ESTIMATION OF UNBALANCE COST DUE TO DEMAND PREDICTION ERRORS USING ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORK

Estimation of energy demand is used as an important tool for decision makers determining company strategies and policies. Apart from this, the fact that the actual consumption differs from the forecast is harmful for the economy of the company and even for the economy of the big scale. In this study, it is aimed to estimate the imbalance aberration caused by demand forecast deviation with Artificial Neural Networks and to evaluate its results

Application of Predictive Models for Natural Gas Needs - Current State and Future Trends Review

Nowadays, in terms of trading on the world scale, to foresee a natural gas consumption represents an essential activity. In the first part, the paper examines the current state of the Serbian natural gas sector and methodology applied for prediction and capacity planning. In addition, the study intends to give a comprehensive assessment of predictive algorithms for natural gas needs involved in the last decade with projections and suggestions for future applications. The primary task is to evaluate used predictive models with an emphasis on the accuracy of the predictions obtained. Additionally, the paper will analyse used parameters, consumption scale, prediction scope, forecast algorithms, and other related information. The main objective of this study is to review the new-fangled information related analyses data from peer-reviewed journals, international conferences, and books

Analysis and applicability of Mersin region wind speed data with artificial neural networks

In this study, wind speed data were analyzed in order to provide energy to the heating and electrical systems of a house with renewable energy sources in Mersin-Mut region. Three-year wind speed data is taken from the Turkey General Directorate of Meteorology in the region. Annual estimation was made with artificial neural networks using 28-day wind speed data for the studied area. Some of the wind data were used for training of the neural network, and some were used for testing. In the artificial neural network model, the most successful model was obtained by changing the number of neurons in the hidden layer. In the analysis made using eight neurons in the hidden layer, the lowest MAE and RMSE error values were calculated. While the number of neurons was eight, MAE and RMSE values were obtained as 0.4056 and 0.5403, respectively. In addition, analysis of wind data with WAsP software has been carried out for this region. Thus, the average instantaneous wind speed was determined according to the analysis studies

Energy use and CO2 emissions of the Moroccan transport sector

In this paper, optimized models based on two different machine learning (ML) methods were developed to forecast the transport energy consumption (TEC) and carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions in Morocco by 2030. More precisely, artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) were used for modelling non-linear TEC and CO2 emissions data. This study uses data from 1990 to 2020 and employs various independent parameters, including population, gross domestic product, urbanization rate, evolution of the number of vehicles, and the number of electric vehicle introductions. Four statistical metrics are derived to assess the effectiveness of the ML algorithms used. The forecasts for 2030 were based on six scenarios, including three scenarios for the growth of gross domestic product (GDP) and two scenarios for the evolution of electric cars’ introduction into Moroccan vehicle fleet. The ANN model outputs showed that a decrease in TEC and CO2 emissions is expected until 2030. However, the SVR model predicts outputs values close to those in 2020. The study's results also indicate that: i) TEC and transport CO2 emissions are positively impacted by economic growth in Morocco and ii) electric vehicles will be essential components enabling substantial reductions in overall CO2 emissions in future transport systems

Methodologies for innovation and best practices in Industry 4.0 for SMEs

Today, cyber physical systems are transforming the way in which industries operate, we call this Industry 4.0 or the fourth industrial revolution. Industry 4.0 involves the use of technologies such as Cloud Computing, Edge Computing, Internet of Things, Robotics and most of all Big Data. Big Data are the very basis of the Industry 4.0 paradigm, because they can provide crucial information on all the processes that take place within manufacturing (which helps optimize processes and prevent downtime), as well as provide information about the employees (performance, individual needs, safety in the workplace) as well as clients/customers (their needs and wants, trends, opinions) which helps businesses become competitive and expand on the international market. Current processing capabilities thanks to technologies such as Internet of Things, Cloud Computing and Edge Computing, mean that data can be processed much faster and with greater security. The implementation of Artificial Intelligence techniques, such as Machine Learning, can enable technologies, can help machines take certain decisions autonomously, or help humans make decisions much faster. Furthermore, data can be used to feed predictive models which can help businesses and manufacturers anticipate future changes and needs, address problems before they cause tangible harm

IoT and Blockchain for Smart Cities

Blockchain is a Distributed Ledger Technology (DLT) that makes it possible to secure any type of transaction. This is because the information stored on the Blockchain is immutable, impeding any type of fraud or modification of the data. It was first created for Bitcoin transactions; however, the research community has realized its potential quickly, and started using it for purposes other than cryptocurrency transactions. Blockchain may even be used to secure and provide reliability to the data being transmitted between computational systems, ensuring their immutability. Given the amount of data produced within a smart city, the use of Blockchain is imperative in smart cities, as it protects them from cyberattacks and fraud. Moreover, the transparency of the information stored on Blockchain means that it helps create a more just and democratic society