Political Violence and Excess Liquidity in Egypt

In this article we estimate a time-series model of excess liquidity in the Egyptian banking sector. While financial liberalisation and financial stability are found to have reduced excess liquidity, these effects have been offset by an increase in the number of violent political incidents arising from conflict between radical Islamic groups and the Egyptian state. The link between political events and financial outcomes provides a rationale for economic policy interventions by the international community in response to increases in political instability

State criminal justice telecommunications (STACOM). Volume 3: Requirements analysis and design of Texas criminal Justice Telecommunications Network

For abstract, see N78-16218

Why Do African Banks Lend so Little?

We put forward a plausible explanation of African financial under-development in the form of a bad credit market equilibrium. Utilising an appropriately modified IO model of banking, we show that the root of the problem could be unchecked moral hazard (strategic loan defaults) or adverse selection (a lack of good projects). Applying a dynamic panel estimator to a large sample of African banks, we show that loan defaults are a major factor inhibiting bank lending when the quality of regulation is poor. We also find that once a threshold level of regulatory quality has been reached, improvements in the default rate or regulatory quality do not matter, providing support for our theoretical predictions.Dynamic panel data; African financial under-development; African credit markets

What factors facilitate a GP survey high response rate?

Copyright © 2005 Royal Australian College of General Practitioners Copyright to Australian Family Physician. Reproduced with permission. Permission to reproduce must be sought from the publisher, The Royal Australian College of General Practitioners.General practitioners are inundated with surveys seeking information about their beliefs and practices by a range of health researchers, policy makers and marketers. Their time for these surveys is often unpaid, or under-rewarded, or impinges on other responsibilities. If response rates are too low – something all too common – results are impossible or difficult to interpret.J. Fielding, H. Clothier, N. Stocks N and H. Kell

The measurement of household socio-economic position in tuberculosis prevalence surveys: a sensitivity analysis.

OBJECTIVE: To assess the robustness of socio-economic inequalities in tuberculosis (TB) prevalence surveys. DESIGN: Data were drawn from the TB prevalence survey conducted in Lusaka Province, Zambia, in 2005-2006. We compared TB socio-economic inequalities measured through an asset-based index (Index 0) using principal component analysis (PCA) with those observed using three alternative indices: Index 1 and Index 2 accounted respectively for the biases resulting from the inclusion of urban assets and food-related variables in Index 0. Index 3 was built using regression-based analysis instead of PCA to account for the effect of using a different assets weighting strategy. RESULTS: Household socio-economic position (SEP) was significantly associated with prevalent TB, regardless of the index used; however, the magnitude of inequalities did vary across indices. A strong association was found for Index 2, suggesting that the exclusion of food-related variables did not reduce the extent of association between SEP and prevalent TB. The weakest association was found for Index 1, indicating that the exclusion of urban assets did not lead to higher extent of TB inequalities. CONCLUSION: TB socio-economic inequalities seem to be robust to the choice of SEP indicator. The epidemiological meaning of the different extent of TB inequalities is unclear. Further studies are needed to confirm our conclusions

Predicting missing quality of life data that were later recovered : an empirical comparison of approaches

Peer reviewedPostprin

A cohort study of influences, health outcomes and costs of patients' health-seeking behaviour for minor ailments from primary and emergency care settings

To compare health-related and cost-related outcomes of consultations for symptoms suggestive of minor ailments in emergency departments (EDs), general practices and community pharmacies

Preventive Therapy for Child Contacts of Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis: A Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND: Evidence is limited to guide the management of children exposed to multidrug-resistant (MDR) tuberculosis. We aimed to study the tolerability and toxicity of a standard preventive therapy regimen given to children exposed to infectious MDR tuberculosis, and explore risk factors for poor outcome. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study in the Western Cape, South Africa, children <5 years of age, or human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-positive children aged <15 years, were recruited from May 2010 through April 2011 if exposed to an ofloxacin-susceptible, MDR tuberculosis source case. Children were started on preventive therapy as per local guidance: ofloxacin, ethambutol, and high-dose isoniazid for 6 months. Standardized measures of adherence and adverse events were recorded; poor outcome was defined as incident tuberculosis or death from any cause. RESULTS: One hundred eighty-six children were included, with a median age of 34 months (interquartile range, 14-47 months). Of 179 children tested for HIV, 9 (5.0%) were positive. Adherence was good in 141 (75.8%) children. Only 7 (3.7%) children developed grade 3 adverse events. One child (0.5%) died and 6 (3.2%) developed incident tuberculosis during 219 patient-years of observation time. Factors associated with poor outcome were age <1 year (rate ratio [RR], 10.1; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.65-105.8; P = .009), HIV-positive status (RR, 10.6; 95% CI, 1.01-64.9; P = .049), exposure to multiple source cases (RR, 6.75; 95% CI, 1.11-70.9; P = .036) and poor adherence (RR, 7.50; 95% CI, 1.23-78.7; P = .026). CONCLUSIONS: This 3-drug preventive therapy regimen was well tolerated and few children developed tuberculosis or died if adherent to therapy. The provision of preventive therapy to vulnerable children following exposure to MDR tuberculosis should be considered