23,472 research outputs found
A hierarchical Mamdani-type fuzzy modelling approach with new training data selection and multi-objective optimisation mechanisms: A special application for the prediction of mechanical properties of alloy steels
In this paper, a systematic data-driven fuzzy modelling methodology is proposed, which allows to construct Mamdani fuzzy models considering both accuracy (precision) and transparency (interpretability) of fuzzy systems. The new methodology employs a fast hierarchical clustering algorithm to generate an initial fuzzy model efficiently; a training data selection mechanism is developed to identify appropriate and efficient data as learning samples; a high-performance Particle Swarm Optimisation (PSO) based multi-objective optimisation mechanism is developed to further improve the fuzzy model in terms of both the structure and the parameters; and a new tolerance analysis method is proposed to derive the confidence bands relating to the final elicited models. This proposed modelling approach is evaluated using two benchmark problems and is shown to outperform other modelling approaches. Furthermore, the proposed approach is successfully applied to complex high-dimensional modelling problems for manufacturing of alloy steels, using ‘real’ industrial data. These problems concern the prediction of the mechanical properties of alloy steels by correlating them with the heat treatment process conditions as well as the weight percentages of the chemical compositions
Learning and Designing Stochastic Processes from Logical Constraints
Stochastic processes offer a flexible mathematical formalism to model and
reason about systems. Most analysis tools, however, start from the premises
that models are fully specified, so that any parameters controlling the
system's dynamics must be known exactly. As this is seldom the case, many
methods have been devised over the last decade to infer (learn) such parameters
from observations of the state of the system. In this paper, we depart from
this approach by assuming that our observations are {\it qualitative}
properties encoded as satisfaction of linear temporal logic formulae, as
opposed to quantitative observations of the state of the system. An important
feature of this approach is that it unifies naturally the system identification
and the system design problems, where the properties, instead of observations,
represent requirements to be satisfied. We develop a principled statistical
estimation procedure based on maximising the likelihood of the system's
parameters, using recent ideas from statistical machine learning. We
demonstrate the efficacy and broad applicability of our method on a range of
simple but non-trivial examples, including rumour spreading in social networks
and hybrid models of gene regulation
Structural optimisation problem in support to building retrofitting decision
Various analysis methods, either linear elastic or non-linear, static or dynamic, are available for the performance analysis of existing buildings. Despite its advantages, it must be admitted that non-linear time history analysis can frequently become overly complex and impractical for general use as a first assessment. Simplified models, as the Capacity Spectrum Method, are frequently not able to accurately assess irregular structures. Considering these limitations, it is proposed and evaluated a simplified MDOF non-linear dynamic model, accounting for non-linear storey behaviour and storey damping. Based on the MDOF non-linear dynamic model, were developed optimization algorithms for the redesign of existing non-seismically designed structures. The optimization procedure searches for the optimum storey strengthening distribution (strength, stiffness or damping) in order to meet specific performance requirements, in terms of maximum inter-storey drift for a given seismic demand level. Numerical examples are presented in order to illustrate the capability of methodology
Maximum-a-posteriori estimation with Bayesian confidence regions
Solutions to inverse problems that are ill-conditioned or ill-posed may have
significant intrinsic uncertainty. Unfortunately, analysing and quantifying
this uncertainty is very challenging, particularly in high-dimensional
problems. As a result, while most modern mathematical imaging methods produce
impressive point estimation results, they are generally unable to quantify the
uncertainty in the solutions delivered. This paper presents a new general
methodology for approximating Bayesian high-posterior-density credibility
regions in inverse problems that are convex and potentially very
high-dimensional. The approximations are derived by using recent concentration
of measure results related to information theory for log-concave random
vectors. A remarkable property of the approximations is that they can be
computed very efficiently, even in large-scale problems, by using standard
convex optimisation techniques. In particular, they are available as a
by-product in problems solved by maximum-a-posteriori estimation. The
approximations also have favourable theoretical properties, namely they
outer-bound the true high-posterior-density credibility regions, and they are
stable with respect to model dimension. The proposed methodology is illustrated
on two high-dimensional imaging inverse problems related to tomographic
reconstruction and sparse deconvolution, where the approximations are used to
perform Bayesian hypothesis tests and explore the uncertainty about the
solutions, and where proximal Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithms are used as
benchmark to compute exact credible regions and measure the approximation
error
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