Future Perspectives of Co-Simulation in the Smart Grid Domain

The recent attention towards research and development in cyber-physical energy systems has introduced the necessity of emerging multi-domain co-simulation tools. Different educational, research and industrial efforts have been set to tackle the co-simulation topic from several perspectives. The majority of previous works has addressed the standardization of models and interfaces for data exchange, automation of simulation, as well as improving performance and accuracy of co-simulation setups. Furthermore, the domains of interest so far have involved communication, control, markets and the environment in addition to physical energy systems. However, the current characteristics and state of co-simulation testbeds need to be re-evaluated for future research demands. These demands vary from new domains of interest, such as human and social behavior models, to new applications of co-simulation, such as holistic prognosis and system planning. This paper aims to formulate these research demands that can then be used as a road map and guideline for future development of co-simulation in cyber-physical energy systems

Resilience assessment and planning in power distribution systems:Past and future considerations

Over the past decade, extreme weather events have significantly increased worldwide, leading to widespread power outages and blackouts. As these threats continue to challenge power distribution systems, the importance of mitigating the impacts of extreme weather events has become paramount. Consequently, resilience has become crucial for designing and operating power distribution systems. This work comprehensively explores the current landscape of resilience evaluation and metrics within the power distribution system domain, reviewing existing methods and identifying key attributes that define effective resilience metrics. The challenges encountered during the formulation, development, and calculation of these metrics are also addressed. Additionally, this review acknowledges the intricate interdependencies between power distribution systems and critical infrastructures, including information and communication technology, transportation, water distribution, and natural gas networks. It is important to understand these interdependencies and their impact on power distribution system resilience. Moreover, this work provides an in-depth analysis of existing research on planning solutions to enhance distribution system resilience and support power distribution system operators and planners in developing effective mitigation strategies. These strategies are crucial for minimizing the adverse impacts of extreme weather events and fostering overall resilience within power distribution systems.Comment: 27 pages, 7 figures, submitted for review to Renewable and Sustainable Energy Review

A Multifaceted Mathematical Approach for Complex Systems

Applied mathematics has an important role to play in developing the tools needed for the analysis, simulation, and optimization of complex problems. These efforts require the development of the mathematical foundations for scientific discovery, engineering design, and risk analysis based on a sound integrated approach for the understanding of complex systems. However, maximizing the impact of applied mathematics on these challenges requires a novel perspective on approaching the mathematical enterprise. Previous reports that have surveyed the DOE's research needs in applied mathematics have played a key role in defining research directions with the community. Although these reports have had significant impact, accurately assessing current research needs requires an evaluation of today's challenges against the backdrop of recent advances in applied mathematics and computing. To address these needs, the DOE Applied Mathematics Program sponsored a Workshop for Mathematics for the Analysis, Simulation and Optimization of Complex Systems on September 13-14, 2011. The workshop had approximately 50 participants from both the national labs and academia. The goal of the workshop was to identify new research areas in applied mathematics that will complement and enhance the existing DOE ASCR Applied Mathematics Program efforts that are needed to address problems associated with complex systems. This report describes recommendations from the workshop and subsequent analysis of the workshop findings by the organizing committee

Advancing Carbon Sequestration through Smart Proxy Modeling: Leveraging Domain Expertise and Machine Learning for Efficient Reservoir Simulation

Geological carbon sequestration (GCS) offers a promising solution to effectively manage extra carbon, mitigating the impact of climate change. This doctoral research introduces a cutting-edge Smart Proxy Modeling-based framework, integrating artificial neural networks (ANNs) and domain expertise, to re-engineer and empower numerical reservoir simulation for efficient modeling of CO2 sequestration and demonstrate predictive conformance and replicative capabilities of smart proxy modeling. Creating well-performing proxy models requires extensive human intervention and trial-and-error processes. Additionally, a large training database is essential to ANN model for complex tasks such as deep saline aquifer CO2 sequestration since it is used as the neural network\u27s input and output data. One major limitation in CCS programs is the lack of real field data due to a lack of field applications and issues with confidentiality. Considering these drawbacks, and due to high-dimensional nonlinearity, heterogeneity, and coupling of multiple physical processes associated with numerical reservoir simulation, novel research to handle these complexities as it allows for the creation of possible CO2 sequestration scenarios that may be used as a training set. This study addresses several types of static and dynamic realistic and practical field-base data augmentation techniques ranging from spatial complexity, spatio-temporal complexity, and heterogeneity of reservoir characteristics. By incorporating domain-expertise-based feature generation, this framework honors precise representation of reservoir overcoming computational challenges associated with numerical reservoir tools. The developed ANN accurately replicated fluid flow behavior, resulting in significant computational savings compared to traditional numerical simulation models. The results showed that all the ML models achieved very good accuracies and high efficiency. The findings revealed that the quality of the path between the focal cell and injection wells emerged as the most crucial factor in both CO2 saturation and pressure estimation models. These insights significantly contribute to our understanding of CO2 plume monitoring, paving the way for breakthroughs in investigating reservoir behavior at a minimal computational cost. The study\u27s commitment to replicating numerical reservoir simulation results underscores the model\u27s potential to contribute valuable insights into the behavior and performance of CO2 sequestration systems, as a complimentary tool to numerical reservoir simulation when there is no measured data available from the field. The transformative nature of this research has vast implications for advancing carbon storage modeling technologies. By addressing the computational limitations of traditional numerical reservoir models and harnessing the synergy between machine learning and domain expertise, this work provides a practical workflow for efficient decision-making in sequestration projects

Needs and Challenges Concerning Cyber-Risk Assessment in the Cyber-Physical Smart Grid

Cyber-risk assessment methods are used by energy companies to manage security risks in smart grids. However, current standards, methods and tools do not adequately provide the support needed in practice and the industry is struggling to adopt and carry out cyber-risk assessments. The contribution of this paper is twofold. First, we interview six companies from the energy sector to better understand their needs and challenges. Based on the interviews, we identify seven success criteria cyber-risk assessment methods for the energy sector need to fulfill to provide adequate support. Second, we present the methods CORAS, VAF, TM-STRIDE, and DA-SAN and evaluate the extent to which they fulfill the identified success criteria. Based on the evaluation, we provide lessons learned in terms of gaps that need to be addressed in general to improve cyber-risk assessment in the context of smart grids. Our results indicate the need for the following improvements: 1) ease of use and comprehensible m ethods, 2) support to determine whether a method is a good match for a given context, 3) adequate preparation to conduct cyber-risk assessment, 4) manage complexity, 5) adequate support for risk estimation, 6) support for trustworthiness and uncertainty handling, and 7) support for maintaining risk assessments.acceptedVersio

Demand response performance and uncertainty: A systematic literature review

The present review has been carried out, resorting to the PRISMA methodology, analyzing 218 published articles. A comprehensive analysis has been conducted regarding the consumer's role in the energy market. Moreover, the methods used to address demand response uncertainty and the strategies used to enhance performance and motivate participation have been reviewed. The authors find that participants will be willing to change their consumption pattern and behavior given that they have a complete awareness of the market environment, seeking the optimal decision. The authors also find that a contextual solution, giving the right signals according to the different behaviors and to the different types of participants in the DR event, can improve the performance of consumers' participation, providing a reliable response. DR is a mean of demand-side management, so both these concepts are addressed in the present paper. Finally, the pathways for future research are discussed.This article is a result of the project RETINA (NORTE-01-0145- FEDER-000062), supported by Norte Portugal Regional Operational Programme (NORTE 2020), under the PORTUGAL 2020 Partnership Agreement, through the European Regional Development Fund (ERDF). We also acknowledge the work facilities and equipment provided by GECAD research center (UIDB/00760/2020) to the project team, and grants CEECIND/02887/2017 and SFRH/BD/144200/2019.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Addressing flexibility in energy system models

The present report summarises the discussions and conclusions of the international workshop on "Addressing flexibility in energy system models" held on December 4 and 5 2014 at the premises of the JRC Institute for Energy and Transport in Petten. Around 40 energy modelling experts and researchers from universities, research centres, the power industry, international organisations, and the European Commission (DGs ENER and JRC) met to present and discuss their views on the modelling of flexibility issues, the linkage of energy system models and sector-detailed energy models, the integration of high shares of variable renewable energy sources, and the representation of flexibility needs in power system models. The discussions took into account modelling and data-related methodological aspects, with their limitations and uncertainties, as well as possible alternatives to be implemented within energy system models.JRC.F.6-Energy Technology Policy Outloo