3,606 research outputs found
PROBABILISTIC FAULT DIAGNOSIS AND PROGNOSIS IN PRECOGNITIVE MAINTENANCE FOR HIGH-PERFORMANCE MANUFACTURING INDUSTRIES
Ph.DDOCTOR OF PHILOSOPH
Modelo de apoio à decisão para a manutenção condicionada de equipamentos produtivos
Doctoral Thesis for PhD degree in Industrial and Systems EngineeringIntroduction: This thesis describes a methodology to combine Bayesian control chart
and CBM (Condition-Based Maintenance) for developing a new integrated model. In
maintenance management, it is a challenging task for decision-maker to conduct an
appropriate and accurate decision. Proper and well-performed CBM models are
beneficial for maintenance decision making. The integration of Bayesian control chart
and CBM is considered as an intelligent model and a suitable strategy for forecasting
items failures as well as allow providing an effectiveness maintenance cost. CBM
models provides lower inventory costs for spare parts, reduces unplanned outage, and
minimize the risk of catastrophic failure, avoiding high penalties associated with losses
of production or delays, increasing availability. However, CBM models need new
aspects and the integration of new type of information in maintenance modeling that can
improve the results. Objective: The thesis aims to develop a new methodology based on
Bayesian control chart for predicting failures of item incorporating simultaneously two
types of data: key quality control measurement and equipment condition parameters. In
other words, the project research questions are directed to give the lower maintenance
costs for real process control. Method: The mathematical approach carried out in this
study for developing an optimal Condition Based Maintenance policy included the
Weibull analysis for verifying the Markov property, Delay time concept used for
deterioration modeling and PSO and Monte Carlo simulation. These models are used for
finding the upper control limit and the interval monitoring that minimizes the
(maintenance) cost function. Result: The main contribution of this thesis is that the
proposed model performs better than previous models in which the hypothesis of using
simultaneously data about condition equipment parameters and quality control
measurements improve the effectiveness of integrated model Bayesian control chart for
Condition Based Maintenance.Introdução: Esta tese descreve uma metodologia para combinar Bayesian control chart
e CBM (Condition- Based Maintenance) para desenvolver um novo modelo integrado.
Na gestão da manutenção, é importante que o decisor possa tomar decisões apropriadas
e corretas. Modelos CBM bem concebidos serão muito benéficos nas tomadas de
decisão sobre manutenção. A integração dos gráficos de controlo Bayesian e CBM é
considerada um modelo inteligente e uma estratégica adequada para prever as falhas de
componentes bem como produzir um controlo de custos de manutenção. Os modelos
CBM conseguem definir custos de inventário mais baixos para as partes de substituição,
reduzem interrupções não planeadas e minimizam o risco de falhas catastróficas,
evitando elevadas penalizações associadas a perdas de produção ou atrasos, aumentando
a disponibilidade. Contudo, os modelos CBM precisam de alterações e a integração de
novos tipos de informação na modelação de manutenção que permitam melhorar os
resultados.Objetivos: Esta tese pretende desenvolver uma nova metodologia baseada
Bayesian control chart para prever as falhas de partes, incorporando dois tipos de
dados: medições-chave de controlo de qualidade e parâmetros de condição do
equipamento. Por outras palavras, as questões de investigação são direcionadas para
diminuir custos de manutenção no processo de controlo.Métodos: Os modelos
matemáticos implementados neste estudo para desenvolver uma política ótima de CBM
incluíram a análise de Weibull para verificação da propriedade de Markov, conceito de
atraso de tempo para a modelação da deterioração, PSO e simulação de Monte Carlo.
Estes modelos são usados para encontrar o limite superior de controlo e o intervalo de
monotorização para minimizar a função de custos de manutenção.Resultados: A
principal contribuição desta tese é que o modelo proposto melhora os resultados dos
modelos anteriores, baseando-se na hipótese de que, usando simultaneamente dados dos
parâmetros dos equipamentos e medições de controlo de qualidade. Assim obtém-se
uma melhoria a eficácia do modelo integrado de Bayesian control chart para a
manutenção condicionada
A Review of Predictive and Prescriptive Offshore Wind Farm Operation and Maintenance
Offshore wind farms are a rapidly developing source of clean, low-carbon energy and as they continue to grow in scale and capacity, so does the requirement for their efficient and optimised operation and maintenance. Historically, approaches to maintenance have been purely reactive. However, there is a movement in offshore wind, and wider industry in general, towards more proactive, condition-based maintenance approaches which rely on operational data-driven decision making. This paper reviews the current efforts in proactive maintenance strategies, both predictive and prescriptive, of which the latter is an evolution of the former. Both use operational data to determine whether a turbine component will fail in order to provide sufficient warning to carry out necessary maintenance. Prescriptive strategies also provide optimised maintenance actions, incorporating predictions into a wider maintenance plan to address predicted failure modes. Beginning with a summary of common techniques used across both strategies, this review moves on to discuss their respective applications in offshore wind operation and maintenance. This review concludes with suggested areas for future work, underlining the need for models which can be simply incorporated by site operators and integrate live data whilst handling uncertainties. A need for further focus on medium-term planning strategies is also highlighted along with consideration of the question of how to quantify the impact of a proactive maintenance strategy
Bridges Structural Health Monitoring and Deterioration Detection Synthesis of Knowledge and Technology
INE/AUTC 10.0
Optimal replacement in the proportional hazards model and its applications in a product-service system
Condition-based maintenance is rapidly gaining favor as a way to prevent the failures of capital-intensive assets and to maintain them in good operating condition with minimum cost. A valuable and increasingly prevalent way to incorporate condition information into risk estimation is by the proportional hazards model (PHM), which explicitly includes both the age and the condition information in the calculation of the hazard function. This dissertation consists of three papers, in which the optimal replacement policies for systems whose deterioration process follows the PHM are developed under different settings; and a joint optimization of the asset and inventory management problem in the context of a product-service system is considered.
In the first paper, a continuous time Markov covariate process is assumed to describe the condition of a system that is under periodic monitoring. Although the form of an optimal replacement policy for such a system in the PHM was developed previously, an approximation of the Markov process as constant within inspection intervals led to a counter-intuitive result that less frequent monitoring could yield a replacement policy with lower average cost. Accounting for possible state transitions between inspection epochs removes the approximation and eliminates the cost anomaly. A new recursive procedure to obtain the parameters of the optimal replacement policy is presented. By comparing the replacement and monitoring costs of different monitoring scheme, the value of condition information is evaluated.
In the second paper, the optimal replacement policy for systems in the PHM with semi-Markovian covariate process and continuous monitoring is developed. Numerical examples and sensitivity analysis provide some insights about the suitability of a Markov approximation and the impact of the variations in the input parameters on the cost.
In applying the optimal replacement policies to a product-service system, where the producers provide the use of the products to customers while retaining ownership, the coupling between the decision making for preventive replacement and the decision making for inventory management is evident. In the third paper, an integrated model is proposed for the preventive maintenance of a fleet of products and the inventory management of a hybrid manufacturing-remanufacturing system in the context of a product-service system. A joint optimization technique is developed to obtain the optimal parameters for the operational policy of the integrated model to minimize the long run average cost per unit time. In addition, the effect of the assumption that the replaced products are not sorted is evaluated
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