Temperature time series forecasting in The Optimal Challenges in Irrigation (TO CHAIR)

Predicting and forecasting weather time series has always been a difficult field of research analysis with a very slow progress rate over the years. The main challenge in this project—The Optimal Challenges in Irrigation (TO CHAIR)—is to study how to manage irrigation problems as an optimal control problem: the daily irrigation problem of minimizing water consumption. For that it is necessary to estimate and forecast weather variables in real time in each monitoring area of irrigation. These time series present strong trends and high-frequency seasonality. How to best model and forecast these patterns has been a long-standing issue in time series analysis. This study presents a comparison of the forecasting performance of TBATS (Trigonometric Seasonal, Box-Cox Transformation, ARMA errors, Trend and Seasonal Components) and regression with correlated errors models. These methods are chosen due to their ability to model trend and seasonal fluctuations present in weather data, particularly in dealing with time series with complex seasonal patterns (multiple seasonal patterns). The forecasting performance is demonstrated through a case study of weather time series: minimum air temperature.publishe

Deposition of silicon nitride thin films by hot-wire CVD at 100ºC and 250ºC

Silicon nitride thin films for use as passivation layers in solar cells and organic electronics or as gate dielectrics in thin-film transistors were deposited by the Hot-wire chemical vapor deposition technique at a high deposition rate (1-3 Ǻ/s) and at low substrate temperature. Films were deposited using NH3/SiH4 flow rate ratios between 1 and 70 and substrate temperatures of 100º C and 250ºC. For NH3/SiH4 ratios between 40 and 70, highly transparent (T ~ 90%), dense films (2.56 - 2.74 g/cm3) with good dielectric properties and refractive index between 1.93 and 2.08 were deposited on glass substrates. Etch rates in BHF of 2.7 Ǻ/s and 10 MV cm−1.Fundação para a Ciência e Tecnologia (FCT) - FCT/CNRS programa com o contracto no. 20798, bolsa de investigaçao e projecto PTDC-CTM-66558-200

A Potential Link Between Prolonged Cork Exposure and Intestinal-Type Sinonasal Adenocarcinoma – Special Findings of a Retrospective Cohort Analysis

Introduction: intestinal-type sinonasal adenocarcinoma (ITAC) is a rare epithelium tumor of the nasal cavities and paranasal sinuses. Exposure to wood and leather dusts is a strong etiological factor related to its development. Prolonged cork exposure has rarely been associated. Materials and methods: thirty-seven-year (1981-2018) retrospective cohort analysis of all consecutive patients with sinonasal cancer (SNC) followed at our institution. Medical records were reviewed to determine patient demographics, occupational/environmental exposure, location and extent of the tumor, stage, histopathology findings, treatment strategies, and oncologic outcomes. Survival analysis was done using Kaplan-Meier method. Results: we evaluated 379 patients with SNC, including 39 (10.3%) ITAC. Patient median age was 73 years (range 49-87), 56% male and 69% with identified professional occupational exposure (54% for cork; 69.2% considering only those for which an agent has been identified). Seventy-two percent had locally advanced disease (stage III or IVA-B). The initial treatment was surgery in 77%, and 54% received adjuvant radiotherapy. The median time to progression, progression-free survival, and overall-survival was 2.36 years (95% CI 1.54-8.70), 1.96 years (95% CI 1.43-3.74), and 3.51 years (95% CI 2.33-10.02), respectively. Conclusion: ITAC is an uncommon malignancy that grows silently, which contributes to delayed diagnosis, advanced stage and low survival rates. In our cohort, we observed a high prevalence of cork occupational exposure. This finding may lead to the implementation of protection measures and suggest a potential link to be further studied.info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Clustering and forecasting of dissolved oxygen concentration on a river basin

The aim of this contribution is to combine statistical methodologies to geographically classify homogeneous groups of water quality monitoring sites based on similarities in the temporal dynamics of the dissolved oxygen (DO) concentration, in order to obtain accurate forecasts of this quality variable. Our methodology intends to classify the water quality monitoring sites into spatial homogeneous groups, based on the DO concentration, which has been selected and considered relevant to characterize the water quality. We apply clustering techniques based on Kullback Information, measures that are obtained in the state space modelling process. For each homogeneous group of water quality monitoring sites we model the DO concentration using linear and state space models, which incorporate tendency and seasonality components in different ways. Both approaches are compared by the mean squared error (MSE) of forecasts

Conformal and continuous deposition of bifunctional cobalt phosphide layers on p-silicon nanowire arrays for improved solar hydrogen evolution

Vertically aligned p-silicon nanowire (SiNW) arrays have been extensively investigated in recent years as promising photocathodes for solar-driven hydrogen evolution. However, the fabrication of SiNW photocathodes with both high photoelectrocatalytic activity and long-term operational stability using a simple and affordable approach is a challenging task. Herein, we report conformal and continuous deposition of a di-cobalt phosphide (Co2P) layer on lithography-patterned highly ordered SiNW arrays via a cost-effective drop-casting method followed by a low-temperature phosphorization treatment. The as-deposited Co2P layer consists of crystalline nanoparticles and has an intimate contact with SiNWs, forming a well-defined SiNW@Co2P core/shell nanostructure. The conformal and continuous Co2P layer functions as a highly efficient catalyst capable of substantially improving the photoelectrocatalytic activity for the hydrogen evolution reaction (HER) and effectively passivates the SiNWs to protect them from photo-oxidation, thus prolonging the lifetime of the electrode. As a consequence, the SiNW@Co2P photocathode with an optimized Co2P layer thickness exhibits a high photocurrent density of -21.9 mA.cm(-2) at 0 V versus reversible hydrogen electrode and excellent operational stability up to 20 h for solar-driven hydrogen evolution, outperforming many nanostructured silicon photocathodes reported in the literature. The combination of passivation and catalytic functions in a single continuous layer represents a promising strategy for designing high-performance semiconductor photoelectrodes for use in solar-driven water splitting, which may simplify fabrication procedures and potentially reduce production costsThis work was funded by ERDF funds through the Portuguese Operational Programme for Competitiveness and Internationalization COMPETE 2020, and national funds through FCT – The Portuguese Foundation for Science and Technology, under the project “PTDC/CTM-ENE/2349/2014” (Grant Agreement No. 016660). The work is also partially funded by the Portugal-China Bilateral Collaborative Programme (FCT/21102/28/12/2016/S). L. F. Liu acknowledges the financial support of the FCT Investigator Grant (IF/01595/2014) and Exploratory Grant (IF/01595/2014/CP1247/CT0001). L. Qiao acknowledges the financial support of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China (Grant Agreement No. 2016YFE0132400).info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersio

Room-temperature emitters in wafer-scale few-layer hBN by atmospheric pressure CVD

Hexagonal boron nitride (hBN) is a two-dimensional, wide band gap semiconductor material suitable for several technologies. 2D hBN appeared as a viable platform to produce bright and optically stable single photon emitters (SPEs) at room temperature, which are in demand for quantum technologies. In this context, one main challenge concerns the upscaling of 2D hBN with uniform spatial and spectral distribution of SPE sources. In this work we optimized the atmospheric-pressure chemical vapor deposition (APCVD) growth and obtained large-area 2D hBN with uniform fluorescence emission properties. We characterized the hBN films by a combination of electron microscopy, Raman and X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy techniques. The extensive characterization revealed few-layer, polycrystalline hBN films (∼3 nm thickness) with balanced stoichiometry and uniformity over 2″ wafer scale. We studied the fluorescence emission properties of the hBN films by multidimensional hyperspectral fluorescence microscopy. We measured simultaneously the spatial position, intensity, and spectral properties of the emitters, which were exposed to continuous illumination over minutes. Three main emission peaks (at 538, 582, and 617 nm) were observed, with associated replica peaks red-shifted by ∼53 nm. A surface emitter density of ∼0.1 emitters/μm2 was found. A comparative test with pristine hBN nanosheets produced by liquid-phase exfoliation (LPE) was performed, finding that CVD and LPE hBN possess analogous spectral emitter categories in terms of peak position/intensity and density. Overall, the line-shape and wavelength of the emission peaks, as well as the other measured features, are consistent with single-photon emission from hBN. The results indicate that APCVD hBN might proficiently serve as a SPE platform for quantum technologies

Tide and wind control of megalopal supply to estuarine crab populations on the Portuguese west coast

Physical processes that force transport of planktonic larvae of invertebrates are responsible for some of the spatial and temporal variability in recruitment. We investigated the influence of tide- and wind-driven circulation on intra-year variability of megalopal supply to populations of the crab Carcinus maenas in 2 estuaries on the Portuguese west coast. Daily data on physical variables and on supply and settlement of megalopae were subjected to time series analysis and multiple regression techniques in order to identify periodicity in the variables as well as time lags between larval supply and physical variables. Relaxation of northerly winds, which favor upwelling, was associated with temperature increase and subtidal sea level rise at the coast, which are indicative of coastal convergence of the surface layer. Supply of megalopae to the estuaries, as measured with passive plankton nets, followed a fortnightly cycle with maximum larval supply at the time of maximum tidal amplitude. Supply was enhanced by southerly winds, with delays of 0 to –2 d. Settlement of megalopae on artificial settlement substrates deployed on the bottom was uncoupled to supply at both estuaries. Therefore, transport of C. maenas megalopae to the nearshore is accomplished by onshore advection following downwelling winds, and supply to the estuaries occurs by selective tidal stream transport. Involvement of internal waves and internal tidal bores cannot be be ruled out, but very particular periodicities of the generating mechanisms would have to be assumed to account for the observed time lags