Developing new models for flyrock distance assessment in open-pit mines

Peer ReviewedObjectius de Desenvolupament Sostenible::9 - Indústria, Innovació i InfraestructuraPostprint (published version

Design of a predictive model of a rock breakage by blasting using artificial neural networks

Over the years, various models have been developed in the stages of the mining process that have allowed predicting and enhancing results, but it is the breakage, the variable that connects all the activities of the mining process from the point of view of costs (drilling, blasting, loading, hauling, crushing and grinding). To improve this process, we have designed and developed a computational model based on an Artificial Neural Network (ANN), the same that was built using the most representative variables such as the properties of explosives, the geomechanical parameters of the rock mass, and the design parameters of drill-blasting. For the training and validation of the model, we have taken the data from a copper mine as reference located in the north of Chile. The ANN architecture was of the supervised type containing: an input layer, a hidden layer with 13 neurons and an output layer that includes the sigmoid activation function with symmetrical properties for optimal model convergence. The ANN model was fed-back in its learning with training data until it becomes perfected, and due to the experimental results obtained, it is a valid prediction option that can be used in future blasting of ore deposits with similar characteristics using the same representative variables considered. Therefore, it constitutes a valid alternative for predicting rock breakage, given that it has been experimentally validated, with moderately reliable results, providing higher correlation coefficients than traditional models used, and with the additional advantage that an ANN model provides, due to its ability to learn and recognize collected data patterns. In this way, using this computer model we can obtain satisfactory results that allow us to predict breakage in similar scenarios, providing an alternative for evaluating the costs that this entails as a contribution to the work

Prediction of blast-induced ground vibration at a limestone quarry : an artificial intelligence approach

Ground vibration is one of the most unfavourable environmental effects of blasting activities, which can cause serious damage to neighboring homes and structures. As a result, effective forecasting of their severity is critical to controlling and reducing their recurrence. There are several conventional vibration predictor equations available proposed by different researchers but most of them are based on only two parameters, i.e., explosive charge used per delay and distance between blast face to the monitoring point. It is a well-known fact that blasting results are influenced by a number of blast design parameters, such as burden, spacing, powder factor, etc. but these are not being considered in any of the available conventional predictors and due to that they show a high error in predicting blast vibrations. Nowadays, artificial intelligence has been widely used in blast engineering. Thus, three artificial intelligence approaches, namely Gaussian process regression (GPR), extreme learning machine (ELM) and backpropagation neural network (BPNN) were used in this study to estimate ground vibration caused by blasting in Shree Cement Ras Limestone Mine in India. To achieve that aim, 101 blasting datasets with powder factor, average depth, distance, spacing, burden, charge weight, and stemming length as input parameters were collected from the mine site. For comparison purposes, a simple multivariate regression analysis (MVRA) model as well as, a nonparametric regression-based technique known as multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS) was also constructed using the same datasets. This study serves as a foundational study for the comparison of GPR, BPNN, ELM, MARS and MVRA to ascertain their respective predictive performances. Eighty-one (81) datasets representing 80% of the total blasting datasets were used to construct and train the various predictive models while 20 data samples (20%) were utilized for evaluating the predictive capabilities of the developed predictive models. Using the testing datasets, major indicators of performance, namely mean squared error (MSE), variance accounted for (VAF), correlation coefficient (R) and coefficient of determination (R2) were compared as statistical evaluators of model performance. This study revealed that the GPR model exhibited superior predictive capability in comparison to the MARS, BPNN, ELM and MVRA. The GPR model showed the highest VAF, R and R2 values of 99.1728%, 0.9985 and 0.9971 respectively and the lowest MSE of 0.0903. As a result, the blast engineer can employ GPR as an effective and appropriate method for forecasting blast-induced ground vibration. © 2022 by the authors

Prediction of blasting mean fragment size using support vector regression combined with five optimization algorithms

The main purpose of blasting operation is to produce desired and optimum mean size rock fragments. Smaller or fine fragments cause the loss of ore during loading and transportation, whereas large or coarser fragments need to be further processed, which enhances production cost. Therefore, accurate prediction of rock fragmentation is crucial in blasting operations. Mean fragment size (MFS) is a crucial index that measures the goodness of blasting designs. Over the past decades, various models have been proposed to evaluate and predict blasting fragmentation. Among these models, artificial intelligence (AI)-based models are becoming more popular due to their outstanding prediction results for multi-influential factors. In this study, support vector regression (SVR) techniques are adopted as the basic prediction tools, and five types of optimization algorithms, i.e. grid search (GS), grey wolf optimization (GWO), particle swarm optimization (PSO), genetic algorithm (GA) and salp swarm algorithm (SSA), are implemented to improve the prediction performance and optimize the hyper-parameters. The prediction model involves 19 influential factors that constitute a comprehensive blasting MFS evaluation system based on AI techniques. Among all the models, the GWO-v-SVR-based model shows the best comprehensive performance in predicting MFS in blasting operation. Three types of mathematical indices, i.e. mean square error (MSE), coefficient of determination (R2) and variance accounted for (VAF), are utilized for evaluating the performance of different prediction models. The R2, MSE and VAF values for the training set are 0.8355, 0.00138 and 80.98, respectively, whereas 0.8353, 0.00348 and 82.41, respectively for the testing set. Finally, sensitivity analysis is performed to understand the influence of input parameters on MFS. It shows that the most sensitive factor in blasting MFS is the uniaxial compressive strength. © 2021 Institute of Rock and Soil Mechanics, Chinese Academy of Science

Rock mass classification for predicting environmental impact of blasting on tropically weathered rock

Tropical climate and post tectonic impact on the rock mass cause severe and deep weathering in complex rock formations. The uniqueness of tropical influence on the geoengineering properties of rock mass leads to significant effects on blast performance especially in the developmental stage. Different rock types such as limestone and granite exhibit different weathering effects which require special attention for classifying rock mass for blastability purpose. Rock mass classification systems have been implemented for last century for various applications to simplify complexity of rock mass. Several research studies have been carried out on rock mass and material properties for five classes of weathered rock- fresh, slightly, moderately, highly and completely weathered rock. There is wide variation in rock mass properties- heterogeneity and strength of weathered rocks in different weathering zones which cause environmental effects due to blasting. Several researchers have developed different techniques for prediction of air overpressure (AOp), peak particle velocity (PPV) and flyrock primarily for production blast. These techniques may not be suitable for prediction of blast performance in development benches in tropically weathered rock mass. In this research, blast monitoring program were carried out from a limestone quarry and two granite quarries. Due to different nature of properties, tropically weathered rock mass was classified as massive, blocky and fractured rock for simpler evaluation of development blast performance. Weathering Index (WI) is introduced based on porosity, water absorption and Point Load Index (PLI) strength properties of rock. Weathering index, porosity index, water absorption index and point load index ratio showed decreasing trend from massive to fractured tropically weathered rock. On the other hand, Block Weathering Index (BWI) was developed based on hypothetical values of exploration data and computational model. Ten blasting data sets were collected for analysis with blasting data varying from 105 to 166 per data set for AOp, PPV and flyrock. For granite, one data set each was analyzed for AOp and PPV and balance five data sets were analyzed for flyrock in granite by variation in input parameters. For prediction of blasting performance, varied techniques such as empirical equations, multivariable regression analysis (MVRA), hypothetical model, computational techniques (artificial intelligence-AI, machine learning- ML) and graphical charts. Measured values of blast performance was also compared with prediction techniques used by previous researchers. Blastability Index (BI), powder factor, WI are found suitable for prediction of all blast performance. Maximum charge per delay, distance of monitoring point are found to be critical factors for prediction of AOp and PPV. Stiffness ratio is found to be a crucial factor for flyrock especially during developmental blast. Empirical equations developed for prediction of PPV in fractured, blocky, and massive limestone showed R2 (0.82, 0.54, and 0.23) respectively confirming that there is an impact of weathering on blasting performance. Best fit equation was developed with multivariable regression analysis (MVRA) with measured blast performance values and input parameters. Prediction of flyrock for granite with MVRA for massive, blocky and fractured demonstrated R2 (0.8843, 0.86, 0.9782) respectively. WI and BWI were interchangeably used and results showed comparable results. For limestone, AOp analysed with model PSO-ANN showed R2(0.961); PPV evaluated with model FA-ANN produced R2 (0.966). For flyrock in granite with prediction model GWO-ANFIS showed R2 (1) The same data set was analysed by replacing WI with BWI showed equivalent results. Model ANFIS produced R2 (1). It is found the best performing models were PSO-ANN for AOp, FA-ANN for PPV and GWO-ANFIS for flyrock. Prediction charts were developed for AOp, PPV and flyrock for simple in use by site personnel. Blastability index and weathering index showed variation with reclassified weathering zones – massive, blocky and fractured and they are useful input parameters for prediction of blast performance in tropically weathered rock

Risk assessment of blasting operations in open pit mines using FAHP method

Purpose. In the mining blasting operation, fragmentation is the most important output. Fly rock, ground vibration, air blast, and environmental effects are detrimental effects of blasting operations. Identifying and ranking the risk of blasting operations is considered as the most important stage in project management. Methods. In this research, the problem of identifying and ranking the factors constituting the risk in blasting operations is considered with the methodology of the Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process (FAHP). Criteria and sub-criteria have been determined based on historical research studies, field studies, and expert opinions for designing a hierarchical process. Findings. Based on FAHP scores, non-control of the sub-criterion of health and safety (C3), blast operation results (C18) and knowledge, and skill and staffing (C2) with a score of 0.377, 0.334, and 0.294 respectively are the most effective sub-criterion for the creation of blasting operations risk. According to the score, the sub-criterion C18 is the most effective sub-criterion in providing the blasting operations risk. Effects and results of blasting operations (D8), with a score of 0.334 as the most effective criterion, and natural hazards (D10), with a score of 0.015, were the last priorities in the factors causing blasting operations risk. Originality. Regarding the risk rating of blasting operations, the control of the sub-criteria C3, C18, and C2, and the D8 criterion, is of particular importance in reducing the risk of blasting operations and improving project management. Practical implications. The evaluation of human resource performance and increase in the level of knowledge and skills and occupational safety and control of all outputs of blasting operations is necessary. Therefore, selecting the most important project risks and taking actions to remove them is essential for risk management.Мета. Визначення ризиків проведення вибухових робіт та їх оцінка на основі використанням нечіткого методу аналізу ієрархій (НМАІ) для покращення управління якістю проектів. Методика. В рамках даного дослідження, проблеми визначення та оцінки ризиків вибухових робіт розглядалися із застосуванням нечіткого методу аналізу ієрархій. На базі аналізу історичних даних і польового дослідження з урахуванням експертних оцінок були визначені критерії та підкритерії для побудови ієрархій. Результати. За результатами НМАІ, неконтролюючий підкритерій здоров’я та безпеки (С3), підкритерій результатів вибухових робіт (С18), знань, умінь і кадрів (С2) зі значеннями 0.377, 0.334 і 0.294 відповідно найбільш ефективні в появі ризику проведення вибухових робіт. Підкритерій С18 чинить найбільший вплив на ризик проведення вибухових робіт. Критерій результатів і наслідків вибухових робіт (D8) з найефективнішим значенням 0.334 та критерій природних катастроф (D10) зі значенням 0.015 є останніми пріоритетами серед чинників, які визначають ризик проведення вибухових робіт. Наукова новизна. Отримав доповнення та подальший розвиток науково-методичний підхід до визначення ризиків при проведенні вибухових робіт, заснований на їх ранжуванні з використанням системи виявлених критеріїв і підкритеріїв методом НМАІ. Практична значимість. Для успішного керування проектом важливо визначати найсерйозніші ризики проекту й вжити заходів щодо їх усунення. Відносно ранжирування ризиків проведення вибухових робіт управління підкритеріями C3, C18 і C2, а також критерієм D8, особливо важливо для зниження цих ризиків та покращення якості управління проектом.Цель. Определение рисков проведения взрывных работ и их оценка на основе использования нечеткого метода анализа иерархий (НМАИ) для улучшения управления качеством проектов. Методика. В рамках данного исследования, проблемы определения и оценки рисков взрывных работ рассматривались с применением нечеткого метода анализа иерархий. На базе анализа исторических данных и полевого исследования с учетом экспертных оценок были определены, критерии и подкритерии для построения иерархий. Результаты. По результатам НМАИ, неконтролирующий подкритерий здоровья и безопасности (С3), подкритерий результатов взрывных работ (С18), знаний, умений и кадров (С2) со значениями 0.377, 0.334 и 0.294 соответственно наиболее эффективны в появлении риска проведения взрывных работ. Подкритерий С18 оказывает самое большое влияние на риск проведения взрывных работ. Критерий результатов и последствий взрывных работ (D8) с самым эффективным значением 0.334 и критерий природных катастроф (D10) со значением 0.015 являются последними приоритетами среди факторов, которые определяют риск проведения взрывных работ. Научная новизна. Получил дополнение и дальнейшее развитие научно-методический подход к определению рисков при проведении взрывных работ, основанный на их ранжировании с использованием системы выявленных критериев и подкритериев методом НМАИ. Практическая значимость. Для успешного руководства проектом важно определять самые серьезные риски проекта и предпринять действия по их устранению. В отношении ранжирования рисков проведения взрывных работ управление подкритериями C3, C18 и C2, а также критерием D8, особенно важно для снижения этих рисков и улучшения руководства проектом.The authors would like to thank Mining Engineering Department, Islamic Azad University (South Tehran Branch) for supporting this research

Prediction of blast-induced air overpressure using a hybrid machine learning model and gene expression programming (GEP) : a case study from an iron ore mine

Mine blasting can have a destructive effect on the environment. Among these effects, air overpressure (AOp) is a major concern. Therefore, a careful assessment of the AOp intensity should be conducted before any blasting operation in order to minimize the associated environmental detriment. Several empirical models have been established to predict and control AOp. However, the current empirical methods have many limitations, including low accuracy, poor generalizability, consideration only of linear relationships among influencing parameters, and investigation of only a few influencing parameters. Thus, the current research presents a hybrid model which combines an extreme gradient boosting algorithm (XGB) with grey wolf optimization (GWO) for accurately predicting AOp. Furthermore, an empirical model and gene expression programming (GEP) were used to assess the validity of the hybrid model (XGB-GWO). An analysis of 66 blastings with their corresponding AOp values and influential parameters was conducted to achieve the goals of this research. The efficiency of AOp prediction methods was evaluated in terms of mean absolute error (MAE), coefficient of determination (R 2 ), and root mean square error (RMSE). Based on the calculations, the XGB-GWO model has performed as well as the empirical and GEP models. Next, the most significant parameters for predicting AOp were determined using a sensitivity analysis. Based on the analysis results, stemming length and rock quality designation (RQD) were identified as two variables with the greatest influence. This study showed that the proposed XGB-GWO method was robust and applicable for predicting AOp driven by blasting operations

Tunnel boring machine performance prediction in tropically weathered granite through empirical and computational methods

Many works highlight the use of effective parameters in Tunnel Boring Machine (TBM) performance predictive models. However, there is a lack of study considering the effects of tropically weathered rock mass in these models. This research aims to develop several models for predicting Penetration Rate (PR) and Advance Rate (AR) of TBMs in fresh, slightly weathered and moderately weathered zones in granite. To achieve these objectives, an extensive study on 12,649 m of the Pahang- Selangor Raw Water Transfer (PSRWT) tunnel in Malaysia was carried out. The most influential parameters on TBM performance in terms of rock (mass and material) properties and machine specifications were investigated. A database consisting the tunnel length of 5,443 m, 5,530 m and 1,676 m representing fresh, slightly weathered and moderately weathered zones, respectively was analysed. Based on field mapping and laboratory study, a considerable difference of rock mass and material characteristics has been observed. In order to demonstrate the need for developing new models for prediction of TBM performance, two empirical models namely QTBM and Rock Mass Excavatability (RME) were analysed. It was found that empirical models could not predict TBM performance of various weathering zones satisfactorily. Then, multiple regression (i.e. linear and non-linear) analyses were applied to develop new equations for estimating PR and AR. The performance capacity of the multiple regression models could be increased in the mentioned weathering states with overall coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.6. Furthermore, two hybrid intelligent systems (i.e. combination of artificial neural network with particle swarm optimisation and imperialism competitive algorithm) were developed as new techniques in field of TBM performance. By incorporating weathering state as input parameter in hybrid intelligent systems, performance capacity of these models can be significantly improved (R2 = 0.9). With a newly-proposed systems, the results demonstrate superiority of these models in predicting TBM performance in tropically weathered granite compared to other existing and proposed techniques

An advanced computational intelligent framework to predict shear sonic velocity with application to mechanical rock classification

Shear sonic wave velocity (Vs) has a wide variety of implications, from reservoir management and development to geomechanical and geophysical studies. In the current study, two approaches were adopted to predict shear sonic wave velocities (Vs) from several petrophysical well logs, including gamma ray (GR), density (RHOB), neutron (NPHI), and compressional sonic wave velocity (Vp). For this purpose, five intelligent models of random forest (RF), extra tree (ET), Gaussian process regression (GPR), and the integration of adaptive neuro fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) with differential evolution (DE) and imperialist competitive algorithm (ICA) optimizers were implemented. In the first approach, the target was estimated based only on Vp, and the second scenario predicted Vs from the integration of Vp, GR, RHOB, and NPHI inputs. In each scenario, 8061 data points belonging to an oilfield located in the southwest of Iran were investigated. The ET model showed a lower average absolute percent relative error (AAPRE) compared to other models for both approaches. Considering the first approach in which the Vp was the only input, the obtained AAPRE values for RF, ET, GPR, ANFIS + DE, and ANFIS + ICA models are 1.54%, 1.34%, 1.54%, 1.56%, and 1.57%, respectively. In the second scenario, the achieved AAPRE values for RF, ET, GPR, ANFIS + DE, and ANFIS + ICA models are 1.25%, 1.03%, 1.16%, 1.63%, and 1.49%, respectively. The Williams plot proved the validity of both one-input and four-inputs ET model. Regarding the ET model constructed based on only one variable,Williams plot interestingly showed that all 8061 data points are valid data. Also, the outcome of the Leverage approach for the ET model designed with four inputs highlighted that there are only 240 "out of leverage" data sets. In addition, only 169 data are suspected. Also, the sensitivity analysis results typified that the Vp has a higher effect on the target parameter (Vs) than other implemented inputs. Overall, the second scenario demonstrated more satisfactory Vs predictions due to the lower obtained errors of its developed models. Finally, the two ET models with the linear regression model, which is of high interest to the industry, were applied to diagnose candidate layers along the formation for hydraulic fracturing. While the linear regression model fails to accurately trace variations of rock properties, the intelligent models successfully detect brittle intervals consistent with field measurements

Rock-burst occurrence prediction based on optimized naïve bayes models

Rock-burst is a common failure in hard rock related projects in civil and mining construction and therefore, proper classification and prediction of this phenomenon is of interest. This research presents the development of optimized naïve Bayes models, in predicting rock-burst failures in underground projects. The naïve Bayes models were optimized using four weight optimization techniques including forward, backward, particle swarm optimization, and evolutionary. An evolutionary random forest model was developed to identify the most significant input parameters. The maximum tangential stress, elastic energy index, and uniaxial tensile stress were then selected by the feature selection technique (i.e., evolutionary random forest) to develop the optimized naïve Bayes models. The performance of the models was assessed using various criteria as well as a simple ranking system. The results of this research showed that particle swarm optimization was the most effective technique in improving the accuracy of the naïve Bayes model for rock-burst prediction (cumulative ranking = 21), while the backward technique was the worst weight optimization technique (cumulative ranking = 11). All the optimized naïve Bayes models identified the maximum tangential stress as the most significant parameter in predicting rock-burst failures. The results of this research demonstrate that particle swarm optimization technique may improve the accuracy of naïve Bayes algorithms in predicting rock-burst occurrence. © 2013 IEEE