Mortalidad a corto plazo en los pacientes con insuficiencia cardiaca en estadios finales

Objectives: This study is aimed at analyzing the impact of the main factors contributing to short and long-term mortality in patients at final stages of heart failure (HF). Setting: Patients attended at any of the 279 primary health care centers belonging to the Institut Català de la Salut, in Catalonia (Spain). Participants: Patients with Advanced HF. Design: Multicenter cohort study including 1148 HF patients followed for one-year after reaching New York Heart Association (NYHA) IV. Main measurements: The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Multivariate logistic regression models were performed to assess the outcomes at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. Results: Mean age of patients was 82 (SD 9) years and women represented 61.7%. A total of 135 (11.8%) and 397 (34.6%) patients died three months and one year after inclusion, respectively. Male gender, age, and decreased body mass index were associated with higher mortality at three, six and twelve months. In addition, low systolic blood pressure levels, severe reduction in glomerular filtration, malignancy, and higher doses of loop diuretics were related to higher mortality from 6 to 12 months. The most important risk factor over the whole period was presenting a body mass index lower than 20 kg/m2 (three months OR 3.06, 95% CI: 1.58–5.92; six months OR 4.42, 95% CI: 2.08–9.38; and 12 months OR 3.68, 95% CI: 1.76–7.69). Conclusions: We may conclude that male, age, and decreased body mass index determined higher short-term mortality in NYHA IV. In addition, low systolic blood pressure, reduced glomerular filtration, malignancy, and higher doses of loop diuretics contribute to increasing the risk of mortality at medium and long-term. Such variables are easily measurable and can help to decide the best way to face the most advances stages of the disease.Objetivos: Analizar los factores que contribuyen a la mortalidad de pacientes en las etapas finales de la insuficiencia cardiaca (IC). Ámbito: Centros de atención primaria del Institut Català de la Salut, Cataluña, España. Participantes: Pacientes con IC avanzada. Diseño: Estudio de cohortes multicéntrico. Incluyó 1.148 pacientes de IC seguidos durante un año tras el registro de estadio funcional NYHA IV. Mediciones principales: El resultado principal fue la mortalidad por todas las causas. Se realizaron modelos de regresión logística multivariada (1, 3, 6 y 12 meses). Resultados: Edad media 82 años (DE 9), las mujeres representaron el 61,7%. Un total de 135 (11,8%) y 397 (34,6%) pacientes murieron 3 meses y un año después de su inclusión. El sexo masculino, la edad y el índice de masa corporal (IMC) < 20 kg/m2 se asociaron con una mayor mortalidad a los 3, 6 y 12 meses. Bajos niveles de presión arterial sistólica, reducción severa en el filtrado glomerular, malignidad y dosis altas de diuréticos fueron relacionadas con una mortalidad más alta de 6 a 12 meses. El factor de riesgo más importante fue un IMC < 20 kg/m2 (3 meses OR: 3,06; IC 95%: 1,58-5,92; 6 meses OR: 4,42; IC 95%: 2,08-9,38 y 12 meses OR: 3,68; IC 95%: 1,76-7,69). Conclusiones: Los varones, la edad avanzada y un IMC disminuido determinaron una mortalidad a corto plazo más alta en pacientes NYHA IV. La baja presión arterial sistólica, la reducción del filtrado glomerular, la malignidad y las dosis altas de diuréticos aumentan el riesgo de mortalidad a medio y largo plazo. Estas variables son fáciles de obtener, y pueden ayudar a decidir las mejores estrategias para afrontar los estadios más avanzados de la enfermedad

Predictive model for atrial fibrillation in hypertensive diabetic patients

Background: Several scores to identify patients at high risk of suffering atrial fibrillation have been developed. Their applicability in hypertensive diabetic patients, however, remains uncertain. Our aim is to develop and validate a diagnostic predictive model to calculate the risk of developing atrial fibrillation at five years in a hypertensive diabetic population. Methods: The derivation cohort consisted of patients with both hypertension and diabetes attended in any of the 52 primary healthcare centres of Barcelona; the validation cohort came from the 11 primary healthcare centres of Terres de l'Ebre (Catalonia South) from January 2013 to December 2017. Multivariable Cox regression identified clinical risk factors associated with the development of atrial fibrillation. The overall performance, discrimination and calibration of the model were carried out. Results: The derivation data set comprised 54 575 patients. The atrial fibrillation rate incidence was 15.3 per 1000 person/year. A 5-year predictive model included age, male gender, overweight, heart failure, valvular heart disease, peripheral vascular disease, chronic kidney disease, number of antihypertensive drugs, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, heart rate, thromboembolism, stroke and previous history of myocardial infarction. The discrimination of the model was good (c-index = 0.692; 95% confidence interval, 0.684-0.700), and calibration was adequate. In the validation cohort, the discrimination was lower (c-index = 0.670). Conclusions: The model accurately predicts future atrial fibrillation in a population with both diabetes and hypertension. Early detection allows the prevention of possible complications arising from this disease

Risk stratification in heart failure decompensation in the community: HEFESTOS score

Aims: Because evidence regarding risk stratification predicting prognosis of patients with heart failure (HF) decompensation attended in primary care is lacking, we developed and externally validated a model to forecast death/hospitalization during the first 30 days after an episode of decompensation. The predictive model is based on variables easily obtained in primary care settings. Methods and results: HEFESTOS is a multinational study consisting of a derivation cohort of HF patients recruited in 14 primary healthcare centres in Barcelona and a validation cohort from primary healthcare in 9 other European countries. The derivation and validation cohorts included 561 and 250 patients, respectively. Percentages of women in the derivation and validation cohorts were 56.3% and 47.6% (P = 0.026), respectively. Mean age was 82.2 years (SD 8.03) in the derivation cohort, and 79.3 years (SD 10.3) in the validation one (P = 0.001). HF with preserved ejection fraction represented 72.1% in the derivation cohort and 58.8% in the validation one (P = 0.004). Mortality/hospitalization during the first 30 days after a decompensation episode was 30.5% and 26% (P = 0.225) for the derivation and validation cohorts, respectively. Multivariable logistic regression models were performed to develop a score of risk. The identified predictors were worsening of dyspnoea [odds ratio (OR): 2.5; P = 0.001], orthopnoea (OR: 2.16; P = 0.01), paroxysmal nocturnal dyspnoea (OR: 2.25; P = 0.01), crackles (OR: 2.35; P = 0.01), New York Heart Association functional class III/IV (OR: 2.11; P = 0.001), oxygen saturation ≤ 90% (OR: 4.98; P 100 b.p.m. (OR: 2.72; P = 0.002), and previous hospitalization due to HF (OR: 2.45; P 20%. Outcome incidence was 2.7% for the low-risk group, 12.8% for medium risk, and 46.2% for high risk in the derivation cohort, and 9.1%, 12.9%, and 39.6% in the validation one. Conclusions: The HEFESTOS score, based on variables easily accessible in a community setting and validated in an external European cohort, properly predicted the risk of death/hospitalization during the first 30 days after an HF decompensation episode

Soluble Transferrin Receptor as Iron Deficiency Biomarker: Impact on Exercise Capacity in Heart Failure Patients

The soluble transferrin receptor (sTfR) is a marker of tissue iron status, which could indicate an increased iron demand at the tissue level. The impact of sTfR levels on functional capacity and quality of life (QoL) in non-anemic heart failure (HF) patients with otherwise normal systemic iron status has not been evaluated. We conducted an observational, prospective, cohort study of 1236 patients with chronic HF. We selected patients with normal hemoglobin levels and normal systemic iron status. Tissue iron deficiency (ID) was defined as levels of sTfR > 75th percentile (1.63 mg per L). The primary endpoints were the distance walked in the 6 min walking test (6MWT) and the overall summary score (OSS) of the Minnesota Living with Heart Failure Questionnaire (MLHFQ). The final study cohort consisted of 215 patients. Overall QoL was significantly worse (51 +/- 27 vs. 39 +/- 20, p-value = 0.006, respectively), and the 6 MWT distance was significantly worse in patients with tissue ID when compared to patients without tissue ID (206 +/- 179 m vs. 314 +/- 155, p-value < 0.0001, respectively). Higher sTfR levels, indicating increased iron demand, were associated with a shorter distance in the 6 MWT (standardized beta = -0.249, p < 0.001) and a higher MLHFQ OSS (standardized fi = 0.183, p-value = 0.008). In this study, we show that in patients with normal systemic iron parameters, higher levels of sTfR are strongly associated with an impaired submaximal exercise capacity and with worse QoL

Adaptación transcultural al español del cuestionario Patient empowerment in long-term conditions

Altres ajuts: También recibió un Premio Esteve a la Innovación en Salud en 2015.Describir el proceso de traducción y adaptación transcultural del instrumento Patient empowerment in long-term condition al español. Traducción, adaptación transcultural y análisis de la comprensibilidad mediante entrevistas cognitivas. Asistencia primaria y hospitalaria. Diez pacientes ingresados en un servicio de cardiología de un hospital universitario. 1) Traducción directa; 2) síntesis y conciliación de las versiones por un comité de expertos; 3) traducción inversa; 4) conciliación de la traducción inversa con la autora del cuestionario original, y 5) análisis de la comprensibilidad mediante entrevistas cognitivas a una muestra de pacientes. Las versiones de traducción directa no presentaron grandes diferencias entre ellas. De los 47 ítems que componen el cuestionario, el comité de expertos introdujo cambios en 23 ítems. La versión de la traducción inversa fue aceptada por la autora del cuestionario original. En las entrevistas cognitivas, los pacientes señalaron una dificultad alta en un ítem y baja en 4. La versión española del cuestionario Patient Empowerment in long-term conditions es equivalente semántica y conceptualmente al instrumento original. En una fase posterior se procederá a un proceso de validación en el que se establecerán las propiedades psicométricas

Adaptación transcultural al español del cuestionario Patient empowerment in long-term conditions

Resumen: Objetivo: Describir el proceso de traducción y adaptación transcultural del instrumento Patient empowerment in long-term condition al español. Diseño: Traducción, adaptación transcultural y análisis de la comprensibilidad mediante entrevistas cognitivas. Emplazamiento: Asistencia primaria y hospitalaria. Participantes: Diez pacientes ingresados en un servicio de cardiología de un hospital universitario. Mediciones principales: 1) Traducción directa; 2) síntesis y conciliación de las versiones por un comité de expertos; 3) traducción inversa; 4) conciliación de la traducción inversa con la autora del cuestionario original, y 5) análisis de la comprensibilidad mediante entrevistas cognitivas a una muestra de pacientes. Resultados: Las versiones de traducción directa no presentaron grandes diferencias entre ellas. De los 47 ítems que componen el cuestionario, el comité de expertos introdujo cambios en 23 ítems. La versión de la traducción inversa fue aceptada por la autora del cuestionario original. En las entrevistas cognitivas, los pacientes señalaron una dificultad alta en un ítem y baja en 4. Conclusiones: La versión española del cuestionario Patient Empowerment in long-term conditions es equivalente semántica y conceptualmente al instrumento original. En una fase posterior se procederá a un proceso de validación en el que se establecerán las propiedades psicométricas. Abstract: Purpose: To describe the process of translation and cultural adaptation of the Patient empowerment in long-term condition to the Spanish language. Design: Translation, cross-cultural adaptation, and pilot testing (cognitive debriefing) Location: Primary and Hospital care. Participants: Ten patients admitted to a cardiology department of a University Hospital Main measurements: 1) Direct translation, 2) conciliation and synthesis of the versions by expert panel, 3) back- translation, 4) agreement on the back-translated version with the author of the original version, 5) analysis of comprehensibility through cognitive interviews. Results: There were no differences between the direct-translated versions. The expert panel introduced changes in 23 out of the 47 items of the questionnaire. The author of the original version agreed with the version of the back-translation. In the cognitive interviews, patients reported high difficulty in one item and low difficulty in 4. Conclusions: The Spanish version of the Patient Empowerment in long-term conditions questionnaire is semantically and conceptually equivalent to the original tool. The assessment of the psychometric properties of the Spanish version of the questionnaire will be carried out at a later stage. Palabras clave: Comparación transcultural, Encuestas y cuestionarios, Participación del paciente, Autoeficacia, Keywords: Cross-cultural comparison, Surveys and questionnaires, Patient participation, Self efficac

Adaptación transcultural al español del cuestionario Patient empowerment in long-term conditions

Altres ajuts: También recibió un Premio Esteve a la Innovación en Salud en 2015.Describir el proceso de traducción y adaptación transcultural del instrumento Patient empowerment in long-term condition al español. Traducción, adaptación transcultural y análisis de la comprensibilidad mediante entrevistas cognitivas. Asistencia primaria y hospitalaria. Diez pacientes ingresados en un servicio de cardiología de un hospital universitario. 1) Traducción directa; 2) síntesis y conciliación de las versiones por un comité de expertos; 3) traducción inversa; 4) conciliación de la traducción inversa con la autora del cuestionario original, y 5) análisis de la comprensibilidad mediante entrevistas cognitivas a una muestra de pacientes. Las versiones de traducción directa no presentaron grandes diferencias entre ellas. De los 47 ítems que componen el cuestionario, el comité de expertos introdujo cambios en 23 ítems. La versión de la traducción inversa fue aceptada por la autora del cuestionario original. En las entrevistas cognitivas, los pacientes señalaron una dificultad alta en un ítem y baja en 4. La versión española del cuestionario Patient Empowerment in long-term conditions es equivalente semántica y conceptualmente al instrumento original. En una fase posterior se procederá a un proceso de validación en el que se establecerán las propiedades psicométricas

Short-term mortality in end-stage heart failure patients

This study is aimed at analyzing the impact of the main factors contributing to short and long-term mortality in patients at final stages of heart failure (HF). Patients attended at any of the 279 primary health care centers belonging to the Institut Català de la Salut, in Catalonia (Spain). Patients with Advanced HF. Multicenter cohort study including 1148 HF patients followed for one-year after reaching New York Heart Association (NYHA) IV. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Multivariate logistic regression models were performed to assess the outcomes at 1, 3, 6, and 12 months. Mean age of patients was 82 (SD 9) years and women represented 61.7%. A total of 135 (11.8%) and 397 (34.6%) patients died three months and one year after inclusion, respectively. Male gender, age, and decreased body mass index were associated with higher mortality at three, six and twelve months. In addition, low systolic blood pressure levels, severe reduction in glomerular filtration, malignancy, and higher doses of loop diuretics were related to higher mortality from 6 to 12 months. The most important risk factor over the whole period was presenting a body mass index lower than 20 kg/m 2 (three months OR 3.06, 95% CI: 1.58-5.92; six months OR 4.42, 95% CI: 2.08-9.38; and 12 months OR 3.68, 95% CI: 1.76-7.69). We may conclude that male, age, and decreased body mass index determined higher short-term mortality in NYHA IV. In addition, low systolic blood pressure, reduced glomerular filtration, malignancy, and higher doses of loop diuretics contribute to increasing the risk of mortality at medium and long-term. Such variables are easily measurable and can help to decide the best way to face the most advances stages of the disease

Interplay between psychosocial and heart failure related factors may partially explain limitations in self-efficacy in patients with heart failure and poor self-care behaviour: insights from a real-world cohort of 1,123 patients

Background and aims: Worse self-care is associated with a higher risk of readmission and mortality in patients with heart failure (HF). Little is known about how the interplay between clinical and psycho-social factors may modulate self-care behaviours in these patients. The aim of our study was to identify clinical, and particularly psycho-social factors associated with worse self-care and assess their interaction inpatients with heart failure. Methods and results: We conducted an observational, prospective, cohort study of 1,123 consecutive patients with chronic heart failure.. Self-care was assessed with the modified European Heart Failure Self-care Behavior Scale 9-item version (EHFSCBS-9), and both clinical and psycho-social profile of the patients included were also meticulously evaluated. A total of 484 patients (43%) were women, mean age was 72 years, and mean left ventricular ejection fraction was 44.5%. In multivariable analyses combining clinical and psycho-social factors, low social support (OR 3.53, 95% CI [2.13-5.86]; p-value <0.001), absence of caregiver support (OR 2.16, 95% CI [1.34 -3.48]; p-value 0.001) and depressive symptoms (OR 2.40, 95% CI [1.53-3.77]; p-value <0.001) were independent determinants of impaired global self-care. Advanced functional class was associated with better self-care (OR 0.43, 95%CI [0.26-0.70]; p-value 0.001). No other clinical factors remained significantly associated with self-care in these joint models. In discrimination analyses, models containing psycho-social determinants outperformed models only containing heart failure -related (clinical) variables (all p-values<0.001). Conclusion: Impairment in self-care behaviour is strongly determined by psycho-social factors. Specifically, low social support, the lack of caregiver support and the presence of depressive symptoms are the main drivers of the risk of impairment of self-care in heart failure patients. Evaluation of self-care and self-care interventions should be complemented by a comprehensive psycho-social assessment in patients with heart failure

Precipitating factors of heart failure decompensation, short-term morbidity and mortality in patients attended in primary care

Objective: To evaluate the precipitating factors for heart failure decompensation in primary care and associations with short-term prognosis. Design Prospective cohort study with a 30-d follow-up from an index consultation. Regression models to determine independent factors associated with hospitalisation or death. Setting: Primary care in ten European countries. Patients Patients with diagnosis of heart failure attended in primary care for a heart failure decompensation (increase of dyspnoea, unexplained weight gain or peripheral oedema). Main outcome measures: Potential precipitating factors for decompensation of heart failure and their association with the event of hospitalisation or mortality 30 d after a decompensation. Results: Of 692 patients 54% were women, mean age 81 (standard deviation [SD] 8.9) years; mean left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) 55% (SD 12%). Most frequently identified heart failure precipitation factors were respiratory infections in 194 patients (28%), non-compliance of dietary recommendations in 184 (27%) and non-compliance with pharmacological treatment in 157 (23%). The two strongest precipitating factors to predict 30 d hospitalisation or death were respiratory infections (odds ratio [OR] 2.8, 95% confidence interval [CI] (2.4-3.4)) and atrial fibrillation (AF) > 110 beats/min (OR 2.2, CI 1.5-3.2). Multivariate analysis confirmed the association between the following variables and hospitalisation/death: In relation to precipitating factors: respiratory infection (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.14-1.25) and AF with heart rate > 110 beats/min (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.10-1.35); and regarding patient characteristics: New York Heart Association (NYHA) III or IV (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.15-1.29); previous hospitalisation (OR 1.15, 95% CI 1.11-1.19); and LVEF < 40% (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.09-1.19). Conclusions: In primary care, respiratory infections and rapid AF are the most important precipitating factors for hospitalisation and death within 30 d following an episode of heart failure decompensation. Key points Hospitalisation due to heart failure decompensation represents the highest share of healthcare costs for this disease. So far, no primary care studies have analysed the relationship between precipitating factors and short term prognosis of heart failure decompensation episodes. We found that in 692 patients with heart failure decompensation in primary care, the respiratory infection and rapid atrial fibrillation (AF) increased the risk of short-term hospital admission or death. Patients with a hospital admission the previous year and a decompensation episode caused by respiratory infection were even more likely to be hospitalized or die within 30 d