Streamflow response to increasing precipitation extremes altered by forest management

Published (Publication status

Towards a more reliable historical reanalysis: improvements for version 3 of the Twentieth Century Reanalysis system

Historical reanalyses that span more than a century are needed for a wide range of studies, from understanding large‐scale climate trends to diagnosing the impacts of individual historical extreme weather events. The Twentieth Century Reanalysis (20CR) Project is an effort to fill this need. It is supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), the Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), and the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE), and is facilitated by collaboration with the international Atmospheric Circulation Reconstructions over the Earth initiative. 20CR is the first ensemble of sub‐daily global atmospheric conditions spanning over 100 years. This provides a best estimate of the weather at any given place and time as well as an estimate of its confidence and uncertainty. While extremely useful, version 2c of this dataset (20CRv2c) has several significant issues, including inaccurate estimates of confidence and a global sea level pressure bias in the mid‐19th century. These and other issues can reduce its effectiveness for studies at many spatial and temporal scales. Therefore, the 20CR system underwent a series of developments to generate a significant new version of the reanalysis. The version 3 system (NOAA‐CIRES‐DOE 20CRv3) uses upgraded data assimilation methods including an adaptive inflation algorithm; has a newer, higher‐resolution forecast model that specifies dry air mass; and assimilates a larger set of pressure observations. These changes have improved the ensemble‐based estimates of confidence, removed spin‐up effects in the precipitation fields, and diminished the sea‐level pressure bias. Other improvements include more accurate representations of storm intensity, smaller errors, and large‐scale reductions in model bias. The 20CRv3 system is comprehensively reviewed, focusing on the aspects that have ameliorated issues in 20CRv2c. Despite the many improvements, some challenges remain, including a systematic bias in tropical precipitation and time‐varying biases in southern high‐latitude pressure fields

Autologous stem cell transplant for relapsed and refractory peripheral T-cell lymphoma: variable outcome according to pathological subtype

The purpose of this study was to evaluate the outcome of high-dose chemotherapy (HDCT) followed by autologous haematopoietic stem cell transplant (ASCT) for patients with relapsed T-cell non-Hodgkin's lymphoma. We reviewed 36 patients with peripheral T-cell lymphoma (PTL) who underwent ASCT between January 1987 and June 2001. Patients had chemosensitive disease, and received high-dose melphalan and etoposide with or without total body irradiation supported by unpurged autologous stem cells. Comparisons were made with 97 diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBL) patients. PTL patients had a median age of 46 years (19-62 years). Twenty-nine had relapsed and seven had primary refractory disease. DLBL patients were statistically similar in baseline characteristics. Of patients with PTL, six (17%) died of treatment-related complications and 14 (39%) were in remission with a median follow-up of 42 months (range 6-116 months). Three-year overall survival and event-free survival (EFS) were 48% and 37%, respectively, for PTL, compared with 53% and 42% for DLBL (P = 0.41 and 0.29 respectively). There was no significant prognostic variable found by univariate analysis for the PTL cohort. Major PTL subtypes were analysed for outcomes. The 20 patients with PTL, not otherwise specified (PTL-NOS), had an inferior EFS compared with DLBL patients (23%, P = 0.028). In contrast, the nine patients with anaplastic large T/null cell lymphoma had a non-significant trend for improved EFS (67%, P = 0.41). While ASCT in patients with relapsed or primary refractory PTL results in long-term remission rates comparable to DLBL patients, those with PTL-NOS do significantly worse