Estimation de l'humidite des sols avec un georadar

National audienc

Soil water content determination using a digital ground-penetrating radar

International audienc

High-resolution palaeoclimatic records for the last millennium: Interpretation, integration and comparison with General Circulation Model control-run temperatures

Palaeoclimatology provides our only means of assessing climatic variations before the beginning of instrumental records. The various proxy variables used, however, have a number of limitations which must be adequately addressed and understood. Besides their obvious spatial and seasonal limitations, different proxies are also potentially limited in their ability to represent climatic variations over a range of different timescales. Simple correlations with instrumental data over the period since AD 1881 give some guide to which are the better proxies, indicating that coral- and ice-core-based reconstructions are poorer than tree-ring and historical ones. However, the quality of many proxy time series can deteriorate during earlier times. Suggestions are made for assessing proxy quality over longer periods than the last century by intercomparing neighbouring proxies and, by comparisons with less temporally resolved proxies such as borehole temperatures. We have averaged 17 temperature reconstructions (representing various seasons of the year), all extending back at least to the mid-seventeenth century, to form two annually resolved hemispheric series (NH10 and SH7). Over the 1901-91 period, NH10 has 36% variance in common with average NH summer (June to August) temperatures and 70% on decadal timescales. SH7 has 16% variance in common with average SH summer (December to February) temperatures and 49% on decadal timescales, markedly poorer than the reconstructed NH series. The coldest year of the millennium over the NH is AD 1601, the coldest decade 1691-1700 and the seventeenth is the coldest century. A Principal Components Analysis (PCA) is performed on yearly values for the 17 reconstructions over the period AD 1660-1970. The correlation between PC1 and NH10 is 0.92, even though PC1 explains only 13.6% of the total variance of all 17 series. Similar PCA is performed on thousand-year-long General Circulation Model (GCM) data from the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory (GFDL) and the Hadley Centre (HADCM2), sampling these for the same locations and seasons as the proxy data. For GFDL, the correlation between its PC1 and its NH10 is 0,89, while for HADCM2 the PCs group markedly differently. Cross-spectral analyses are performed on the proxy data and the GFDL model data at two different frequency bands (0.02 and 0.03 cycles per year). Both analyses suggest that there is no large-scale coherency in the series on these timescales. This implies that if the proxy data are meaningful, it should be relatively straightforward to detect a coherent near-global anthropogenic signal in surface temperature data

Effect of periodic melting on geochemical and isotopic signals in an ice core from Lomonosovfonna, Svalbard

[1] We examine the quality of atmospherically deposited ion and isotope signals in an ice core taken from a periodically melting ice field, Lomonosovfonna in central Spitsbergen, Svalbard. The aim is to determine the degree to which the signals are altered by periodic melting of the ice. We use three diagnostics: (1) the relation between peak values in the ice chemical and isotopic record and ice facies type, (2) the number of apparent annual cycles in these records compared with independently determined number of years represented in the ice core, and (3) a statistical comparison of the isotopic record in the ice core and the isotope records from coastal stations from the same region. We find that during warm summers, as much as 50% of the annual accumulation may melt and percolate into the firn; in a median year this decreases to similar to25%. As a consequence of percolation, the most mobile acids show up to 50% higher concentrations in bubble-poor ice facies compared with facies that are less affected by melt. Most of the other chemical species are less affected than the strong acids, and the stable water isotopes show little evidence of mobility. Annual or biannual cycles are detected in most parameters, and the water isotope record has a comparable statistical distribution to isotopic records from coastal stations. We conclude that ice cores from sites like Lomonosovfonna contain a useful environmental record, despite melt events and percolation and that most parameters preserve an annual, or in the worst cases, a biannual atmospheric signal

European tree rings and climate in the 16th century

We present a selective review of tree-ring variability and inferred climate changes in Europe during the 16th century. The dendroclimatological evidence is assessed within the context of the last 500 years and some interpretational problems are discussed. The tree-ring evidence is compared with various non-dendroclimatic evidence. The body of evidence shows that a large region of mid and northern Europe experienced a sharp cooling at around 1570/80 that, at least in the north, marked a shift towards a prolonged period of cool conditions. This region had its southern boundary in the Alps and there is little evidence for a major cooling in southern Europe