A big data MapReduce framework for fault diagnosis in cloud-based manufacturing

This research develops a MapReduce framework for automatic pattern recognition based on fault diagnosis by solving data imbalance problem in a cloud-based manufacturing (CBM). Fault diagnosis in a CBM system significantly contributes to reduce the product testing cost and enhances manufacturing quality. One of the major challenges facing the big data analytics in cloud-based manufacturing is handling of datasets, which are highly imbalanced in nature due to poor classification result when machine learning techniques are applied on such datasets. The framework proposed in this research uses a hybrid approach to deal with big dataset for smarter decisions. Furthermore, we compare the performance of radial basis function based Support Vector Machine classifier with standard techniques. Our findings suggest that the most important task in cloud-based manufacturing, is to predict the effect of data errors on quality due to highly imbalance unstructured dataset. The proposed framework is an original contribution to the body of literature, where our proposed MapReduce framework has been used for fault detection by managing data imbalance problem appropriately and relating it to firm’s profit function. The experimental results are validated using a case study of steel plate manufacturing fault diagnosis, with crucial performance matrices such as accuracy, specificity and sensitivity. A comparative study shows that the methods used in the proposed framework outperform the traditional ones

Modeling the Telemarketing Process using Genetic Algorithms and Extreme Boosting: Feature Selection and Cost-Sensitive Analytical Approach

Currently, almost all direct marketing activities take place virtually rather than in person, weakening interpersonal skills at an alarming pace. Furthermore, businesses have been striving to sense and foster the tendency of their clients to accept a marketing offer. The digital transformation and the increased virtual presence forced firms to seek novel marketing research approaches. This research aims at leveraging the power of telemarketing data in modeling the willingness of clients to make a term deposit and finding the most significant characteristics of the clients. Real-world data from a Portuguese bank and national socio-economic metrics are used to model the telemarketing decision-making process. This research makes two key contributions. First, propose a novel genetic algorithm-based classifier to select the best discriminating features and tune classifier parameters simultaneously. Second, build an explainable prediction model. The best-generated classification models were intensively validated using 50 times repeated 10-fold stratified cross-validation and the selected features have been analyzed. The models significantly outperform the related works in terms of class of interest accuracy, they attained an average of 89.07\% and 0.059 in terms of geometric mean and type I error respectively. The model is expected to maximize the potential profit margin at the least possible cost and provide more insights to support marketing decision-making

An enhanced resampling technique for imbalanced data sets

A data set is considered imbalanced if the distribution of instances in one class (majority class) outnumbers the other class (minority class). The main problem related to binary imbalanced data sets is classifiers tend to ignore the minority class. Numerous resampling techniques such as undersampling, oversampling, and a combination of both techniques have been widely used. However, the undersampling and oversampling techniques suffer from elimination and addition of relevant data which may lead to poor classification results. Hence, this study aims to increase classification metrics by enhancing the undersampling technique and combining it with an existing oversampling technique. To achieve this objective, a Fuzzy Distancebased Undersampling (FDUS) is proposed. Entropy estimation is used to produce fuzzy thresholds to categorise the instances in majority and minority class into membership functions. FDUS is then combined with the Synthetic Minority Oversampling TEchnique (SMOTE) known as FDUS+SMOTE, which is executed in sequence until a balanced data set is achieved. FDUS and FDUS+SMOTE are compared with four techniques based on classification accuracy, F-measure and Gmean. From the results, FDUS achieved better classification accuracy, F-measure and G-mean, compared to the other techniques with an average of 80.57%, 0.85 and 0.78, respectively. This showed that fuzzy logic when incorporated with Distance-based Undersampling technique was able to reduce the elimination of relevant data. Further, the findings showed that FDUS+SMOTE performed better than combination of SMOTE and Tomek Links, and SMOTE and Edited Nearest Neighbour on benchmark data sets. FDUS+SMOTE has minimised the removal of relevant data from the majority class and avoid overfitting. On average, FDUS and FDUS+SMOTE were able to balance categorical, integer and real data sets and enhanced the performance of binary classification. Furthermore, the techniques performed well on small record size data sets that have of instances in the range of approximately 100 to 800

Associative learning on imbalanced environments: An empirical study

Associative memories have emerged as a powerful computational neural network model for several pattern classification problems. Like most traditional classifiers, these models assume that the classes share similar prior probabilities. However, in many real-life applications the ratios of prior probabilities between classes are extremely skewed. Although the literature has provided numerous studies that examine the performance degradation of renowned classifiers on different imbalanced scenarios, so far this effect has not been supported by a thorough empirical study in the context of associative memories. In this paper, we fix our attention on the applicability of the associative neural networks to the classification of imbalanced data. The key questions here addressed are whether these models perform better, the same or worse than other popular classifiers, how the level of imbalance affects their performance, and whether distinct resampling strategies produce a different impact on the associative memories. In order to answer these questions and gain further insight into the feasibility and efficiency of the associative memories, a large-scale experimental evaluation with 31 databases, seven classification models and four resampling algorithms is carried out here, along with a non-parametric statistical test to discover any significant differences between each pair of classifiers.This work has partially been supported by the Mexican Science and Technology Council (CONACYT-Mexico) through the Postdoctoral Fellowship Program (232167), the Mexican PRODEP(DSA/103.5/15/7004), the Spanish Ministry of Economy(TIN2013-46522-P) and the Generalitat Valenciana (PROMETEOII/2014/062)

COMPARISON OF BANKRUPTCY PREDICTION MODELS WITH PUBLIC RECORDS AND FIRMOGRAPHICS

Many business operations and strategies rely on bankruptcy prediction. In this paper, we aim to study the impacts of public records and firmographics and predict the bankruptcy in a 12-month-ahead period with using different classification models and adding values to traditionally used financial ratios. Univariate analysis shows the statistical association and significance of public records and firmographics indicators with the bankruptcy. Further, seven statistical models and machine learning methods were developed, including Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Random Forest, Gradient Boosting, Support Vector Machine, Bayesian Network, and Neural Network. The performance of models were evaluated and compared based on classification accuracy, Type I error, Type II error, and ROC curves on the hold-out dataset. Moreover, an experiment was set up to show the importance of oversampling for rare event prediction. The result also shows that Bayesian Network is comparatively more robust than other models without oversampling

Learning With An Insufficient Supply Of Data Via Knowledge Transfer And Sharing

As machine learning methods extend to more complex and diverse set of problems, situations arise where the complexity and availability of data presents a situation where the information source is not adequate to generate a representative hypothesis. Learning from multiple sources of data is a promising research direction as researchers leverage ever more diverse sources of information. Since data is not readily available, knowledge has to be transferred from other sources and new methods (both supervised and un-supervised) have to be developed to selectively share and transfer knowledge. In this dissertation, we present both supervised and un-supervised techniques to tackle a problem where learning algorithms cannot generalize and require an extension to leverage knowledge from different sources of data. Knowledge transfer is a difficult problem as diverse sources of data can overwhelm each individual dataset\u27s distribution and a careful set of transformations has to be applied to increase the relevant knowledge at the risk of biasing a dataset\u27s distribution and inducing negative transfer that can degrade a learner\u27s performance. We give an overview of the issues encountered when the learning dataset does not have a sufficient supply of training examples. We categorize the structure of small datasets and highlight the need for further research. We present an instance-transfer supervised classification algorithm to improve classification performance in a target dataset via knowledge transfer from an auxiliary dataset. The improved classification performance of our algorithm is demonstrated with several real-world experiments. We extend the instance-transfer paradigm to supervised classification with Absolute Rarity\u27 , where a dataset has an insufficient supply of training examples and a skewed class distribution. We demonstrate one solution with a transfer learning approach and another with an imbalanced learning approach and demonstrate the effectiveness of our algorithms with several real world text and demographics classification problems (among others). We present an unsupervised multi-task clustering algorithm where several small datasets are simultaneously clustered and knowledge is transferred between the datasets to improve clustering performance on each individual dataset and we demonstrate the improved clustering performance with an extensive set of experiments

Estudio de métodos de construcción de ensembles de clasificadores y aplicaciones

La inteligencia artificial se dedica a la creación de sistemas informáticos con un comportamiento inteligente. Dentro de este área el aprendizaje computacional estudia la creación de sistemas que aprenden por sí mismos. Un tipo de aprendizaje computacional es el aprendizaje supervisado, en el cual, se le proporcionan al sistema tanto las entradas como la salida esperada y el sistema aprende a partir de estos datos. Un sistema de este tipo se denomina clasificador. En ocasiones ocurre, que en el conjunto de ejemplos que utiliza el sistema para aprender, el número de ejemplos de un tipo es mucho mayor que el número de ejemplos de otro tipo. Cuando esto ocurre se habla de conjuntos desequilibrados. La combinación de varios clasificadores es lo que se denomina "ensemble", y a menudo ofrece mejores resultados que cualquiera de los miembros que lo forman. Una de las claves para el buen funcionamiento de los ensembles es la diversidad. Esta tesis, se centra en el desarrollo de nuevos algoritmos de construcción de ensembles, centrados en técnicas de incremento de la diversidad y en los problemas desequilibrados. Adicionalmente, se aplican estas técnicas a la solución de varias problemas industriales.Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad, proyecto TIN-2011-2404

An Examination of the Smote and Other Smote-based Techniques That Use Synthetic Data to Oversample the Minority Class in the Context of Credit-Card Fraud Classification

This research project seeks to investigate some of the different sampling techniques that generate and use synthetic data to oversample the minority class as a means of handling the imbalanced distribution between non-fraudulent (majority class) and fraudulent (minority class) classes in a credit-card fraud dataset. The purpose of the research project is to assess the effectiveness of these techniques in the context of fraud detection which is a highly imbalanced and cost-sensitive dataset. Machine learning tasks that require learning from datasets that are highly unbalanced have difficulty learning since many of the traditional learning algorithms are not designed to cope with large differentials between classes. For that reason, various different methods have been developed to help tackle this problem. Oversampling and undersampling are examples of techniques that help deal with the class imbalance problem through sampling. This paper will evaluate oversampling techniques that use synthetic data to balance the minority class. The idea of using synthetic data to compensate for the minority class was first proposed by (Chawla et al., 2002). The technique is known as Synthetic Minority Over-Sampling Technique (SMOTE). Following the development of the technique, other techniques were developed from it. This paper will evaluate the SMOTE technique along with other also popular SMOTE-based extensions of the original technique