Serum growth differentiation factor 15 is a novel biomarker with high predictive capability for liver cancer occurrence in patients with MASLD regardless of liver fibrosis

Kumazaki S., Hikita H., Tahata Y., et al. Serum growth differentiation factor 15 is a novel biomarker with high predictive capability for liver cancer occurrence in patients with MASLD regardless of liver fibrosis. Alimentary Pharmacology and Therapeutics , (2024); https://doi.org/10.1111/apt.18063.Background and Aims: Although metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) patients with a Fib-4 index >1.3 are recommended for fibrosis evaluation via elastography or biopsy, a more convenient method identifying high-risk populations requiring follow-up is needed. We explored the utility of serum levels of growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF15), a cell stress-responsive cytokine related to metabolic syndrome, for stratifying the risk of clinical events in MASLD patients. Methods: Serum GDF15 levels were measured in 518 biopsy-performed MASLD patients, 216 MASLD patients for validation, and 361 health checkup recipients with MASLD. Results: In the biopsy-MASLD cohort, multivariate analysis indicated that the serum GDF15 level was a risk factor for liver cancer, independent of the fibrosis stage or Fib-4 index. Using a GDF15 cutoff of 1.75 ng/mL based on the Youden index, high-GDF15 patients, regardless of fibrosis status, had a higher liver cancer incidence rate. While patients with a Fib-4 index 1.3 developed liver cancer and decompensated liver events at significantly higher rates and had poorer prognoses. In the validation cohort, high-GDF15 patients had significantly higher incidences of liver cancer and decompensated liver events and poorer prognoses than low-GDF15 patients, whether limited to high-Fib-4 patients. Among health checkup recipients with MASLD, 23.0% had a Fib-4 index >1.3, 2.7% had a Fib-4 index >1.3 and >1.75 ng/mL GDF15. Conclusions: Serum GDF15 is a biomarker for liver cancer with high predictive capability and is useful for identifying MASLD patients requiring regular surveillance

High serum growth differentiation factor 15 is a risk factor for the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs

Sometani E., Hikita H., Murai K., et al. High serum growth differentiation factor 15 is a risk factor for the occurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs. Hepatology Research, (2024); https://doi.org/10.1111/hepr.14111.Aim: Patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) remain at risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) even with nucleos(t)ide analog therapy. We evaluated risk factors for HCC development, including serum hepatitis B virus (HBV) RNA, hepatitis B core-related antigen level, and growth differentiation factor 15 (GDF15) level, a predictor of HCC development in patients with chronic hepatitis C. Methods: We collected clinical data and stored serum from CHB patients without a history of HCC who were receiving nucleos(t)ide analog treatment for more than 1 year and whose HBV DNA level was less than 3.0 log IU/mL. We measured the serum levels of HBV RNA and GDF15. Results: Among 242 CHB patients, 57 had detectable HBV RNA, and GDF15 was quantified in all patients. The median GDF15 level was 0.86 ng/mL. Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that male sex and higher GDF15, FIB-4 index, alpha-fetoprotein and gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase were independent risk factors for HCC. The presence of HBV RNA above the lower limit of quantification was not a risk factor. When we set cutoff values based on the Youden index, the cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly higher in the male, AFP ≥3.0 ng/mL, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase ≥22 U/L, FIB-4 index ≥1.93, and GDF-15 ≥1.17 ng/mL groups. In patients with no or more than three of these five risk factors, the 10-year HCC cumulative incidence rates were 0% and 41.0%, respectively. Conclusions: High serum GDF15 is an independent risk factor for the occurrence of HCC in CHB patients treated with nucleos(t)ide analogs

Interleukin-6 Is a Circulating Prognostic Biomarker for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Combined Immunotherapy

Atezolizumab/bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev) combination therapy has become a front-line therapy for advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), but approximately 20% of patients are nonresponders. We investigated circulating biomarkers to predict therapeutic outcomes. We performed simultaneous measurement of 34 proteins using a multiplex bead-based immunoassay in baseline plasma from 34 patients who underwent Atezo/Bev therapy as first- or second-line treatment. Logistic regression analysis showed that plasma IL-6 and interferon alpha (IFNα) levels were significant predictors of non-responders (odds ratio of 13.33 and FDR p = 0.021 for IL-6 and IFNα). The progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) of patients with high IL-6 levels were significantly shorter than those of patients with low IL-6 levels. Next, we measured baseline plasma IL-6 levels in 64 HCC patients who underwent Atezo/Bev therapy by ELISA. The IL-6-high group showed higher female ratio, AST levels, tumor markers, Child–Pugh score, and vascular invasion ratio. The PFS and OS of the IL-6-high group were significantly shorter than those of the IL-6-low group. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis showed that IL-6 level and age were independent risk factors for disease progression (hazard ratio of 2.785 and p = 0.015 for IL-6, and hazard ratio 0.306 and p = 0.03 for age). In conclusion, circulating IL-6 levels are a novel prognostic biomarker for advanced HCC patients who undergo combined immunotherapy

Thrombospondin-2 as a Predictive Biomarker for Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Hepatitis C Virus Elimination by Direct-Acting Antiviral

We evaluated the value of secreted glycoprotein thrombospondin-2 (TSP-2) to predict hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients after Hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination by direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs). A total of 786 CHC patients without an HCC history who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR) with DAAs were randomly assigned 2:1, with 524 patients as the derivation cohort and 262 patients as the validation cohort. Serum TSP-2 levels at the end of treatment were measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). In the derivation cohort, the cumulative HCC rate was significantly higher in the high TSP-2 group than in the low TSP-2 group. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that TSP-2, α-fetoprotein (AFP), and the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index were independent HCC risk factors. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of the score calculated from these three factors (AFT score) for predicting HCC was 0.83, which was significantly higher than that of each factor alone (TSP-2: 0.70, AFP: 0.72, FIB-4: 0.69). The AFT score was used to stratify patients according to the risk of HCC occurrence in the validation cohort. Lastly, in patients with a FIB-4 index < 3.25, the serum TSP-2 levels could be used to identify those patients with a high risk of HCC occurrence. Serum TSP-2 levels are a predictive biomarker of HCC occurrence in CHC patients after HCV elimination by DAA treatment. The AFT score using TSP-2, AFP, and the FIB-4 index may identify those who require HCC surveillance

Fucosylated haptoglobin is a novel predictive marker of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus elimination in patients with advanced liver fibrosis.

BackgroundPatients with advanced fibrosis are at risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) even after hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination. We previously reported that serum fucosylated haptoglobin (Fuc-Hp) levels increase as the disease progresses from chronic hepatitis to cirrhosis and then HCC. However, it remains unclear whether serum Fuc-Hp levels can stratify the risk of HCC occurrence after a sustained virological response (SVR) is achieved with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) in patients with advanced liver fibrosis.MethodsAmong 3,550 patients with chronic hepatitis C treated with DAAs at Osaka University Hospital and related hospitals, the stored sera of 140 patients who were diagnosed with F3 or F4 by liver biopsy before DAA treatment, achieved SVR, and had no history of HCC were available at both baseline and the end of treatment (EOT). We measured the Fuc-Hp levels in these samples.ResultsThe median serum levels of Fuc-Hp at EOT were significantly lower than those at baseline. During the 54.4-month follow-up period, 16 of 140 patients developed HCC. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that high Fuc-Hp at EOT, high body mass index (BMI), and low albumin at EOT were independent risk factors for HCC occurrence. Patients with all three factors-high Fuc-Hp, high BMI, and low albumin-had a higher incidence of HCC than patients without these factors.ConclusionsHigh serum Fuc-Hp levels at EOT were an independent risk factor for HCC occurrence after SVR. Combined with BMI and albumin, Fuc-Hp can stratify the risk of HCC occurrence among those with advanced fibrosis

Circulating Cell-Free DNA Profiling Predicts the Therapeutic Outcome in Advanced Hepatocellular Carcinoma Patients Treated with Combination Immunotherapy

Combination immunotherapy with anti-programmed cell death1-ligand1 (PD-L1) and anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) antibodies has become the standard treatment for patients with unresectable HCC (u-HCC). However, limited patients obtain clinical benefits. Cell-free DNA (cfDNA) in peripheral blood contains circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) that reflects molecular abnormalities in tumor tissue. We investigated the potential of cfDNA/ctDNA as biomarkers for predicting the therapeutic outcome in u-HCC patients treated with anti-PD-L1/VEGF therapy. We enrolled a multicenter cohort of 85 HCC patients treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab (Atezo/Bev) between 2020 and 2021. Pretreatment plasma was collected, and cfDNA levels were quantified. Ultradeep sequencing of cfDNA was performed with a custom-made panel for detecting mutations in 25 HCC-related cancer genes. We evaluated the association of cfDNA/ctDNA profiles and clinical outcomes. Patients with high plasma cfDNA levels showed a significantly lower response rate and shorter progression-free survival and overall survival (OS) than those with low cfDNA levels. ctDNA detected in 55% of HCC patients included the telomerase reverse transcriptase (TERT) promoter in 31% of these patients, tumor protein 53 (TP53) in 21%, catenin beta 1 (CTNNB1) in 13% and phosphatase and tensin homolog (PTEN) in 7%. The presence or absence of ctDNA did not predict the efficacy of Atezo/Bev therapy. Twenty-six patients with a TERT mutation had significantly shorter OS than those without. The presence of a TERT mutation and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) ≥ 400 ng/mL were independent predictors of poor OS according to multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis and could be used to stratify patients treated with Atezo/Bev therapy based on prognosis. In conclusion, pretreatment cfDNA/ctDNA profiling may be useful for predicting the therapeutic outcome in u-HCC patients treated with anti-PD-L1/VEGF therapy

Proteomic analysis of serum extracellular vesicles reveals Fibulin-3 as a new marker predicting liver-related events in MASLD.

BACKGROUND: There is a need for novel noninvasive markers for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) to stratify patients at high risk for liver-related events including liver cancer and decompensation. In the present study, we used proteomic analysis of proteins in extracellular vesicles (EVs) to identify new biomarkers that change with fibrosis progression and can predict the development of liver-related events. METHODS: We analyzed serum EVs from 50 patients with MASLD assessed for liver fibrosis by biopsy and identified proteins that altered with advanced fibrosis. A further evaluation was conducted on another cohort of 463 patients with MASLD with biopsy. RESULTS: Eight candidate proteins were identified by proteomic analysis of serum EVs. Among them, serum levels of Fibulin-3, Fibulin-1, and Ficolin 1 correlated with their EV levels. In addition, serum Fibulin-3 and serum Fibulin-1 levels changed significantly with advanced fibrosis. Using another cohort with biopsy, we found that the serum Fibulin-3 concentration was significantly greater in those with advanced fibrosis but that the serum Fibulin-1 concentration was not significantly different. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis revealed that a higher Fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and higher serum Fibulin-3 concentration were independent risk factors for liver-related events. When the cutoff value for the serum Fibulin-3 concentration was 6.0&nbsp;µg/mL according to the Youden index of AUROCs, patients with high serum Fibulin-3 significantly more frequently developed liver-related events than did other patients. Validation using another cohort of 226 patients with clinically diagnosed MASLD confirmed that high serum Fibulin-3 levels are associated with a greater frequency of liver-related events. CONCLUSIONS: Serum Fibulin-3 was identified as a biomarker for predicting liver-related events in patients with MASLD