Cooling load forecasting-based predictive optimisation for chiller plants

Extensive electric power is required to maintain indoor thermal comfort using heating, ventilation and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, of which, water-cooled chiller plants consume more than 50% of the total electric power. To improve energy efficiency, supervisory optimisation control can be adopted. The controlled variables are usually optimised according to instant building cooling load and ambient wet bulb air temperature at regular time intervals. In this way, the energy efficiency of chiller plants has been improved. However, with an inherent assumption that the instant building cooling load and ambient wet bulb temperature remain constant in the coming time interval, the energy efficiency potential has not been fully realised, especially when cooling loads vary suddenly and extremely. To solve this problem, a cooling load forecasting-based predictive optimisation method is proposed. Instead of minimising the instant system power according to the instant building cooling load and ambient wet bulb temperature, the controlled variables are derived to minimise the sum of the instant system power and one-time-step-ahead future system power according to both instant and forecasted future building cooling loads. With this method, the energy efficiency potential of a chiller plant can be further improved without shortening the operation time interval. 80% redundant energy consumption has been reduced for the sample chiller plant; energy can be saved for chiller plants that work for years. The evaluation on the effect of cooling load forecasting accuracy turns out that the more accurate the forecasts are, the more redundant energy consumption can be reduced

Energy performance forecasting of residential buildings using fuzzy approaches

The energy consumption used for domestic purposes in Europe is, to a considerable extent, due to heating and cooling. This energy is produced mostly by burning fossil fuels, which has a high negative environmental impact. The characteristics of a building are an important factor to determine the necessities of heating and cooling loads. Therefore, the study of the relevant characteristics of the buildings, regarding the heating and cooling needed to maintain comfortable indoor air conditions, could be very useful in order to design and construct energy-efficient buildings. In previous studies, different machine-learning approaches have been used to predict heating and cooling loads from the set of variables: relative compactness, surface area, wall area, roof area, overall height, orientation, glazing area and glazing area distribution. However, none of these methods are based on fuzzy logic. In this research, we study two fuzzy logic approaches, i.e., fuzzy inductive reasoning (FIR) and adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), to deal with the same problem. Fuzzy approaches obtain very good results, outperforming all the methods described in previous studies except one. In this work, we also study the feature selection process of FIR methodology as a pre-processing tool to select the more relevant variables before the use of any predictive modelling methodology. It is proven that FIR feature selection provides interesting insights into the main building variables causally related to heating and cooling loads. This allows better decision making and design strategies, since accurate cooling and heating load estimations and correct identification of parameters that affect building energy demands are of high importance to optimize building designs and equipment specifications.Peer ReviewedPostprint (published version

Solar cooling: a case study

Throughout the years various methods for heat prevention and indoor temperatures control in the summer have been used. The alternative cooling strategies are based on various passive and low energy cooling technologies for protection of the buildings via design measures or special components to moderate the thermal gains, or to reject the excess heat to the ambient environment. All these techniques aim to reduce summer cooling loads and electricity demand for air conditioning. During the summer the demand for electricity increases because of the extensive use of heating ventilation air conditioning (HVAC) systems, which increase the peak electric load, causing major problems in the electric supply. The energy shortage is worse during ‘dry’ years because of the inability of the hydroelectric power stations to function and cover part of the peak load. The use of solar energy to drive cooling cycles for space conditioning of most buildings is an attractive concept, since the cooling load coincides generally with solar energy availability and therefore cooling requirements of a building are roughly in phase with the solar incidence. Solar cooling systems have the advantage of using absolutely harmless working fluids such as water, or solutions of certain salts. They are energy efficient and environmentally safe. The purpose of this paper is to describe a Solar Cooling System to be installed on the roof of a building in Rome, the headquarters of the State Monopoly. The medium size power plant is composed of the following components: − Solar Collectors; − Thermal Storage Tank; − Absorption Chiller; The plant design is based on a dynamic simulation in TRNSYS, a dynamic simulation tool used by engineers all over the world to make energy calculations in a transient state

Meeting Global Cooling Demand with Photovoltaics during the 21st Century

Space conditioning, and cooling in particular, is a key factor in human productivity and well-being across the globe. During the 21st century, global cooling demand is expected to grow significantly due to the increase in wealth and population in sunny nations across the globe and the advance of global warming. The same locations that see high demand for cooling are also ideal for electricity generation via photovoltaics (PV). Despite the apparent synergy between cooling demand and PV generation, the potential of the cooling sector to sustain PV generation has not been assessed on a global scale. Here, we perform a global assessment of increased PV electricity adoption enabled by the residential cooling sector during the 21st century. Already today, utilizing PV production for cooling could facilitate an additional installed PV capacity of approximately 540 GW, more than the global PV capacity of today. Using established scenarios of population and income growth, as well as accounting for future global warming, we further project that the global residential cooling sector could sustain an added PV capacity between 20-200 GW each year for most of the 21st century, on par with the current global manufacturing capacity of 100 GW. Furthermore, we find that without storage, PV could directly power approximately 50% of cooling demand, and that this fraction is set to increase from 49% to 56% during the 21st century, as cooling demand grows in locations where PV and cooling have a higher synergy. With this geographic shift in demand, the potential of distributed storage also grows. We simulate that with a 1 m$^3$ water-based latent thermal storage per household, the fraction of cooling demand met with PV would increase from 55% to 70% during the century. These results show that the synergy between cooling and PV is notable and could significantly accelerate the growth of the global PV industry

Meeting Global Cooling Demand with Photovoltaics during the 21st Century

Space conditioning, and cooling in particular, is a key factor in human productivity and well-being across the globe. During the 21st century, global cooling demand is expected to grow significantly due to the increase in wealth and population in sunny nations across the globe and the advance of global warming. The same locations that see high demand for cooling are also ideal for electricity generation via photovoltaics (PV). Despite the apparent synergy between cooling demand and PV generation, the potential of the cooling sector to sustain PV generation has not been assessed on a global scale. Here, we perform a global assessment of increased PV electricity adoption enabled by the residential cooling sector during the 21st century. Already today, utilizing PV production for cooling could facilitate an additional installed PV capacity of approximately 540 GW, more than the global PV capacity of today. Using established scenarios of population and income growth, as well as accounting for future global warming, we further project that the global residential cooling sector could sustain an added PV capacity between 20-200 GW each year for most of the 21st century, on par with the current global manufacturing capacity of 100 GW. Furthermore, we find that without storage, PV could directly power approximately 50% of cooling demand, and that this fraction is set to increase from 49% to 56% during the 21st century, as cooling demand grows in locations where PV and cooling have a higher synergy. With this geographic shift in demand, the potential of distributed storage also grows. We simulate that with a 1 m$^3$ water-based latent thermal storage per household, the fraction of cooling demand met with PV would increase from 55% to 70% during the century. These results show that the synergy between cooling and PV is notable and could significantly accelerate the growth of the global PV industry

Why advanced buildings don't work?

The intent of policy is to achieve robust comfortable low energy buildings. However there are obvious policy disconnects and, where there is evidence, it appears that in general advanced buildings do not achieve their intended performance. There are many industry and policy initiatives aimed at improving industry processes such as: Soft Landings, BREEAM, LEED, Green Star, AGBR and BIM. In this paper the performance of buildings likely to be promoted by current policy is investigated and a number of significant and recurring problems identified. The possibility that these problems will be resolved by current initiatives is discussed and it is concluded that important gaps remain to be addressed

Towards measurement and verification of energy performance under the framework of the European directive for energy performance of buildings

Directive 2002/91/EC of the European Parliament and Council on the Energy Performance of Buildings has led to major developments in energy policies followed by the EU Member States. The national energy performance targets for the built environment are mostly rooted in the Building Regulations that are shaped by this Directive. Article 3 of this Directive requires a methodology to calculate energy performance of buildings under standardised operating conditions. Overwhelming evidence suggests that actual energy performance is often significantly higher than this standardised and theoretical performance. The risk is national energy saving targets may not be achieved in practice. The UK evidence for the education and office sectors is presented in this paper. A measurement and verification plan is proposed to compare actual energy performance of a building with its theoretical performance using calibrated thermal modelling. Consequently, the intended vs. actual energy performance can be established under identical operating conditions. This can help identify the shortcomings of construction process and building procurement. Once energy performance gap is determined with reasonable accuracy and root causes identified, effective measures could be adopted to remedy or offset this gap

Cool roof technology in London: An experimental and modelling study

This is the post-print version of the final paper published in Journal of Energy and Buildings. The published article is available from the link below. Changes resulting from the publishing process, such as peer review, editing, corrections, structural formatting, and other quality control mechanisms may not be reflected in this document. Changes may have been made to this work since it was submitted for publication. Copyright @ 2011 Elsevier B.V.One of the primary reasons for the application of cool materials is their energy and associated environmental impact on the built environment. Cool materials are usually applied on the roof of buildings to reduce cooling energy demand. The relative benefits of this reduction depend on the construction of the building, external weather conditions and use of the building. This paper examines the impact from the application of a reflective paint on a flat roof in a naturally ventilated office building in the area of London, UK where the climate is moderate with high heating demand by buildings. The environmental conditions (internal/external air and surface temperatures) of the building were monitored before and after the application of the cool roof during the summer. It was found that internal temperatures were reduced after the application of the cool roof. The building was modelled using TRNSYS and the model was calibrated successfully using the measurements. A parametric analysis was carried out by varying the reflectivity and insulation of the roof and ventilation rate; the heating and cooling demand for a year was calculated using the Summer Design Year for London as the weather file. It was found that cooling demand is significantly reduced, heating demand is increased and the total energy savings vary between 1 and 8.5% relative to an albedo of 0.1 for the same conditions. In free floating (naturally ventilated) buildings summer comfort is improved but there is a penalty of increased heating energy during the winter. Thermal comfort can be improved by an average of 2.5 °C (operative temperature difference for a change of 0.5 in albedo) but heating demand could be increased by 10% for a ventilation rate of 2 air changes per hour. The results indicate that in the case of temperate climates the type, operation and thermal characteristics of the building should be considered carefully to determine potential benefits of the application of cool roof technology. For the examined case-study, it was found that a roof reflectivity of 0.6–0.7 is the optimum value to achieve energy savings in a cooled office, improve summer internal thermal conditions in a non-cooled office (albeit with some heating energy penalty). It indicates that it is a suitable strategy for refurbishment of existing offices to improve energy efficiency or internal environmental conditions in the summer and should be considered in the design of new offices together with other passive energy efficient strategies.Intelligent Energy Europe (IEE

Specifications for modelling fuel cell and combustion-based residential cogeneration device within whole-building simulation programs

This document contains the specifications for a series of residential cogeneration device models developed within IEA/ECBCS Annex 42. The devices covered are: solid oxide and polymer exchange membrane fuel cells (SOFC and PEM), and internal combustion and Stirling engine units (ICE and SE). These models have been developed for use within whole-building simulation programs and one or more of the models described herein have been integrated into the following simulation packages: ESP-r, EnergyPlus, TRNSYS and IDA-ICE. The models have been designed to predict the energy performance of cogeneration devices when integrated into a residential building (dwelling). The models account for thermal performance (dynamic thermal performance in the case of the combustion engine models), electrochemical and combustion reactions where appropriate, along with electrical power output. All of the devices are modelled at levels of detail appropriate for whole-building simulation tools