167 research outputs found

    Lecture notes for Stochastic Processes 2011/2012

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    Fire in the southern U.S: administrative laws and regulations in the Southeast and wildfire distribution in Mississippi

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    Wildfires in the United States present a complexity of problems for private landowners and policy makers. This thesis takes a look at two key issues faced by private and government stakeholders; the first being a lack of knowledge regarding current prescribed fire laws and regulations. A legal review of administrative laws and regulations for prescribed burning in the Southeastern United States in the context of management-based regulation is used to address this issue. It was found that regulation for prescribed burning has shifted to a more management–based regime. The second is an empirical study of wildfire distribution in the state of Mississippi. Wildfires appear to fit a Pareto distribution throughout the state given a certain threshold. When analyzed in conjunction both studies could aid lawmakers in projecting the effects of a given policy change on actual wildfire occurrences and distribution

    The extremal behaviour over regenerative cycles for Markov additive processes with heavy tails

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    AbstractWe consider the reflection of an additive process with negative drift controlled by a Markov chain on a finite state space. We determine the tail behaviour of the distribution of the maximum over a regenerative cycle in the case with subexponential increments. Based on this, the asymptotic distribution of the running maximum is derived. Applications of the results to Markov modulated single server queueing systems are given

    Effectiveness of community-based football compared to usual care in men with prostate cancer:Protocol for a randomised, controlled, parallel group, multicenter superiority trial (The FC Prostate Community Trial)

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    BACKGROUND: Prostate cancer is the most common non-cutaneous malignancy in men. Today most patients may expect to live years following the diagnosis and may thus experience significant morbidity due to disease progression and treatment toxicity. In order to address some of these problems exercise has been suggested and previously studies have shown improvements of disease specific quality of life and a reduction in treatment-related toxicity. Cohort studies with long term follow up have suggested that physical activity is associated with improved survival in prostate cancer patients. Previously one randomised controlled trial has examined the efficacy of football in prostate cancer patients undergoing androgen deprivation therapy to usual care and reported positive effects on lean body mass and bone markers. Against this background, we wish to examine the effectiveness of community-based football for men diagnosed with prostate cancer. METHODS: Using a randomised controlled parallel group, multicenter, superiority trial design, two hundred prostate cancer patients will be recruited and randomised (1:1) to either community-based football one hour twice weekly or to a control group. The intervention period will be six months. The primary outcome is quality of life assessed after 12 weeks based on the change from baseline in the Functional Assessment of Cancer Therapy–Prostate questionnaire. Secondary outcomes are change from baseline to six months in quality of life, lean body mass, fat mass, whole body and regional bone markers, as well as physical activity and functional capacity at 12 weeks and six months. Safety outcome variables will be falls resulting in seeking medical assessment and fractures during the six-month period. DISCUSSION: Football is viewed as a case for non-professional, supervised community-based team sport for promoting long-term physical activity in men diagnosed with prostate cancer. This randomised trial will provide data on effectiveness and safety for men with prostate cancer when football training is delivered in local football clubs. TRIAL REGISTRATION: Clinicaltrials.gov identifier: NCT0243079

    The iBLAD study: patient-reported outcomes in bladder cancer during oncological treatment: a multicenter national randomized controlled trial

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    Background: Patient-reported outcomes (PROs) are getting widely implemented, but little is known of the impact of applying PROs in specific cancer diagnoses. We report the results of a randomized controlled trial (RCT) of the active use of PROs in patients with locally advanced or metastatic bladder cancer (BC) undergoing medical oncological treatment (MOT) with focus on determining the clinical effects of using PROs during chemo- or immunotherapy compared to standard of care.Methods: We recruited patients from four departments of oncology from 2019 to 2021. Inclusion criteria were locally advanced or metastatic BC, initiating chemo- or immunotherapy. Patients were randomized 1:1 between answering selected PRO-CTCAE questions electronically once weekly with a built-in alert-algorithm instructing patients of how to handle reported symptoms as a supplement to standard of care for handling of side effects (intervention arm (IA)) vs standard procedure for handling of side effects (control arm (CA)). No real-time alerts were sent to the clinic when PROs exceeded threshold values. Clinicians were prompted to view the completed PROs in the IA at each clinical visit. The co-primary clinical endpoints were hospital admissions and treatment completion rate. Secondary endpoints were overall survival (OS), quality of life (EORTC's QLQ-C30 and QLQ-BLM30) and dose reductions.Results: 228 patients with BC were included, 76% were male. 141 (62%) of the patients had metastatic disease. 51% of patients in the IA completed treatment vs. 56% of patients in the CA, OR 0.83 (95% CI 0.47-1.44, p = 0.51). 41% of patients in the IA experienced hospitalization vs. 32% in the CA, OR 1.48 (95% CI 0.83-2.65, p = 0.17). OS was comparable between the two arms (IA: median 22.3mo (95% CI 17.0-NR) vs. CA: median 23.1mo (95% CI 17.7-NR). Patient and clinician compliance was high throughout the study period (80% vs 94%).Conclusions: This RCT did not show an effect of PRO on completion of treatment, hospitalizations or OS for BC patients during MOT despite a high level of patient and clinician compliance. The lack of real-time response to alerts remains the greatest limitation to this study
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