Analyzing Granger causality in climate data with time series classification methods

Attribution studies in climate science aim for scientifically ascertaining the influence of climatic variations on natural or anthropogenic factors. Many of those studies adopt the concept of Granger causality to infer statistical cause-effect relationships, while utilizing traditional autoregressive models. In this article, we investigate the potential of state-of-the-art time series classification techniques to enhance causal inference in climate science. We conduct a comparative experimental study of different types of algorithms on a large test suite that comprises a unique collection of datasets from the area of climate-vegetation dynamics. The results indicate that specialized time series classification methods are able to improve existing inference procedures. Substantial differences are observed among the methods that were tested

Flexible Automation and Intelligent Manufacturing: The Human-Data-Technology Nexus

This is an open access book. It gathers the first volume of the proceedings of the 31st edition of the International Conference on Flexible Automation and Intelligent Manufacturing, FAIM 2022, held on June 19 – 23, 2022, in Detroit, Michigan, USA. Covering four thematic areas including Manufacturing Processes, Machine Tools, Manufacturing Systems, and Enabling Technologies, it reports on advanced manufacturing processes, and innovative materials for 3D printing, applications of machine learning, artificial intelligence and mixed reality in various production sectors, as well as important issues in human-robot collaboration, including methods for improving safety. Contributions also cover strategies to improve quality control, supply chain management and training in the manufacturing industry, and methods supporting circular supply chain and sustainable manufacturing. All in all, this book provides academicians, engineers and professionals with extensive information on both scientific and industrial advances in the converging fields of manufacturing, production, and automation

Flexible Automation and Intelligent Manufacturing: The Human-Data-Technology Nexus

This is an open access book. It gathers the first volume of the proceedings of the 31st edition of the International Conference on Flexible Automation and Intelligent Manufacturing, FAIM 2022, held on June 19 – 23, 2022, in Detroit, Michigan, USA. Covering four thematic areas including Manufacturing Processes, Machine Tools, Manufacturing Systems, and Enabling Technologies, it reports on advanced manufacturing processes, and innovative materials for 3D printing, applications of machine learning, artificial intelligence and mixed reality in various production sectors, as well as important issues in human-robot collaboration, including methods for improving safety. Contributions also cover strategies to improve quality control, supply chain management and training in the manufacturing industry, and methods supporting circular supply chain and sustainable manufacturing. All in all, this book provides academicians, engineers and professionals with extensive information on both scientific and industrial advances in the converging fields of manufacturing, production, and automation

Enhancing Computer Network Security through Improved Outlier Detection for Data Streams

V několika posledních letech se metody strojového učení (zvláště ty zabývající se detekcí odlehlých hodnot - OD) v oblasti kyberbezpečnosti opíraly o zjišťování anomálií síťového provozu spočívajících v nových schématech útoků. Detekce anomálií v počítačových sítích reálného světa se ale stala stále obtížnější kvůli trvalému nárůstu vysoce objemných, rychlých a dimenzionálních průběžně přicházejících dat (SD), pro která nejsou k dispozici obecně uznané a pravdivé informace o anomalitě. Účinná detekční schémata pro vestavěná síťová zařízení musejí být rychlá a paměťově nenáročná a musejí být schopna se potýkat se změnami konceptu, když se vyskytnou. Cílem této disertace je zlepšit bezpečnost počítačových sítí zesílenou detekcí odlehlých hodnot v datových proudech, obzvláště SD, a dosáhnout kyberodolnosti, která zahrnuje jak detekci a analýzu, tak reakci na bezpečnostní incidenty jako jsou např. nové zlovolné aktivity. Za tímto účelem jsou v práci navrženy čtyři hlavní příspěvky, jež byly publikovány nebo se nacházejí v recenzním řízení časopisů. Zaprvé, mezera ve volbě vlastností (FS) bez učitele pro zlepšování již hotových metod OD v datových tocích byla zaplněna navržením volby vlastností bez učitele pro detekci odlehlých průběžně přicházejících dat označované jako UFSSOD. Následně odvozujeme generický koncept, který ukazuje dva aplikační scénáře UFSSOD ve spojení s online algoritmy OD. Rozsáhlé experimenty ukázaly, že UFSSOD coby algoritmus schopný online zpracování vykazuje srovnatelné výsledky jako konkurenční metoda upravená pro OD. Zadruhé představujeme nový aplikační rámec nazvaný izolovaný les založený na počítání výkonu (PCB-iForest), jenž je obecně schopen využít jakoukoliv online OD metodu založenou na množinách dat tak, aby fungovala na SD. Do tohoto algoritmu integrujeme dvě varianty založené na klasickém izolovaném lese. Rozsáhlé experimenty provedené na 23 multidisciplinárních datových sadách týkajících se bezpečnostní problematiky reálného světa ukázaly, že PCB-iForest jasně překonává už zavedené konkurenční metody v 61 % případů a dokonce dosahuje ještě slibnějších výsledků co do vyváženosti mezi výpočetními náklady na klasifikaci a její úspěšností. Zatřetí zavádíme nový pracovní rámec nazvaný detekce odlehlých hodnot a rozpoznávání schémat útoku proudovým způsobem (SOAAPR), jenž je na rozdíl od současných metod schopen zpracovat výstup z různých online OD metod bez učitele proudovým způsobem, aby získal informace o nových schématech útoku. Ze seshlukované množiny korelovaných poplachů jsou metodou SOAAPR vypočítány tři různé soukromí zachovávající podpisy podobné otiskům prstů, které charakterizují a reprezentují potenciální scénáře útoku s ohledem na jejich komunikační vztahy, projevy ve vlastnostech dat a chování v čase. Evaluace na dvou oblíbených datových sadách odhalila, že SOAAPR může soupeřit s konkurenční offline metodou ve schopnosti korelace poplachů a významně ji překonává z hlediska výpočetního času . Navíc se všechny tři typy podpisů ve většině případů zdají spolehlivě charakterizovat scénáře útoků tím, že podobné seskupují k sobě. Začtvrté představujeme algoritmus nepárového kódu autentizace zpráv (Uncoupled MAC), který propojuje oblasti kryptografického zabezpečení a detekce vniknutí (IDS) pro síťovou bezpečnost. Zabezpečuje síťovou komunikaci (autenticitu a integritu) kryptografickým schématem s podporou druhé vrstvy kódy autentizace zpráv, ale také jako vedlejší efekt poskytuje funkcionalitu IDS tak, že vyvolává poplach na základě porušení hodnot nepárového MACu. Díky novému samoregulačnímu rozšíření algoritmus adaptuje svoje vzorkovací parametry na základě zjištění škodlivých aktivit. Evaluace ve virtuálním prostředí jasně ukazuje, že schopnost detekce se za běhu zvyšuje pro různé scénáře útoku. Ty zahrnují dokonce i situace, kdy se inteligentní útočníci snaží využít slabá místa vzorkování.ObhájenoOver the past couple of years, machine learning methods - especially the Outlier Detection (OD) ones - have become anchored to the cyber security field to detect network-based anomalies rooted in novel attack patterns. Due to the steady increase of high-volume, high-speed and high-dimensional Streaming Data (SD), for which ground truth information is not available, detecting anomalies in real-world computer networks has become a more and more challenging task. Efficient detection schemes applied to networked, embedded devices need to be fast and memory-constrained, and must be capable of dealing with concept drifts when they occur. The aim of this thesis is to enhance computer network security through improved OD for data streams, in particular SD, to achieve cyber resilience, which ranges from the detection, over the analysis of security-relevant incidents, e.g., novel malicious activity, to the reaction to them. Therefore, four major contributions are proposed, which have been published or are submitted journal articles. First, a research gap in unsupervised Feature Selection (FS) for the improvement of off-the-shell OD methods in data streams is filled by proposing Unsupervised Feature Selection for Streaming Outlier Detection, denoted as UFSSOD. A generic concept is retrieved that shows two application scenarios of UFSSOD in conjunction with online OD algorithms. Extensive experiments have shown that UFSSOD, as an online-capable algorithm, achieves comparable results with a competitor trimmed for OD. Second, a novel unsupervised online OD framework called Performance Counter-Based iForest (PCB-iForest) is being introduced, which generalized, is able to incorporate any ensemble-based online OD method to function on SD. Two variants based on classic iForest are integrated. Extensive experiments, performed on 23 different multi-disciplinary and security-related real-world data sets, revealed that PCB-iForest clearly outperformed state-of-the-art competitors in 61 % of cases and even achieved more promising results in terms of the tradeoff between classification and computational costs. Third, a framework called Streaming Outlier Analysis and Attack Pattern Recognition, denoted as SOAAPR is being introduced that, in contrast to the state-of-the-art, is able to process the output of various online unsupervised OD methods in a streaming fashion to extract information about novel attack patterns. Three different privacy-preserving, fingerprint-like signatures are computed from the clustered set of correlated alerts by SOAAPR, which characterize and represent the potential attack scenarios with respect to their communication relations, their manifestation in the data's features and their temporal behavior. The evaluation on two popular data sets shows that SOAAPR can compete with an offline competitor in terms of alert correlation and outperforms it significantly in terms of processing time. Moreover, in most cases all three types of signatures seem to reliably characterize attack scenarios to the effect that similar ones are grouped together. Fourth, an Uncoupled Message Authentication Code algorithm - Uncoupled MAC - is presented which builds a bridge between cryptographic protection and Intrusion Detection Systems (IDSs) for network security. It secures network communication (authenticity and integrity) through a cryptographic scheme with layer-2 support via uncoupled message authentication codes but, as a side effect, also provides IDS-functionality producing alarms based on the violation of Uncoupled MAC values. Through a novel self-regulation extension, the algorithm adapts its sampling parameters based on the detection of malicious actions on SD. The evaluation in a virtualized environment clearly shows that the detection rate increases over runtime for different attack scenarios. Those even cover scenarios in which intelligent attackers try to exploit the downsides of sampling

Rapid Mission Assurance Assessment via Sociotechnical Modeling and Simulation

How do organizations rapidly assess command-level effects of cyber attacks? Leaders need a way of assuring themselves that their organization, people, and information technology can continue their missions in a contested cyber environment. To do this, leaders should: 1) require assessments be more than analogical, anecdotal or simplistic snapshots in time; 2) demand the ability to rapidly model their organizations; 3) identify their organization’s structural vulnerabilities; and 4) have the ability to forecast mission assurance scenarios. Using text mining to build agent based dynamic network models of information processing organizations, I examine impacts of contested cyber environments on three common focus areas of information assurance—confidentiality, integrity, and availability. I find that assessing impacts of cyber attacks is a nuanced affair dependent on the nature of the attack, the nature of the organization and its missions, and the nature of the measurements. For well-manned information processing organizations, many attacks are in the nuisance range and that only multipronged or severe attacks cause meaningful failure. I also find that such organizations can design for resiliency and provide guidelines in how to do so

Systematic Approaches for Telemedicine and Data Coordination for COVID-19 in Baja California, Mexico

Conference proceedings info: ICICT 2023: 2023 The 6th International Conference on Information and Computer Technologies Raleigh, HI, United States, March 24-26, 2023 Pages 529-542We provide a model for systematic implementation of telemedicine within a large evaluation center for COVID-19 in the area of Baja California, Mexico. Our model is based on human-centric design factors and cross disciplinary collaborations for scalable data-driven enablement of smartphone, cellular, and video Teleconsul-tation technologies to link hospitals, clinics, and emergency medical services for point-of-care assessments of COVID testing, and for subsequent treatment and quar-antine decisions. A multidisciplinary team was rapidly created, in cooperation with different institutions, including: the Autonomous University of Baja California, the Ministry of Health, the Command, Communication and Computer Control Center of the Ministry of the State of Baja California (C4), Colleges of Medicine, and the College of Psychologists. Our objective is to provide information to the public and to evaluate COVID-19 in real time and to track, regional, municipal, and state-wide data in real time that informs supply chains and resource allocation with the anticipation of a surge in COVID-19 cases. RESUMEN Proporcionamos un modelo para la implementación sistemática de la telemedicina dentro de un gran centro de evaluación de COVID-19 en el área de Baja California, México. Nuestro modelo se basa en factores de diseño centrados en el ser humano y colaboraciones interdisciplinarias para la habilitación escalable basada en datos de tecnologías de teleconsulta de teléfonos inteligentes, celulares y video para vincular hospitales, clínicas y servicios médicos de emergencia para evaluaciones de COVID en el punto de atención. pruebas, y para el tratamiento posterior y decisiones de cuarentena. Rápidamente se creó un equipo multidisciplinario, en cooperación con diferentes instituciones, entre ellas: la Universidad Autónoma de Baja California, la Secretaría de Salud, el Centro de Comando, Comunicaciones y Control Informático. de la Secretaría del Estado de Baja California (C4), Facultades de Medicina y Colegio de Psicólogos. Nuestro objetivo es proporcionar información al público y evaluar COVID-19 en tiempo real y rastrear datos regionales, municipales y estatales en tiempo real que informan las cadenas de suministro y la asignación de recursos con la anticipación de un aumento de COVID-19. 19 casos.ICICT 2023: 2023 The 6th International Conference on Information and Computer Technologieshttps://doi.org/10.1007/978-981-99-3236-

Using MapReduce Streaming for Distributed Life Simulation on the Cloud

Distributed software simulations are indispensable in the study of large-scale life models but often require the use of technically complex lower-level distributed computing frameworks, such as MPI. We propose to overcome the complexity challenge by applying the emerging MapReduce (MR) model to distributed life simulations and by running such simulations on the cloud. Technically, we design optimized MR streaming algorithms for discrete and continuous versions of Conway’s life according to a general MR streaming pattern. We chose life because it is simple enough as a testbed for MR’s applicability to a-life simulations and general enough to make our results applicable to various lattice-based a-life models. We implement and empirically evaluate our algorithms’ performance on Amazon’s Elastic MR cloud. Our experiments demonstrate that a single MR optimization technique called strip partitioning can reduce the execution time of continuous life simulations by 64%. To the best of our knowledge, we are the first to propose and evaluate MR streaming algorithms for lattice-based simulations. Our algorithms can serve as prototypes in the development of novel MR simulation algorithms for large-scale lattice-based a-life models.https://digitalcommons.chapman.edu/scs_books/1014/thumbnail.jp

An Energy-Efficient and Reliable Data Transmission Scheme for Transmitter-based Energy Harvesting Networks

Energy harvesting technology has been studied to overcome a limited power resource problem for a sensor network. This paper proposes a new data transmission period control and reliable data transmission algorithm for energy harvesting based sensor networks. Although previous studies proposed a communication protocol for energy harvesting based sensor networks, it still needs additional discussion. Proposed algorithm control a data transmission period and the number of data transmission dynamically based on environment information. Through this, energy consumption is reduced and transmission reliability is improved. The simulation result shows that the proposed algorithm is more efficient when compared with previous energy harvesting based communication standard, Enocean in terms of transmission success rate and residual energy.This research was supported by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation by Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education, Science and Technology(2012R1A1A3012227)

Towards a standardised attack graph visual syntax

More research needs to focus on developing effective methods of aiding the understanding and perception of cyber-attacks. Attack modelling techniques (AMTs) - such as attack graphs, attack trees and fault trees, are popular methods of mathematically and visually representing the sequence of events that lead to a successful cyber-attack. Although useful in aiding cyber-attack perception, there is little empirical or comparative research which evaluates the effectiveness of these methods. Furthermore, there is no standardised attack graph visual syntax configuration, currently more than seventy-five self-nominated attack graph and twenty attack tree configurations have been described in the literature - each of which presents attributes such as preconditions and exploits in a different way. This research analyses methods of presenting cyber-attacks and reveals that attack graphs and attack trees are the dominant methods. The research proposes an attack graph visual syntax which is designed using evidence based principles. The proposed attack graph is compared with the fault tree - which is a standard method of representing events such as cyber-attacks. This comparison shows that the proposed attack graph visual syntax is more effective than the fault tree method at aiding cyber-attack perception and that the attack graph can be an effective tool for aiding cyber-attack perception - particularly in educational contexts. Although the proposed attack graph visual syntax is shown to be cognitively effective, this is no indication of practitioner acceptance. The research proceeds to identify a preferred attack graph visual syntax from a range of visual syntaxes - one of which is the proposed attack graph visual syntax. The method used to perform the comparison is conjoint analysis which is innovative for this field. The results of the second study reveal that the proposed attack graph visual syntax is one of the preferred configurations. This attack graph has the following attributes. The flow of events is represented top-down, preconditions are represented as rectangles, and exploits are represented as ellipses. The key contribution of this research is the development of an attack graph visual syntax which is effective in aiding the understanding of cyber-attacks particularly in educational contexts. The proposed method is a significant step towards standardising the attack graph visual syntax

24th International Conference on Information Modelling and Knowledge Bases

In the last three decades information modelling and knowledge bases have become essentially important subjects not only in academic communities related to information systems and computer science but also in the business area where information technology is applied. The series of European – Japanese Conference on Information Modelling and Knowledge Bases (EJC) originally started as a co-operation initiative between Japan and Finland in 1982. The practical operations were then organised by professor Ohsuga in Japan and professors Hannu Kangassalo and Hannu Jaakkola in Finland (Nordic countries). Geographical scope has expanded to cover Europe and also other countries. Workshop characteristic - discussion, enough time for presentations and limited number of participants (50) / papers (30) - is typical for the conference. Suggested topics include, but are not limited to: 1. Conceptual modelling: Modelling and specification languages; Domain-specific conceptual modelling; Concepts, concept theories and ontologies; Conceptual modelling of large and heterogeneous systems; Conceptual modelling of spatial, temporal and biological data; Methods for developing, validating and communicating conceptual models. 2. Knowledge and information modelling and discovery: Knowledge discovery, knowledge representation and knowledge management; Advanced data mining and analysis methods; Conceptions of knowledge and information; Modelling information requirements; Intelligent information systems; Information recognition and information modelling. 3. Linguistic modelling: Models of HCI; Information delivery to users; Intelligent informal querying; Linguistic foundation of information and knowledge; Fuzzy linguistic models; Philosophical and linguistic foundations of conceptual models. 4. Cross-cultural communication and social computing: Cross-cultural support systems; Integration, evolution and migration of systems; Collaborative societies; Multicultural web-based software systems; Intercultural collaboration and support systems; Social computing, behavioral modeling and prediction. 5. Environmental modelling and engineering: Environmental information systems (architecture); Spatial, temporal and observational information systems; Large-scale environmental systems; Collaborative knowledge base systems; Agent concepts and conceptualisation; Hazard prediction, prevention and steering systems. 6. Multimedia data modelling and systems: Modelling multimedia information and knowledge; Contentbased multimedia data management; Content-based multimedia retrieval; Privacy and context enhancing technologies; Semantics and pragmatics of multimedia data; Metadata for multimedia information systems. Overall we received 56 submissions. After careful evaluation, 16 papers have been selected as long paper, 17 papers as short papers, 5 papers as position papers, and 3 papers for presentation of perspective challenges. We thank all colleagues for their support of this issue of the EJC conference, especially the program committee, the organising committee, and the programme coordination team. The long and the short papers presented in the conference are revised after the conference and published in the Series of “Frontiers in Artificial Intelligence” by IOS Press (Amsterdam). The books “Information Modelling and Knowledge Bases” are edited by the Editing Committee of the conference. We believe that the conference will be productive and fruitful in the advance of research and application of information modelling and knowledge bases. Bernhard Thalheim Hannu Jaakkola Yasushi Kiyok