Gone with the wind: the impact of wind mass transfer on the orbital evolution of AGB binary systems

In low-mass binary systems, mass transfer is likely to occur via a slow and dense stellar wind when one of the stars is in the AGB phase. Observations show that many binaries that have undergone AGB mass transfer have orbital periods of 1-10 yr, at odds with the predictions of binary population synthesis models. We investigate the mass-accretion efficiency and angular-momentum loss via wind mass transfer in AGB binary systems. We use these quantities to predict the evolution of the orbit. We perform 3D hydrodynamical simulations of the stellar wind lost by an AGB star using the AMUSE framework. We approximate the thermal evolution of the gas by imposing a simple effective cooling balance and we vary the orbital separation and the velocity of the stellar wind. We find that for wind velocities $v_{\infty}$ larger than the relative orbital velocity of the system $v_\mathrm{orb}$ the flow is described by the Bondi-Hoyle-Lyttleton approximation and the angular-momentum loss is modest, leading to an expansion of the orbit. For low wind velocities an accretion disk is formed around the companion and the accretion efficiency as well as the angular-momentum loss are enhanced, implying that the orbit will shrink. We find that the transfer of angular momentum from the orbit to the outflowing gas occurs within a few orbital separations from the center of mass of the binary. Our results suggest that the orbital evolution of AGB binaries can be predicted as a function of the ratio $v_{\infty}/v_\mathrm{orb}$. Our results can provide insight into the puzzling orbital periods of post-AGB binaries and suggest that the number of stars entering into the common-envelope phase will increase. The latter can have significant implications for the expected formation rates of the end products of low-mass binary evolution, such as cataclysmic binaries, type Ia supernova and double white-dwarf mergers. [ABRIDGED]Comment: Accepted for publication in A&A, 17 pages, 11 figures, 3 tables. Abstract abridged due to arXiv requirement

A call for exploratory data analysis in revenue management forecasting: A case study of a small and independent hotel in The Netherlands

Using five years of data collected from a small and independent hotel this case study explores RMS data as a means to seek new insights into occupancy forecasting. The study provides empirical evidence on the random nature of group cancellations, an important but neglected aspect in hotel revenue management modelling. The empirical study also shows that in a local market context demand differs significantly per point of time during the day, in addition to seasonal monthly and weekly demand patterns. Moreover, the study presents evidence on the nonhomogeneous Poisson nature of the probability distribution that demand follows, a crucial characteristic for forecasting modelling that is generally assumed but not reported in the hotel forecasting literature. This implies that demand is more uncertain for smaller than for larger hotels. The paper concludes by drawing attention to the critical and often overlooked role of exploratory data analysis in hotel revenue management forecasting.Coherent privaatrech

Visualization and Analysis Techniques for Three Dimensional Information Acquired by Confocal Microscopy

Confocal Scanning Laser Microscopy (CSLM) is particularly well suited for the acquisition of 3-dimensional data of microscopic objects. In the CSLM a specific volume in the object is sampled during the imaging process and the result is stored in a digital computer as a three-dimensional memory array. Optimal use of these data requires both the development of effective visual representations as well as analysis methods. In addition to the well known stereoscopic representation method a number of alternatives for various purposes are presented. When rendering in terms of solid-looking or semitransparent objects is required, an algorithm based on a simulated process of excitation and fluorescence is very suitable. Graphic techniques can be used to examine the 3-dimensional shape of surfaces. For (near-)real time applications a representation method should not require extensive previous data-processing or analysis. From the very extensive field of 3-D image analysis two examples are given

Donor Stars in Black-Hole X-Ray Binaries

We study theoretically the formation of black-hole (BH) X-ray binaries. Consistency of the models with the observed relative numbers of systems with low-mass (<2 M_sun) and intermediate-mass (~2 M_sun - M_{BH}) donors leads to severe constraints on the evolutionary parameters of the progenitors. In particular, we find that (i) BH progenitor masses cannot exceed about 2 M_{BH}; (ii) high values of the common-envelope efficiency parameter (alpha_{CE} > 1) are required, implying that energy sources other than orbital contraction must be invoked to eject the envelope; (iii) the mass-loss fraction in helium-star winds is limited to be <50%. Outside of this limited parameter space for progenitors we find that either BH X-ray binary formation cannot occur at all or donors do not have the full range of observed masses. We discuss the implications of these results for the structure of massive hydrogen-rich stars, the evolution of helium-stars, and BH formation. We also consider the possible importance of asymmetric kicks.Comment: 29 pages, 6 figures, accepted for publication in The Astrophysical Journa

Clinical and Pathological Findings in SARS-CoV-2 Disease Outbreaks in Farmed Mink (Neovison vison)

SARS-CoV-2, the causative agent of COVID-19, caused respiratory disease outbreaks with increased mortality in 4 mink farms in the Netherlands. The most striking postmortem finding was an acute interstitial pneumonia, which was found in nearly all examined mink that died at the peak of the outbreaks. Acute alveolar damage was a consistent histopathological finding in mink that died with pneumonia. SARS-CoV-2 infections were confirmed by detection of viral RNA in throat swabs and by immunohistochemical detection of viral antigen in nasal conchae, trachea, and lung. Clinically, the outbreaks lasted for about 4 weeks but some animals were still polymerase chain reaction–positive for SARS-CoV-2 in throat swabs after clinical signs had disappeared. This is the first report of the clinical and pathological characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks in mink farms