BMI and all cause mortality: systematic review and non-linear dose-response meta-analysis of 230 cohort studies with 3.74 million deaths among 30.3 million participants

 To conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis of cohort studies of body mass index (BMI) and the risk of all cause mortality, and to clarify the shape and the nadir of the dose-response curve, and the influence on the results of confounding from smoking, weight loss associated with disease, and preclinical disease. PubMed and Embase databases searched up to 23 September 2015. Cohort studies that reported adjusted risk estimates for at least three categories of BMI in relation to all cause mortality. Summary relative risks were calculated with random effects models. Non-linear associations were explored with fractional polynomial models. 230 cohort studies (207 publications) were included. The analysis of never smokers included 53 cohort studies (44 risk estimates) with >738 144 deaths and >9 976 077 participants. The analysis of all participants included 228 cohort studies (198 risk estimates) with >3 744 722 deaths among 30 233 329 participants. The summary relative risk for a 5 unit increment in BMI was 1.18 (95% confidence interval 1.15 to 1.21; I(2)=95%, n=44) among never smokers, 1.21 (1.18 to 1.25; I(2)=93%, n=25) among healthy never smokers, 1.27 (1.21 to 1.33; I(2)=89%, n=11) among healthy never smokers with exclusion of early follow-up, and 1.05 (1.04 to 1.07; I(2)=97%, n=198) among all participants. There was a J shaped dose-response relation in never smokers (Pnon-linearity <0.001), and the lowest risk was observed at BMI 23-24 in never smokers, 22-23 in healthy never smokers, and 20-22 in studies of never smokers with ≥20 years follow-up. In contrast there was a U shaped association between BMI and mortality in analyses with a greater potential for bias including all participants, current, former, or ever smokers, and in studies with a short duration of follow-up (<5 years or <10 years), or with moderate study quality scores. Overweight and obesity is associated with increased risk of all cause mortality and the nadir of the curve was observed at BMI 23-24 among never smokers, 22-23 among healthy never smokers, and 20-22 with longer durations of follow-up. The increased risk of mortality observed in underweight people could at least partly be caused by residual confounding from prediagnostic disease. Lack of exclusion of ever smokers, people with prevalent and preclinical disease, and early follow-up could bias the results towards a more U shaped association

The negative association between pre-eclampsia and breast cancer risk may depend on the offspring's gender

If the negative association between pre-eclampsia and subsequent breast cancer risk differs by gender, this would strengthen the hypothesis that factors intrinsic to the particular pregnancy may explain the association. The study included 701 006 parous Norwegian women with follow-up for breast cancer through the Cancer Registry of Norway. Breast cancer risk was lower in women with pre-eclampsia/hypertension in their first pregnancy, compared to other women (relative risk, 0.86, 95% CI, 0.78–0.94), after adjustment for age at first birth, maternal birth year, length of gestation, marital status, and parity. The risk reduction was slightly greater if the woman delivered a son as opposed to a daughter (relative risks of 0.79 vs 0.94, P-value for interaction, 0.06), and if pre-eclampsia/hypertension was combined with pre-term delivery, these differences were more pronounced (relative risks, 0.62 vs 1.07, P-value for interaction 0.03). A subanalysis among 176 036 primiparous women showed a substantial risk reduction if the mother delivered a son (relative risk, 0.62, 95% CI, 0.47–0.82), but essentially null if she delivered a daughter (relative risk, 0.92, 95% CI, 0.72–1.18; P-value for interaction, 0.05). These results suggest that the effect of pre-eclampsia/hypertension may be attributed to factors associated with the particular pregnancy rather than an underlying biological trait of the mother. The stronger risk reduction related to having a son suggests a role for sex-dependent hormones in pregnancy

Intrauterine environment, mammary gland mass and breast cancer risk

Two intimately linked hypotheses on breast cancer etiology are described. The main postulate of the first hypothesis is that higher levels of pregnancy estrogens and other hormones favor the generation of a higher number of susceptible stem cells with compromised genomic stability. The second hypothesis postulates that the mammary gland mass, as a correlate of the number of cells susceptible to transformation, is an important determinant of breast cancer risk. A simple integrated etiological model for breast cancer is presented and it is indicated that the model accommodates most epidemiological aspects of breast cancer occurrence and natural history

Whole grain consumption and risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer, and all cause and cause specific mortality: systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies

Objective To quantify the dose-response relation between consumption of whole grain and specific types of grains and the risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer, and all cause and cause specific mortality. Data sources PubMed and Embase searched up to 3 April 2016. Study selection Prospective studies reporting adjusted relative risk estimates for the association between intake of whole grains or specific types of grains and cardiovascular disease, total cancer, all cause or cause specific mortality. Data synthesis Summary relative risks and 95% confidence intervals calculated with a random effects model. Results 45 studies (64 publications) were included. The summary relative risks per 90 g/day increase in whole grain intake (90 g is equivalent to three servings—for example, two slices of bread and one bowl of cereal or one and a half pieces of pita bread made from whole grains) was 0.81 (95% confidence interval 0.75 to 0.87; I2=9%, n=7 studies) for coronary heart disease, 0.88 (0.75 to 1.03; I2=56%, n=6) for stroke, and 0.78 (0.73 to 0.85; I2=40%, n=10) for cardiovascular disease, with similar results when studies were stratified by whether the outcome was incidence or mortality. The relative risks for morality were 0.85 (0.80 to 0.91; I2=37%, n=6) for total cancer, 0.83 (0.77 to 0.90; I2=83%, n=11) for all causes, 0.78 (0.70 to 0.87; I2=0%, n=4) for respiratory disease, 0.49 (0.23 to 1.05; I2=85%, n=4) for diabetes, 0.74 (0.56 to 0.96; I2=0%, n=3) for infectious diseases, 1.15 (0.66 to 2.02; I2=79%, n=2) for diseases of the nervous system disease, and 0.78 (0.75 to 0.82; I2=0%, n=5) for all non-cardiovascular, non-cancer causes. Reductions in risk were observed up to an intake of 210-225 g/day (seven to seven and a half servings per day) for most of the outcomes. Intakes of specific types of whole grains including whole grain bread, whole grain breakfast cereals, and added bran, as well as total bread and total breakfast cereals were also associated with reduced risks of cardiovascular disease and/or all cause mortality, but there was little evidence of an association with refined grains, white rice, total rice, or total grains. Conclusions This meta-analysis provides further evidence that whole grain intake is associated with a reduced risk of coronary heart disease, cardiovascular disease, and total cancer, and mortality from all causes, respiratory diseases, infectious diseases, diabetes, and all non-cardiovascular, non-cancer causes. These findings support dietary guidelines that recommend increased intake of whole grain to reduce the risk of chronic diseases and premature mortality

Birth length and weight as predictors of breast cancer prognosis

Background Birth size, and particularly birth length, is positively associated with breast cancer risk in adulthood. The objective of this study was to examine whether birth size is associated with survival among breast cancer patients. Methods Information on birth size (weight, length and ponderal index (kg/length (m3)) was collected from birth archives for 331 breast cancer patients who were diagnosed at two university hospitals in Norway (Bergen and Trondheim). The patients were followed from the time of diagnosis until death from breast cancer, death from another cause, or to the end of follow-up, and birth size was related to survival, using Cox regression analysis. Results Breast cancer patients with birth length ≥ 52 cm had nearly twice the risk of dying (hazard ratio, 1.92, 95% confidence interval, 1.09-3.41) from breast cancer compared to women with birth length less than 48 cm, after adjustment for place of birth and year of diagnosis. Similar analyses related to birth weight and ponderal index showed no clear association with breast cancer survival. Conclusions Poorer outcome of breast cancer patients with high birth length may reflect effects of factors that stimulate longitudinal growth and simultaneously increase the risk of metastases and fatal outcome. It is possible that the insulin-like growth factor (IGF) system is involved in the underlying mechanisms

Dietary intake and blood concentrations of antioxidants and the risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer, and all-cause mortality: a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective studies

Background: High dietary intake or blood concentrations (as biomarkers of dietary intake) of vitamin C, carotenoids and vitamin E have been associated with reduced risk of cardiovascular disease, cancer and mortality, but these associations have not been systematically assessed. Objective: We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of prospective studies of dietary intake and blood concentrations of vitamin C, carotenoids, and vitamin E in relation to these outcomes. Design: We searched PubMed and Embase up to 16th of February 2017. Summary relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated using random effects models. Results: Sixty six prospective studies (95 publications) were included. The summary RR per 100 mg/d increment of dietary vitamin C intake was 0.87 (95% CI, 0.79-0.95, I2=23%, n=10) for coronary heart disease, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.87-0.99, I2=60%, n=11) for stroke, 0.92 (95% CI, 0.88-0.97, I2=0%, n=6) for cardiovascular disease, 0.93 (95% CI, 0.86-1.01, I2=51%, n=6) for total cancer, and 0.90 (95% CI, 0.85-0.95, I2=77%, n=12) for all-cause mortality. Corresponding RRs per 50 μmol/L increase in blood concentrations of vitamin C were 0.74 (95% CI, 0.65-0.83, I2=0%, n=4), 0.72 (95% CI, 0.62-0.82, I2=0%, n=4), 0.76 (95% CI, 0.65-0.87, I2=56%, n=6), 0.74 (95% CI, 0.66-0.82, I2=0%, n=5), and 0.72 (95% CI, 0.66-0.79, I2=0%, n=8). Dietary intake and/or blood concentrations of carotenoids (total, beta-carotene, alpha-carotene, beta-cryptoxanthin, lycopene) and alpha-tocopherol, but not dietary vitamin E, were similarly inversely associated with coronary heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular disease, cancer and/or all-cause mortality. Conclusions: Higher dietary intake and/or blood concentrations of vitamin C, carotenoids, and alpha-tocopherol (as markers of fruit, vegetable and nut intake) were associated with reduced risk of cardiovascular disease, total cancer and all-cause mortality. These results support dietary recommendations to increase fruit and vegetable intake for chronic disease prevention, although antioxidant supplement use may not have these same benefits

Opposing effects of dietary n-3 and n-6 fatty acids on mammary carcinogenesis: The Singapore Chinese Health Study

10.1038/sj.bjc.6601340British Journal of Cancer8991686-1692BJCA

Adult height and risk of breast cancer: a possible effect of early nutrition

The relationship of breast cancer to early reproductive development and height suggests that fetal and childhood nutrition may be important in its aetiology. Caloric restriction sufficient to reduce adult height may reduce breast cancer risk. During World War II (WWII) there was a marked reduction in average caloric intake in Norway that resulted in greater nutritional diversity. We hypothesized that a positive association between height and risk of breast cancer would be stronger among women who were born during this period than among women born before or after the war. A total of 25 204 Norwegian women were followed up for approximately 11 years, and 215 incident cases of breast cancer were registered. We found the strongest positive association between height and breast cancer among women born during WWII: women in the tallest tertile (>167 cm) had a relative risk of 2.5 (95% confidence interval = 1.2–5.5) compared with the shortest (≤ 162 cm). Among women born before or after the war we found no clear association with height. The association with height in the WWII cohort may imply a role for early nutrition in breast cancer aetiology. © 2001 Cancer Research Campaignhttp://www.bjcancer.co

Birth weight and breast cancer risk

Exploring whether the positive association between birth weight and breast cancer risk differs by other breast cancer risk factors may help inform speculation about biological mechanism. In these data, high birth weight was associated with breast cancer risk in younger and in more educated women, but was not associated overall