Estimation of Nonstationary Process Variance in Multistage Manufacturing Processes Using a Model-Based Observer

In this paper, we propose a recursive algorithm to estimate the process variance in multistage manufacturing or assembly processes. We use a replicated model that includes the process variance to be estimated as a time-varying state that changes slowly. For this model, we develop an estimation strategy including tuning parameters that play a direct role in the tradeoff between the estimation accuracy and the adaptation to changes. We also develop a statistical confidence interval for the estimations which enhances the decision of whether the process variances have changed. Unlike other batch methods in the literature, our proposal is computed recursively, and it allows us to tune the tradeoff between the convergence speed and the accuracy without modifying the sample size, which only contains the data of the last manufactured piece

Architecting Networked Engineering Systems

The primary goal in this dissertation is to create a new knowledge, make a transformative influence in the design of networked engineering systems adaptable to ambitious market demands, and to accommodate the Industry 4.0 design principles based on the philosophy that design is fundamentally a decision making process. The principal motivation in this dissertation is to establish a computational framework that is suitable for the design of low-cost and high-quality networked engineering systems adaptable to ambitious market demands in the context of Industry 4.0. Dynamic and ambitious global market demands make it necessary for competitive enterprises to have low-cost manufacturing processes and high-quality products. Smart manufacturing is increasingly being adopted by companies to respond to changes in the market. These smart manufacturing systems must be adaptable to dynamic changes and respond to unexpected disturbances, and uncertainty. Accordingly, a decision-based design computational framework, Design for Dynamic Management (DFDM), is proposed as a support to flexible, operable and rapidly configurable manufacturing processes. DFDM has three critical components: adaptable and concurrent design, operability analysis and reconfiguration strategies. Adaptable and concurrent design methods offer flexibility in selection of design parameters and the concurrent design of the mechanical and control systems. Operability analysis is used to determine the functionality of the system undergoing dynamic change. Reconfiguration strategies allow multiple configurations of elements in the system. It is expected that proposed computational framework results in next generation of networked engineering systems, where tools and sensors communicate with each other via the Internet of Things (IoT), sensors data would be used to create enriched digital system models, adaptable to fast-changing market requirements, which can produce higher quality products over a longer lifetime and at a lower cost. The computational framework and models proposed in this dissertation are applicable in system design, and/or product-service system design. This dissertation is a fundamental research and a way forward is DFDM transition to the industry through decision-based design platform. Decision-based design platform is a step toward new frontiers, Cyber-Physical-Social System Design, Manufacturing, and Services, contributing to further digitization

A framework for fault detection and diagnostics of articulated collaborative robots based on hybrid series modelling of Artificial Intelligence algorithms

Smart factories build on cyber-physical systems as one of the most promising technological concepts. Within smart factories, condition-based and predictive maintenance are key solutions to improve competitiveness by reducing downtimes and increasing the overall equipment effectiveness. Besides, the growing interest towards operation flexibility has pushed companies to introduce novel solutions on the shop floor, leading to install cobots for advanced human-machine collaboration. Despite their reliability, also cobots are subjected to degradation and functional failures may influence their operation, leading to anomalous trajectories. In this context, the literature shows gaps in what concerns a systematic adoption of condition-based and predictive maintenance to monitor and predict the health state of cobots to finally assure their expected performance. This work proposes an approach that leverages on a framework for fault detection and diagnostics of cobots inspired by the Prognostics and Health Management process as a guideline. The goal is to habilitate first-level maintenance, which aims at informing the operator about anomalous trajectories. The framework is enabled by a modular structure consisting of hybrid series modelling of unsupervised Artificial Intelligence algorithms, and it is assessed by inducing three functional failures in a 7-axis collaborative robot used for pick and place operations. The framework demonstrates the capability to accommodate and handle different trajectories while notifying the unhealthy state of cobots. Thanks to its structure, the framework is open to testing and comparing more algorithms in future research to identify the best-in-class in each of the proposed steps given the operational context on the shop floor

Methods and Systems for Fault Diagnosis in Nuclear Power Plants

This research mainly deals with fault diagnosis in nuclear power plants (NPP), based on a framework that integrates contributions from fault scope identification, optimal sensor placement, sensor validation, equipment condition monitoring, and diagnostic reasoning based on pattern analysis. The research has a particular focus on applications where data collected from the existing SCADA (supervisory, control, and data acquisition) system is not sufficient for the fault diagnosis system. Specifically, the following methods and systems are developed. A sensor placement model is developed to guide optimal placement of sensors in NPPs. The model includes 1) a method to extract a quantitative fault-sensor incidence matrix for a system; 2) a fault diagnosability criterion based on the degree of singularities of the incidence matrix; and 3) procedures to place additional sensors to meet the diagnosability criterion. Usefulness of the proposed method is demonstrated on a nuclear power plant process control test facility (NPCTF). Experimental results show that three pairs of undiagnosable faults can be effectively distinguished with three additional sensors selected by the proposed model. A wireless sensor network (WSN) is designed and a prototype is implemented on the NPCTF. WSN is an effective tool to collect data for fault diagnosis, especially for systems where additional measurements are needed. The WSN has distributed data processing and information fusion for fault diagnosis. Experimental results on the NPCTF show that the WSN system can be used to diagnose all six fault scenarios considered for the system. A fault diagnosis method based on semi-supervised pattern classification is developed which requires significantly fewer training data than is typically required in existing fault diagnosis models. It is a promising tool for applications in NPPs, where it is usually difficult to obtain training data under fault conditions for a conventional fault diagnosis model. The proposed method has successfully diagnosed nine types of faults physically simulated on the NPCTF. For equipment condition monitoring, a modified S-transform (MST) algorithm is developed by using shaping functions, particularly sigmoid functions, to modify the window width of the existing standard S-transform. The MST can achieve superior time-frequency resolution for applications that involves non-stationary multi-modal signals, where classical methods may fail. Effectiveness of the proposed algorithm is demonstrated using a vibration test system as well as applications to detect a collapsed pipe support in the NPCTF. The experimental results show that by observing changes in time-frequency characteristics of vibration signals, one can effectively detect faults occurred in components of an industrial system. To ensure that a fault diagnosis system does not suffer from erroneous data, a fault detection and isolation (FDI) method based on kernel principal component analysis (KPCA) is extended for sensor validations, where sensor faults are detected and isolated from the reconstruction errors of a KPCA model. The method is validated using measurement data from a physical NPP. The NPCTF is designed and constructed in this research for experimental validations of fault diagnosis methods and systems. Faults can be physically simulated on the NPCTF. In addition, the NPCTF is designed to support systems based on different instrumentation and control technologies such as WSN and distributed control systems. The NPCTF has been successfully utilized to validate the algorithms and WSN system developed in this research. In a real world application, it is seldom the case that one single fault diagnostic scheme can meet all the requirements of a fault diagnostic system in a nuclear power. In fact, the values and performance of the diagnosis system can potentially be enhanced if some of the methods developed in this thesis can be integrated into a suite of diagnostic tools. In such an integrated system, WSN nodes can be used to collect additional data deemed necessary by sensor placement models. These data can be integrated with those from existing SCADA systems for more comprehensive fault diagnosis. An online performance monitoring system monitors the conditions of the equipment and provides key information for the tasks of condition-based maintenance. When a fault is detected, the measured data are subsequently acquired and analyzed by pattern classification models to identify the nature of the fault. By analyzing the symptoms of the fault, root causes of the fault can eventually be identified

Advances in Robotics, Automation and Control

The book presents an excellent overview of the recent developments in the different areas of Robotics, Automation and Control. Through its 24 chapters, this book presents topics related to control and robot design; it also introduces new mathematical tools and techniques devoted to improve the system modeling and control. An important point is the use of rational agents and heuristic techniques to cope with the computational complexity required for controlling complex systems. Through this book, we also find navigation and vision algorithms, automatic handwritten comprehension and speech recognition systems that will be included in the next generation of productive systems developed by man

Data fusion for system modeling, performance assessment and improvement

Due to rapid advancements in sensing and computation technology, multiple types of sensors have been embedded in various applications, on-line automatically collecting massive production information. Although this data-rich environment provides great opportunity for more effective process control, it also raises new research challenges on data analysis and decision making due to the complex data structures, such as heterogeneous data dependency, and large-volume and high-dimensional characteristics. This thesis contributes to the area of System Informatics and Control (SIAC) to develop systematic data fusion methodologies for effective quality control and performance improvement in complex systems. These advanced methodologies enable (1) a better handling of the rich data environment communicated by complex engineering systems, (2) a closer monitoring of the system status, and (3) a more accurate forecasting of future trends and behaviors. The research bridges the gaps in methodologies among advanced statistics, engineering domain knowledge and operation research. It also forms close linkage to various application areas such as manufacturing, health care, energy and service systems. This thesis started from investigating the optimal sensor system design and conducting multiple sensor data fusion analysis for process monitoring and diagnosis in different applications. In Chapter 2, we first studied the couplings or interactions between the optimal design of a sensor system in a Bayesian Network and quality management of a manufacturing system, which can improve cost-effectiveness and production yield by considering sensor cost, process change detection speed, and fault diagnosis accuracy in an integrated manner. An algorithm named “Best Allocation Subsets by Intelligent Search” (BASIS) with optimality proof is developed to obtain the optimal sensor allocation design at minimum cost under different user specified detection requirements. Chapter 3 extended this line of research by proposing a novel adaptive sensor allocation framework, which can greatly improve the monitoring and diagnosis capabilities of the previous method. A max-min criterion is developed to manage sensor reallocation and process change detection in an integrated manner. The methodology was tested and validated based on a hot forming process and a cap alignment process. Next in Chapter 4, we proposed a Scalable-Robust-Efficient Adaptive (SERA) sensor allocation strategy for online high-dimensional process monitoring in a general network. A monitoring scheme of using the sum of top-r local detection statistics is developed, which is scalable, effective and robust in detecting a wide range of possible shifts in all directions. This research provides a generic guideline for practitioners on determining (1) the appropriate sensor layout; (2) the “ON” and “OFF” states of different sensors; and (3) which part of the acquired data should be transmitted to and analyzed at the fusion center, when only limited resources are available. To improve the accuracy of remaining lifetime prediction, Chapter 5 proposed a data-level fusion methodology for degradation modeling and prognostics. When multiple sensors are available to measure the degradation mechanism of a same system, it becomes a high dimensional and challenging problem to determine which sensors to use and how to combine them together for better data analysis. To address this issue, we first defined two essential properties if present in a degradation signal, can enhance the effectiveness for prognostics. Then, we proposed a generic data-level fusion algorithm to construct a composite health index to achieve those two identified properties. The methodology was tested using the degradation signals of aircraft gas turbine engine, which demonstrated a much better prognostic result compared to relying solely on the data from an individual sensor. In summary, this thesis is the research drawing attention to the area of data fusion for effective employment of the underlying data gathering capabilities for system modeling, performance assessment and improvement. The fundamental data fusion methodologies are developed and further applied to various applications, which can facilitate resources planning, real-time monitoring, diagnosis and prognostics.Ph.D

Real-Time Monitoring and Fault Diagnostics in Roll-To-Roll Manufacturing Systems

A roll-to-roll (R2R) process is a manufacturing technique involving continuous processing of a flexible substrate as it is transferred between rotating rolls. It integrates many additive and subtractive processing techniques to produce rolls of product in an efficient and cost-effective way due to its high production rate and mass quantity. Therefore, the R2R processes have been increasingly implemented in a wide range of manufacturing industries, including traditional paper/fabric production, plastic and metal foil manufacturing, flexible electronics, thin film batteries, photovoltaics, graphene films production, etc. However, the increasing complexity of R2R processes and high demands on product quality have heightened the needs for effective real-time process monitoring and fault diagnosis in R2R manufacturing systems. This dissertation aims at developing tools to increase system visibility without additional sensors, in order to enhance real-time monitoring, and fault diagnosis capability in R2R manufacturing systems. First, a multistage modeling method is proposed for process monitoring and quality estimation in R2R processes. Product-centric and process-centric variation propagation are introduced to characterize variation propagation throughout the system. The multistage model mainly focuses on the formulation of process-centric variation propagation, which uniquely exists in R2R processes, and the corresponding product quality measurements with both physical knowledge and sensor data analysis. Second, a nonlinear analytical redundancy method is proposed for sensor validation to ensure the accuracy of sensor measurements for process and quality control. Parity relations based on nonlinear observation matrix are formulated to characterize system dynamics and sensor measurements. Robust optimization is designed to identify the coefficient of parity relations that can tolerate a certain level of measurement noise and system disturbances. The effect of the change of operating conditions on the value of the optimal objective function – parity residuals and the optimal design variables – parity coefficients are evaluated with sensitivity analysis. Finally, a multiple model approach for anomaly detection and fault diagnosis is introduced to improve the diagnosability under different operating regimes. The growing structure multiple model system (GSMMS) is employed, which utilizes Voronoi sets to automatically partition the entire operating space into smaller operating regimes. The local model identification problem is revised by formulating it into an optimization problem based on the loss minimization framework and solving with the mini-batch stochastic gradient descent method instead of least squares algorithms. This revision to the GSMMS method expands its capability to handle the local model identification problems that cannot be solved with a closed-form solution. The effectiveness of the models and methods are determined with testbed data from an R2R process. The results show that those proposed models and methods are effective tools to understand variation propagation in R2R processes and improve estimation accuracy of product quality by 70%, identify the health status of sensors promptly to guarantee data accuracy for modeling and decision making, and reduce false alarm rate and increase detection power under different operating conditions. Eventually, those tools developed in this thesis contribute to increase the visibility of R2R manufacturing systems, improve productivity and reduce product rejection rate.PHDMechanical EngineeringUniversity of Michigan, Horace H. Rackham School of Graduate Studieshttps://deepblue.lib.umich.edu/bitstream/2027.42/146114/1/huanyis_1.pd

Health Monitoring in Small Satellite Design

Presentation/lecture on systems health monitoring (diagnostics, prognostics, decision-making) with applications to the design phase of small satellite components and systems

Autonomous Systems, Robotics, and Computing Systems Capability Roadmap: NRC Dialogue

Contents include the following: Introduction. Process, Mission Drivers, Deliverables, and Interfaces. Autonomy. Crew-Centered and Remote Operations. Integrated Systems Health Management. Autonomous Vehicle Control. Autonomous Process Control. Robotics. Robotics for Solar System Exploration. Robotics for Lunar and Planetary Habitation. Robotics for In-Space Operations. Computing Systems. Conclusion