상대 편향 = 5.64% 농경지; R2 = 0.79, 상대 편향 = -13.8%, 활엽수림). 시공간 영상융합은 식생 지도의 시공간 해상도를 점진적으로 개선하여, 식물 생장기동안 위성영상이 현장 관측을 과소 평가를 줄였다. 영상융합은 높은 시공간 해상도로 광합성 지도를 일간격으로 생성하기에 이를 활용하여 위성 영상의 제한된 시공간 해상도로 밝혀지지 않은 식물변화의 과정을 발견하길 기대한다. 식생의 공간분포은 정밀농업과 토지 피복 변화 모니터링을 위해 필수적이다. 고해상도 위성영상으로 지구 표면을 관측하는 것을 용이하게 해졌다. 특히 Planet Fusion은 초소형위성군 데이터를 최대한 활용해 데이터 결측이 없는 3m 공간 해상도의 지표 표면 반사도이다. 그러나 과거 위성 센서(Landsat의 경우 30~60m)의 공간 해상도는 식생의 공간적 변화를 상세 분석하는 것을 제한했다. 제3장에서는 Landsat 데이터의 공간 해상도를 향상하기 위해 Planet Fusion 및 Landsat 8 데이터를 사용하여 이중 적대적 생성 네트워크(the dual RSS-GAN)를 학습시켜, 고해상도 정규화 식생 지수(NDVI)와 식물 근적외선 반사(NIRv)도를 생성하는 한다. 타워기반 현장 식생지수(최대 8년)와 드론기반 초분광지도로 the dual RSS-GAN의 성능을 대한민국 내 두 대상지(농경지와 활엽수림)에서 평가했다. The dual RSS-GAN은 Landsat 8 영상의 공간해상도를 향상시켜 공간 표현을 보완하고 식생 지수의 계절적 변화를 포착했다(R2> 0.96). 그리고 the dual RSS-GAN은 Landsat 8 식생 지수가 현장에 비해 과소 평가되는 것을 완화했다. 현장 관측에 비해 이중 RSS-GAN과 Landsat 8의 상대 편향 값 각각 -0.8% 에서 -1.5%, -10.3% 에서 -4.6% 였다. 이러한 개선은 Planet Fusion의 공간정보를 이중 RSS-GAN로 학습하였기에 가능했다. 헤당 연구 결과는 Landsat 영상의 공간 해상도를 향상시켜 숨겨진 공간 정보를 제공하는 새로운 접근 방식이다. 고해상도에서 식물 광합성 지도는 토지피복이 복잡한 공간에서 탄소 순환 모니터링시 필수적이다. 그러나 Sentinel-2, Landsat 및 MODIS와 같이 태양 동조 궤도에 있는 위성은 공간 해상도가 높거나 시간 해상도 높은 위성영상만 제공할 수 있다. 최근 발사된 초소형위성군은 이러한 해상도 한계을 극복할 수 있다. 특히 Planet Fusion은 초소형위성 자료의 시공간 해상도로 지표면을 관측할 수 있다. 4장에서, Planet Fusion 지표반사도를 이용하여 식생에서 반사된 근적외선 복사(NIRvP)를 3m 해상도 지도를 일간격으로 생성했다. 그런 다음 미국 캘리포니아주 새크라멘토-샌 호아킨 델타의 플럭스 타워 네트워크 데이터와 비교하여 식물 광합성을 추정하기 위한 NIRvP 지도의 성능을 평가하였다. 전체적으로 NIRvP 지도는 습지의 잦은 수위 변화에도 불구하고 개별 대상지의 식물 광합성의 시간적 변화를 포착하였다. 그러나 대상지 전체에 대한 NIRvP 지도와 식물 광합성 사이의 관계는 NIRvP 지도를 플럭스 타워 관측범위와 일치시킬 때만 높은 상관관계를 보였다. 관측범위를 일치시킬 경우, NIRvP 지도는 식물 광합성을 추정하는 데 있어 현장 NIRvP보다 우수한 성능을 보였다. 이러한 성능 차이는 플럭스 타워 관측범위를 일치시킬 때, 연구 대상지 간의 NIRvP-식물 광합성 관계의 기울기가 일관성을 보였기 때문이다. 본 연구 결과는 위성 관측을 플럭스 타워 관측범위와 일치시키는 것의 중요성을 보여주고 높은 시공간 해상도로 식물 광합성을 원격으로 모니터링하는 초소형위성군 자료의 잠재력을 보여준다.Monitoring changes in terrestrial vegetation is essential to understanding interactions between atmosphere and biosphere, especially terrestrial ecosystem. To this end, satellite remote sensing offer maps for examining land surface in different scales. However, the detailed information was hindered under the clouds or limited by the spatial resolution of satellite imagery. Moreover, the impacts of spatial and temporal resolution in photosynthesis monitoring were not fully revealed. In this dissertation, I aimed to enhance the spatial and temporal resolution of satellite imagery towards daily gap-free vegetation maps with high spatial resolution. In order to expand vegetation change monitoring in time and space using high-resolution satellite images, I 1) improved temporal resolution of satellite dataset through image fusion using geostationary satellites, 2) improved spatial resolution of satellite dataset using generative adversarial networks, and 3) showed the use of high spatiotemporal resolution maps for monitoring plant photosynthesis especially over heterogeneous landscapes. With the advent of new techniques in satellite remote sensing, current and past datasets can be fully utilized for monitoring vegetation changes in the respect of spatial and temporal resolution. In Chapter 2, I developed the integrated system that implemented geostationary satellite products in the spatiotemporal image fusion method for monitoring canopy photosynthesis. The integrated system contains the series of process (i.e., cloud masking, nadir bidirectional reflectance function adjustment, spatial registration, spatiotemporal image fusion, spatial gap-filling, temporal-gap-filling). I conducted the evaluation of the integrated system over heterogeneous rice paddy landscape where the drastic land cover changes were caused by cultivation management and deciduous forest where consecutive changes occurred in time. The results showed that the integrated system well predict in situ measurements without data gaps (R2 = 0.71, relative bias = 5.64% at rice paddy site; R2 = 0.79, relative bias = -13.8% at deciduous forest site). The integrated system gradually improved the spatiotemporal resolution of vegetation maps, reducing the underestimation of in situ measurements, especially during peak growing season. Since the integrated system generates daily canopy photosynthesis maps for monitoring dynamics among regions of interest worldwide with high spatial resolution. I anticipate future efforts to reveal the hindered information by the limited spatial and temporal resolution of satellite imagery. Detailed spatial representations of terrestrial vegetation are essential for precision agricultural applications and the monitoring of land cover changes in heterogeneous landscapes. The advent of satellite-based remote sensing has facilitated daily observations of the Earths surface with high spatial resolution. In particular, a data fusion product such as Planet Fusion has realized the delivery of daily, gap-free surface reflectance data with 3-m pixel resolution through full utilization of relatively recent (i.e., 2018-) CubeSat constellation data. However, the spatial resolution of past satellite sensors (i.e., 30–60 m for Landsat) has restricted the detailed spatial analysis of past changes in vegetation. In Chapter 3, to overcome the spatial resolution constraint of Landsat data for long-term vegetation monitoring, we propose a dual remote-sensing super-resolution generative adversarial network (dual RSS-GAN) combining Planet Fusion and Landsat 8 data to simulate spatially enhanced long-term time-series of the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI) and near-infrared reflectance from vegetation (NIRv). We evaluated the performance of the dual RSS-GAN against in situ tower-based continuous measurements (up to 8 years) and remotely piloted aerial system-based maps of cropland and deciduous forest in the Republic of Korea. The dual RSS-GAN enhanced spatial representations in Landsat 8 images and captured seasonal variation in vegetation indices (R2 > 0.95, for the dual RSS-GAN maps vs. in situ data from all sites). Overall, the dual RSS-GAN reduced Landsat 8 vegetation index underestimations compared with in situ measurements; relative bias values of NDVI ranged from −3.2% to 1.2% and −12.4% to −3.7% for the dual RSS-GAN and Landsat 8, respectively. This improvement was caused by spatial enhancement through the dual RSS-GAN, which captured fine-scale information from Planet Fusion. This study presents a new approach for the restoration of hidden sub-pixel spatial information in Landsat images. Mapping canopy photosynthesis in both high spatial and temporal resolution is essential for carbon cycle monitoring in heterogeneous areas. However, well established satellites in sun-synchronous orbits such as Sentinel-2, Landsat and MODIS can only provide either high spatial or high temporal resolution but not both. Recently established CubeSat satellite constellations have created an opportunity to overcome this resolution trade-off. In particular, Planet Fusion allows full utilization of the CubeSat data resolution and coverage while maintaining high radiometric quality. In Chapter 4, I used the Planet Fusion surface reflectance product to calculate daily, 3-m resolution, gap-free maps of the near-infrared radiation reflected from vegetation (NIRvP). I then evaluated the performance of these NIRvP maps for estimating canopy photosynthesis by comparing with data from a flux tower network in Sacramento-San Joaquin Delta, California, USA. Overall, NIRvP maps captured temporal variations in canopy photosynthesis of individual sites, despite changes in water extent in the wetlands and frequent mowing in the crop fields. When combining data from all sites, however, I found that robust agreement between NIRvP maps and canopy photosynthesis could only be achieved when matching NIRvP maps to the flux tower footprints. In this case of matched footprints, NIRvP maps showed considerably better performance than in situ NIRvP in estimating canopy photosynthesis both for daily sum and data around the time of satellite overpass (R2 = 0.78 vs. 0.60, for maps vs. in situ for the satellite overpass time case). This difference in performance was mostly due to the higher degree of consistency in slopes of NIRvP-canopy photosynthesis relationships across the study sites for flux tower footprint-matched maps. Our results show the importance of matching satellite observations to the flux tower footprint and demonstrate the potential of CubeSat constellation imagery to monitor canopy photosynthesis remotely at high spatio-temporal resolution.Chapter 1. Introduction 2 1. Background 2 1.1 Daily gap-free surface reflectance using geostationary satellite products 2 1.2 Monitoring past vegetation changes with high-spatial-resolution 3 1.3 High spatiotemporal resolution vegetation photosynthesis maps 4 2. Purpose of Research 4 Chapter 2. Generating daily gap-filled BRDF adjusted surface reflectance product at 10 m resolution using geostationary satellite product for monitoring daily canopy photosynthesis 6 1. Introduction 6 2. Methods 11 2.1 Study sites 11 2.2 In situ measurements 13 2.3 Satellite products 14 2.4 Integrated system 17 2.5 Canopy photosynthesis 21 2.6 Evaluation 23 3. Results and discussion 24 3.1 Comparison of STIF NDVI and NIRv with in situ NDVI and NIRv 24 3.2 Comparison of STIF NIRvP with in situ NIRvP 28 4. Conclusion 31 Chapter 3. Super-resolution of historic Landsat imagery using a dual Generative Adversarial Network (GAN) model with CubeSat constellation imagery for monitoring vegetation changes 32 1. Introduction 32 2. Methods 38 2.1 Real-ESRGAN model 38 2.2 Study sites 40 2.3 In situ measurements 42 2.4 Vegetation index 44 2.5 Satellite data 45 2.6 Planet Fusion 48 2.7 Dual RSS-GAN via fine-tuned Real-ESRGAN 49 2.8 Evaluation 54 3. Results 57 3.1 Comparison of NDVI and NIRv maps from Planet Fusion, Sentinel 2 NBAR, and Landsat 8 NBAR data with in situ NDVI and NIRv 57 3.2 Comparison of dual RSS-SRGAN model results with Landsat 8 NDVI and NIRv 60 3.3 Comparison of dual RSS-GAN model results with respect to in situ time-series NDVI and NIRv 63 3.4 Comparison of the dual RSS-GAN model with NDVI and NIRv maps derived from RPAS 66 4. Discussion 70 4.1 Monitoring changes in terrestrial vegetation using the dual RSS-GAN model 70 4.2 CubeSat data in the dual RSS-GAN model 72 4.3 Perspectives and limitations 73 5. Conclusion 78 Appendices 79 Supplementary material 82 Chapter 4. Matching high resolution satellite data and flux tower footprints improves their agreement in photosynthesis estimates 85 1. Introduction 85 2. Methods 89 2.1 Study sites 89 2.2 In situ measurements 92 2.3 Planet Fusion NIRvP 94 2.4 Flux footprint model 98 2.5 Evaluation 98 3. Results 105 3.1 Comparison of Planet Fusion NIRv and NIRvP with in situ NIRv and NIRvP 105 3.2 Comparison of instantaneous Planet Fusion NIRv and NIRvP with against tower GPP estimates 108 3.3 Daily GPP estimation from Planet Fusion -derived NIRvP 114 4. Discussion 118 4.1 Flux tower footprint matching and effects of spatial and temporal resolution on GPP estimation 118 4.2 Roles of radiation component in GPP mapping 123 4.3 Limitations and perspectives 126 5. Conclusion 133 Appendix 135 Supplementary Materials 144 Chapter 5. Conclusion 153 Bibliography 155 Abstract in Korea 199 Acknowledgements 202박

Remote Sensing of Land Surface Phenology

Land surface phenology (LSP) uses remote sensing to monitor seasonal dynamics in vegetated land surfaces and retrieve phenological metrics (transition dates, rate of change, annual integrals, etc.). LSP has developed rapidly in the last few decades. Both regional and global LSP products have been routinely generated and play prominent roles in modeling crop yield, ecological surveillance, identifying invasive species, modeling the terrestrial biosphere, and assessing impacts on urban and natural ecosystems. Recent advances in field and spaceborne sensor technologies, as well as data fusion techniques, have enabled novel LSP retrieval algorithms that refine retrievals at even higher spatiotemporal resolutions, providing new insights into ecosystem dynamics. Meanwhile, rigorous assessment of the uncertainties in LSP retrievals is ongoing, and efforts to reduce these uncertainties represent an active research area. Open source software and hardware are in development, and have greatly facilitated the use of LSP metrics by scientists outside the remote sensing community. This reprint covers the latest developments in sensor technologies, LSP retrieval algorithms and validation strategies, and the use of LSP products in a variety of fields. It aims to summarize the ongoing diverse LSP developments and boost discussions on future research prospects

Climate Change and Arctic Browning: Understanding the Role of Extreme Weather Events

Vegetation browning is the decline in plant biomass and productivity arising from climate change, biotic interactions and disturbance. It is now considered one of the major disruptions in a rapidly changing Arctic landscape. Damaged Arctic vegetation due to extreme winter weather events such as warming events and frost drought conditions, has been shown to change from a sink to a net CO2 source at the peak of the growing season. It is crucial to understand the satellite-based signature of browning events due to the challenging nature of field work in the Arctic and the sporadic nature of such events. It is important to understand how browning events can unfold in the future in response to projections of increased frequency, magnitude and severity of extreme winter weather events in the Arctic. This research is the first to provide a remote sensing and climate modelling based framework to examine Arctic browning. Northern Norway was selected as the study area for this PhD research. The first research objective of this PhD thesis was to understand the satellite-based signature of browning events caused by extreme winter weather conditions. This was achieved through examining the effectiveness of two different MODIS vegetation indices at quantifying the on-record ground observations of vegetation decline in the Norwegian Arctic and sub-Arctic areas. The indices included the Chlorophyll Carotenoid Index (CCI) and the Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI). The CCI and NDVI were extracted for early, peak and end of the growing season (July-September). Moreover, the average growing season CCI and NDVI were calculated as well. These calculations were conducted for three case study sites in northern Norway. The NDVI presented a more robust signal compared to CCI for detecting decreases in the Gross Primary Productivity (GPP) of dwarf shrub vegetation across different Arctic landscapes. This was concluded to be mainly due to the higher spatial resolution of NDVI (0.25 km) compared to that of CCI (1 km). The second research objective of this work was to determine the main meteorological drivers of satellite-based observations of vegetation decline in the Norwegian Arctic and sub-Arctic. Currently there is a substantial research gap with regards to the understanding of relationships between the variability of individual meteorological variables in winter and the summer NDVI. For this, a regional climate model, the Weather Research and Forecasting Model (WRF), was used to produce high-resolution (1 – 10 km) simulations for the winter months November – April, over the time period 2000 – 2020, for northern Norway. The driving dataset for WRF here was ERA5. WRF’s skill at reproducing the extreme winter weather conditions, which lead to recorded browning events at the three case study sites was examined, considering variables including 2m near-surface temperature, snow depth and precipitation. WRF was able to simulate extreme winter warming and low snow depth conditions at the case study sites after bias-corrections were applied. Following this, correlations between the different winter month-based meteorological variables and mean summer NDVI were examined. The correlations identified the most important winter meteorological variables with regards to summer NDVI, for the study area. These variables were used in multivariate regression analysis against summer NDVI to develop statistical models for projecting summer NDVI at the end of this century under different emission scenarios. This leads to the third research objective of this thesis, which was to assess the changes in frequency and intensity of climatic drivers of Arctic browning at the end of this century in the Norwegian Arctic and sub-Arctic. Therefore, WRF was forced with the Community Earth System Model (CESM1) under three Representative Concentration Pathways (RCPs) 4.5, 6.0 and 8.5, for 2090 – 2100. The future simulations were compared with a historical baseline, 1990 – 2000, to assess the changes in the frequency and spatial extent of the different winter meteorological drivers of NDVI. The findings of this work can be viewed in a threefold-perspective; spatial context, seasonal winter meteorology and climate change scenario based. In the spatial context the main findings included; the vegetation most at risk of damage is projected to be in Trøndelag County, based on the strongest increases in frequency and intensity of winter warming events, low snow depth conditions and ROS occurrence. This research’s projections about increased exposure of Norway’s coastal areas to higher intensity warming events (duration-based), as compared to the inland regions, agrees with previous studies. Large spatial variability was found across the study domain with regards to the meteorological parameters and extreme weather indices of different winter months affecting the summer NDVI. The projections of browning frequency at one of the case study sites (Storfjord), located well inside the Arctic Circle, are reflective of the pronounced negative impacts arising from multiple extreme winter weather events and conditions. At this site the maximum duration of winter warming events index (MDW) in December and the mean January temperature best explained the variance in the NDVI. In context of the three RCPs studied here, major findings with regards to overall impacts on vegetation included projections of mean December, January and March temperatures staying above 0℃ for most of the study area. These temperature projections imply an increased probability of ROS in these peak winter months as precipitation would likely fall as rain rather than snowfall. Moreover, as vegetation can get damaged under low-snow conditions, it is concerning that under RCP 8.5, the average number of days with snow depth < 20 cm (SC20), per winter season, is projected to increase by 80-100 days, in Trøndelag County, compared with the 1990 – 2000 time period. In general, this study predicts large scale vegetation disturbance in response to changes in the overall winter meteorology in northern Norway

2016 International Land Model Benchmarking (ILAMB) Workshop Report

As earth system models (ESMs) become increasingly complex, there is a growing need for comprehensive and multi-faceted evaluation of model projections. To advance understanding of terrestrial biogeochemical processes and their interactions with hydrology and climate under conditions of increasing atmospheric carbon dioxide, new analysis methods are required that use observations to constrain model predictions, inform model development, and identify needed measurements and field experiments. Better representations of biogeochemistryclimate feedbacks and ecosystem processes in these models are essential for reducing the acknowledged substantial uncertainties in 21st century climate change projections

Characterizing Dryland Ecosystems Using Remote Sensing and Dynamic Global Vegetation Modeling

Drylands include all terrestrial regions where the production of crops, forage, wood and other ecosystem services are limited by water. These ecosystems cover approximately 40% of the earth terrestrial surface and accommodate more than 2 billion people (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment, 2005). Moreover, the interannual variability of the global carbon budget is strongly regulated by vegetation dynamics in drylands. Understanding the dynamics of such ecosystems is significant for assessing the potential for and impacts of natural or anthropogenic disturbances and mitigation planning, and a necessary step toward enhancing the economic and social well-being of dryland communities in a sustainable manner (Global Drylands: A UN system-wide response, 2011). In this research, a combination of remote sensing, field data collection, and ecosystem modeling were used to establish an integrated framework for semi-arid ecosystems dynamics monitoring. Foliar nitrogen (N) plays an important role in vegetation processes such as photosynthesis and there is wide interest in retrieving this variable from hyperspectral remote sensing data. In this study, I used the theory of canopy spectral invariants (AKA p-theory) to understand the role of canopy structure and soil in the retrieval of foliar N from hyperspectral data and machine learning techniques. The results of this study showed the inconsistencies among different machine learning techniques used for estimating N. Using p-theory, I demonstrated that soil can contribute up to 95% to the total radiation budget of the canopy. I suggested an alternative approach to study photosynthesis is the use of dynamic global vegetation models (DGVMs). Gross primary production (GPP) is the apparent ecosystem scale photosynthesis that can be estimated using DGVMs. In this study, I performed a thorough sensitivity analysis and calibrated the Ecosystem Demography (EDv2.2) model along an elevation gradient in a dryland study area. I investigated the GPP capacity and activity by comparing the EDv2.2 GPP with flux towers and remote sensing products. The overall results showed that EDv2.2 performed well in capturing GPP capacity and its long term trend at lower elevation sites within the study area; whereas the model performed worse at higher elevations likely due to the change in vegetation community. I discussed that adding more heterogeneity and modifying ecosystem processes such as phenology and plant hydraulics in ED.v2.2 will improve its application to higher elevation ecosystems where there is more vegetation production. And finally, I developed an integrated hyperspectral-lidar framework for regional mapping of xeric and mesic vegetation in the study area. I showed that by considering spectral shape and magnitude, canopy structure and landscape features (riparian zone), we can develop a straightforward algorithm for vegetation mapping in drylands. This framework is simple, easy to interpret and consistent with our ecological understanding of vegetation distribution in drylands over large areas. Collectively, the results I present in this dissertation demonstrate the potential for advanced remote sensing and modeling to help us better understand ecosystem processes in drylands

Remote Sensing of Plant Biodiversity

This Open Access volume aims to methodologically improve our understanding of biodiversity by linking disciplines that incorporate remote sensing, and uniting data and perspectives in the fields of biology, landscape ecology, and geography. The book provides a framework for how biodiversity can be detected and evaluated—focusing particularly on plants—using proximal and remotely sensed hyperspectral data and other tools such as LiDAR. The volume, whose chapters bring together a large cross-section of the biodiversity community engaged in these methods, attempts to establish a common language across disciplines for understanding and implementing remote sensing of biodiversity across scales. The first part of the book offers a potential basis for remote detection of biodiversity. An overview of the nature of biodiversity is described, along with ways for determining traits of plant biodiversity through spectral analyses across spatial scales and linking spectral data to the tree of life. The second part details what can be detected spectrally and remotely. Specific instrumentation and technologies are described, as well as the technical challenges of detection and data synthesis, collection and processing. The third part discusses spatial resolution and integration across scales and ends with a vision for developing a global biodiversity monitoring system. Topics include spectral and functional variation across habitats and biomes, biodiversity variables for global scale assessment, and the prospects and pitfalls in remote sensing of biodiversity at the global scale

The Environmental Microbiome In A Changing World: Microbial Processes And Biogeochemistry

Climate change can alter ecosystem processes and organismal phenology through both long-term, gradual changes and alteration of disturbance regimes. Because microbes mediate decomposition, and therefore the initial stages of nutrient cycling, soil biogeochemical responses to climate change will be driven by microbial responses to changes in temperature, precipitation, and pulsed climatic events. Improving projections of soil ecological and biogeochemical responses to climate change effects therefore requires greater knowledge of microbial contributions to decomposition. This dissertation examines soil microbial and biogeochemical responses to the long-term and punctuated effects of climate change, as well as improvement to decomposition models following addition of microbial parameters. First, through a climate change mesocosm experiment on two soils, I determined that biogeochemical losses due to warming and snow reduction vary across soil types. Additionally, the length of time with soil microbial activity during plant dormancy increased under warming, and in some cases decreased following snow reduction. Asynchrony length was positively related to carbon and nitrogen loss. Next, I examined soil enzyme activity, carbon and nitrogen biodegradability, and fungal abundance in response to ice storms, an extreme event projected to occur more frequently under climate change in the northeastern United States. Enzyme activity response to ice storm treatments varied by both target nutrient and, for nitrogen, soil horizon. Soil horizons often experienced opposite response of enzyme activity to ice storm treatments, and increasing ice storm frequency also altered the direction of the microbial response. Mid-levels of ice storm treatment additionally increased fungal hyphal abundance. Finally, I added explicit microbial parameters to a global decomposition model that previously incorporated climate and litter quality. The best mass loss model simply added microbial flows between litter quality pools, and addition of a microbial biomass and products pool also improved model performance compared to the traditional implicit microbial model. Collectively, these results illustrate the importance of soil characteristics to the biogeochemical and microbial response to both gradual climate change effects and extreme events. Furthermore, they show that large-scale decomposition models can be improved by adding microbial parameters. This information is relevant to the effects of climate change and microbial activity on biogeochemical cycles