A fuzzy expected value approach under generalized data envelopment analysis

Fuzzy data envelopment analysis (DEA) models emerge as another class of DEA models to account for imprecise inputs and outputs for decision making units (DMUs). Although several approaches for solving fuzzy DEA models have been developed, there are some drawbacks, ranging from the inability to provide satisfactory discrimination power to simplistic numerical examples that handles only triangular fuzzy numbers or symmetrical fuzzy numbers. To address these drawbacks, this paper proposes using the concept of expected value in generalized DEA (GDEA) model. This allows the unification of three models - fuzzy expected CCR, fuzzy expected BCC, and fuzzy expected FDH models - and the ability of these models to handle both symmetrical and asymmetrical fuzzy numbers. We also explored the role of fuzzy GDEA model as a ranking method and compared it to existing super-efficiency evaluation models. Our proposed model is always feasible, while infeasibility problems remain in certain cases under existing super-efficiency models. In order to illustrate the performance of the proposed method, it is first tested using two established numerical examples and compared with the results obtained from alternative methods. A third example on energy dependency among 23 European Union (EU) member countries is further used to validate and describe the efficacy of our approach under asymmetric fuzzy numbers

Contextualized property market models vs. Generalized mass appraisals: An innovative approach

The present research takes into account the current and widespread need for rational valuation methodologies, able to correctly interpret the available market data. An innovative automated valuation model has been simultaneously implemented to three Italian study samples, each one constituted by two-hundred residential units sold in the years 2016-2017. The ability to generate a "unique" functional form for the three different territorial contexts considered, in which the relationships between the influencing factors and the selling prices are specified by different multiplicative coefficients that appropriately represent the market phenomena of each case study analyzed, is the main contribution of the proposed methodology. The method can provide support for private operators in the assessment of the territorial investment conveniences and for the public entities in the decisional phases regarding future tax and urban planning policies

A generalized fuzzy Multiple-Layer NDEA: An application to performance-based budgeting

Network data envelopment analysis (NDEA) is capable of considering operations and interdependence of a system’s component processes to measure efficiencies. There are numerous performance evaluation applications in which some indicators have hierarchical structures with a considerable number of sub-indicators. This problem of ignoring the hierarchical structure of indicators weakens the discrimination power of NDEA models and may result in inaccurate efficiency scores. In this paper we propose a generalized fuzzy Multiple-Layer NDEA (GFML-NDEA) model and GFML-NDEA-based composite indicators (GFML-NDEA-CI) to incorporate the hierarchical structures of indicators in the ambit of the particular two-stage NDEA models. To demonstrate the usefulness of the GFMLNDEA-CI model proposed, its application was tested by evaluating the efficiency of the performance-based budgeting (PBB) system in 14 governmental agencies in Iran. The comparative analysis results obtained from the GFML-NDEA-CI (multi-layer) model with those from the single-layer fuzzy NDEA-CI model indicate that the number of efficient decision-making units (DMUs) in the one-layer model is eight, whereas it is solely one DMU in the multi-layer model. The discrimination power of the multi-layer model proposed is significantly increased by observing that standard deviation of efficiency scores are increased by 41%, 61%, and 84% for possibility levels 0, 0.5, and 1, respectively. This is obtained while reducing information entropy, thus suggesting that the proposed model yields more reliable scores

Defuzzification of groups of fuzzy numbers using data envelopment analysis

Defuzzification is a critical process in the implementation of fuzzy systems that converts fuzzy numbers to crisp representations. Few researchers have focused on cases where the crisp outputs must satisfy a set of relationships dictated in the original crisp data. This phenomenon indicates that these crisp outputs are mathematically dependent on one another. Furthermore, these fuzzy numbers may exist as a group of fuzzy numbers. Therefore, the primary aim of this thesis is to develop a method to defuzzify groups of fuzzy numbers based on Charnes, Cooper, and Rhodes (CCR)-Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) model by modifying the Center of Gravity (COG) method as the objective function. The constraints represent the relationships and some additional restrictions on the allowable crisp outputs with their dependency property. This leads to the creation of crisp values with preserved relationships and/or properties as in the original crisp data. Comparing with Linear Programming (LP) based model, the proposed CCR-DEA model is more efficient, and also able to defuzzify non-linear fuzzy numbers with accurate solutions. Moreover, the crisp outputs obtained by the proposed method are the nearest points to the fuzzy numbers in case of crisp independent outputs, and best nearest points to the fuzzy numbers in case of dependent crisp outputs. As a conclusion, the proposed CCR-DEA defuzzification method can create either dependent crisp outputs with preserved relationship or independent crisp outputs without any relationship. Besides, the proposed method is a general method to defuzzify groups or individuals fuzzy numbers under the assumption of convexity with linear and non-linear membership functions or relationships

Sustainable R&D portfolio assessment.

Research and development portfolio management is traditionally technologically and financially dominated, with little or no attention to the sustainable focus, which represents the triple bottom line: not only financial (and technical) issues but also human and environmental values. This is mainly due to the lack of quantified and reliable data on the human aspects of product/service development: usability, ecology, ethics, product experience, perceived quality etc. Even if these data are available, then consistent decision support tools are not ready available. Based on the findings from an industry review, we developed a DEA model that permits to support strategic R&D portfolio management. We underscore the usability of this approach with real life examples from two different industries: consumables and materials manufacturing (polymers).R&D portfolio management; Data envelopment analysis; Sustainable R&D;

Solving multiple-criteria R&D project selection problems with a data-driven evidential reasoning rule

In this paper, a likelihood based evidence acquisition approach is proposed to acquire evidence from experts'assessments as recorded in historical datasets. Then a data-driven evidential reasoning rule based model is introduced to R&D project selection process by combining multiple pieces of evidence with different weights and reliabilities. As a result, the total belief degrees and the overall performance can be generated for ranking and selecting projects. Finally, a case study on the R&D project selection for the National Science Foundation of China is conducted to show the effectiveness of the proposed model. The data-driven evidential reasoning rule based model for project evaluation and selection (1) utilizes experimental data to represent experts' assessments by using belief distributions over the set of final funding outcomes, and through this historic statistics it helps experts and applicants to understand the funding probability to a given assessment grade, (2) implies the mapping relationships between the evaluation grades and the final funding outcomes by using historical data, and (3) provides a way to make fair decisions by taking experts' reliabilities into account. In the data-driven evidential reasoning rule based model, experts play different roles in accordance with their reliabilities which are determined by their previous review track records, and the selection process is made interpretable and fairer. The newly proposed model reduces the time-consuming panel review work for both managers and experts, and significantly improves the efficiency and quality of project selection process. Although the model is demonstrated for project selection in the NSFC, it can be generalized to other funding agencies or industries.Comment: 20 pages, forthcoming in International Journal of Project Management (2019

Methodological Developments in Human Development Literature

The present paper is a review of methodological advancements in human development literature starting from 1990 till date. While highlighting the contribution of UNDP to the concept of human development and construction of HDI it mentions that the introduced concept and method of measurement is a huge qualitative improvement over the earlier concept of growth and per capita GDP measurement. Although the human development report started with a poor methodology, thanks to the galaxy of scholars for their untiring efforts and invaluable contributions in the successive years that enabled UNDP in refining its methodology to a large extent. There is no denying fact that there is no end to refinements, the purpose for which Mahbub ul Haq struggled in his entire life has been served

A fuzzy DEA slacks-based approach

This paper deals with the problem of efficiency assessment using Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) when the input and output data are given as fuzzy sets. In particular, a fuzzy extension of the measure of inefficiency proportions, a well-known slacks-based additive inefficiency measure, is considered. The proposed approach also provides fuzzy input and output targets. Computational experiences and comparison with other fuzzy DEA approaches are reported.The first author was partially supported by the research project MTM2017-89577-P (MINECO, Spain). The second author was partially supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness, grant AYA2016-75931-C2-1-P and from the Consejería de Educación y Ciencia, Spain (Junta de Andalucía, reference TIC-101). The third author acknowledges the financial support of the Spanish Ministry of Science, Innovation and Universities, grant PGC2018-095786-B-I00

Evaluation of Corporate Sustainability

As a consequence of an increasing demand in sustainable development for business organizations, the evaluation of corporate sustainability has become a topic intensively focused by academic researchers and business practitioners. Several techniques in the context of multiple criteria decision analysis (MCDA) have been suggested to facilitate the evaluation and the analysis of sustainability performance. However, due to the complexity of evaluation, such as a compilation of quantitative and qualitative measures, interrelationships among various sustainability criteria, the assessor’s hesitation in scoring, or incomplete information, simple techniques may not be able to generate reliable results which can reflect the overall sustainability performance of a company. This paper proposes a series of mathematical formulations based upon the evidential reasoning (ER) approach which can be used to aggregate results from qualitative judgments with quantitative measurements under various types of complex and uncertain situations. The evaluation of corporate sustainability through the ER model is demonstrated using actual data generated from three sugar manufacturing companies in Thailand. The proposed model facilitates managers in analysing the performance and identifying improvement plans and goals. It also simplifies decision making related to sustainable development initiatives. The model can be generalized to a wider area of performance assessment, as well as to any cases of multiple criteria analysis

Interval and fuzzy optimization. Applications to data envelopment analysis

Enhancing concern in the efficiency assessment of a set of peer entities termed Decision Making Units (DMUs) in many fields from industry to healthcare has led to the development of efficiency assessment models and tools. Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is one of the most important methodologies to measure efficiency assessment through the comparison of a group of DMUs. It permits the use of multiple inputs/outputs without any functional form. It is vastly applied to production theory in Economics and benchmarking in Operations Research. In conventional DEA models, the observed inputs and outputs possess precise and realvalued data. However, in the real world, some problems consider imprecise and integer data. For example, the number of defect-free lamps, the fleet size, the number of hospital beds or the number of staff can be represented in some cases as imprecise and integer data. This thesis considers several novel approaches for measuring the efficiency assessment of DMUs where the inputs and outputs are interval and fuzzy data. First, an axiomatic derivation of the fuzzy production possibility set is presented and a fuzzy enhanced Russell graph measure is formulated using a fuzzy arithmetic approach. The proposed approach uses polygonal fuzzy sets and LU-fuzzy partial orders and provides crisp efficiency measures (and associated efficiency ranking) as well as fuzzy efficient targets. The second approach is a new integer interval DEA, with the extension of the corresponding arithmetic and LU-partial orders to integer intervals. Also, a new fuzzy integer DEA approach for efficiency assessment is presented. The proposed approach considers a hybrid scenario involving trapezoidal fuzzy integer numbers and trapezoidal fuzzy numbers. Fuzzy integer arithmetic and partial orders are introduced. Then, using appropriate axioms, a fuzzy integer DEA technology can be derived. Finally, an inverse DEA based on the non-radial slacks-based model in the presence of uncertainty, employing both integer and continuous interval data is presented