Stockholder overreaction and mean reversion: Evidence from Tehran Stock Exchange

In this paper, we address the stockholder overreaction and mean reversion in specified major industry groups in Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). This paper investigates this issue with panel data analysis and with particular attention to the Box-Jenkins Approach for stationary diagnosis with appropriate order and modeling stock prices with regard to specific industries. The study processes modeling of panels where stationary and mean reversion takes place in complementary analysis. The sampling intervals are explored monthly within the past few years. The results reveal that mean reversion presence in three industry group stock prices and industry stock prices would not behave in certain pattern

A Fuzzy Goal Programming Model for Efficient Portfolio Selection.

This paper considers a multi-objective portfolio selection problem imposed by gaining of portfolio, divided yield and risk control in an ambiguous investment environment, in which the return and risk are characterized by probabilistic numbers. Based on the theory of possibility, a new multi-objective portfolio optimization model with gaining of portfolio, divided yield and risk control is proposed and then the proposed model is solved as a fuzzy goal programming model to fulfill aspiration level of each objective. Furthermore, numerical example of efficient portfolio selection is provided to illustrate that proposed model is versatile enough to be applicable to various unexpected conditions. This paper considers a multi-objective portfolio selection problem imposed by gaining of portfolio, divided yield and risk control in an ambiguous investment environment, in which the return and risk are characterized by probabilistic numbers. Based on the theory of possibility, a new multi-objective portfolio optimization model with gaining of portfolio, divided yield and risk control is proposed and then the proposed model is solved as a fuzzy goal programming model to fulfill aspiration level of each objective. Furthermore, numerical example of efficient portfolio selection is provided to illustrate that proposed model is versatile enough to be applicable to various unexpected conditions

Presenting a Fuzzy Expert System to Determine Project Completion Time in PERT NetworkPresenting a Fuzzy Expert System to Determine Project Completion Time in PERT Network

Accurate scheduling of project is one of the main fundamentals and essential success factors of the project management and also accordance of planning and implementation is considered as the main subject of project management. In this paper, it is tried to propose a practical and suitable system in order to schedule various projects more accurately. Currently Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) is used extensively for management of large- scaled projects. In traditional methods of PERT technique, implementation time of each activity is obtained in the form of definite figures or through Beta Distribution but in the real world; it is very hard to estimate the practical implementation time of each activity in an accurate way. By using fuzzy logic in order to overcome the problems related to uncertainty, fuzzy expert system is designed which many limitations and factors affecting the project completion time have been considered in this article. In this regard, output and input parameters of the system have been acquired by questionnaire and validation of the results has been analyzed. The obtained results indicate high power of the system in controlling different situations affecting the project completion time

Stochastic preemptive goal programming to balance goal achievements under uncertainty

Excerpt: Many decision-making problems contain multiple, competing objectives. As a subfield of multi-criteria decision-making, deterministic goal programming represents one of the most common approaches to combine multiple, competing objectives