1,391 research outputs found
A Bayesian method for detecting stellar flares
We present a Bayesian-odds-ratio-based algorithm for detecting stellar flares
in light curve data. We assume flares are described by a model in which there
is a rapid rise with a half-Gaussian profile, followed by an exponential decay.
Our signal model also contains a polynomial background model. This is required
to fit underlying light curve variations that are expected in the data, which
could otherwise partially mimic a flare. We characterise the false alarm
probability and efficiency of this method and compare it with a simpler
thresholding method based on that used in Walkowicz et al (2011). We find our
method has a significant increase in detection efficiency for low
signal-to-noise ratio (S/N) flares. For a conservative false alarm probability
our method can detect 95% of flares with S/N less than ~20, as compared to S/N
of ~25 for the simpler method. As an example we have applied our method to a
selection of stars in Kepler Quarter 1 data. The method finds 687 flaring stars
with a total of 1873 flares after vetos have been applied. For these flares we
have characterised their durations and and signal-to-noise ratios.Comment: Accepted for MNRAS. The code used for the analysis can be found at
https://github.com/BayesFlare/bayesflare/releases/tag/v1.0.
Population synthesis and parameter estimation of neutron stars with continuous gravitational waves and third-generation detectors
Precise measurement of stellar properties through the observation of
continuous gravitational waves from spinning non-axisymmetric neutron stars can
shed light onto new physics beyond terrestrial laboratories. Although hitherto
undetected, prospects for detecting continuous gravitational waves improve with
longer observation periods and more sensitive gravitational wave detectors. We
study the capability of the Advanced Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave
Observatory, and the Einstein Telescope to measure the physical properties of
neutron stars through continuous gravitational wave observations. We simulate a
population of Galactic neutron stars, assume continuous gravitational waves
from the stars have been detected, and perform parameter estimation of the
detected signals. Using the estimated parameters, we infer the stars' moments
of inertia, ellipticities, and the components of the magnetic dipole moment
perpendicular to the rotation axis. The estimation of the braking index proved
challenging and is responsible for the majority of the uncertainties in the
inferred parameters. Using the Einstein Telescope with an observation period of
5 yrs, point estimates using median can be made with errors of ~ 10 - 100% and
~ 5 - 50% respectively, subject to the inference of the braking index. The
perpendicular magnetic dipole moment could not be accurately inferred for
neutron stars that emit mainly gravitational waves.Comment: 11 pages, 7 figure
Advanced technologies for future ground-based, laser-interferometric gravitational wave detectors
We present a review of modern optical techniques being used and developed for the field of gravitational wave detection. We describe the current state-of-the-art of gravitational waves detector technologies with regard to optical layouts, suspensions and test masses. We discuss the dominant sources and noise in each of these subsystems and the developments that will help mitigate them for future generations of detectors. We very briefly summarise some of the novel astrophysics that will be possible with these upgraded detectors
The declining representativeness of the British party system, and why it matters
In a recent article, Michael Laver has explained âWhy Vote-Seeking Parties May Make Voters Miserableâ. His model shows that, while ideological convergence may boost congruence between governments and the median voter, it can reduce congruence between the party system and the electorate as a whole. Specifically, convergence can increase the mean distance between voters and their nearest party. In this article we show that this captures the reality of todayâs British party system. Policy scale placements in British Election Studies from 1987 to 2010 confirm that the pronounced convergence during the past decade has left the Conservatives and Labour closer together than would be optimal in terms of minimising the policy distance between the average voter and the nearest major party. We go on to demonstrate that this comes at a cost. Respondents who perceive themselves as further away from one of the major parties in the system tend to score lower on satisfaction with democracy. In short, vote-seeking parties have left the British party system less representative of the ideological diversity in the electorate, and thus made at least some British voters miserable
Inferring Core-Collapse Supernova Physics with Gravitational Waves
Stellar collapse and the subsequent development of a core-collapse supernova
explosion emit bursts of gravitational waves (GWs) that might be detected by
the advanced generation of laser interferometer gravitational-wave
observatories such as Advanced LIGO, Advanced Virgo, and LCGT. GW bursts from
core-collapse supernovae encode information on the intricate multi-dimensional
dynamics at work at the core of a dying massive star and may provide direct
evidence for the yet uncertain mechanism driving supernovae in massive stars.
Recent multi-dimensional simulations of core-collapse supernovae exploding via
the neutrino, magnetorotational, and acoustic explosion mechanisms have
predicted GW signals which have distinct structure in both the time and
frequency domains. Motivated by this, we describe a promising method for
determining the most likely explosion mechanism underlying a hypothetical GW
signal, based on Principal Component Analysis and Bayesian model selection.
Using simulated Advanced LIGO noise and assuming a single detector and linear
waveform polarization for simplicity, we demonstrate that our method can
distinguish magnetorotational explosions throughout the Milky Way (D <~ 10kpc)
and explosions driven by the neutrino and acoustic mechanisms to D <~ 2kpc.
Furthermore, we show that we can differentiate between models for rotating
accretion-induced collapse of massive white dwarfs and models of rotating iron
core collapse with high reliability out to several kpc.Comment: 22 pages, 9 figure
'Word from the street' : when non-electoral representative claims meet electoral representation in the United Kingdom
Taking the specific case of street protests in the UK â the âword from the streetââ this article examines recent (re)conceptualizations of political representation, most particularly Sawardâs notion of ârepresentative claimâ. The specific example of nonelectoral claims articulated by protestors and demonstrators in the UK is used to illustrate: the processes of making, constituting, evaluating and accepting claims for and by constituencies and audiences; and the continuing distinctiveness of claims based upon electoral representation. Two basic questions structure the analysis: first, why would the political representative claims of elected representatives trump the nonelectoral claims of mass demonstrators and, second, in what ways does the âperceived legitimacyâ of the former differ from the latter
Population synthesis and parameter estimation of neutron stars with continuous gravitational waves and third-generation detectors
Precise measurement of stellar properties through the observation of continuous gravitational waves from spinning non-axisymmetric neutron stars can shed light onto new physics beyond terrestrial laboratories. Although hitherto undetected, prospects for detecting continuous gravitational waves improve with longer observation periods and more sensitive gravitational wave detectors. We study the capability of the Advanced Laser Interferometer Gravitational-Wave Observatory, and the Einstein Telescope to measure the physical properties of neutron stars through continuous gravitational wave observations. We simulate a population of Galactic neutron stars, assume continuous gravitational waves from the stars have been detected, and perform parameter estimation of the detected signals. Using the estimated parameters, we infer the starsâ moments of inertia, ellipticities, and the components of the magnetic dipole moment perpendicular to the rotation axis. The estimation of the braking index proved challenging and is responsible for the majority of the uncertainties in the inferred parameters. Using the Einstein Telescope with an observation period of , point estimates using median can be made on the moments of inertia with error of and on the ellipticities with error of , subject to the inference of the braking index. The perpendicular magnetic dipole moment could not be accurately inferred for neutron stars that emit mainly gravitational waves
Gravitational wave detection using pulsars: status of the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array project
The first direct detection of gravitational waves may be made through
observations of pulsars. The principal aim of pulsar timing array projects
being carried out worldwide is to detect ultra-low frequency gravitational
waves (f ~ 10^-9 to 10^-8 Hz). Such waves are expected to be caused by
coalescing supermassive binary black holes in the cores of merged galaxies. It
is also possible that a detectable signal could have been produced in the
inflationary era or by cosmic strings. In this paper we review the current
status of the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array project (the only such project in the
Southern hemisphere) and compare the pulsar timing technique with other forms
of gravitational-wave detection such as ground- and space-based interferometer
systems.Comment: Accepted for publication in PAS
The Sensitivity of the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array to Individual Sources of Gravitational Waves
We present the sensitivity of the Parkes Pulsar Timing Array to gravitational
waves emitted by individual super-massive black-hole binary systems in the
early phases of coalescing at the cores of merged galaxies. Our analysis
includes a detailed study of the effects of fitting a pulsar timing model to
non-white timing residuals. Pulsar timing is sensitive at nanoHertz frequencies
and hence complementary to LIGO and LISA. We place a sky-averaged constraint on
the merger rate of nearby () black-hole binaries in the early phases
of coalescence with a chirp mass of 10^{10}\,\rmn{M}_\odot of less than one
merger every seven years. The prospects for future gravitational-wave astronomy
of this type with the proposed Square Kilometre Array telescope are discussed.Comment: fixed error in equation (4). [13 pages, 6 figures, 1 table, published
in MNRAS
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