Small-Area Population Estimation: an Integration of Demographic and Geographic Techniques

Knowledge of detailed and accurate population information is essential to analyze and address a wide variety of socio-economic, political, and environmental issues and to support necessary planning practices for both public agencies and the private sector. However, such important data are generally only available once every decade through the National Census. Moreover, populations in some rapidly-developing areas may increase quickly, such that this ten-year frequency does not meet the needs of these areas. Therefore, a cost-effective method for population estimation is necessary. To address this issue, this research integrated geographic, sociological, and demographic theories and exploited remotely sensed imagery and geographic information system (GIS) datasets to derive better population estimates at the census block level, the finest level of the national census. Specifically, three new approaches have been proposed in this dissertation to assist in the improvement of small-area population estimation accuracy. First, existing remotely sensed and GIS data have been adopted to estimate two major components of a demographic framework, including the redistribution of newly built dwelling units from the aggregated geographic level to the census block level and the estimation of persons per household (PPH) at such a fine scale. Second, in addition to the use of existing data, new urban environmental indicators were also extracted and employed to improve population estimation. In particular, to implement the automatic enumeration for individual housing units, a new spectral index, biophysical composition index (BCI), has been proposed to derive impervious surface information, a desirable urban environmental parameter. Third, using the extracted high-resolution urban environmental information and GIS data, a new bottom-up method was developed for small-area population estimation at the census block level by incorporating these high-resolution data into the demographic framework. Analyses of the results suggest three major conclusions. First, existing GIS spatial factors, together with demographic information, can assist in improving the accuracy of small-area population estimation. Second, the BCI has a closer relationship with impervious surface area than do other popular indices. Moreover, it was shown to be the most effective index of the four evaluated for separating impervious surfaces and bare soil, which consequently might assist in more accurately deriving fractional land cover values. Third, the use of the new environmental indicators extracted from remote sensing imagery and GIS data and the integration of demographic and geographic approaches has significantly improved the estimation accuracy of housing unit (HU) numbers, PPH, and population counts at the census block level. Therefore, this research contributes to both the remote sensing and applied demography fields. The contribution to the remote sensing field lies in the development of a novel spectral index to characterize urban land for monitoring and analyzing urban environments. This index provided more significant separability between impervious surfaces and bare soil than did other existing indices. Moreover, three major contributions have been made in the field of applied demography: 1) the generation of accurate HU estimates using high-resolution remote sensing and GIS datasets, 2) the development of a model to derive an accurate PPH estimate, and 3) the improvement of small-area population estimation accuracy through the integration of geographic and demographic approaches

Supporting Global Environmental Change Research: A Review of Trends and Knowledge Gaps in Urban Remote Sensing

This paper reviews how remotely sensed data have been used to understand the impact of urbanization on global environmental change. We describe how these studies can support the policy and science communities’ increasing need for detailed and up-to-date information on the multiple dimensions of cities, including their social, biological, physical, and infrastructural characteristics. Because the interactions between urban and surrounding areas are complex, a synoptic and spatial view offered from remote sensing is integral to measuring, modeling, and understanding these relationships. Here we focus on three themes in urban remote sensing science: mapping, indices, and modeling. For mapping we describe the data sources, methods, and limitations of mapping urban boundaries, land use and land cover, population, temperature, and air quality. Second, we described how spectral information is manipulated to create comparative biophysical, social, and spatial indices of the urban environment. Finally, we focus how the mapped information and indices are used as inputs or parameters in models that measure changes in climate, hydrology, land use, and economics

Supporting Global Environmental Change Research: A Review of Trends and Knowledge Gaps in Urban Remote Sensing

abstract: This paper reviews how remotely sensed data have been used to understand the impact of urbanization on global environmental change. We describe how these studies can support the policy and science communities’ increasing need for detailed and up-to-date information on the multiple dimensions of cities, including their social, biological, physical, and infrastructural characteristics. Because the interactions between urban and surrounding areas are complex, a synoptic and spatial view offered from remote sensing is integral to measuring, modeling, and understanding these relationships. Here we focus on three themes in urban remote sensing science: mapping, indices, and modeling. For mapping we describe the data sources, methods, and limitations of mapping urban boundaries, land use and land cover, population, temperature, and air quality. Second, we described how spectral information is manipulated to create comparative biophysical, social, and spatial indices of the urban environment. Finally, we focus how the mapped information and indices are used as inputs or parameters in models that measure changes in climate, hydrology, land use, and economics

Multi-scalar remote sensing of the northern mixed prairie vegetation

Optimal scale of study and scaling are fundamental to ecological research, and have been made easier with remotely sensed (RS) data. With access to RS data at multiple scales, it is important to identify how they compare and how effectively information at a specific scale will potentially transfer between scales. Therefore, my research compared the spatial, spectral, and temporal aspects of scale of RS data to study biophysical properties and spatio-temporal dynamics of the northern mixed prairie vegetation. I collected ground cover, dominant species, aboveground biomass, and leaf area index (LAI) from 41 sites and along 3 transects in the West Block of Grasslands National Park of Canada (GNPC; +49°, -107°) between June-July of 2006 and 2007. Narrowband (VIn) and broadband vegetation indices (VIb) were derived from RS data at multiple scales acquired through field spectroradiometry (1 m) and satellite imagery (10, 20, 30 m). VIs were upscaled from their native scales to coarser scales for spatial comparison, and time-series imagery at ~5-year intervals was used for temporal comparison. Results showed VIn, VIb, and LAI captured the spatial variation of plant biophysical properties along topographical gradients and their spatial scales ranged from 35-200 m. Among the scales compared, RS data at finer scales showed stronger ability than coarser scales to estimate ground vegetation. VIn were found to be better predictors than VIb in estimating LAI. Upscaling at all spatial scales showed similar weakening trends for LAI prediction using VIb, however spatial regression methods were necessary to minimize spatial effects in the RS data sets and to improve the prediction results. Multiple endmember spectral mixture analysis (MESMA) successfully captured the spatial heterogeneity of vegetation and effective modeling of sub-pixel spectral variability to produce improved vegetation maps. However, the efficiency of spectral unmixing was found to be highly dependent on the identification of optimal type and number of region-specific endmembers, and comparison of spectral unmixing on imagery at different scales showed spectral resolution to be important over spatial resolution. With the development of a comprehensive endmember library, MESMA may be used as a standard tool for identifying spatio-temporal changes in time-series imagery. Climatic variables were found to affect the success of unmixing, with lower success for years of climatic extremes. Change-detection analysis showed the success of biodiversity conservation practices of GNPC since establishment of the park and suggests that its management strategies are effective in maintaining vegetation heterogeneity in the region. Overall, my research has advanced the understanding of RS of the northern mixed prairie vegetation, especially in the context of effects of scale and scaling. From an eco-management perspective, this research has provided cost- and time-effective methods for vegetation mapping and monitoring. Data and techniques tested in this study will be even more useful with hyperspectral imagery should they become available for the northern mixed prairie

Quantifying the physical composition of urban morphology throughout Wales based on the time series (1989-2011) analysis of Landsat TM/ETM+ images and supporting GIS data

Knowledge of impervious surface areas (ISA) and on their changes in magnitude, location, geometry and morphology over time is significant for a range of practical applications and research alike from local to global scales. Despite this, use of Earth Observation (EO) technology in mapping ISAs within some European Union (EU) countries, such as the United Kingdom (UK), is to some extent scarce. In the present study, a combination of methods is proposed for mapping ISA based on freely distributed EO imagery from Landsat TM/ETM+ sensors. The proposed technique combines a traditional classifier and a linear spectral mixture analysis (LSMA) with a series of Landsat TM/ETM+ images to extract ISA. Selected sites located in Wales, UK, are used for demonstrating the capability of the proposed method. The Welsh study areas provided a unique setting in detecting largely dispersed urban morphology within an urban-rural frontier context. In addition, an innovative method for detecting clouds and cloud shadow layers for the full area estimation of ISA is also presented herein. The removal and replacement of clouds and cloud shadows, with underlying materials is further explained. Aerial photography with a spatial resolution of 0.4 m, acquired over the summer period in 2005 was used for validation purposes. Validation of the derived products indicated an overall ISA detection accuracy in the order of ~97%. The latter was considered as very satisfactory and at least comparative, if not somehow better, to existing ISA products provided on a national level. The hybrid method for ISA extraction proposed here is important on a local scale in terms of moving forward into a biennial program for the Welsh Government. It offers a much less subjectively static and more objectively dynamic estimation of ISA cover in comparison to existing operational products already available, improving the current estimations of international urbanization and soil sealing. Findings of our study provide important assistance towards the development of relevant EO-based products not only inaugurate to Wales alone, but potentially allowing a cost-effective and consistent long term monitoring of ISA at different scales based on EO technology

Effects of rapid urbanisation on the urban thermal environment between 1990 and 2011 in Dhaka Megacity, Bangladesh

This study investigates the influence of land-use/land-cover (LULC) change on land surface temperature (LST) in Dhaka Megacity, Bangladesh during a period of rapid urbanisation. LST was derived from Landsat 5 TM scenes captured in 1990, 2000 and 2011 and compared to contemporaneous LULC maps. We compared index-based and linear spectral mixture analysis (LSMA) techniques for modelling LST. LSMA derived biophysical parameters corresponded more strongly to LST than those produced using index-based parameters. Results indicated that vegetation and water surfaces had relatively stable LST but it increased by around 2 °C when these surfaces were converted to built-up areas with extensive impervious surfaces. Knowledge of the expected change in LST when one land-cover is converted to another can inform land planners of the potential impact of future changes and urges the development of better management strategies

A pre-screened and normalized multiple endmember spectral mixture analysis for mapping impervious surface area in Lake Kasumigaura Basin, Japan

The impervious surface area (ISA) has emerged not only as an indicator of the degree of urbanization, but also as a major indicator of environmental quality for drainage basin management. However, since almost all of the methods for estimating ISA have been developed for urban environments, it is questionable whether these methods can be successfully applied to drainage basins, such as those found in Japan, which usually have more complicated vegetation components (e.g. paddy field, plowed field and dense forest). This paper presents a pre-screened and normalized multiple endmember spectral mixture analysis (PNMESMA) method, which includes a new endmember selection strategy and an integration of the normalized spectral mixture analysis (NSMA) and multiple endmember spectral mixture analysis (MESMA), for estimating the ISA fraction in Lake Kasumigaura Basin, Japan. This new proposed method is superior to the previous methods in that the estimation error of the proposed method is much smaller than the previous SMA- or NSMA-based methods for drainage basin environments. The overall root mean square error was reduced to 5.2%, and no obvious underestimation or overestimation occurred for high or low ISA areas. Through the assessment of environmental quality in Lake Kasumigaura Basin using the ISA fraction, the results showed that the basin has been in the impacted category since 1987, and that in the two decades since, the environmental quality has continued to decline. If this decline continues, then Lake Kasumigaura Basin will fall into the degraded category by 2017

Spatial and Temporal Dust Source Variability in Northern China Identified Using Advanced Remote Sensing Analysis

The aim of this research is to provide a detailed characterization of spatial patterns and temporal trends in the regional and local dust source areas within the desert of the Alashan Prefecture (Inner Mongolia, China). This problem was approached through multi-scale remote sensing analysis of vegetation changes. The primary requirements for this regional analysis are high spatial and spectral resolution data, accurate spectral calibration and good temporal resolution with a suitable temporal baseline. Landsat analysis and field validation along with the low spatial resolution classifications from MODIS and AVHRR are combined to provide a reliable characterization of the different potential dust-producing sources. The representation of intra-annual and inter-annual Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) trend to assess land cover discrimination for mapping potential dust source using MODIS and AVHRR at larger scale is enhanced by Landsat Spectral Mixing Analysis (SMA). The combined methodology is to determine the extent to which Landsat can distinguish important soils types in order to better understand how soil reflectance behaves at seasonal and inter-annual timescales. As a final result mapping soil surface properties using SMA is representative of responses of different land and soil cover previously identified by NDVI trend. The results could be used in dust emission models even if they are not reflecting aggregate formation, soil stability or particle coatings showing to be critical for accurately represent dust source over different regional and local emitting areas