19 research outputs found
Global burden and strength of evidence for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and 811 subnational locations, 1990–2021: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Abate Kalkidan Hassen
- Abate Yohannes Habtegiorgis
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh
- Abbasi Madineh Akram
- Abbasi-Kangevari Mohsen
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abbasifard Mitra
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdi Parsa
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdoun Meriem
- Abdulah Deldar Morad
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abebe Mesfin
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Armita
- Abegaz Tadesse M
- Abeldaño Zuñiga Roberto Ariel
- Abiodun Olumide
- Abiso Temesgen Lera
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abouzid Mohamed
- Aboye Girma Beressa
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Abu-Gharbieh Eman
- Abu-Zaid Ahmed
- Abualruz Hasan
- Abubakar Bilyaminu
- Abukhadijah Hana Jihad Jihad
- Aburuz Salahdein
- Adane Mesafint Molla
- Addo Isaac Yeboah
- Addolorato Giovanni
- Adedoyin Rufus Adesoji
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Aden Bashir
- Adetunji Juliana Bunmi
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adha Rishan
- Adibi Amin
- Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
- Adzigbli Leticia Akua
- Afolabi Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika
- Afolabi Rotimi Felix
- Afshin Ashkan
- Afyouni Shadi
- Afzal Muhammad Sohail
- Afzal Saira
- Agampodi Suneth Buddhika
- Agbozo Faith
- Aghamiri Shahin
- Agodi Antonella
- Agrawal Anurag
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Danish
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Noah
- Ahmad Shahzaib
- Ahmad Tauseef
- Ahmed Ali
- Ahmed Anisuddin
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Luai A
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Ahmed Safoora
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Ajami Marjan
- Akalu Gizachew Taddesse
- Akara Essona Matatom
- Akbarialiabad Hossein
- Akhlaghi Shiva
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akinyemiju Tomi
- Akkaif Mohammed Ahmed
- Akkala Sreelatha
- Akombi-Inyang Blessing
- Al Awaidy Salah
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- AL-Ahdal Tareq Mohammed Ali
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-Fatly Bassam
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Habbal Khairat
- Al-Marwani Sabah
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M
- Al-Raddadi Rajaa M
- Al-Rifai Rami Hani
- Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah
- Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A
- Al-Wardat Mohammad Sami
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Al-Zyoud Walid
- Alahdab Fares
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Alalwan Tariq A
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Nazmul
- Alanezi Fahad Mashhour
- Alanzi Turki M
- Albakri Almaza
- AlBataineh Mohammad T
- Aldhaleei Wafa A
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemayohu Mulubirhan Assefa
- Alemu Yihun Mulugeta
- Alhabib Khalid F
- Alhassan Robert Kaba
- Ali Abid
- Ali Amjad
- Ali Beriwan Abdulqadir
- Ali Iman
- Ali Liaqat
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Ali Waad
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Alla François
- Almustanyir Sami
- Alomari Mahmoud A
- Alonso Jordi
- Alqahtani Jaber S
- Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen
- Alrawashdeh Ahmad
- Alrousan Sahel Majed
- Alshahrani Najim Z
- Altaany Zaid
- Altaf Awais
- Altirkawi Khalid A
- Aluh Deborah Oyine
- Alvis-Guzman Nelson
- Alvis-Zakzuk Nelson J
- Alwafi Hassan
- Aly Hany
- Aly Safwat
- Alzoubi Karem H
- Amaechi Uchenna Anderson
- Aman Mohammadi Masous
- Amani Reza
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amirzade-Iranaq Mohammad Hosein
- Ammirati Enrico
- Amu Hubert
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Amusa Ganiyu Adeniyi
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Anderson Jason A
- Andrade Pedro Prata
- Andrei Catalina Liliana
- Andrei Tudorel
- Anenberg Susan C
- Angappan Dhanalakshmi
- Angus Colin
- Anil Abhishek
- Anil Sneha
- Anjum Afifa
- Anoushiravani Amir
- Antonazzo Ippazio Cosimo
- Antony Catherine M
- Antriyandarti Ernoiz
- Anuoluwa Boluwatife Stephen
- Anvari Davood
- Anvari Saeid
- Anwar Saleha
- Anwar Sumadi Lukman
- Anwer Razique
- Anyabolo Ekenedilichukwu Emmanuel
- Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward
- Apostol Geminn Louis Carace
- Arabloo Jalal
- Arabzadeh Bahri Razman
- Arafat Mosab
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y
- Areda Demelash
- Aregawi Brhane Berhe
- Aremu Abdulfatai
- Armocida Benedetta
- Arndt Michael Benjamin
- Arooj Mahwish
- Artamonov Anton A
- Artanti Kurnia Dwi
- Aruleba Idowu Thomas
- Arumugam Ashokan
- Asbeutah Akram M
- Asgary Saeed
- Asgedom Akeza Awealom
- Ashbaugh Charlie
- Ashemo Mubarek Yesse
- Ashraf Tahira
- Askarinejad Amir
- Assmus Michael
- Astell-Burt Thomas
- Athar Mohammad
- Athari Seyyed Shamsadin
- Atorkey Prince
- Atreya Alok
- Aujayeb Avinash
- Ausloos Marcel
- Avila-Burgos Leticia
- Awoke Andargie Abate
- Ayala Quintanilla Beatriz Paulina
- Ayatollahi Haleh
- Ayestas Portugal Carlos
- Ayuso-Mateos Jose L
- Azadnajafabad Sina
- Azevedo Rui M S
- Azhar Gulrez Shah
- Azizi Hosein
- Azzam Ahmed Y
- Ärnlöv Johan
- Backhaus Insa Linnea
- Badar Muhammad
- Badiye Ashish D
- Bagga Arvind
- Baghdadi Soroush
- Bagheri Nasser
- Bagherieh Sara
- Bahrami Taghanaki Pegah
- Bai Ruhai
- Baig Atif Amin
- Baker Jennifer L
- Bakkannavar Shankar M
- Balasubramanian Madhan
- Baltatu Ovidiu Constantin
- Bam Kiran
- Bandyopadhyay Soham
- Banik Biswajit
- Banik Palash Chandra
- Banke-Thomas Aduragbemi
- Bansal Hansi
- Barchitta Martina
- Bardhan Mainak
- Bardideh Erfan
- Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn
- Barone-Adesi Francesco
- Barqawi Hiba Jawdat
- Barrero Lope H
- Barrow Amadou
- Barteit Sandra
- Basharat Zarrin
- Basiru Afisu
- Basso João Diogo
- Bastan Mohammad-Mahdi
- Basu Sanjay
- Batchu Sai
- Batra Kavita
- Batra Ravi
- Baune Bernhard T
- Bayati Mohsen
- Bayileyegn Nebiyou Simegnew
- Bärnighausen Till Winfried
- Beaney Thomas
- Behnoush Amir Hossein
- Beiranvand Maryam
- Bekele Alehegn
- Belgaumi Uzma Iqbal
- Bell Arielle Wilder
- Bell Michelle L
- Bello Muhammad Bashir
- Bello Olorunjuwon Omolaja
- Belo Luis
- Beloukas Apostolos
- Bendak Salaheddine
- Bennett Derrick A
- Bennitt Fiona B
- Bensenor Isabela M
- Benzian Habib
- Beran Azizullah
- Berezvai Zombor
- Bernabe Eduardo
- Bernstein Robert S
- Bettencourt Paulo J G
- Béjot Yannick
- Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth
- Bhala Neeraj
- Bhandari Dinesh
- Bhardwaj Nikha
- Bhardwaj Pankaj
- Bhaskar Sonu
- Bhat Ajay Nagesh
- Bhat Vivek
- Bhatti Gurjit Kaur
- Bhatti Jasvinder Singh
- Bhatti Manpreet S
- Bhatti Rajbir
- Bhuiyan Mohiuddin Ahmed
- Bhutta Zulfiqar A
- Bikbov Boris
- Bishai Jessica Devin
- Bisignano Catherine
- Biswas Atanu
- Biswas Bijit
- Biswas Raaj Kishore
- Bjørge Tone
- Boachie Micheal Kofi
- Boakye Hosea
- Bockarie Moses John
- Bodolica Virginia
- Bodunrin Aadam Olalekan
- Bogale Eyob Ketema
- Bolla Srinivasa Rao
- Boloor Archith
- Bonakdar Hashemi Milad
- Boppana Sri Harsha
- Bora Basara Berrak
- Borhany Hamed
- Botero Carvajal Alejandro
- Bouaoud Souad
- Boufous Soufiane
- Bourne Rupert
- Boxe Christopher
- Braithwaite Dejana
- Brant Luisa C
- Brar Amanpreet
- Brauer Michael
- Breitborde Nicholas J K
- Breitner Susanne
- Brenner Hermann
- Briko Andrey Nikolaevich
- Britton Gabrielle
- Brown Colin Stewart
- Browne Annie J
- Brunoni Andre R
- Bryazka Dana
- Bulamu Norma B
- Bulto Lemma N
- Buonsenso Danilo
- Burkart Katrin
- Burns Richard A
- Busse Reinhard
- Bustanji Yasser
- Butt Nadeem Shafique
- Butt Zahid A
- Caetano dos Santos Florentino Luciano
- Cagney Jack
- Cahuana-Hurtado Lucero
- Calina Daniela
- Campos Luciana Aparecida
- Campos-Nonato Ismael R
- Cao Chao
- Cao Fan
- Cao Yubin
- Capodici Angelo
- Carr Sinclair
- Carreras Giulia
- Carrero Juan J
- Carugno Andrea
- Carvalho Felix
- Carvalho Márcia
- Castaldelli-Maia Joao Mauricio
- Castañeda-Orjuela Carlos A
- Castelpietra Giulio
- Catalá-López Ferrán
- Catapano Alberico L
- Cattaruzza Maria Sofia
- Caye Arthur
- Cámera Luis Alberto
- Cárdenas Rosario
- Cederroth Christopher R
- Cegolon Luca
- Cenderadewi Muthia
- Cercy Kelly M
- Cerin Ester
- Chadwick Joshua
- Chakraborty Chiranjib
- Chakraborty Promit Ananyo
- Chakraborty Sandip
- Chan Jeffrey Shi Kai
- Chan Raymond N C
- Chandan Joht Singh
- Chandika Rama Mohan
- Chaturvedi Pankaj
- Chen An-Tian
- Chen Catherine S
- Chen Haowei
- Chen Meng Xuan
- Chen Mingling
- Chen Simiao
- Cheng Ching-Yu
- Cheng Esther T W
- Cherbuin Nicolas
- Chi Gerald
- Chichagi Fatemeh
- Chimed-Ochir Odgerel
- Chimoriya Ritesh
- Ching Patrick R
- Chirinos-Caceres Jesus Lorenzo
- Chitheer Abdulaal
- Cho William C S
- Chong Bryan
- Chopra Hitesh
- Chowdhury Rajiv
- Christopher Devasahayam J
- Chu Dinh-Toi
- Chukwu Isaac Sunday
- Chung Eric
- Chung Sheng-Chia
- Chutiyami Muhammad
- Cioffi Iolanda
- Cogen Rebecca M
- Cohen Aaron J
- Columbus Alyssa
- Conde Joao
- Corlateanu Alexandru
- Cortese Samuele
- Cortesi Paolo Angelo
- Costa Vera Marisa
- Costanzo Simona
- Criqui Michael H
- Cruz Jessica A
- Cruz-Martins Natália
- Culbreth Garland T
- D'Amico Emanuele
- D'Anna Lucio
- D'Oria Mario
- da Silva Alanna Gomes
- Dadras Omid
- Dai Xiaochen
- Dai Zhaoli
- Daikwo Patience Unekwuojo
- Dalli Lachlan L
- Damiani Giovanni
- Darwesh Aso Mohammad
- Das Jai K
- Das Subasish
- Dash Nihar Ranjan
- Dashti Mohsen
- Davis Weaver Nicole
- Davitoiu Dragos Virgil
- Dávila-Cervantes Claudio Alberto
- De la Hoz Fernando Pio
- de la Torre-Luque Alejandro
- De Leo Diego
- Debopadhaya Shayom
- Degenhardt Louisa
- Del Bo' Cristian
- Delgado-Enciso Ivan
- Delgado-Saborit Juana Maria
- Demoze Chalachew Kassaw
- Denova-Gutiérrez Edgar
- Dervenis Nikolaos
- Dervišević Emina
- Desai Hardik Dineshbhai
- Desai Rupak
- Devanbu Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan
- Dewan Syed Masudur Rahman
- Dhali Arkadeep
- Dhama Kuldeep
- Dhane Amol S
- Dhimal Mandira Lamichhane
- Dhimal Meghnath
- Dhingra Sameer
- Dhulipala Vishal R
- Dhungana Raja Ram
- Dias da Silva Diana
- Diaz Daniel
- Diaz Luis Antonio
- Diaz Michael J
- Dima Adriana
- Ding Delaney D
- Dinu Monica
- Djalalinia Shirin
- do Prado Camila Bruneli
- Do Thanh Chi
- Do Thao Huynh Phuong
- Dodangeh Masoud
- Dohare Sushil
- Dokova Klara Georgieva
- Dong Wanyue
- Dongarwar Deepa
- Dorostkar Fariba
- Dorsey E Ray
- Doshi Rajkumar
- Doshmangir Leila
- Dowou Robert Kokou
- Driscoll Tim Robert
- Dsouza Ashel Chelsea
- Dsouza Haneil Larson
- Dumith Samuel C
- Duncan Bruce B
- Duraes Andre Rodrigues
- Duraisamy Senbagam
- Dushpanova Anar
- Dzianach Paulina Agnieszka
- Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian
- Ebrahimi Alireza
- Echieh Chidiebere Peter
- Ed-Dra Abdelaziz
- Edinur Hisham Atan
- Edvardsson David
- Edvardsson Kristina
- Efendi Ferry
- Eftekharimehrabad Aziz
- Eini Ebrahim
- Ekholuenetale Michael
- Ekundayo Temitope Cyrus
- El Arab Rabie Adel
- El Sayed Zaki Maysaa
- El-Dahiyat Faris
- Elemam Noha Mousaad
- Elgar Frank J
- ElGohary Ghada Metwally Tawfik
- Elhabashy Hala Rashad
- Elhadi Muhammed
- Elmehrath Ahmed O
- Elmeligy Omar Abdelsadek Abdou
- Elshaer Mohammed
- Elsohaby Ibrahim
- Emeto Theophilus I
- Esfandiari Negin
- Eshrati Babak
- Eslami Majid
- Esmaeili Sayed Vahid
- Estep Kara
- Etaee Farshid
- Fabin Natalia
- Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis
- Fagbule Omotayo Francis
- Fahimi Saman
- Falzone Luca
- Fareed Mohammad
- Farinha Carla Sofia e Sá
- Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud
- Faris Pawan Sirwan
- Faro Andre
- Fasina Folorunso Oludayo
- Fatehizadeh Ali
- Fauk Nelsensius Klau
- Fazylov Timur
- Feigin Valery L
- Feng Xiaoqi
- Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad
- Feroze Abdullah Hamid
- Ferrara Pietro
- Ferrari Alize J
- Ferreira Nuno
- Fetensa Getahun
- Feyisa Bikila Regassa
- Filip Irina
- Fischer Florian
- Fitriana Ida
- Flavel Joanne
- Flohr Carsten
- Flood David
- Flor Luisa S
- Foigt Nataliya A
- Folayan Morenike Oluwatoyin
- Force Lisa M
- Fortuna Daniela
- Foschi Matteo
- Franklin Richard Charles
- Freitas Alberto
- Friedman Sara D
- Fux Blima
- G Sridevi
- Gaal Peter Andras
- Gaihre Santosh
- Gajdács Márió
- Gakidou Emmanuela
- Galali Yaseen
- Gallus Silvano
- Gandhi Aravind P
- Ganesan Balasankar
- Ganiyani Mohammad Arfat
- Garcia Vanessa
- Gardner William M
- Garg Ravindra K
- Gautam Rupesh K
- Gebi Tilaye Gebru
- Gebregergis Miglas W
- Gebrehiwot Mesfin
- Gebremariam Tesfay B B
- Gebremeskel Teferi Gebru
- Gerema Urge
- Getacher Lemma
- Getahun Genanew K a
- Getie Molla
- Ghadirian Fataneh
- Ghafarian Sadegh
- Ghaffari Jolfayi Amir
- Ghailan Khalid Yaser
- Ghajar Alireza
- Ghasemi MohammadReza
- Ghasempour Dabaghi Ghazal
- Ghasemzadeh Afsaneh
- Ghassemi Fariba
- Ghazy Ramy Mohamed
- Gholami Ali
- Gholamrezanezhad Ali
- Gholizadeh Nasim
- Ghorbani Mahsa
- Gil Artyom Urievich
- Gil Gabriela Fernanda
- Gilbertson Nora M
- Gill Paramjit Singh
- Gill Tiffany K
- Gindaba Ebisa Zerihun
- Girmay Alem
- Glasbey James C
- Gnedovskaya Elena V
- Godinho Myron Anthony
- Goel Amit
- Golechha Mahaveer
- Goleij Pouya
- Golinelli Davide
- Gomes Nelson G M
- Gopalani Sameer Vali
- Gorini Giuseppe
- Goudarzi Houman
- Goulart Alessandra C
- Gouravani Mahdi
- Goyal Anmol
- Göbölös Laszlo
- Graham Simon Matthew
- Grivna Michal
- Grosso Giuseppe
- Guan Shi-Yang
- Guarducci Giovanni
- Gubari Mohammed Ibrahim Mohialdeen
- Guha Avirup
- Guicciardi Stefano
- Gulati Snigdha
- Gulisashvili David
- Gunawardane Damitha Asanga
- Guo Cui
- Gupta Anish Kumar
- Gupta Bhawna
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- Gupta Rahul
- Gupta Rajat Das
- Gupta Rajeev
- Gupta Sapna
- Gupta Veer Bala
- Gupta Vijai Kumar
- Gupta Vivek Kumar
- Habibzadeh Farrokh
- Habibzadeh Parham
- Hadaro Tesfahun Simon
- Hadian Zahra
- Haep Nils
- Haghi-Aminjan Hamed
- Haghmorad Dariush
- Hagins Hailey
- Haile Demewoz
- Hailu Alemayehu
- Hajj Ali Adel
- Halboub Esam S
- Halimi Aram
- Hall Brian J
- Haller Sebastian
- Halwani Rabih
- Hamadeh Randah R
- Hamdy Nadia M
- Hameed Sajid
- Hamidi Samer
- Hammoud Ahmad
- Hanif Asif
- Hanifi Nasrin
- Haq Zaim Anan
- Haque Md Rabiul
- Harapan Harapan
- Hargono Arief
- Haro Josep Maria
- Hasaballah Ahmed I
- Hasan Ikramul
- Hasan Mohammad Jahid
- Hasan S M Mahmudul
- Hasani Hamidreza
- Hasanian Mohammad
- Hashmeh Nadim
- Hasnain Md Saquib
- Hassan Zadeh Tabatabaei Mahgol Sadat
- Hassan Amr
- Hassan Ikrama
- Hassani Shokoufeh
- Hassanipour Soheil
- Hassankhani Hadi
- Haubold Johannes
- Havmoeller Rasmus J
- Hay Simon I
- Hebert Jeffrey J
- Hegazi Omar E
- Hegena Tadele Yohannes
- Heidari Golnaz
- Heidari Mohammad
- Helfer Bartosz
- Hemmati Mehdi
- Henson Claire A
- Herbert Molly E
- Herteliu Claudiu
- Heuer Austin
- Hezam Kamal
- Hinneh Thomas Kwadwo
- Hiraike Yuta
- Hoan Nguyen Quoc
- Holla Ramesh
- Hon Julia
- Hoque Mohammad Enamul
- Horita Nobuyuki
- Hossain Sahadat
- Hosseini Seyed Ehsan
- Hosseinzadeh Hassan
- Hosseinzadeh Mehdi
- Hostiuc Mihaela
- Hostiuc Sorin
- Hoven Hanno
- Hsairi Mohamed
- Hsu Johnathan M
- Hu Chengxi
- Huang Junjie
- Huda Md Nazmul
- Hulland Erin N
- Hultström Michael
- Hushmandi Kiavash
- Hussain Javid
- Hussein Nawfal R
- Huynh Chantal K
- Huynh Hong-Han
- Ibitoye Segun Emmanuel
- Idowu Oluwatope Olaniyi
- Ihler Audrey L
- Ikeda Nayu
- Ikuta Kevin S
- Ilesanmi Olayinka Stephen
- Ilic Irena M
- Ilic Milena D
- Imam Mohammad Tarique
- Immurana Mustapha
- Inbaraj Leeberk Raja
- Irham Lalu Muhammad
- Isa Mustafa Alhaji
- Islam Md Rabiul
- Ismail Faisal
- Ismail Nahlah Elkudssiah
- Iso Hiroyasu
- Isola Gaetano
- Iwagami Masao
- Iwu Chidozie C D
- Iwu-Jaja Chinwe Juliana
- J Vinothini
- Jaafari Jalil
- Jacob Louis
- Jacobsen Kathryn H
- Jadidi-Niaragh Farhad
- Jahankhani Kasra
- Jahanmehr Nader
- Jahrami Haitham
- Jain Akhil
- Jain Nityanand
- Jairoun Ammar Abdulrahman
- Jaiswal Abhishek
- Jakovljevic Mihajlo
- Jalilzadeh Yengejeh Reza
- Jamora Roland Dominic G
- Jatau Abubakar Ibrahim
- Javadov Sabzali
- Javaheri Tahereh
- Jayaram Shubha
- Jeganathan Jayakumar
- Jeswani Bijay Mukesh
- Jiang Heng
- Johnson Catherine O
- Jokar Mohammad
- Jomehzadeh Nabi
- Jonas Jost B
- Joo Tamas
- Joseph Abel
- Joseph Nitin
- Joshi Vivek
- Joshua Charity Ehimwenma
- Jozwiak Jacek Jerzy
- Jürisson Mikk
- Kaambwa Billingsley
- Kabir Ali
- Kabir Zubair
- Kadashetti Vidya
- Kahn Ethan M
- Kalani Rizwan
- Kaliyadan Feroze
- Kalra Sanjay
- Kamath Rajesh
- Kanagasabai Thanigaivelan
- Kanchan Tanuj
- Kandel Himal
- Kanmiki Edmund Wedam
- Kanmodi Kehinde Kazeem
- Kansal Sushil Kumar
- Kapner Daniel John
- Kapoor Neeti
- Karagiannidis Efstratios
- Karajizadeh Mehrdad
- Karakasis Paschalis
- Karanth Shama D
- Karaye Ibraheem M
- Karch André
- Karim Asima
- Karimi Hanie
- Karmakar Shilpi
- Kashoo Faizan Zaffar
- Kasraei Hengameh
- Kassahun Woldeteklehaymanot Dagne
- Kassebaum Nicholas J
- Kassel Molly B
- Katikireddi Srinivasa Vittal
- Kauppila Joonas H
- Kawakami Norito
- Kaydi Neda
- Kayode Gbenga A
- Kazemi Foad
- Keiyoro Peter Njenga
- Kemmer Laura
- Kempen John H
- Kerr Jessica A
- Kesse-Guyot Emmanuelle
- Khader Yousef Saleh
- Khafaie Morteza Abdullatif
- Khajuria Himanshu
- Khalaji Amirmohammad
- Khalil Mariam
- Khalilian Alireza
- Khamesipour Faham
- Khan Asaduzzaman
- Khan M Nuruzzaman
- Khan Maseer
- Khan Mohammad Jobair
- Khan Moien AB
- Khanmohammadi Shaghayegh
- Khatab Khaled
- Khatatbeh Haitham
- Khatatbeh Moawiah Mohammad
- Khatib Mahalaqua Nazli
- Khavandegar Armin
- Khayat Kashani Hamid Reza
- Khidri Feriha Fatima
- Khodadoust Elaheh
- Khormali Moein
- Khorrami Zahra
- Khosla Atulya Aman
- Khosrowjerdi Mahmood
- Khreis Haneen
- Khusun Helda
- Kifle Zemene Demelash
- Kim Kwanghyun
- Kim Min Seo
- Kim Yun Jin
- Kimokoti Ruth W
- Kisa Adnan
- Kisa Sezer
- Knibbs Luke D
- Knudsen Ann Kristin Skrindo
- Koh David S Q
- Kolahi Ali-Asghar
- Kompani Farzad
- Kong Jianqiu
- Koren Gerbrand
- Korja Miikka
- Korshunov Vladimir Andreevich
- Korzh Oleksii
- Kosen Soewarta
- Kothari Nikhil
- Koul Parvaiz A
- Koulmane Laxminarayana Sindhura Lakshmi
- Krishan Kewal
- Krishnamoorthy Vijay
- Krishnamoorthy Yuvaraj
- Krishnan Bindu
- Krohn Kris J
- Kuate Defo Barthelemy
- Kucuk Bicer Burcu
- Kuddus Md Abdul
- Kuddus Mohammed
- Kugbey Nuworza
- Kuitunen Ilari
- Kulimbet Mukhtar
- Kulkarni Vishnutheertha
- Kumar Ashish
- Kumar Nithin
- Kumar Vijay
- Kundu Satyajit
- Kurmi Om P
- Kusnali Asep
- Kusuma Dian
- Kutluk Tezer
- La Vecchia Carlo
- Ladan Muhammad Awwal
- Laflamme Lucie
- Lahariya Chandrakant
- Lai Daphne Teck Ching
- Lal Dharmesh Kumar
- Lallukka Tea
- Lan Qing
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- Landires Iván
- Lanfranchi Francesco
- Langguth Berthold
- Lansingh Van Charles
- Laplante-Lévesque Ariane
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- Thirunavukkarasu Sathish
- Thomas Nihal
- Thomas Nikhil Kenny
- Tian Jing
- Tichopad Ales
- Ticoalu Jansje Henny Vera
- Tiruye Tenaw Yimer
- Tobe-Gai Ruoyan
- Tolani Musliu Adetola
- Tolossa Tadesse
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- Topouzis Fotis
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- Udoh Arit
- Ullah Atta
- Ullah Saeed
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- Umakanthan Srikanth
- Unim Brigid
- Unnikrishnan Bhaskaran
- Upadhyay Era
- Urso Daniele
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- Vaithinathan Asokan Govindaraj
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- Varga Orsolya
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- Wickramasinghe Nuwan Darshana
- Wilkerson Caroline
- Willeit Peter
- Wilson Shadrach
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- Wozniak Sarah
- Wu Chenkai
- Wu Dongze
- Wu Felicia
- Wu Zenghong
- Xia Juan
- Xiao Hong
- Xu Suowen
- Xu Xiaoyue
- Xu Yvonne Yiru
- Yadav Mukesh Kumar
- Yaghoubi Sajad
- Yamagishi Kazumasa
- Yang Lin
- Yano Yuichiro
- Yaribeygi Habib
- Yasufuku Yuichi
- Ye Pengpeng
- Yesodharan Renjulal
- Yesuf Subah Abderehim
- Yezli Saber
- Yi Siyan
- Yigzaw Zeamanuel Anteneh
- Yiğit Arzu
- Yin Dehui
- Yip Paul
- Yismaw Malede Berihun
- Yon Dong Keon
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- You Yuyi
- Younis Mustafa Z
- Yousefi Zabihollah
- Yu Chuanhua
- Yu Yong
- Zadey Siddhesh
- Zadnik Vesna
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zaki Nazar
- Zakzuk Josefina
- Zamagni Giulia
- Zaman Sojib Bin
- Zandieh Ghazal G Z
- Zanghì Aurora
- Zar Heather J
- Zare Iman
- Zarimeidani Fatemeh
- Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich
- Zeng Youjie
- Zhai Chunxia
- Zhang Anthony Lin
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Liqun
- Zhang Meixin
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhenyu
- Zhang Zhi-Jiang
- Zhao Hanqing
- Zhao Jeff T
- Zhao Xiu-Ju George
- Zhao Yang
- Zhao Yong
- Zheng Peng
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Jingjing
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhou Shangcheng
- Zhu Bin
- Zhu Lei
- Zhu Zhaohua
- Ziaeian Boback
- Ziafati Makan
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zimsen Stephanie R M
- Zoghi Ghazal
- Zoller Thomas
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zyoud Sa'ed H
- Zyoud Samer H
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2024
- Field of study
Background: Understanding the health consequences associated with exposure to risk factors is necessary to inform public health policy and practice. To systematically quantify the contributions of risk factor exposures to specific health outcomes, the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 aims to provide comprehensive estimates of exposure levels, relative health risks, and attributable burden of disease for 88 risk factors in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, from 1990 to 2021. Methods: The GBD 2021 risk factor analysis used data from 54 561 total distinct sources to produce epidemiological estimates for 88 risk factors and their associated health outcomes for a total of 631 risk–outcome pairs. Pairs were included on the basis of data-driven determination of a risk–outcome association. Age-sex-location-year-specific estimates were generated at global, regional, and national levels. Our approach followed the comparative risk assessment framework predicated on a causal web of hierarchically organised, potentially combinative, modifiable risks. Relative risks (RRs) of a given outcome occurring as a function of risk factor exposure were estimated separately for each risk–outcome pair, and summary exposure values (SEVs), representing risk-weighted exposure prevalence, and theoretical minimum risk exposure levels (TMRELs) were estimated for each risk factor. These estimates were used to calculate the population attributable fraction (PAF; ie, the proportional change in health risk that would occur if exposure to a risk factor were reduced to the TMREL). The product of PAFs and disease burden associated with a given outcome, measured in disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), yielded measures of attributable burden (ie, the proportion of total disease burden attributable to a particular risk factor or combination of risk factors). Adjustments for mediation were applied to account for relationships involving risk factors that act indirectly on outcomes via intermediate risks. Attributable burden estimates were stratified by Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile and presented as counts, age-standardised rates, and rankings. To complement estimates of RR and attributable burden, newly developed burden of proof risk function (BPRF) methods were applied to yield supplementary, conservative interpretations of risk–outcome associations based on the consistency of underlying evidence, accounting for unexplained heterogeneity between input data from different studies. Estimates reported represent the mean value across 500 draws from the estimate's distribution, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) calculated as the 2·5th and 97·5th percentile values across the draws. Findings: Among the specific risk factors analysed for this study, particulate matter air pollution was the leading contributor to the global disease burden in 2021, contributing 8·0% (95% UI 6·7–9·4) of total DALYs, followed by high systolic blood pressure (SBP; 7·8% [6·4–9·2]), smoking (5·7% [4·7–6·8]), low birthweight and short gestation (5·6% [4·8–6·3]), and high fasting plasma glucose (FPG; 5·4% [4·8–6·0]). For younger demographics (ie, those aged 0–4 years and 5–14 years), risks such as low birthweight and short gestation and unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing (WaSH) were among the leading risk factors, while for older age groups, metabolic risks such as high SBP, high body-mass index (BMI), high FPG, and high LDL cholesterol had a greater impact. From 2000 to 2021, there was an observable shift in global health challenges, marked by a decline in the number of all-age DALYs broadly attributable to behavioural risks (decrease of 20·7% [13·9–27·7]) and environmental and occupational risks (decrease of 22·0% [15·5–28·8]), coupled with a 49·4% (42·3–56·9) increase in DALYs attributable to metabolic risks, all reflecting ageing populations and changing lifestyles on a global scale. Age-standardised global DALY rates attributable to high BMI and high FPG rose considerably (15·7% [9·9–21·7] for high BMI and 7·9% [3·3–12·9] for high FPG) over this period, with exposure to these risks increasing annually at rates of 1·8% (1·6–1·9) for high BMI and 1·3% (1·1–1·5) for high FPG. By contrast, the global risk-attributable burden and exposure to many other risk factors declined, notably for risks such as child growth failure and unsafe water source, with age-standardised attributable DALYs decreasing by 71·5% (64·4–78·8) for child growth failure and 66·3% (60·2–72·0) for unsafe water source. We separated risk factors into three groups according to trajectory over time: those with a decreasing attributable burden, due largely to declining risk exposure (eg, diet high in trans-fat and household air pollution) but also to proportionally smaller child and youth populations (eg, child and maternal malnutrition); those for which the burden increased moderately in spite of declining risk exposure, due largely to population ageing (eg, smoking); and those for which the burden increased considerably due to both increasing risk exposure and population ageing (eg, ambient particulate matter air pollution, high BMI, high FPG, and high SBP). Interpretation: Substantial progress has been made in reducing the global disease burden attributable to a range of risk factors, particularly those related to maternal and child health, WaSH, and household air pollution. Maintaining efforts to minimise the impact of these risk factors, especially in low SDI locations, is necessary to sustain progress. Successes in moderating the smoking-related burden by reducing risk exposure highlight the need to advance policies that reduce exposure to other leading risk factors such as ambient particulate matter air pollution and high SBP. Troubling increases in high FPG, high BMI, and other risk factors related to obesity and metabolic syndrome indicate an urgent need to identify and implement interventions
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Aali Amirali
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbas Jaffar
- Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh
- Abbasi Madineh Akram
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdelmasseh Michael
- Abdelwahab Ahmed
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdoun Meriem
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abdurehman Ame Mehadi
- Abebe Mesfin
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Armita
- Abegaz Tadesse M
- Abeldaño Zuñiga Roberto Ariel
- Abhilash E S
- Abiodun Olugbenga Olusola
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abouzid Mohamed
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Abrha Woldu Aberhe
- Abrigo Michael R M
- Abtahi Dariush
- Abu Rumeileh Samir
- Abu-Rmeileh Niveen ME
- Abu-Zaid Ahmed
- Aburuz Salahdein
- Acuna Juan Manuel
- Adair Tim
- Addo Isaac Yeboah
- Adebayo Oladimeji M
- Adegboye Oyelola A
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Aden Bashir
- Adepoju Abiola Victor
- Adetunji Charles Oluwaseun
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adeyomoye Olorunsola Israel
- Adha Rishan
- Adibi Amin
- Adikusuma Wirawan
- Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
- Adra Saryia
- Afework Abel
- Afolabi Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika
- Afraz Ali
- Afyouni Shadi
- Afzal Saira
- Agasthi Pradyumna
- Aghamiri Shahin
- Agodi Antonella
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Danish
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Muayyad M
- Ahmad Tauseef
- Ahmadi Keivan
- Ahmadzade Amir Mahmoud
- Ahmadzade Mohadese
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Haroon
- Ahmed Luai A
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Ajami Marjan
- Aji Budi
- Ajumobi Olufemi
- Akalu Gizachew Taddesse
- Akara Essona Matatom
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akkala Sreelatha
- Akyirem Samuel
- Al Hamad Hanadi
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- Al Homsi Ammar
- Al Qadire Mohammad
- AL-Ahdal Tareq Mohammed Ali
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-amer Rasmieh Mustafa
- Al-Eyadhy Ayman
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Hanawi Mohammed Khaled
- Al-Jumaily Adel
- Al-Marwani Sabah
- Al-Maweri Sadeq Ali Ali
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M
- Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah
- Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Ala Moein
- Aladelusi Timothy Olukunle
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Manjurul
- Alam Zufishan
- Alanezi Fahad Mashhour
- Alanzi Turki M
- Albashtawy Mohammed
- AlBataineh Mohammad T
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemi Sharifullah
- Alhabib Khalid F
- Alhalaiqa Fadwa Alhalaiqa Naji
- Ali Abid
- Ali Akhtar
- Ali Beriwan Abdulqadir
- Ali Hassam
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Ali Zahid
- Alian Samakkhah Shohreh
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aligol Mohammad
- Alimi Rasoul
- Aliyi Ahmednur Adem
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Almahmeed Wael
- Almazan Joseph Uy
- Almidani Omar
- Alomari Mahmoud A
- Alonso Nivaldo
- Alqahtani Jaber S
- Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen
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- Amare Azmeraw T
- Ameyaw Edward Kwabena
- Amhare Abebe Feyissa
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
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- Aminian Dehkordi Javad
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amu Hubert
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Amzat Jimoh
- Ancuceanu Robert
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- Attia Sameh
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- Jairoun Ammar Abdulrahman
- Jakovljevic Mihajlo
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- Temsah Reem Mohamad Hani
- Teramoto Masayuki
- Tesfaye Solomon Hailemariam
- Thangaraju Pugazhenthan
- Thankappan Kavumpurathu Raman
- Thapa Rajshree
- Thapar Rekha
- Thomas Nihal
- Thrift Amanda G
- Thum Chern Choong Chern
- Tian Jing
- Tichopad Ales
- Ticoalu Jansje Henny Vera
- Tiruye Tenaw Yimer
- Tohidast Seyed Abolfazl
- Tonelli Marcello
- Touvier Mathilde
- Tovani-Palone Marcos Roberto
- Tram Khai Hoan
- Tran Nghia Minh
- Trico Domenico
- Trihandini Indang
- Tromans Samuel Joseph
- Truong Vien T
- Truyen Thien Tan Tri Tai
- Tsermpini Evangelia Eirini
- Tumurkhuu Munkhtuya
- Tung Kang
- Tyrovolas Stefanos
- Ubah Chukwudi S
- Udoakang Aniefiok John
- Udoh Arit
- Ulhaq Inam
- Ullah Saeed
- Ullah Sana
- Umair Muhammad
- Umar Tungki Pratama
- Umeokonkwo Chukwuma David
- Umesh Anushri
- Unim Brigid
- Unnikrishnan Bhaskaran
- Upadhyay Era
- Urso Daniele
- Vacante Marco
- Vahdani Amir Mohammad
- Vaithinathan Asokan Govindaraj
- Valadan Tahbaz Sahel
- Valizadeh Rohollah
- Van den Eynde Jef
- Varavikova Elena
- Varga Orsolya
- Varma Siddhartha Alluri
- Vart Priya
- Varthya Shoban Babu
- Vasankari Tommi Juhani
- Veerman Lennert J
- Venketasubramanian Narayanaswamy
- Venugopal Deneshkumar
- Verghese Nicholas Alexander
- Verma Madhur
- Verma Pratibha
- Veroux Massimiliano
- Verras Georgios-Ioannis
- Vervoort Dominique
- Vieira Rafael José
- Villafañe Jorge Hugo
- Villani Leonardo
- Villanueva Gabriela Ines
- Villeneuve Paul J
- Violante Francesco S
- Visontay Rachel
- Vlassov Vasily
- Vo Bay
- Vollset Stein Emil
- Volovat Simona Ruxandra
- Volovici Victor
- Vongpradith Avina
- Vos Theo
- Vujcic Isidora S
- Vukovic Rade
- Wado Yohannes Dibaba
- Wafa Hatem A
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- Wamai Richard G
- Wang Cong
- Wang Denny
- Wang Fang
- Wang Shu
- Wang Song
- Wang Yanzhong
- Wang Yuan-Pang
- Ward Paul
- Watson Stefanie
- Weaver Marcia R
- Weerakoon Kosala Gayan
- Weiss Daniel J
- Weldemariam Abrha Hailay
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- Wen Yi Feng
- Werdecker Andrea
- Westerman Ronny
- Wickramasinghe Dakshitha Praneeth
- Wickramasinghe Nuwan Darshana
- Wijeratne Tissa
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- Wojewodzic Marcin W
- Wool Eve E
- Woolf Anthony D
- Wu Dongze
- Wulandari Ratna Dwi
- Xiao Hong
- Xu Bin
- Xu Xiaoyue
- Yadav Lalit
- Yaghoubi Sajad
- Yang Lin
- Yano Yuichiro
- Yao Yao
- Ye Pengpeng
- Yesera Gesila Endashaw
- Yesodharan Renjulal
- Yesuf Subah Abderehim
- Yiğit Arzu
- Yiğit Vahit
- Yip Paul
- Yon Dong Keon
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- You Yuyi
- Younis Mustafa Z
- Yu Chuanhua
- Zadey Siddhesh
- Zadnik Vesna
- Zafari Nima
- Zahedi Mohammad
- Zahid Muhammad Nauman
- Zahir Mazyar
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zaki Nazar
- Zakzuk Josefina
- Zamagni Giulia
- Zaman Burhan Abdullah
- Zaman Sojib Bin
- Zamora Nelson
- Zand Ramin
- Zandi Milad
- Zandieh Ghazal G Z
- Zanghì Aurora
- Zare Iman
- Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich
- Zeariya Mohammed G M
- Zeng Youjie
- Zhai Chunxia
- Zhang Chen
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Hongwei
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhaofeng
- Zhang Zhenyu
- Zhao Hanqing
- Zhao Yang
- Zhao Yong
- Zheng Peng
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhu Bin
- Zhu Zhaohua
- Ziaeefar Pardis
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zou Zhiyong
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zweck Elric
- Zyoud Samer H
- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2024
- Field of study
Background: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period. Methods: 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. Findings: Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations. Interpretation: Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Aali Amirali
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbas Jaffar
- Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh
- Abbasi Madineh Akram
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdelmasseh Michael
- Abdelwahab Ahmed
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdoun Meriem
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abdurehman Ame Mehadi
- Abebe Mesfin
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Armita
- Abegaz Tadesse M
- Abeldaño Zuñiga Roberto Ariel
- Abhilash ES
- Abiodun Olugbenga Olusola
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abouzid Mohamed
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Abrha Woldu Aberhe
- Abrigo Michael RM
- Abtahi Dariush
- Abu Rumeileh Samir
- Abu-Rmeileh Niveen ME
- Abu-Zaid Ahmed
- Aburuz Salahdein
- Acuna Juan Manuel
- Adair Tim
- Addo Isaac Yeboah
- Adebayo Oladimeji M
- Adegboye Oyelola A
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Aden Bashir
- Adepoju Abiola Victor
- Adetunji Charles Oluwaseun
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adeyomoye Olorunsola Israel
- Adha Rishan
- Adibi Amin
- Adikusuma Wirawan
- Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
- Adra Saryia
- Afework Abel
- Afolabi Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika
- Afraz Ali
- Afyouni Shadi
- Afzal Saira
- Agasthi Pradyumna
- Aghamiri Shahin
- Agodi Antonella
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Danish
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Muayyad M
- Ahmad Tauseef
- Ahmadi Keivan
- Ahmadzade Amir Mahmoud
- Ahmadzade Mohadese
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Haroon
- Ahmed Luai A
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Ajami Marjan
- Aji Budi
- Ajumobi Olufemi
- Akalu Gizachew Taddesse
- Akara Essona Matatom
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akkala Sreelatha
- Akyirem Samuel
- Al Hamad Hanadi
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- Al Homsi Ammar
- Al Qadire Mohammad
- AL-Ahdal Tareq Mohammed Ali
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-amer Rasmieh Mustafa
- Al-Eyadhy Ayman
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Hanawi Mohammed Khaled
- Al-Jumaily Adel
- Al-Marwani Sabah
- Al-Maweri Sadeq Ali Ali
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M
- Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah
- Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Ala Moein
- Aladelusi Timothy Olukunle
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Manjurul
- Alam Zufishan
- Alanezi Fahad Mashhour
- Alanzi Turki M
- Albashtawy Mohammed
- AlBataineh Mohammad T
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemi Sharifullah
- Alhabib Khalid F
- Alhalaiqa Fadwa Alhalaiqa Naji
- Ali Abid
- Ali Akhtar
- Ali Beriwan Abdulqadir
- Ali Hassam
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Ali Zahid
- Alian Samakkhah Shohreh
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aligol Mohammad
- Alimi Rasoul
- Aliyi Ahmednur Adem
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Almahmeed Wael
- Almazan Joseph Uy
- Almidani Omar
- Alomari Mahmoud A
- Alonso Nivaldo
- Alqahtani Jaber S
- Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen
- Altaf Awais
- Altirkawi Khalid A
- Alvi Farrukh Jawad
- Alwafi Hassan
- Aly Hany
- Alzoubi Karem H
- Amare Azmeraw T
- Ameyaw Edward Kwabena
- Amhare Abebe Feyissa
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
- Amindarolzarbi Alireza
- Aminian Dehkordi Javad
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amu Hubert
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Amzat Jimoh
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Andrade Pedro Prata
- Andrei Catalina Liliana
- Andrei Tudorel
- Angappan Dhanalakshmi
- Anil Abhishek
- Anjum Afifa
- Antony Catherine M
- Antriyandarti Ernoiz
- Anuoluwa Iyadunni Adesola
- Anwar Sumadi Lukman
- Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward
- Appiah Seth Christopher Yaw
- Aqeel Muhammad
- Arab-Zozani Morteza
- Arabloo Jalal
- Arabzadeh Bahri Razman
- Arafat Mosab
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y
- Araújo Ana Margarida
- Aremu Abdulfatai
- Ariffin Hany
- Aripov Timur
- Armocida Benedetta
- Arooj Mahwish
- Artamonov Anton A
- Artanti Kurnia Dwi
- Arulappan Judie
- Aruleba Idowu Thomas
- Aruleba Raphael Taiwo
- Arumugam Ashokan
- Asaad Malke
- Asgary Saeed
- Ashemo Mubarek Yesse
- Ashraf Muhammad
- Asika Marvellous O
- Athari Seyyed Shamsadin
- Atout Maha Moh'd Wahbi
- Atreya Alok
- Attia Sameh
- Aujayeb Avinash
- Avan Abolfazl
- Awotidebe Adedapo Wasiu
- Ayala Quintanilla Beatriz Paulina
- Ayanore Martin Amogre
- Ayele Getnet Melaku
- Ayuso-Mateos Jose L
- Ayyoubzadeh Seyed Mohammad
- Azadnajafabad Sina
- Azhar Gulrez Shah
- Aziz Shahkaar
- Azzam Ahmed Y
- Babashahi Mina
- Babu Abraham Samuel
- Badar Muhammad
- Badawi Alaa
- Badiye Ashish D
- Baghdadi Soroush
- Bagheri Nasser
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- Bahadorikhalili Saeed
- Bai Jianjun
- Bai Ruhai
- Baker Jennifer L
- Bakkannavar Shankar M
- Bako Abdulaziz T
- Balakrishnan Senthilkumar
- Balogun Saliu A
- Baltatu Ovidiu Constantin
- Bam Kiran
- Banach Maciej
- Bandyopadhyay Soham
- Banik Biswajit
- Banik Palash Chandra
- Bansal Hansi
- Barati Shirin
- Barchitta Martina
- Bardhan Mainak
- Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn
- Barone-Adesi Francesco
- Barqawi Hiba Jawdat
- Barr Ronald D
- Barrero Lope H
- Basharat Zarrin
- Bashir Asma'u IJ
- Bashiru Hameed Akande
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- Basnyat Buddha
- Bassat Quique
- Basso João Diogo
- Basu Saurav
- Batra Kavita
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- Bayati Mohsen
- Bayileyegn Nebiyou Simegnew
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- Bedi Neeraj
- Begum Tahmina
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- Bejarano Ramirez Diana Fernanda
- Belgaumi Uzma Iqbal
- Bell Michelle L
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- Bendak Salaheddine
- Bennett Derrick A
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- Benzian Habib
- Berezvai Zombor
- Berman Adam E
- Bermudez Amiel Nazer C
- Bettencourt Paulo JG
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- Bhagat Devidas S
- Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth
- Bhala Neeraj
- Bhalla Ashish
- Bhandari Dinesh
- Bhardwaj Nikha
- Bhardwaj Pankaj
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- Bhargava Ashish
- Bhaskar Sonu
- Bhat Vivek
- Bhatti Gurjit Kaur
- Bhatti Jasvinder Singh
- Bhatti Manpreet S
- Bhatti Rajbir
- Bhutta Zulfiqar A
- Bikbov Boris
- Binmadi Nada
- Bintoro Bagas Suryo
- Biondi Antonio
- Bisignano Catherine
- Bisulli Francesca
- Biswas Atanu
- Biswas Raaj Kishore
- Bitaraf Saeid
- Bjørge Tone
- Bleyer Archie
- Boampong Mary Sefa
- Bodolica Virginia
- Bodunrin Aadam Olalekan
- Bolarinwa Obasanjo Afolabi
- Bonakdar Hashemi Milad
- Bonny Aime
- Bora Basara Berrak
- Bora Kaustubh
- Borodo Safiya Bala
- Borschmann Rohan
- Botero Carvajal Alejandro
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- Boudalia Sofiane
- Boyko Edward J
- Bragazzi Nicola Luigi
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- Bulamu Norma B
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- Burkart Katrin
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- Busse Reinhard
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- Caetano dos Santos Florentino Luciano
- Cai Tianji
- Calina Daniela
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- Campos-Nonato Ismael R
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- Castaldelli-Maia Joao Mauricio
- Castañeda-Orjuela Carlos A
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- Chakraborty Chiranjib
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- Chang Chin-Kuo
- Charalampous Periklis
- Charan Jaykaran
- Chattu Vijay Kumar
- Chatzimavridou-Grigoriadou Victoria
- Chavula Malizgani Paul
- Cheema Huzaifa Ahmad
- Chen An-Tian
- Chen Haowei
- Chen Lingxiao
- Chen Meng Xuan
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- Chew Derek S
- Chi Gerald
- Chirinos-Caceres Jesus Lorenzo
- Chitheer Abdulaal
- Cho So Mi Jemma
- Cho William CS
- Chong Bryan
- Chopra Hitesh
- Choudhary Rahul
- Chowdhury Rajiv
- Chu Dinh-Toi
- Chukwu Isaac Sunday
- Chung Eric
- Chung Eunice
- Chung Sheng-Chia
- Cini Karly I
- Clark Cain CT
- Coberly Kaleb
- Columbus Alyssa
- Comfort Haley
- Conde Joao
- Conti Sara
- Cortesi Paolo Angelo
- Costa Vera Marisa
- Cousin Ewerton
- Cowden Richard G
- Criqui Michael H
- Cruz-Martins Natália
- Culbreth Garland T
- Cullen Patricia
- Cunningham Matthew
- Cámera Luis Alberto
- Cárdenas Rosario
- D'Amico Emanuele
- da Silva e Silva Daniel
- Dadana Sriharsha
- Dadras Omid
- Dai Zhaoli
- Dalal Koustuv
- Dalli Lachlan L
- Damiani Giovanni
- Daneshvar Sara
- Darwesh Aso Mohammad
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- Dash Nihar Ranjan
- Dashti Mohsen
- Davis Weaver Nicole
- Davletov Kairat
- De Leo Diego
- Debele Aklilu Tamire
- Degenhardt Louisa
- Dehbandi Reza
- Deitesfeld Lee
- Delgado-Enciso Ivan
- Delgado-Ortiz Laura
- Demant Daniel
- Demessa Berecha Hundessa
- Demetriades Andreas K
- Deng Xinlei
- Denova-Gutiérrez Edgar
- Deribe Kebede
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- Deuba Keshab
- Devanbu Vinoth Gnana Chellaiyan
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- Dhama Kuldeep
- Dhimal Mandira Lamichhane
- Dhimal Meghnath
- Dhingra Sameer
- Dias da Silva Diana
- Diaz Daniel
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- Dirac M Ashworth
- Dixit Abhinav
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- do Prado Camila Bruneli
- Do Thanh Chi
- Do Thao Huynh Phuong
- Dodangeh Masoud
- Dokova Klara Georgieva
- Dolecek Christiane
- Dorsey E Ray
- dos Santos Wendel Mombaque
- Doshi Rajkumar
- Doshmangir Leila
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- Dube John
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- Duraisamy Senbagam
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- Dutta Sulagna
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- Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian
- Dávila-Cervantes Claudio Alberto
- Ebenezer Oluwakemi
- Eboreime Ejemai
- Ebrahimi Alireza
- Echieh Chidiebere Peter
- Ed-Dra Abdelaziz
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- Edvardsson David
- Edvardsson Kristina
- Efendi Defi
- Efendi Ferry
- Eghdami Shayan
- Eikemo Terje Andreas
- Eini Ebrahim
- Ekholuenetale Michael
- Ekpor Emmanuel
- Ekundayo Temitope Cyrus
- El Arab Rabie Adel
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- El Tantawi Maha
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- Elhadi Muhammed
- Elmeligy Omar Abdelsadek Abdou
- Elshaer Mohammed
- Elsohaby Ibrahim
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- Emamverdi Mehdi
- Emeto Theophilus I
- Engelbert Bain Luchuo
- Erkhembayar Ryenchindorj
- Eshetie Tesfahun C
- Eskandarieh Sharareh
- Espinosa-Montero Juan
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- Etaee Farshid
- Eze Ugochukwu Anthony
- Fabin Natalia
- Fadaka Adewale Oluwaseun
- Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis
- Fahimi Saman
- Falzone Luca
- Farinha Carla Sofia E Sá
- Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud
- Farjoud Kouhanjani Mohsen
- Faro Andre
- Farrokhpour Hossein
- Fatehizadeh Ali
- Fattahi Hamed
- Fauk Nelsensius Klau
- Fazeli Pooria
- Feigin Valery L
- Fekadu Ginenus
- Fereshtehnejad Seyed-Mohammad
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- Ferrante Daniela
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- Ferreira Nuno
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- Flavel Joanne
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- Fuller John E
- Gaal Peter Andras
- Gadanya Muktar A
- Gaihre Santosh
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- Galali Yaseen
- Galehdar Nasrin
- Gallus Silvano
- Gan Quan
- Gandhi Aravind P
- Ganesan Balasankar
- Garg Jalaj
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- Gautam Prem
- Gautam Rupesh K
- Gazzelloni Federica
- Gebregergis Miglas W
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- Gebremariam Tesfay Brhane
- Gerema Urge
- Getachew Motuma Erena
- Getachew Tamirat
- Gething Peter W
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- Ghahramani Sulmaz
- Ghailan Khalid Yaser
- Ghajar Alireza
- Ghanbarnia Mohammad Javad
- Ghasemi MohammadReza
- Ghasemzadeh Afsaneh
- Ghassemi Fariba
- Ghazy Ramy Mohamed
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- Younis Mustafa Z
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- Zadey Siddhesh
- Zadnik Vesna
- Zafari Nima
- Zahedi Mohammad
- Zahid Muhammad Nauman
- Zahir Mazyar
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zaki Nazar
- Zakzuk Josefina
- Zamagni Giulia
- Zaman Burhan Abdullah
- Zaman Sojib Bin
- Zamora Nelson
- Zand Ramin
- Zandi Milad
- Zandieh Ghazal GZ
- Zanghì Aurora
- Zare Iman
- Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich
- Zeariya Mohammed GM
- Zeng Youjie
- Zhai Chunxia
- Zhang Chen
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Hongwei
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhaofeng
- Zhang Zhenyu
- Zhao Hanqing
- Zhao Yang
- Zhao Yong
- Zheng Peng
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhu Bin
- Zhu Zhaohua
- Ziaeefar Pardis
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zou Zhiyong
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zweck Elric
- Zyoud Samer H
- Šekerija Mario
- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 11/03/2024
- Field of study
BACKGROUND: Estimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period. METHODS: 22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution. FINDINGS: Global all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations. INTERPRETATION: Global adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic. FUNDING: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation
Characteristics and outcomes of an international cohort of 600 000 hospitalized patients with COVID-19
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- Publication venue
- Publication date
- 01/01/2023
- Field of study
Background: We describe demographic features, treatments and clinical outcomes in the International Severe Acute Respiratory and emerging Infection Consortium (ISARIC) COVID-19 cohort, one of the world’s largest international, standardized data sets concerning hospitalized patients. Methods: The data set analysed includes COVID-19 patients hospitalized between January 2020 and January 2022 in 52 countries. We investigated how symptoms on admission, co-morbidities, risk factors and treatments varied by age, sex and other characteristics. We used Cox regression models to investigate associations between demographics, symptoms, co-morbidities and other factors with risk of death, admission to an intensive care unit (ICU) and invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). Results: Data were available for 689 572 patients with laboratory-confirmed (91.1%) or clinically diagnosed (8.9%) SARS-CoV-2 infection from 52 countries. Age [adjusted hazard ratio per 10 years 1.49 (95% CI 1.48, 1.49)] and male sex [1.23 (1.21, 1.24)] were associated with a higher risk of death. Rates of admission to an ICU and use of IMV increased with age up to age 60 years then dropped. Symptoms, co-morbidities and treatments varied by age and had varied associations with clinical outcomes. The case-fatality ratio varied by country partly due to differences in the clinical characteristics of recruited patients and was on average 21.5%. Conclusions: Age was the strongest determinant of risk of death, with a ~30-fold difference between the oldest and youngest groups; each of the co-morbidities included was associated with up to an almost 2-fold increase in risk. Smoking and obesity were also associated with a higher risk of death. The size of our international database and the standardized data collection method make this study a comprehensive international description of COVID-19 clinical features. Our findings may inform strategies that involve prioritization of patients hospitalized with COVID-19 who have a higher risk of death
The value of open-source clinical science in pandemic response: lessons from ISARIC
- Author
- Abbas A.
- Abdukahil S. A.
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- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2021
- Field of study
The value of open-source clinical science in pandemic response: lessons from ISARIC
- Author
- Abbas A.
- Abdukahil S. A.
- Abdulkadir N. N.
- Abe R.
- Abel L.
- Absil L.
- Acharya S.
- Acker A.
- Adachi S.
- Adam E.
- Adriao D.
- Ageel S. A.
- Ahmed S.
- Ain Q.
- Ainscough K.
- Aisa T.
- Ait Hssain A.
- Ait Tamlihat Y.
- Akimoto T.
- Akmal E.
- Al Qasim E.
- Al-dabbous T.
- Al-Fares A.
- Alalqam R.
- Alam T.
- Alegesan S.
- Alegre C.
- Alessi M.
- Alex B.
- Alexandre K.
- Alfoudri H.
- Ali I.
- Ali Shah N.
- Alidjnou K. E.
- Aliudin J.
- Alkhafajee Q.
- Allavena C.
- Allou N.
- Altaf A.
- Alves J.
- Alves J. M.
- Alves R.
- Amaral M.
- Amira N.
- Ammerlaan H.
- Ampaw P.
- Andini R.
- Andrejak C.
- Angheben A.
- Angoulvant F.
- Ansart S.
- Anthonidass S.
- Antonelli M.
- Antunes de Brito C. A.
- Anwar K. R.
- Apriyana A.
- Arabi Y.
- Aragao I.
- Arali R.
- Arancibia F.
- Araujo C.
- Arcadipane A.
- Archambault P.
- Arenz L.
- Arlet J. -B.
- Arnold-Day C.
- Aroca A.
- Arora L.
- Arora R.
- Artaud-Macari E.
- Aryal D.
- Asaki M.
- Asensio A.
- Ashley E.
- Ashraf M.
- Ashraf S.
- Asim M.
- Assie J. B.
- Asyraf A.
- Atique A.
- Attanyake A. U. L.
- Auchabie J.
- Aumaitre H.
- Auvet A.
- Azemar L.
- Azoulay C.
- Bach B.
- Bachelet D.
- Badr C.
- Baig N.
- Baillie J. K.
- Baird J. K.
- Bak E.
- Bakakos A.
- Bakar N. A.
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- Balakrishnan M.
- Balan V.
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- Barbalho R.
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- Bartone C.
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- Bashir M.
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- Publication venue
- 'Elsevier BV'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2021
- Field of study
An international observational study to assess the impact of the Omicron variant emergence on the clinical epidemiology of COVID-19 in hospitalised patients
- Author
- A M Udara Lakshan Attanyake
- Aasiyah Rashan
- Aasiyah Rashan
- Abby Hurd
- Abdulrahman Al-Fares
- Abhishek Dasgupta
- Abigail Beane
- Adrian Streinu-Cercel
- Adrienne Chan
- Aidan Burrell
- Alan Hartman
- Alberto Uribe
- Alejandro Martin-Quiros
- Alejandro Martín-Quiros
- Alejandro Martín-Quiros
- Aleksander Rygh Holten
- Alexander J Mentzer
- Alfredo Antonio Chetta
- Ali Abbas
- Alicia Gonzalez
- Alison M Meynert
- Alistair Nichol
- Allison McGeer
- Ama Kwakyewaa Bedu-Addo
- Amanda Corley
- Amanda Rojek
- Amanda Rojek
- Amar Bhatt
- Amna Faheem
- Amy Lester-Grant
- Ana Aroca
- Ana da Silva Filipe
- Ana Freitas Ribeiro
- Anais Rampello
- Anant Kataria
- Anca Streinu-Cercel
- Anca Streinu-Cercel
- Anders Benjamin Kildal
- Anders Kildal
- Anders Tveita
- Andra-Maris Post
- Andrea Angheben
- Andrea Ticinesi
- Andrea Villoldo
- Andreas Lind
- Andrew Dagens
- Andrew Letizia
- Andy Law
- Angela Alberti
- Anja Grosse Lordemann
- Anna Berenguera
- Anne Margarita Dyrhol-Riise
- Anne McCarthy
- Anne-Marie Guerguerian
- Annemarie B Docherty
- Antonia Ho
- Antonio Arcadipane
- Arabella Fahy
- Ardiyan Apriyana
- Arjen M Dondorp
- Asgar Rishu
- Asgar Rishu
- Astarini Hidayah
- Audrey Dubot-Pérès
- B P Sanka Ruwan Sri Darshana
- Barbara Wanjiru Citarella
- Barbara Wanjiru Citarella
- Beathe Kiland Granerud
- Beatrice Alex
- Benjamin Bach
- Bianca Boxma
- Birgitte Stiksrud
- Bounthavy Chaleunphon
- Bountoy Sibounheuang
- Brenda Molloy
- Brenda Reeve
- Brigid Flynn
- Bronner P Gonçalves
- Bronner P Gonçalves
- Budha Charan Singh
- Cameron J Fairfield
- Carlo Ferrari
- Carlos Cañada Illana
- Carlotta Mutti
- Caroline Martins Rego
- Caroline Mudara
- Carrol Gamble
- Cassidy Codan
- Caterina Caminiti
- Catherine A Shaw
- Catherine Blier
- Catherine Marquis
- Cecilia Canepa
- Ceila Maria Sant Ana Malaque
- Chamira Kodippily
- Charlotte Summers
- Chiara Vitiello
- Chloe Donohue
- Chris Kandel
- Christel Arnold-Day
- Christiana Kartsonaki
- Christiana Kartsonaki
- Christl A Donnelly
- Christophe Fraser
- Christopher A Green
- Clare Jackson
- Clark D Russell
- Claudia Bianco
- Claudia Figueiredo-Mello
- Claudia Figueiredo-Mello
- Claudia Montes
- Colin McArthur
- Cornelius Rau
- Dafsah Juzar
- Dag Henrik Reikvam
- Dan Meyer
- Daniel Haber
- Daniel Marino
- Danoy Chommanam
- David Bellemare
- David L Robertson
- David Maslove
- David S Y Ong
- David S Y Ong
- David Stuart
- David Thomson
- Debby Bogaert
- Deepali Kumar
- Demetrios Kutsogiannis
- Derbrenn OConnor
- Diego Fernando Bautista Rincon
- Diego Franch-Llasat
- Diptesh Aryal
- Diptesh Aryal
- Dori-Ann Martin
- Dounia Bouhmani
- Edel Meaney
- Eder Caceres
- Efstathia Mihelis
- Egle Saviciute
- Elaine McPartlan
- Elena Molinos
- Elena Ranza
- Elizabeth A Ashley
- Ellen Shadowitz
- Else Quist-Paulsen
- Eman Al Qasim
- Emily Neumann
- Emma C Thomson
- Emmanuelle A Dankwa
- Emmanuelle Denis
- Enrico Adriano
- Esteban Garcia-Gallo
- Eva Miranda Marwali
- Evert-Jan Wils
- Evert-Jan Wils
- Ewen M Harrison
- Ewen M Harrison
- Federica Fogliazza
- Federica Garofalo
- Felwa Bin Humaid
- Ferran Roche-Campo
- Fiona Griffiths
- Francesca Carlacci
- Francesco Rausa
- Francisca Adewhajah
- Frank Manetta
- Frank Olav Pettersen
- Franklina Korkor Abebrese
- François Lamontagne
- François Martin Carrier
- François Martin Carrier
- Fredrik Müller
- Frédérick D'Aragon
- G Argin
- Gail Carson
- Gail Carson
- Gamage Dona Dilanthi Priyadarshani
- Gary Leeming
- Gary Schwartz
- Gayle Carney
- Gennaro Martucci
- Georgios Pollakis
- Geraldine Goco
- Gianluigi Li Bassi
- Giorgio Economopoulos
- Giovanna Occhipinti
- Giovanna Panarello
- Giuseppe Maglietta
- Gloria Crowl
- Graham S Cooke
- Gry Kloumann Bekken
- Gyan Sandhu
- Haixia Shi
- Hannah Habraken
- Hannah Keane
- Hannah Marrinan
- Hayley Hardwick
- Hazel Bergin
- Heidi Dalton
- Hem Paneru
- Henrique Mateus Fernandes
- Himasha Muvindi
- Himed Musaab
- Hubert Tessier-Grenier
- Husna Begum
- Iam Claire E Sarmiento
- Ignacio Martin-Loeches
- Ilaria Valzano
- Imrana Khalid
- Indrek Rätsep
- Ingrid G Bustos
- Inês Carqueja
- Irene Bandoh
- ISARIC Clinical Characterisation Group
- J Kenneth Baillie
- J Kenneth Baillie
- Jacky Y Suen
- Jake Dunning
- Jake Dunning
- James Joshua Douglas
- James Joshua Douglas
- James Lee
- James Scott-Brown
- James Vickers
- Jan Cato Holter
- Janet Diaz
- Janet Harrison
- Janet Liang
- Janet T Scott
- Janice Caoili
- Janice Caoili
- Jaques Sztajnbok
- Jeff Powis
- Jennifer Lee
- Jess Gibson
- Jia Wei
- Jillian Deacon
- Jo Dalton
- Joan Gómez-Junyent
- Joan Gómez-Junyent
- Joanne Downey
- Joaquín Baruch
- Joaquín Baruch
- John Beca
- John F Fraser
- John Marshall
- Johnny McKeown
- Jonathan Bitton
- Jordi Rello
- José Antonio Lepe
- José Ernesto Vidal
- João Camões
- Juan Fiorda
- Juan Pablo Horcajada
- Judit Villar
- Julia Garcia-Diaz
- Julian Chica
- Kalynn Kennon
- Kamal Abu Jabal
- Karl Erik Müller
- Karolina Krawczyk
- Kate Ainscough
- Kathy Brickell
- Katie O'Hearn
- Kenneth A McLean
- Kevin Katz
- Kizy Sanchez de Oliveira
- Kristian Tonby
- Kusum Menon
- Lance C W Turtle
- Lars Hegelund
- Lars Heggelund
- Latsaniphone Bountthasavong
- Laura Feeney
- Laura Marsh
- Laura Merson
- Laura Merson
- Laura Patrizi
- Laveena Munshi
- Leanne Hays
- Leonardo Salazar
- Leonardo Salazar
- Liadain Reid
- Lina Morales Cely
- Linda Gail Skeie
- Linda O'Shea
- Lisa Norman
- Lisa Patterson
- Liv Hesstvedt
- Lorinda Essuman
- Lorna Murphy
- Louise Sigfrid
- Luca Sacchelli
- Lucian Durham
- Lucille Blumberg
- Luis Felipe Reyes
- Luis Felipe Reyes
- Luis Periel
- Lukas Arenz
- Madiha Hashmi
- Madiha Hashmi
- Mahdad Noursadeghi
- Malcolm G Semple
- Malcolm G Semple
- Mangala Narasimhan
- Manivanh Vongsouvath
- Maram Zahran
- Marco Echeverria-Villalobos
- Mare Pejkovska
- Margarite Grable
- Maria Angelica Rivera Nuñez
- Maria Donnelly
- Maria Lawrensia Tampubolon
- Maria Majori
- Maria Zambon
- Marianne Fraher
- Mariano Esperatti
- Marie Connor
- Marina Aiello
- Marina Lanza
- Mark G Pritchard
- Mark Pritchard
- Marlene Santos
- Martina Escher
- Mary Copland
- Massimo Palmarini
- Matteo Puntoni
- Matteo Rossetti
- Matthew Hall
- Matthew Hall
- Matthew Nelder
- Mayfong Mayxay
- Meera Chand
- Melissa Parker
- Mical Paul
- Michael Edelstein
- Michael Varrone
- Michaela Barnikel
- Michele Petrovic
- Michelle E Kho
- Michelle Girvan
- Michelle Smyth
- Mohd Basri Mat Nor
- Mohiuddin Shiekh
- Moirangthem Bikram Singh
- Moritz U G Kraemer
- Moses Siaw-Frimpong
- Muge Cevik
- Murray Dryden
- Murray Wham
- Musharaf Sadat
- Nashat Abu Salah
- Nathaniel Christy
- Netta Beer
- Nick Daneman
- Nicola Latronico
- Nicole White
- Nidyanara Castanheira
- Nina Jamieson
- Nora Fuentes
- Oana Sandulescu
- Obada Yousif
- Oleksa Rewa
- Ooyanong Phonemixay
- P G Ishara Udayanga
- Paa Kobina Forson
- Paddy Mallon
- Paolo Parducci
- Pathik Dhanger
- Patricia Fontela
- Patricia Gordon
- Patrick Archambault
- Patrizia Bonelli
- Patrizia Mammi
- Paul Klenerman
- Paul Tierney
- Paula Custodio
- Perren J Cobb
- Peter Daley
- Peter Doran
- Peter Horby
- Peter Horby
- Peter Kiiza
- Peter Openshaw
- Phil Gallagher
- Philippe Jouvet
- Phoebe Ampaw
- Phouvieng Douangdala
- Piero L Olliaro
- Piero L Olliaro
- Piret Sillaots
- Pompini Agustina Sitompul
- Pooja Varghese
- Prasan Kumar Panda
- Rachael McConnochie
- Rachael Parke
- Rajavardhan Rangappa
- Rajavardhan Rangappa
- Rajesh Mohan Shetty
- Rakesh Arora
- Rashan Haniffa
- Renata Barbalho
- Richard S Tedder
- Riinu Pius
- Rima Song
- Rob Fowler
- Robert A Fowler
- Roberta Cavalin
- Roberta Pisi
- Roberto Roncon-Albuquerque
- Robin Kobbe
- Romans Matulevics
- Rosario Maria Torres Santos-Olmo
- Ross Hendry
- Rumaisah Satyawati
- Rupert Higgins
- Ruth Lyons
- Ryan S Thwaites
- Sabina Mason
- Sadie Kelly
- Sally Shrapnel
- Samreen Ijaz
- Samuel Hinton
- Sandra Rossi
- Sanne Wesselius
- Santi Dewayanti
- Saptadi Yuliarto
- Sara Clohisey
- Sarah E McDonald
- Sarah Moore
- Saye Khoo
- Scott Pharand
- Sebastian Vencken
- Seán Keating
- Shaikh Sharjeel
- Sharma Keshav
- Shaun Thompson
- Sheryl Ann Abdukahil
- Shiranee Sriskandan
- Shirley Sarfo-Mensah
- Shona C Moore
- Silvia Bertagnolio
- Silvia Castañeda
- Simon Forsyth
- Simone Piva
- Soe Soe Thwin
- Sophia Ankrah
- Sophie Halpin
- Soulichanya Phoutthavong
- Sree Satyapriya
- Srinivas Murthy
- Srinivas Murthy
- Stephanie Roberts
- Stephanie Yerkovich
- Stephanie-Susanne Stecher
- Stephen R Knight
- Steve Webb
- Sue Smith
- Summer Hamza
- Surya Otto Wijaya
- Susanne Dudman
- Synne Jenum
- Sérgio Gaião
- Sílvia Ferreira
- Teresa Lawrence
- Thalha Rashan
- Thipsavanh Bounphiengsy
- Thushan de Silva
- Timothy M Uyeki
- Tirupakuzhi Vijayaraghavan
- Tiziana Meschi
- Tom Drake
- Tom Fletcher
- Tom Solomon
- Touxiong Yiaye
- Trude Steinsvik
- Uluhan Sili
- Valeria Balan
- Valeria Balan
- Valla Sahraei
- Vanessa Sancho-Shimizu
- Vegard Skogen
- Victoria Shaw
- Viladeth Praphasiri
- Vilmaris Quinones-Cardona
- Volkan Korten
- Waasila Jassat
- Waasila Jassat
- Wei Shen Lim
- Wendy S Barclay
- William A Paxton
- William Dechert
- William Greenhalf
- Wilna Oosthuyzen
- Xin Ci Wong
- Xin Ci Wong
- Yael Dishon
- Yaseen Arabi
- Yaseen Arabi
- Yock Ping Chow
- Yock Ping Chow
- Yvelynne Kelly
- Zulfiqar Sandhu
- Publication venue
- 'eLife Sciences Publications, Ltd'
- Publication date
- 01/01/2022
- Field of study
Background: Whilst timely clinical characterisation of infections caused by novel SARS-CoV-2 variants is necessary for evidence-based policy response, individual-level data on infecting variants are typically only available for a minority of patients and settings.
Methods: Here, we propose an innovative approach to study changes in COVID-19 hospital presentation and outcomes after the Omicron variant emergence using publicly available population-level data on variant relative frequency to infer SARS-CoV-2 variants likely responsible for clinical cases. We apply this method to data collected by a large international clinical consortium before and after the emergence of the Omicron variant in different countries.
Results: Our analysis, that includes more than 100,000 patients from 28 countries, suggests that in many settings patients hospitalised with Omicron variant infection less often presented with commonly reported symptoms compared to patients infected with pre-Omicron variants. Patients with COVID-19 admitted to hospital after Omicron variant emergence had lower mortality compared to patients admitted during the period when Omicron variant was responsible for only a minority of infections (odds ratio in a mixed-effects logistic regression adjusted for likely confounders, 0.67 [95% confidence interval 0.61-0.75]). Qualitatively similar findings were observed in sensitivity analyses with different assumptions on population-level Omicron variant relative frequencies, and in analyses using available individual-level data on infecting variant for a subset of the study population.
Conclusions: Although clinical studies with matching viral genomic information should remain a priority, our approach combining publicly available data on variant frequency and a multi-country clinical characterisation dataset with more than 100,000 records allowed analysis of data from a wide range of settings and novel insights on real-world heterogeneity of COVID-19 presentation and clinical outcome
Global age-sex-specific mortality, life expectancy, and population estimates in 204 countries and territories and 811 subnational locations, 1950–2021, and the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic: a comprehensive demographic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
- Author
- Aali Amirali
- Abbafati Cristiana
- Abbas Jaffar
- Abbasgholizadeh Rouzbeh
- Abbasi Madineh Akram
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abd ElHafeez Samar
- Abd-Elsalam Sherief
- Abdelmasseh Michael
- Abdelwahab Ahmed
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdoun Meriem
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abdurehman Ame Mehadi
- Abebe Mesfin
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Armita
- Abegaz Tadesse M
- Abeldaño Zuñiga Roberto Ariel
- Abhilash E S
- Abiodun Olugbenga Olusola
- Aboagye Richard Gyan
- Abolhassani Hassan
- Abouzid Mohamed
- Abreu Lucas Guimarães
- Abrha Woldu Aberhe
- Abrigo Michael R M
- Abtahi Dariush
- Abu Rumeileh Samir
- Abu-Rmeileh Niveen ME
- Abu-Zaid Ahmed
- Aburuz Salahdein
- Acuna Juan Manuel
- Adair Tim
- Addo Isaac Yeboah
- Adebayo Oladimeji M
- Adegboye Oyelola A
- Adekanmbi Victor
- Aden Bashir
- Adepoju Abiola Victor
- Adetunji Charles Oluwaseun
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adeyomoye Olorunsola Israel
- Adha Rishan
- Adibi Amin
- Adikusuma Wirawan
- Adnani Qorinah Estiningtyas Sakilah
- Adra Saryia
- Afework Abel
- Afolabi Aanuoluwapo Adeyimika
- Afraz Ali
- Afyouni Shadi
- Afzal Saira
- Agasthi Pradyumna
- Aghamiri Shahin
- Agodi Antonella
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Danish
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Muayyad M
- Ahmad Tauseef
- Ahmadi Keivan
- Ahmadzade Amir Mahmoud
- Ahmadzade Mohadese
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Haroon
- Ahmed Luai A
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Ajami Marjan
- Aji Budi
- Ajumobi Olufemi
- Akalu Gizachew Taddesse
- Akara Essona Matatom
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Akkala Sreelatha
- Akyirem Samuel
- Al Hamad Hanadi
- Al Hasan Syed Mahfuz
- Al Homsi Ammar
- Al Qadire Mohammad
- AL-Ahdal Tareq Mohammed Ali
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-amer Rasmieh Mustafa
- Al-Eyadhy Ayman
- Al-Gheethi Adel Ali Saeed
- Al-Hanawi Mohammed Khaled
- Al-Jumaily Adel
- Al-Marwani Sabah
- Al-Maweri Sadeq Ali Ali
- Al-Mekhlafi Hesham M
- Al-Sabah Salman Khalifah
- Al-Tawfiq Jaffar A
- Al-Worafi Yaser Mohammed
- Ala Moein
- Aladelusi Timothy Olukunle
- Alalalmeh Samer O
- Alam Khurshid
- Alam Manjurul
- Alam Zufishan
- Alanezi Fahad Mashhour
- Alanzi Turki M
- Albashtawy Mohammed
- AlBataineh Mohammad T
- Aldridge Robert W
- Alemi Sharifullah
- Alhabib Khalid F
- Alhalaiqa Fadwa Alhalaiqa Naji
- Ali Abid
- Ali Akhtar
- Ali Beriwan Abdulqadir
- Ali Hassam
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Ali Syed Shujait Shujait
- Ali Zahid
- Alian Samakkhah Shohreh
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alif Sheikh Mohammad
- Aligol Mohammad
- Alimi Rasoul
- Aliyi Ahmednur Adem
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Almahmeed Wael
- Almazan Joseph Uy
- Almidani Omar
- Alomari Mahmoud A
- Alonso Nivaldo
- Alqahtani Jaber S
- Alqutaibi Ahmed Yaseen
- Altaf Awais
- Altirkawi Khalid A
- Alvi Farrukh Jawad
- Alwafi Hassan
- Aly Hany
- Alzoubi Karem H
- Amare Azmeraw T
- Ameyaw Edward Kwabena
- Amhare Abebe Feyissa
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
- Amindarolzarbi Alireza
- Aminian Dehkordi Javad
- Amiri Sohrab
- Amu Hubert
- Amugsi Dickson A
- Amzat Jimoh
- Ancuceanu Robert
- Anderlini Deanna
- Andrade Pedro Prata
- Andrei Catalina Liliana
- Andrei Tudorel
- Angappan Dhanalakshmi
- Anil Abhishek
- Anjum Afifa
- Antony Catherine M
- Antriyandarti Ernoiz
- Anuoluwa Iyadunni Adesola
- Anwar Sumadi Lukman
- Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward
- Appiah Seth Christopher Yaw
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- Arab-Zozani Morteza
- Arabloo Jalal
- Arabzadeh Bahri Razman
- Arafat Mosab
- Aravkin Aleksandr Y
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- Armocida Benedetta
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- Artamonov Anton A
- Artanti Kurnia Dwi
- Arulappan Judie
- Aruleba Idowu Thomas
- Aruleba Raphael Taiwo
- Arumugam Ashokan
- Asaad Malke
- Asgary Saeed
- Ashemo Mubarek Yesse
- Ashraf Muhammad
- Asika Marvellous O
- Athari Seyyed Shamsadin
- Atout Maha Moh'd Wahbi
- Atreya Alok
- Attia Sameh
- Aujayeb Avinash
- Avan Abolfazl
- Awotidebe Adedapo Wasiu
- Ayala Quintanilla Beatriz Paulina
- Ayanore Martin Amogre
- Ayele Getnet Melaku
- Ayuso-Mateos Jose L
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- Banik Palash Chandra
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- Bitaraf Saeid
- Bjørge Tone
- Bleyer Archie
- Boampong Mary Sefa
- Bodolica Virginia
- Bodunrin Aadam Olalekan
- Bolarinwa Obasanjo Afolabi
- Bonakdar Hashemi Milad
- Bonny Aime
- Bora Basara Berrak
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- Chakraborty Chiranjib
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- Chang Chin-Kuo
- Charalampous Periklis
- Charan Jaykaran
- Chattu Vijay Kumar
- Chatzimavridou-Grigoriadou Victoria
- Chavula Malizgani Paul
- Cheema Huzaifa Ahmad
- Chen An-Tian
- Chen Haowei
- Chen Lingxiao
- Chen Meng Xuan
- Chen Simiao
- Cherbuin Nicolas
- Chew Derek S
- Chi Gerald
- Chirinos-Caceres Jesus Lorenzo
- Chitheer Abdulaal
- Cho So Mi Jemma
- Cho William C S
- Chong Bryan
- Chopra Hitesh
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- Chowdhury Rajiv
- Chu Dinh-Toi
- Chukwu Isaac Sunday
- Chung Eric
- Chung Eunice
- Chung Sheng-Chia
- Cini Karly I
- Clark Cain C T
- Coberly Kaleb
- Columbus Alyssa
- Comfort Haley
- Conde Joao
- Conti Sara
- Cortesi Paolo Angelo
- Costa Vera Marisa
- Cousin Ewerton
- Cowden Richard G
- Criqui Michael H
- Cruz-Martins Natália
- Culbreth Garland T
- Cullen Patricia
- Cunningham Matthew
- Cámera Luis Alberto
- Cárdenas Rosario
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- da Silva e Silva Daniel
- Dadana Sriharsha
- Dadras Omid
- Dai Zhaoli
- Dalal Koustuv
- Dalli Lachlan L
- Damiani Giovanni
- Daneshvar Sara
- Darwesh Aso Mohammad
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- Davletov Kairat
- De Leo Diego
- Debele Aklilu Tamire
- Degenhardt Louisa
- Dehbandi Reza
- Deitesfeld Lee
- Delgado-Enciso Ivan
- Delgado-Ortiz Laura
- Demant Daniel
- Demessa Berecha Hundessa
- Demetriades Andreas K
- Deng Xinlei
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- Fischer Florian
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- Vaithinathan Asokan Govindaraj
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- Van den Eynde Jef
- Varavikova Elena
- Varga Orsolya
- Varma Siddhartha Alluri
- Vart Priya
- Varthya Shoban Babu
- Vasankari Tommi Juhani
- Veerman Lennert J
- Venketasubramanian Narayanaswamy
- Venugopal Deneshkumar
- Verghese Nicholas Alexander
- Verma Madhur
- Verma Pratibha
- Veroux Massimiliano
- Verras Georgios-Ioannis
- Vervoort Dominique
- Vieira Rafael José
- Villafañe Jorge Hugo
- Villani Leonardo
- Villanueva Gabriela Ines
- Villeneuve Paul J
- Violante Francesco S
- Visontay Rachel
- Vlassov Vasily
- Vo Bay
- Vollset Stein Emil
- Volovat Simona Ruxandra
- Volovici Victor
- Vongpradith Avina
- Vos Theo
- Vujcic Isidora S
- Vukovic Rade
- Wado Yohannes Dibaba
- Wafa Hatem A
- Waheed Yasir
- Wamai Richard G
- Wang Cong
- Wang Denny
- Wang Fang
- Wang Shu
- Wang Song
- Wang Yanzhong
- Wang Yuan-Pang
- Ward Paul
- Watson Stefanie
- Weaver Marcia R
- Weerakoon Kosala Gayan
- Weiss Daniel J
- Weldemariam Abrha Hailay
- Wells Katherine M
- Wen Yi Feng
- Werdecker Andrea
- Westerman Ronny
- Wickramasinghe Dakshitha Praneeth
- Wickramasinghe Nuwan Darshana
- Wijeratne Tissa
- Wilson Shadrach
- Wojewodzic Marcin W
- Wool Eve E
- Woolf Anthony D
- Wu Dongze
- Wulandari Ratna Dwi
- Xiao Hong
- Xu Bin
- Xu Xiaoyue
- Yadav Lalit
- Yaghoubi Sajad
- Yang Lin
- Yano Yuichiro
- Yao Yao
- Ye Pengpeng
- Yesera Gesila Endashaw
- Yesodharan Renjulal
- Yesuf Subah Abderehim
- Yip Paul
- Yiğit Arzu
- Yiğit Vahit
- Yon Dong Keon
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- You Yuyi
- Younis Mustafa Z
- Yu Chuanhua
- Zadey Siddhesh
- Zadnik Vesna
- Zafari Nima
- Zahedi Mohammad
- Zahid Muhammad Nauman
- Zahir Mazyar
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zaki Nazar
- Zakzuk Josefina
- Zamagni Giulia
- Zaman Burhan Abdullah
- Zaman Sojib Bin
- Zamora Nelson
- Zand Ramin
- Zandi Milad
- Zandieh Ghazal G Z
- Zanghì Aurora
- Zare Iman
- Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich
- Zeariya Mohammed G M
- Zeng Youjie
- Zhai Chunxia
- Zhang Chen
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Hongwei
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhang Zhaofeng
- Zhang Zhenyu
- Zhao Hanqing
- Zhao Yang
- Zhao Yong
- Zheng Peng
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Juexiao
- Zhu Bin
- Zhu Zhaohua
- Ziaeefar Pardis
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zou Zhiyong
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zweck Elric
- Zyoud Samer H
- Šekerija Mario
- Publication venue
- Elsevier
- Publication date
- 01/03/2024
- Field of study
BackgroundEstimates of demographic metrics are crucial to assess levels and trends of population health outcomes. The profound impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on populations worldwide has underscored the need for timely estimates to understand this unprecedented event within the context of long-term population health trends. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2021 provides new demographic estimates for 204 countries and territories and 811 additional subnational locations from 1950 to 2021, with a particular emphasis on changes in mortality and life expectancy that occurred during the 2020–21 COVID-19 pandemic period.Methods22 223 data sources from vital registration, sample registration, surveys, censuses, and other sources were used to estimate mortality, with a subset of these sources used exclusively to estimate excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic. 2026 data sources were used for population estimation. Additional sources were used to estimate migration; the effects of the HIV epidemic; and demographic discontinuities due to conflicts, famines, natural disasters, and pandemics, which are used as inputs for estimating mortality and population. Spatiotemporal Gaussian process regression (ST-GPR) was used to generate under-5 mortality rates, which synthesised 30 763 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 1365 surveys and censuses, and 80 other sources. ST-GPR was also used to estimate adult mortality (between ages 15 and 59 years) based on information from 31 642 location-years of vital registration and sample registration data, 355 surveys and censuses, and 24 other sources. Estimates of child and adult mortality rates were then used to generate life tables with a relational model life table system. For countries with large HIV epidemics, life tables were adjusted using independent estimates of HIV-specific mortality generated via an epidemiological analysis of HIV prevalence surveys, antenatal clinic serosurveillance, and other data sources. Excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021 was determined by subtracting observed all-cause mortality (adjusted for late registration and mortality anomalies) from the mortality expected in the absence of the pandemic. Expected mortality was calculated based on historical trends using an ensemble of models. In location-years where all-cause mortality data were unavailable, we estimated excess mortality rates using a regression model with covariates pertaining to the pandemic. Population size was computed using a Bayesian hierarchical cohort component model. Life expectancy was calculated using age-specific mortality rates and standard demographic methods. Uncertainty intervals (UIs) were calculated for every metric using the 25th and 975th ordered values from a 1000-draw posterior distribution.FindingsGlobal all-cause mortality followed two distinct patterns over the study period: age-standardised mortality rates declined between 1950 and 2019 (a 62·8% [95% UI 60·5–65·1] decline), and increased during the COVID-19 pandemic period (2020–21; 5·1% [0·9–9·6] increase). In contrast with the overall reverse in mortality trends during the pandemic period, child mortality continued to decline, with 4·66 million (3·98–5·50) global deaths in children younger than 5 years in 2021 compared with 5·21 million (4·50–6·01) in 2019. An estimated 131 million (126–137) people died globally from all causes in 2020 and 2021 combined, of which 15·9 million (14·7–17·2) were due to the COVID-19 pandemic (measured by excess mortality, which includes deaths directly due to SARS-CoV-2 infection and those indirectly due to other social, economic, or behavioural changes associated with the pandemic). Excess mortality rates exceeded 150 deaths per 100 000 population during at least one year of the pandemic in 80 countries and territories, whereas 20 nations had a negative excess mortality rate in 2020 or 2021, indicating that all-cause mortality in these countries was lower during the pandemic than expected based on historical trends. Between 1950 and 2021, global life expectancy at birth increased by 22·7 years (20·8–24·8), from 49·0 years (46·7–51·3) to 71·7 years (70·9–72·5). Global life expectancy at birth declined by 1·6 years (1·0–2·2) between 2019 and 2021, reversing historical trends. An increase in life expectancy was only observed in 32 (15·7%) of 204 countries and territories between 2019 and 2021. The global population reached 7·89 billion (7·67–8·13) people in 2021, by which time 56 of 204 countries and territories had peaked and subsequently populations have declined. The largest proportion of population growth between 2020 and 2021 was in sub-Saharan Africa (39·5% [28·4–52·7]) and south Asia (26·3% [9·0–44·7]). From 2000 to 2021, the ratio of the population aged 65 years and older to the population aged younger than 15 years increased in 188 (92·2%) of 204 nations.InterpretationGlobal adult mortality rates markedly increased during the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020 and 2021, reversing past decreasing trends, while child mortality rates continued to decline, albeit more slowly than in earlier years. Although COVID-19 had a substantial impact on many demographic indicators during the first 2 years of the pandemic, overall global health progress over the 72 years evaluated has been profound, with considerable improvements in mortality and life expectancy. Additionally, we observed a deceleration of global population growth since 2017, despite steady or increasing growth in lower-income countries, combined with a continued global shift of population age structures towards older ages. These demographic changes will likely present future challenges to health systems, economies, and societies. The comprehensive demographic estimates reported here will enable researchers, policy makers, health practitioners, and other key stakeholders to better understand and address the profound changes that have occurred in the global health landscape following the first 2 years of the COVID-19 pandemic, and longer-term trends beyond the pandemic
Global Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases and Risks, 1990-2022
- Author
- Abate Yohannes Habtegiorgis
- Abbasian Mohammadreza
- Abd-Allah Foad
- Abdollahi Ashkan
- Abdollahi Mohammad
- Abdulah Deldar Morad
- Abdulkader Rizwan Suliankatchi
- Abdullahi Auwal
- Abebe Ayele Mamo
- Abedi Aidin
- Abedi Armita
- Abiodun Olugbenga Olusola
- Abkenar Yasaman Taheri
- Abu-Gharbieh Eman
- Abu-Rmeileh Niveen M.E.
- Abu-Zaid Ahmed
- Aburuz Salahdein
- Abushouk Abdelrahman I.
- Adane Tigist Demssew
- Adderley Nicola J.
- Adebayo Oladimeji M.
- Aden Bashir
- Adeyeoluwa Temitayo Esther
- Adeyomoye Olorunsola Israel
- Afrashteh Fatemeh
- Afyouni Shadi
- Afzal Saira
- Agasthi Pradyumna
- Agodi Antonella
- Aguilera Arriagada Constanza Elizabeth
- Agyemang-Duah Williams
- Ahinkorah Bright Opoku
- Ahmad Aqeel
- Ahmad Danish
- Ahmad Firdos
- Ahmad Muayyad M.
- Ahmed Malik Muhammad Sajeel
- Ahmed Ayman
- Ahmed Haroon
- Ahmed Muktar Beshir
- Ahmed Syed Anees
- Ajami Marjan
- Akinosoglou Karolina
- Al-Aly Ziyad
- Al-amer Rasmieh Mustafa
- Al-Marwani Sabah
- Al-Raddadi Rajaa M.
- Ala Moein
- Alalalmeh Samer O.
- Alam Nazmul
- Alashi Alaa
- Albashtawy Mohammed
- AlBataineh Mohammad T.
- Alema Haileselasie Berhane
- Alemi Sharifullah
- Alemu Yihun Mulugeta
- Alhabib Khalid F.
- Ali AL-Ahdal Tareq Mohammed
- Ali Hiwa Abubaker
- Ali Mohammed Usman
- Ali Rafat
- Alicandro Gianfranco
- Alikhani Reyhaneh
- Aljunid Syed Mohamed
- Alla François
- Almahmeed Wael
- Alonso Jordi
- Alvi Farrukh Jawad
- Alvis-Guzman Nelson
- Alvis-Zakzuk Nelson J.
- Alwafi Hassan
- Aly Hany
- Amegbor Prince M.
- Amin Tarek Tawfik
- Amindarolzarbi Alireza
- Amini-Rarani Mostafa
- Amiri Sohrab
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- Anand Tanu
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- Anderlini Deanna
- Anil Abhishek
- Ansari Golnoosh
- Ansari Noureddin Nakhostin
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- Anyasodor Anayochukwu Edward
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- Barbic Franca
- Barchitta Martina
- Bardhan Mainak
- Barker-Collo Suzanne Lyn
- Barone-Adesi Francesco
- Barteit Sandra
- Barua Lingkan
- Bashiri Azadeh
- Bayati Mohsen
- Bayileyegn Nebiyou Simegnew
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- Belay Sefealem Assefa
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- Carabeo Medina John Robert
- Carace Apostol Geminn Louis
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- Carvalho Márcia
- Castaldelli-Maia Joao Mauricio
- Castañeda-Orjuela Carlos A.
- Cattaruzza Luca Cegolon Maria Sofia
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- Charalampous Periklis
- Charan Jaykaran
- Chattu Vijay Kumar
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- Chen Haowei
- Chennapragada Suma Sri
- Chew Derek S.
- Chi Gerald
- Ching Lai Daphne Teck
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- Chitheer Abdulaal
- Cho William C.S.
- Chong Bryan
- Chopra Hitesh
- Choudhary Rahul
- Chowdhury Enayet Karim
- Chowdhury Rajiv
- Chu Dinh-Toi
- Chukwu Isaac Sunday
- Cindi Zinhle
- Cioffi Iolanda
- Coberly Kaleb
- Coffey Sean
- Columbus Alyssa
- Conde Joao
- Conti Sara
- Corso Barbara
- Cortesi Paolo Angelo
- Cortés Sandra
- Costa Vera Marisa
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- Criqui Michael H.
- Cruz Jessica A.
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- Dai Zhaoli
- Dalaba Maxwell Ayindenaba
- Damavandi Payam Tabaee
- Damiani Giovanni
- Dao Le Long Khanh
- Das Saswati
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- Demessa Berecha Hundessa
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- Deng Xinlei
- Denova-Gutiérrez Edgar
- Dereje Nebiyu Dereje
- Desai Hardik Dineshbhai
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- Diaz Daniel
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- Ding Delaney D.
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- Dinushi Mettananda Kukulege Chamila
- Do Thanh Chi
- Doaei Saeid
- Dohare Sushil
- Dong Wanyue
- Douiri Abdel
- Dowou Robert Kokou
- Dsouza Ashel Chelsea
- Dsouza Haneil Larson
- Dsouza Viola
- Du Mi
- Duraes Andre Rodrigues
- Durojaiye Oyewole Christopher
- Dutta Sulagna
- Dziedzic Arkadiusz Marian
- Ebrahimi Alireza
- Efendi Defi
- Efendi Ferry
- Effendi Diyan Ermawan
- Eini Ebrahim
- Ekholuenetale Michael
- Ekundayo Temitope Cyrus
- El Sayed Iman
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- Elhadi Muhammed
- Emamverdi Mehdi
- Emeto Theophilus I.
- Erkhembayar Ryenchindorj
- Eshetie Tesfahun C.
- Espinosa-Montero Juan
- Etaee Farshid
- Fabin Natalia
- Fadhil Ibtihal
- Fagbamigbe Adeniyi Francis
- Falzone Luca
- Faris MoezAlIslam Ezzat Mahmoud
- Faro Andre
- Faruque Mithila
- Farwati Medhat
- Fasanmi Abidemi Omolara
- Fatehizadeh Ali
- Fazeli Pooria
- Feigin Valery L.
- Feng Xiaoqi
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- Ferreira Nuno
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- Ghamari Seyyed-Hadi
- Ghasemi MohammadReza
- Ghasemzadeh Afsaneh
- Ghazy Ramy Mohamed
- Gholamalizadeh Maryam
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- Gill Tiffany K.
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- Golchin Ali
- Goleij Pouya
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- Goyal Kashish
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- Gudeta Mesay Dechasa
- Guha Avirup
- Guicciardi Stefano
- Gulisashvili David
- Gunawardane Damitha Asanga
- Guo Cui
- Gupta Anish Kumar
- Gupta Bhawna
- Gupta Indarchand Ratanlal
- Gupta Kartik
- Gupta Mohak
- Gupta Rajat Das
- Gupta Rajeev
- Gupta Renu
- Gupta Sapna
- Gupta Veer Bala
- Gupta Vijai Kumar
- Gupta Vivek Kumar
- Gurmessa Lami
- Gutiérrez Reyna Alma
- Habibzadeh Farrokh
- Hadei Mostafa
- Haeri Boroojeni Helia Sadat
- Halimi Aram
- Haller Sebastian
- Halwani Rabih
- Hamadeh Randah R.
- Hamdy Nadia M.
- Hamidi Samer
- Han Chieh
- Han Qiuxia
- Hanh Le Nhi Huu
- Hani Temsah Reem Mohamad
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- Haro Josep Maria
- Hasan Faizul
- Hasan Ikramul
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- Hashemian Maryam
- Hasnain Md Saquib
- Hassan Amr
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- Hay Simon I.
- Hayat Khezar
- Hbid Youssef
- Hegazi Omar E.
- Hegena Tadele Yohannes
- Heidari Mohammad
- Helfer Bartosz
- Herrera-Serna Brenda Yuliana
- Herteliu Claudiu
- Hesami Hamed
- Hessami Kamran
- Heydari Keyvan
- Hezam Kamal
- Hiraike Yuta
- Hoan Nguyen Quoc
- Holla Ramesh
- Hossain Md Mahbub
- Hossain Md. Belal
- Hosseinzadeh Hassan
- Hosseinzadeh Mehdi
- Hostiuc Mihaela
- Hostiuc Sorin
- Hsairi Mohamed
- Huang Junjie
- Hultström Michael
- Huynh Hong-Han
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- Ibrahim Khalid S.
- Idowu Oluwatope Olaniyi
- Ilesanmi Olayinka Stephen
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- Iqhrammullah Muhammad
- Ismail Faisal
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- Jaafari Jalil
- Jacob Louis
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- Jaggi Khushleen
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- Jebai Rime
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- Jha Ravi Prakash
- Jha Vivekanand
- Jiang Heng
- Jin Yinzi
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- Jonasson Junmei Miao
- Joo Tamas
- Joseph Abel
- Joseph Nitin
- Joshua Charity Ehimwenma
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- Jürisson Mikk
- Kabir Ali
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- Kadashetti Vidya
- Kahe Farima
- Kai Chan Jeffrey Shi
- Kalani Rizwan
- Kalankesh Laleh R.
- Kalantar Farnaz
- Kalkonde Yogeshwar
- Kalra Sanjay
- Kamath Ashwin
- Kamath Sagarika
- Kamireddy Arun
- Kanchan Tanuj
- Kandel Himal
- Kanmanthareddy Arun R.
- Kanmodi Kehinde Kazeem
- Kansal Sushil Kumar
- Kapner Daniel John
- Kar Sitanshu Sekhar
- Karakasis Paschalis
- Karki Prabin
- Kashoo Faizan Zaffar
- Kasraei Hengameh
- Kassahun Eskeziaw Abebe
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- Kaydi Neda
- Kazemi Foad
- Kazemian Sina
- Kazeminia Sara
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- Khadembashiri Mohamad Mehdi
- Khadembashiri Mohammad Amin
- Khafaie Morteza Abdullatif
- Khajuria Himanshu
- Khalaji Amirmohammad
- Khalid Nauman
- Khalilian Alireza
- Khalilov Rovshan
- Khan suheb Mahammed Ziauddin
- Khan Asaduzzaman
- Khan Ejaz Ahmad
- Khan Junaid
- Khan M Nuruzzaman
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- Kompani Farzad
- Koren Gerbrand
- Kotnis Ashwin Laxmikant
- Koul Parvaiz A.
- Koyanagi Ai
- Krishan Kewal
- Krishna Hare
- Krishnamoorthy Vijay
- Krishnamoorthy Yuvaraj
- Kuddus Md Abdul
- Kuddus Mohammed
- Kulimbet Mukhtar
- Kulkarni Vishnutheertha
- Kumar Akshay
- Kumar Ashish
- Kumar Naveen
- Kumar Nithin
- Kumar Rahul
- Kumsa Netsanet Bogale
- Kunle Kunle Rotimi
- Kusuma Dian
- Kyriopoulos Ilias
- La Vecchia Carlo
- Lacey Ben
- Ladan Muhammad Awwal
- Laflamme Lucie
- Lahariya Chandrakant
- Lahiri Arista
- Lallukka Tea
- Lan Qing
- Landires Iván
- Lanfranchi Francesco
- Larijani Bagher
- Larsson Anders O.
- Lasrado Savita
- Latief Epidemiology Kamaluddin
- Latifinaibin Kaveh
- Lau Jerrald
- Lauriola Paolo
- Le Khuong
- Ledda Caterina
- Lee Munjae
- Lee Paul H.
- Lee Seung Won
- Lee Wei-Chen
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- LeGrand Kate E.
- Leinsalu Mall
- Leonardi Matilde
- Lerango Temesgen L.
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- Li Ming-Chieh
- Li Wei
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- Lin Ro-Ting
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- Loreche Arianna Maever
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- Lucchetti Giancarlo
- Lugo Alessandra
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- Ma Zheng Feei
- Madadizadeh Farzan
- Maddison Ralph
- Magaña Gómez Javier A.
- Magne Julien
- Mahalleh Mehrdad
- Mahmoud Mansour Adam
- Mahmoudi Elham
- Mahmoudvand Behnaz
- Makram Omar Mohamed
- Malazy Ozra Tabatabaei
- Malekzadeh Reza
- Malhotra Kashish
- Malik Iram
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- Murray Christopher J.L.
- Mustafa Ghulam
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- pursuing PhD.
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- Roth Gregory A.
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- Sci (Med) Cand of
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- Song Yi
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- Spartalis Michael
- Sreeramareddy Chandrashekhar T.
- Srikanth Bhagavathula Akshaya Srikanth
- Stafford Lauryn K.
- Stark Benjamin A.
- Steiropoulos Paschalis
- Stortecky Stefan
- Sultana Abida
- Sundström Johan
- Swain Chandan Kumar
- Swamy Sreenivas Narasimha
- Tabatabaei Seyyed Mohammad
- Tabatabaeizadeh Seyed-Amir
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- Tabb Karen M.
- Tabish Mohammad
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- Teimoori Mojtaba
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- Tran Nghia Minh
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- Truong Vien T.
- Tsatsakis Aristidis
- Tsegay Guesh Mebrahtom
- Tsermpini Evangelia Eirini
- Tumurkhuu Munkhtuya
- Tung Kang
- Ubah Chukwudi S.
- Udoakang Aniefiok John
- Udoh Arit
- Ullah Atta
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- Umair Muhammad
- Umar Tungki Pratama
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- Unnikrishnan Bhaskaran
- Upadhyay Era
- Usman Jibrin Sammani
- Vahabi Seyed Mohammad
- Vaithinathan Asokan Govindaraj
- Valizadeh Rohollah
- Van den Eynde Jef
- Van Tran Phu
- Vardanjani Hossein Molavi
- Varga Orsolya
- Varma Siddhartha Alluri
- Varnosfaderani Mahsa Pahlavikhah
- Vart Priya
- Varthya Shoban Babu
- Vasankari Tommi Juhani
- Vellingiri Balachandar
- Vervoort Dominique
- Villafañe Jorge Hugo
- Violante Francesco S.
- Viskadourou Maria
- Volovat Simona Ruxandra
- Vos Theo
- Vujcic Isidora S.
- Wafa Hatem A.
- Wahab Feras
- Wang Cong
- Wang Fang
- Wang Nelson
- Wang Shu
- Wang Yanzhong
- Wang Yuan-Pang
- Wei Melissa Y.
- Werdecker Andrea
- Wickramasinghe Nuwan Darshana
- Wijeratne Tissa
- Wilandika Angga
- Wilson Shadrach
- Wolfe Charles D.A.
- Wongsin Utoomporn
- Wu Zenghong
- Xiao Hong
- Xu Suowen
- Xu Xiaoyue
- Yadav Lalit
- Yano Yuichiro
- Yaribeygi Habib
- Yasufuku Yuichi
- Ye Pengpeng
- Yesuf Subah Abderehim
- Yezli Saber
- Yilma Mekdes Tigistu
- Yiğit Arzu
- Yiğit Vahit
- Yon Dong Keon
- Yonemoto Naohiro
- Yousefi Zabihollah
- Yperzeele Laetitia
- Yu Chuanhua
- Yunusa Ismaeel
- Zafari Nima
- Zakham Fathiah
- Zastrozhin Mikhail Sergeevich
- Zeineddine Mohammad A.
- Zemedikun Dawit T.
- Zeng Youjie
- Zhai Chunxia
- Zhang Chen
- Zhang Haijun
- Zhang Hongwei
- Zhang Liqun
- Zhang Ning
- Zhang Yunquan
- Zhao Hanqing
- Zheng Peng
- Zhong Chenwen
- Zhou Shuduo
- Zhu Bin
- Zhu Lei
- Zielińska Magdalena
- Zikarg Yossef Teshome
- Zmaili Mohammad
- Zoeckler Leo Zucker
- Zou Zhiyong
- Zumla Alimuddin
- Zweck Elric
- Zyoud Samer H.
- Ärnlöv Johan
- Publication venue
- Elsevier Inc.
- Publication date
- 01/01/2023
- Field of study
The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) is a multinational collaborative research study with >10,000 collaborators around the world. GBD generates a time series of summary measures of health, including prevalence, cause-specific mortality (CSMR), years of life lost (YLLs), years lived with disability (YLDs), and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) to provide a comprehensive view of health burden for a wide range of stakeholders including clinicians, public and private health systems, ministries of health, and other policymakers. These estimates are produced for 371 causes of death and 88 risk factors according to mutually exclusive, collectively exhaustive hierarchies of health conditions and risks. The study is led by a principal investigator and governed by a study protocol, with oversight from a Scientific Council, and an Independent Advisory Committee.1 GBD is performed in compliance with Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER).2 GBD uses de-identified data, and the waiver of informed consent was reviewed and approved by the University of Washington Institutional Review Board (study number 9060).
This almanac presents results for 18 cardiovascular diseases (CVD) and the CVD burden attributed to 15 risk factors (including an aggregate grouping of dietary risks) by GBD region. A summary of methods follows. Additional information can be found online at https://ghdx.healthdata.org/record/ihme-data/cvd-1990-2022, including:Funding was provided by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation, and the American College of Cardiology Foundation. The authors have reported that they have no relationships relevant to the contents of this paper to disclose. The contents and views expressed in this report are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the official views of the National Institutes of Health, the Department of Health and Human Services, the U.S. Government, or the affiliated institutions