First passage time problem for biased continuous-time random walks

We study the first passage time (FPT) problem for biased continuous time random walks. Using the recently formulated framework of fractional Fokker-Planck equations, we obtain the Laplace transform of the FPT density function when the bias is constant. When the bias depends linearly on the position, the full FPT density function is derived in terms of Hermite polynomials and generalized Mittag-Leffler functions.Comment: 12 page

Appropriateness of correlated first order auto-regressive processes for modeling daily temperature records

The present study investigates linear and volatile (nonlinear) correlations of first-order autoregressive process with uncorrelated AR (1) and long-range correlated CAR (1) Gaussian innovations as a function of the process parameter ($\theta$). In the light of recent findings \cite{jano}, we discuss the choice of CAR (1) in modeling daily temperature records. We demonstrate that while CAR (1) is able to capture linear correlations it is unable to capture nonlinear (volatile) correlations in daily temperature records.Comment: Accepted for publication in Physica

First Passage Time Distribution for Anomalous Diffusion

We study the first passage time (FPT) problem in Levy type of anomalous diffusion. Using the recently formulated fractional Fokker-Planck equation, we obtain an analytic expression for the FPT distribution which, in the large passage time limit, is characterized by a universal power law. Contrasting this power law with the asymptotic FPT distribution from another type of anomalous diffusion exemplified by the fractional Brownian motion, we show that the two types of anomalous diffusions give rise to two distinct scaling behavior.Comment: 11 pages, 2 figure