Cops, Teachers, and the Art of the Impossible: Explaining the lack of diffusion of impossible job innovations

In their now classic Impossible Jobs in Public Management, Hargrove and Glidewell (1990) argue that public agencies with limited legitimacy, high conflict, low professional authority, and weak agency myths have essentially impossible jobs. Leaders of such agencies can do little more than cope, which is also a theme of James Q. Wilson (1989), among others. Yet in the years since publication of Impossible Jobs, one such position, that of police commissioner has proven possible. Over a sustained 17-year period, the New York City Police Department has achieved dramatic reductions in crime with relatively few political repercussions, as described by Kelling and Sousa (2001). A second impossible job discussed by Wilson and also by Frederick Hess (1999), city school superintendent, has also proven possible, with Houston and Edmonton having considerable academic success educating disadvantaged children. In addition, Atlanta and Pittsburgh enjoyed significant success in elementary schooling, though the gains were short-lived for reasons we will describe. More recently, under Michelle Rhee, Washington D.C. schools have made the most dramatic gains among city school systems. These successes in urban crime control and public schooling have not been widely copied. Accordingly, we argue that the real conundrum of impossible jobs is why agency leaders fail to copy successful innovations. Building on the work of Teodoro (2009), we will discuss how the relative illegitimacy of clients and inflexibility of personnel systems combine with the professional norms, job mobility and progressive ambition of agency leaders to limit the diffusion of innovations in law enforcement and schooling. We will conclude with ideas about how to overcome these barriers

Enhanced contact investigations for nine early travel-related cases of SARS-CoV-2 in the United States

Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), the respiratory disease caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was first identified in Wuhan, China and has since become pandemic. In response to the first cases identified in the United States, close contacts of confirmed COVID-19 cases were investigated to enable early identification and isolation of additional cases and to learn more about risk factors for transmission. Close contacts of nine early travel-related cases in the United States were identified and monitored daily for development of symptoms (active monitoring). Selected close contacts (including those with exposures categorized as higher risk) were targeted for collection of additional exposure information and respiratory samples. Respiratory samples were tested for SARS-CoV-2 by real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. Four hundred four close contacts were actively monitored in the jurisdictions that managed the travel-related cases. Three hundred thirty-eight of the 404 close contacts provided at least basic exposure information, of whom 159 close contacts had ≥1 set of respiratory samples collected and tested. Across all actively monitored close contacts, two additional symptomatic COVID-19 cases (i.e., secondary cases) were identified; both secondary cases were in spouses of travel-associated case patients. When considering only household members, all of whom had ≥1 respiratory sample tested for SARS-CoV-2, the secondary attack rate (i.e., the number of secondary cases as a proportion of total close contacts) was 13% (95% CI: 4–38%). The results from these contact tracing investigations suggest that household members, especially significant others, of COVID-19 cases are at highest risk of becoming infected. The importance of personal protective equipment for healthcare workers is also underlined. Isolation of persons with COVID-19, in combination with quarantine of exposed close contacts and practice of everyday preventive behaviors, is important to mitigate spread of COVID-19

The Duration of Zidovudine Benefit in Persons With Asymptomatic HIV Infection: Prolonged Evaluation of Protocol 019 of the AIDS Clinical Trials Group

Objective.—To determine the durability of zidovudine-induced delay in clinical progression of asymptomatic human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) disease and to assess the relationship between this effect and the entry CD4+ cell count.Design and Interventions.—Extended follow-up data from subjects participating in protocol 019 of the AIDS [acquired immunodeficiency syndrome] Clinical Trials Group were examined. Subjects were offered a total daily dose of 500 mg of open-label zidovudine after the unblinding of the original randomized trial in 1989. Original treatment groups included placebo, 500 mg of zidovudine, or 1500 mg of zidovudine daily in divided doses. Three distinct analyses were conducted to assess the duration of zidovudine's effect on progression to AIDS or death: (1) analysis of all follow-up information from all subjects, (2) analysis of all subjects but with follow-up of original placebo-assigned subjects censored at the time open-label zidovudine was initiated, and (3) analysis of the effect of initiating zidovudine in subjects initially assigned to receive placebo.Setting.—University-based and university-affiliated AIDS research clinics participating in AIDS Clinical Trials Group protocol 019.Patients.—A total of 1565 asymptomatic HIV-infected subjects with entry CD4+ cell counts less than 0.50×109/L (500/μL).Main Outcome Measure.—Time to progression to AIDS or death.Results.—During follow-up of up to 4.5 years (mean, 2.6 years), 232 subjects progressed to AIDS or died. In each of the three analyses described herein, zidovudine was associated with a significant (P=.008,.004,.007) decrease in the risk of such progression. However, each of these analyses also indicated a decreasing placebo:zidovudine relative risk with duration of use (P=.002,.08,.04), suggesting a nonpermanent effect. The duration of benefit appeared to be related to entry CD4+ cell count, with greater benefit in those with higher counts at entry. No significant differences in survival were found between those originally randomized to zidovudine or placebo.Conclusions.—Zidovudine at 500 mg/d caused a significant delay in progression to AIDS or death, but its earlier use in asymptomatic disease was not associated with an additional prolongation of survival compared with delayed initiation. The delay in progression diminished over time especially in subjects with entry CD4+ cell counts less than 0.30×109/L (300/μL). Treatment strategies that alter drug regimens before the loss of zidovudine benefit should be explored.(JAMA. 1994;272:437-442