FUTURES-AMR: Towards an Adaptive Mesh Refinement Framework for Geosimulations

Adaptive Mesh Refinement (AMR) is a computational technique used to reduce the amount of computation and memory required in scientific simulations. Geosimulations are scientific simulations using geographic data, routinely used to predict outcomes of urbanization in urban studies. However, the lack of support for AMR techniques with geosimulations limits exploring prediction outcomes at multiple resolutions. In this paper, we propose an adaptive mesh refinement framework FUTURES-AMR, based on static user-defined policies to enable multi-resolution geosimulations. We develop a prototype for the cellular automaton based urban growth simulation FUTURES by exploiting static and dynamic mesh refinement techniques in conjunction with the Patch Growing Algorithm (PGA). While, the static refinement technique supports a statically defined fixed resolution mesh simulation at a location, the dynamic refinement technique supports dynamically refining the resolution based on simulation outcomes at runtime. Further, we develop two approaches - asynchronous AMR and synchronous AMR, suitable for parallel execution in a distributed computing environment with varying support for solution integration of the multi-resolution results. Finally, using the FUTURES-AMR framework with different policies in an urban study, we demonstrate reduced execution time, and low memory overhead for a multi-resolution simulation

Modeling Landowner Interactions and Development Patterns at the Urban Fringe

Population growth and unrestricted development policies are driving low-density urbanization and fragmentation of peri-urban landscapes across North America. While private individuals own most undeveloped land, little is known about how their decision-making processes shape landscape-scale patterns of urbanization over time. We introduce a hybrid agent-based modeling (ABM) – cellular automata (CA) modeling approach, developed for analyzing dynamic feedbacks between landowners’ decisions to sell their land for development, and resulting patterns of landscape fragmentation. Our modeling approach builds on existing conceptual frameworks in land systems modeling by integrating an ABM into an established grid-based land-change model – FUTURES. The decision-making process within the ABM involves landowner agents whose decision to sell their land to developers is a function of heterogeneous preferences and peer-influences (i.e., spatial neighborhood relationships). Simulating landowners’ decision to sell allows an operational link between the ABM and the CA module. To test our hybrid ABM-CA approach, we used empirical data for a rapidly growing region in North Carolina for parameterization. We conducted a sensitivity analysis focusing on the two most relevant parameters—spatial actor distribution and peer-influence intensity—and evaluated the dynamic behavior of the model simulations. The simulation results indicate different peer-influence intensities lead to variable landscape fragmentation patterns, suggesting patterns of spatial interaction among landowners indirectly affect landscape-scale patterns of urbanization and the fragmentation of undeveloped forest and farmland

Continental-scale quantification of landscape values using social media data

Individuals, communities, and societies ascribe a diverse array of values to landscapes. These values are shaped by the aesthetic, cultural, and recreational benefits and services provided by those landscapes. However, across the globe, processes such as urbanization, agricultural intensification, and abandonment are threatening landscape integrity, altering the personally meaningful connections people have toward specific places. Existing methods used to study landscape values, such as social surveys, are poorly suited to capture dynamic landscape-scale processes across large geographic extents. Social media data, by comparison, can be used to indirectly measure and identify valuable features of landscapes at a regional, continental, and perhaps even worldwide scale. We evaluate the usefulness of different social media platforms—Panoramio, Flickr, and Instagram—and quantify landscape values at a continental scale. We find Panoramio, Flickr, and Instagram data can be used to quantify landscape values, with features of Instagram being especially suitable due to its relatively large population of users and its functional ability of allowing users to attach personally meaningful comments and hashtags to their uploaded images. Although Panoramio, Flickr, and Instagram have different user profiles, our analysis revealed similar patterns of landscape values across Europe across the three platforms. We also found variables describing accessibility, population density, income, mountainous terrain, or proximity to water explained a significant portion of observed variation across data from the different platforms. Social media data can be used to extend our understanding of how and where individuals ascribe value to landscapes across diverse social, political, and ecological boundaries