Early detection of health changes in the elderly using in-home multi-sensor data streams

The rapid aging of the population worldwide requires increased attention from health care providers and the entire society. For the elderly to live independently, many health issues related to old age, such as frailty and risk of falling, need increased attention and monitoring. When monitoring daily routines for older adults, it is desirable to detect the early signs of health changes before serious health events, such as hospitalizations, happen, so that timely and adequate preventive care may be provided. By deploying multi-sensor systems in homes of the elderly, we can track trajectories of daily behaviors in a feature space defined using the sensor data. In this work, we investigate a methodology for learning data distribution from streaming data and tracking the evolution of the behavior trajectories over long periods (years) using high dimensional streaming clustering and provide very early indicators of changes in health. If we assume that habitual behaviors correspond to clusters in feature space and diseases produce a change in behavior, albeit not highly specific, tracking trajectory deviations can provide hints of early illness. Retrospectively, we visualize the streaming clustering results and track how the behavior clusters evolve in feature space with the help of two dimension-reduction algorithms, Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and t-distributed Stochastic Neighbor Embedding (t-SNE). Moreover, our tracking algorithm in the original high dimensional feature space generates early health warning alerts if a negative trend is detected in the behavior trajectory. We validated our algorithm on synthetic data, real-world data and tested it on a pilot dataset of four TigerPlace residents monitored with a collection of motion, bed, and depth sensors over ten years. We used the TigerPlace electronic health records (EHR) to understand the residents' behavior patterns and to evaluate and explain the health warnings generated by our algorithm. The results obtained on the TigerPlace dataset show that most of the warnings produced by our algorithm can be linked to health events documented in the EHR, providing strong support for a prospective deployment of the approach.Includes bibliographical references

Temporal decision making using unsupervised learning

With the explosion of ubiquitous continuous sensing, on-line streaming clustering continues to attract attention. The requirements are that the streaming clustering algorithm recognize and adapt clusters as the data evolves, that anomalies are detected, and that new clusters are automatically formed as incoming data dictate. In this dissertation, we develop a streaming clustering algorithm, MU Streaming Clustering (MUSC), that is based on coupling a Gaussian mixture model (GMM) with possibilistic clustering to build an adaptive system for analyzing streaming multi-dimensional activity feature vectors. For this reason, the possibilistic C-Means (PCM) and Automatic Merging Possibilistic Clustering Method (AMPCM) are combined together to cluster the initial data points, detect anomalies and initialize the GMM. MUSC achieves our goals when tested on synthetic and real-life datasets. We also compare MUSC's performance with Sequential k-means (sk-means), Basic Sequential Clustering Algorithm (BSAS), and Modified BSAS (MBSAS) here MUSC shows superiority in the performance and accuracy. The performance of a streaming clustering algorithm needs to be monitored over time to understand the behavior of the streaming data in terms of new emerging clusters and number of outlier data points. Incremental internal Validity Indices (iCVIs) are used to monitor the performance of an on-line clustering algorithm. We study the internal incremental Davies-Bouldin (DB), Xie-Beni (XB), and Dunn internal cluster validity indices in the context of streaming data analysis. We extend the original incremental DB (iDB) to a more general version parameterized by the exponent of membership weights. Then we illustrate how the iDB can be used to analyze and understand the performance of MUSC algorithm. We give examples that illustrate the appearance of a new cluster, the effect of different cluster sizes, handling of outlier data samples, and the effect of the input order on the resultant cluster history. In addition, we investigate the internal incremental Davies-Bouldin (iDB) cluster validity index in the context of big streaming data analysis. We analyze the effect of large numbers of samples on the values of the iCVI (iDB). We also develop online versions of two modified generalized Dunn's indices that can be used for dynamic evaluation of evolving (cluster) structure in streaming data. We argue that this method is a good way to monitor the ongoing performance of online clustering algorithms and we illustrate several types of inferences that can be drawn from such indices. We compare the two new indices to the incremental Xie-Beni and Davies-Bouldin indices, which to our knowledge offer the only comparable approach, with numerical examples on a variety of synthetic and real data sets. We also study the performance of MUSC and iCVIs with big streaming data applications. We show the advantage of iCVIs in monitoring large streaming datasets and in providing useful information about the data stream in terms of emergence of a new structure, amount of outlier data, size of the clusters, and order of data samples in each cluster. We also propose a way to project streaming data into a lower space for cases where the distance measure does not perform as expected in the high dimensional space. Another example of streaming is the data acivity data coming from TigerPlace and other elderly residents' apartments in and around Columbia. MO. TigerPlace is an eldercare facility that promotes aging-in-place in Columbia Missouri. Eldercare monitoring using non-wearable sensors is a candidate solution for improving care and reducing costs. Abnormal sensor patterns produced by certain resident behaviors could be linked to early signs of illness. We propose an unsupervised method for detecting abnormal behavior patterns based on a new context preserving representation of daily activities. A preliminary analysis of the method was conducted on data collected in TigerPlace. Sensor firings of each day are converted into sequences of daily activities. Then, building a histogram from the daily sequences of a resident, we generate a single data vector representing that day. Using the proposed method, a day with hundreds of sequences is converted into a single data point representing that day and preserving the context of the daily routine at the same time. We obtained an average Area Under the Curve (AUC) of 0.9 in detecting days where elder adults need to be assessed. Our approach outperforms other approaches on the same datset. Using the context preserving representation, we develoed a multi-dimensional alert system to improve the existing single-dimensional alert system in TigerPlace. Also, this represenation is used to develop a framework that utilizes sensor sequence similarity and medical concepts extracted from the EHR to automatically inform the nursing staff when health problems are detected. Our context preserving representation of daily activities is used to measure the similarity between the sensor sequences of different days. The medical concepts are extracted from the nursing notes using MetamapLite, an NLP tool included in the Unified Medical Language System (UMLS). The proposed idea is validated on two pilot datasets from twelve Tiger Place residents, with a total of 5810 sensor days out of which 1966 had nursing notes

Recent advances in directional statistics

Mainstream statistical methodology is generally applicable to data observed in Euclidean space. There are, however, numerous contexts of considerable scientific interest in which the natural supports for the data under consideration are Riemannian manifolds like the unit circle, torus, sphere and their extensions. Typically, such data can be represented using one or more directions, and directional statistics is the branch of statistics that deals with their analysis. In this paper we provide a review of the many recent developments in the field since the publication of Mardia and Jupp (1999), still the most comprehensive text on directional statistics. Many of those developments have been stimulated by interesting applications in fields as diverse as astronomy, medicine, genetics, neurology, aeronautics, acoustics, image analysis, text mining, environmetrics, and machine learning. We begin by considering developments for the exploratory analysis of directional data before progressing to distributional models, general approaches to inference, hypothesis testing, regression, nonparametric curve estimation, methods for dimension reduction, classification and clustering, and the modelling of time series, spatial and spatio-temporal data. An overview of currently available software for analysing directional data is also provided, and potential future developments discussed.Comment: 61 page

Exploring the Landscape of Ubiquitous In-home Health Monitoring: A Comprehensive Survey

Ubiquitous in-home health monitoring systems have become popular in recent years due to the rise of digital health technologies and the growing demand for remote health monitoring. These systems enable individuals to increase their independence by allowing them to monitor their health from the home and by allowing more control over their well-being. In this study, we perform a comprehensive survey on this topic by reviewing a large number of literature in the area. We investigate these systems from various aspects, namely sensing technologies, communication technologies, intelligent and computing systems, and application areas. Specifically, we provide an overview of in-home health monitoring systems and identify their main components. We then present each component and discuss its role within in-home health monitoring systems. In addition, we provide an overview of the practical use of ubiquitous technologies in the home for health monitoring. Finally, we identify the main challenges and limitations based on the existing literature and provide eight recommendations for potential future research directions toward the development of in-home health monitoring systems. We conclude that despite extensive research on various components needed for the development of effective in-home health monitoring systems, the development of effective in-home health monitoring systems still requires further investigation.Comment: 35 pages, 5 figure

Dynamic segmentation techniques applied to load profiles of electric energy consumption from domestic users

[EN] The electricity sector is currently undergoing a process of liberalization and separation of roles, which is being implemented under the regulatory auspices of each Member State of the European Union and, therefore, with different speeds, perspectives and objectives that must converge on a common horizon, where Europe will benefit from an interconnected energy market in which producers and consumers can participate in free competition. This process of liberalization and separation of roles involves two consequences or, viewed another way, entails a major consequence from which other immediate consequence, as a necessity, is derived. The main consequence is the increased complexity in the management and supervision of a system, the electrical, increasingly interconnected and participatory, with connection of distributed energy sources, much of them from renewable sources, at different voltage levels and with different generation capacity at any point in the network. From this situation the other consequence is derived, which is the need to communicate information between agents, reliably, safely and quickly, and that this information is analyzed in the most effective way possible, to form part of the processes of decision taking that improve the observability and controllability of a system which is increasing in complexity and number of agents involved. With the evolution of Information and Communication Technologies (ICT), and the investments both in improving existing measurement and communications infrastructure, and taking the measurement and actuation capacity to a greater number of points in medium and low voltage networks, the availability of data that informs of the state of the network is increasingly higher and more complete. All these systems are part of the so-called Smart Grids, or intelligent networks of the future, a future which is not so far. One such source of information comes from the energy consumption of customers, measured on a regular basis (every hour, half hour or quarter-hour) and sent to the Distribution System Operators from the Smart Meters making use of Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI). This way, there is an increasingly amount of information on the energy consumption of customers, being stored in Big Data systems. This growing source of information demands specialized techniques which can take benefit from it, extracting a useful and summarized knowledge from it. This thesis deals with the use of this information of energy consumption from Smart Meters, in particular on the application of data mining techniques to obtain temporal patterns that characterize the users of electrical energy, grouping them according to these patterns in a small number of groups or clusters, that allow evaluating how users consume energy, both during the day and during a sequence of days, allowing to assess trends and predict future scenarios. For this, the current techniques are studied and, proving that the current works do not cover this objective, clustering or dynamic segmentation techniques applied to load profiles of electric energy consumption from domestic users are developed. These techniques are tested and validated on a database of hourly energy consumption values for a sample of residential customers in Spain during years 2008 and 2009. The results allow to observe both the characterization in consumption patterns of the different types of residential energy consumers, and their evolution over time, and to assess, for example, how the regulatory changes that occurred in Spain in the electricity sector during those years influenced in the temporal patterns of energy consumption.[ES] El sector eléctrico se halla actualmente sometido a un proceso de liberalización y separación de roles, que está siendo aplicado bajo los auspicios regulatorios de cada Estado Miembro de la Unión Europea y, por tanto, con distintas velocidades, perspectivas y objetivos que deben confluir en un horizonte común, en donde Europa se beneficiará de un mercado energético interconectado, en el cual productores y consumidores podrán participar en libre competencia. Este proceso de liberalización y separación de roles conlleva dos consecuencias o, visto de otra manera, conlleva una consecuencia principal de la cual se deriva, como necesidad, otra consecuencia inmediata. La consecuencia principal es el aumento de la complejidad en la gestión y supervisión de un sistema, el eléctrico, cada vez más interconectado y participativo, con conexión de fuentes distribuidas de energía, muchas de ellas de origen renovable, a distintos niveles de tensión y con distinta capacidad de generación, en cualquier punto de la red. De esta situación se deriva la otra consecuencia, que es la necesidad de comunicar información entre los distintos agentes, de forma fiable, segura y rápida, y que esta información sea analizada de la forma más eficaz posible, para que forme parte de los procesos de toma de decisiones que mejoran la observabilidad y controlabilidad de un sistema cada vez más complejo y con más agentes involucrados. Con el avance de las Tecnologías de Información y Comunicaciones (TIC), y las inversiones tanto en mejora de la infraestructura existente de medida y comunicaciones, como en llevar la obtención de medidas y la capacidad de actuación a un mayor número de puntos en redes de media y baja tensión, la disponibilidad de datos sobre el estado de la red es cada vez mayor y más completa. Todos estos sistemas forman parte de las llamadas Smart Grids, o redes inteligentes del futuro, un futuro ya no tan lejano. Una de estas fuentes de información proviene de los consumos energéticos de los clientes, medidos de forma periódica (cada hora, media hora o cuarto de hora) y enviados hacia las Distribuidoras desde los contadores inteligentes o Smart Meters, mediante infraestructura avanzada de medida o Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI). De esta forma, cada vez se tiene una mayor cantidad de información sobre los consumos energéticos de los clientes, almacenada en sistemas de Big Data. Esta cada vez mayor fuente de información demanda técnicas especializadas que sepan aprovecharla, extrayendo un conocimiento útil y resumido de la misma. La presente Tesis doctoral versa sobre el uso de esta información de consumos energéticos de los contadores inteligentes, en concreto sobre la aplicación de técnicas de minería de datos (data mining) para obtener patrones temporales que caractericen a los usuarios de energía eléctrica, agrupándolos según estos mismos patrones en un número reducido de grupos o clusters, que permiten evaluar la forma en que los usuarios consumen la energía, tanto a lo largo del día como durante una secuencia de días, permitiendo evaluar tendencias y predecir escenarios futuros. Para ello se estudian las técnicas actuales y, comprobando que los trabajos actuales no cubren este objetivo, se desarrollan técnicas de clustering o segmentación dinámica aplicadas a curvas de carga de consumo eléctrico diario de clientes domésticos. Estas técnicas se prueban y validan sobre una base de datos de consumos energéticos horarios de una muestra de clientes residenciales en España durante los años 2008 y 2009. Los resultados permiten observar tanto la caracterización en consumos de los distintos tipos de consumidores energéticos residenciales, como su evolución en el tiempo, y permiten evaluar, por ejemplo, cómo influenciaron en los patrones temporales de consumos los cambios regulatorios que se produjeron en España en el sector eléctrico durante esos años.[CA] El sector elèctric es troba actualment sotmès a un procés de liberalització i separació de rols, que s'està aplicant davall els auspicis reguladors de cada estat membre de la Unió Europea i, per tant, amb distintes velocitats, perspectives i objectius que han de confluir en un horitzó comú, on Europa es beneficiarà d'un mercat energètic interconnectat, en el qual productors i consumidors podran participar en lliure competència. Aquest procés de liberalització i separació de rols comporta dues conseqüències o, vist d'una altra manera, comporta una conseqüència principal de la qual es deriva, com a necessitat, una altra conseqüència immediata. La conseqüència principal és l'augment de la complexitat en la gestió i supervisió d'un sistema, l'elèctric, cada vegada més interconnectat i participatiu, amb connexió de fonts distribuïdes d'energia, moltes d'aquestes d'origen renovable, a distints nivells de tensió i amb distinta capacitat de generació, en qualsevol punt de la xarxa. D'aquesta situació es deriva l'altra conseqüència, que és la necessitat de comunicar informació entre els distints agents, de forma fiable, segura i ràpida, i que aquesta informació siga analitzada de la manera més eficaç possible, perquè forme part dels processos de presa de decisions que milloren l'observabilitat i controlabilitat d'un sistema cada vegada més complex i amb més agents involucrats. Amb l'avanç de les tecnologies de la informació i les comunicacions (TIC), i les inversions, tant en la millora de la infraestructura existent de mesura i comunicacions, com en el trasllat de l'obtenció de mesures i capacitat d'actuació a un nombre més gran de punts en xarxes de mitjana i baixa tensió, la disponibilitat de dades sobre l'estat de la xarxa és cada vegada major i més completa. Tots aquests sistemes formen part de les denominades Smart Grids o xarxes intel·ligents del futur, un futur ja no tan llunyà. Una d'aquestes fonts d'informació prové dels consums energètics dels clients, mesurats de forma periòdica (cada hora, mitja hora o quart d'hora) i enviats cap a les distribuïdores des dels comptadors intel·ligents o Smart Meters, per mitjà d'infraestructura avançada de mesura o Advanced Metering Infrastructure (AMI). D'aquesta manera, cada vegada es té una major quantitat d'informació sobre els consums energètics dels clients, emmagatzemada en sistemes de Big Data. Aquesta cada vegada major font d'informació demanda tècniques especialitzades que sàpiguen aprofitar-la, extraient-ne un coneixement útil i resumit. La present tesi doctoral versa sobre l'ús d'aquesta informació de consums energètics dels comptadors intel·ligents, en concret sobre l'aplicació de tècniques de mineria de dades (data mining) per a obtenir patrons temporals que caracteritzen els usuaris d'energia elèctrica, agrupant-los segons aquests mateixos patrons en una quantitat reduïda de grups o clusters, que permeten avaluar la forma en què els usuaris consumeixen l'energia, tant al llarg del dia com durant una seqüència de dies, i que permetent avaluar tendències i predir escenaris futurs. Amb aquesta finalitat, s'estudien les tècniques actuals i, en comprovar que els treballs actuals no cobreixen aquest objectiu, es desenvolupen tècniques de clustering o segmentació dinàmica aplicades a corbes de càrrega de consum elèctric diari de clients domèstics. Aquestes tècniques es proven i validen sobre una base de dades de consums energètics horaris d'una mostra de clients residencials a Espanya durant els anys 2008 i 2009. Els resultats permeten observar tant la caracterització en consums dels distints tipus de consumidors energètics residencials, com la seua evolució en el temps, i permeten avaluar, per exemple, com van influenciar en els patrons temporals de consums els canvis reguladors que es van produir a Espanya en el sector elèctric durant aquests anys.Benítez Sánchez, IJ. (2015). Dynamic segmentation techniques applied to load profiles of electric energy consumption from domestic users [Tesis doctoral no publicada]. Universitat Politècnica de València. https://doi.org/10.4995/Thesis/10251/59236TESI

REAL-TIME DATA MINING FOR PROCESS OPERATIONS USING GRAPHICS PROCESSING UNIT (GPU)-BASED HIGH PERFORMANCE COMPUTING

Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH

Development of advanced autonomous learning algorithms for nonlinear system identification and control

Identification of nonlinear dynamical systems, data stream analysis, etc. is usually handled by autonomous learning algorithms like evolving fuzzy and evolving neuro-fuzzy systems (ENFSs). They are characterized by the single-pass learning mode and open structure-property. Such features enable their effective handling of fast and rapidly changing natures of data streams. The underlying bottleneck of ENFSs lies in its design principle, which involves a high number of free parameters (rule premise and rule consequent) to be adapted in the training process. This figure can even double in the case of the type-2 fuzzy system. From this literature gap, a novel ENFS, namely Parsimonious Learning Machine (PALM) is proposed in this thesis. To reduce the number of network parameters significantly, PALM features utilization of a new type of fuzzy rule based on the concept of hyperplane clustering, where it has no rule premise parameters. PALM is proposed in both type-1 and type-2 fuzzy systems where all of them characterize a fully dynamic rule-based system. Thus, it is capable of automatically generating, merging, and tuning the hyperplane-based fuzzy rule in a single-pass manner. Moreover, an extension of PALM, namely recurrent PALM (rPALM), is proposed and adopts the concept of teacher-forcing mechanism in the deep learning literature. The efficacy of both PALM and rPALM have been evaluated through numerical study with data streams and to identify nonlinear unmanned aerial vehicle system. The proposed models showcase significant improvements in terms of computational complexity and the number of required parameters against several renowned ENFSs while attaining comparable and often better predictive accuracy. The ENFSs have also been utilized to develop three autonomous intelligent controllers (AICons) in this thesis. They are namely Generic (G) controller, Parsimonious controller (PAC), and Reduced Parsimonious Controller (RedPAC). All these controllers start operating from scratch with an empty set of fuzzy rules, and no offline training is required. To cope with the dynamic behavior of the plant, these controllers can add, merge or prune the rules on demand. Among three AICons, the G-controller is built by utilizing an advanced incremental learning machine, namely Generic Evolving Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System. The integration of generalized adaptive resonance theory provides a compact structure of the G-controller. Consequently, the faster evolution of structure is witnessed, which lowers its computational cost. Another AICon namely, PAC is rooted with PALM's architecture. Since PALM has a dependency on user-defined thresholds to adapt the structure, these thresholds are replaced with the concept of bias- variance trade-off in PAC. In RedPAC, the network parameters have further reduced in contrast with PALM-based PAC, where the number of consequent parameters has reduced to one parameter per rule. These AICons work with very minor expert domain knowledge and developed by incorporating the sliding mode control technique. In G-controller and RedPAC, the control law and adaptation laws for the consequent parameters are derived from the SMC algorithm to establish a stable closed-loop system, where the stability of these controllers are guaranteed by using the Lyapunov function and the uniform asymptotic convergence of tracking error to zero is witnessed through the implication of an auxiliary robustifying control term. While using PAC, the boundedness and convergence of the closed-loop control system's tracking error and the controller's consequent parameters are confirmed by utilizing the LaSalle-Yoshizawa theorem. Their efficacy is evaluated by observing various trajectory tracking performance of unmanned aerial vehicles. The accuracy of these controllers is comparable or better than the benchmark controllers where the proposed controllers incur significantly fewer parameters to attain similar or better tracking performance

Untangling hotel industry’s inefficiency: An SFA approach applied to a renowned Portuguese hotel chain

The present paper explores the technical efficiency of four hotels from Teixeira Duarte Group - a renowned Portuguese hotel chain. An efficiency ranking is established from these four hotel units located in Portugal using Stochastic Frontier Analysis. This methodology allows to discriminate between measurement error and systematic inefficiencies in the estimation process enabling to investigate the main inefficiency causes. Several suggestions concerning efficiency improvement are undertaken for each hotel studied.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio