Parathyroidectomy and survival in a cohort of Italian dialysis patients: results of a multicenter, observational, prospective study

Background: Severe secondary hyperparathyroidism (SHPT) is associated with mortality in end stage kidney disease (ESKD). Parathyroidectomy (PTX) becomes necessary when medical therapy fails, thus highlighting the interest to compare biochemical and clinical outcomes of patients receiving either medical treatment or surgery. Methods: We aimed to compare overall survival and biochemical control of hemodialysis patients with severe hyperparathyroidism, treated by surgery or medical therapy followed-up for 36 months. Inclusion criteria were age older than 18 years, renal failure requiring dialysis treatment (hemodialysis or peritoneal dialysis) and ability to sign the consent form. A control group of 418 patients treated in the same centers, who did not undergo parathyroidectomy was selected after matching for age, sex, and dialysis vintage. Results: From 82 Dialysis units in Italy, we prospectively collected data of 257 prevalent patients who underwent parathyroidectomy (age 58.2 ± 12.8 years; M/F: 44%/56%, dialysis vintage: 15.5 ± 8.4 years) and of 418 control patients who did not undergo parathyroidectomy (age 60.3 ± 14.4 years; M/F 44%/56%; dialysis vintage 11.2 ± 7.6 y). The survival rate was higher in the group that underwent parathyroidectomy (Kaplan–Meier log rank test = 0.002). Univariable analysis (HR 0.556, CI: 0.387–0.800, p = 0.002) and multivariable analysis (HR 0.671, CI:0.465–0.970, p = 0.034), identified parathyroidectomy as a protective factor of overall survival. The prevalence of patients at KDOQI targets for PTH was lower in patients who underwent parathyroidectomy compared to controls (PTX vs non-PTX: PTH < 150 pg/ml: 59% vs 21%, p = 0.001; PTH at target: 18% vs 37% p = 0.001; PTH > 300 pg/ml 23% vs 42% p = 0.001). The control group received more intensive medical treatment with higher prevalence of vitamin D (65% vs 41%, p = 0.0001), calcimimetics (34% vs 14%, p = 0.0001) and phosphate binders (77% vs 66%, p = 0.002). Conclusions: Our data suggest that parathyroidectomy is associated with survival rate at 36 months, independently of biochemical control. Lower exposure to high PTH levels could represent an advantage in the long term. Graphical abstract: [Figure not available: see fulltext.]

Opioid activation of toll-like receptor 4 contributes to drug reinforcement

Opioid action was thought to exert reinforcing effects solely via the initial agonism of opioid receptors. Here, we present evidence for an additional novel contributor to opioid reward: the innate immune pattern-recognition receptor, toll-like receptor 4 (TLR4), and its MyD88-dependent signaling. Blockade of TLR4/MD2 by administration of the nonopioid, unnatural isomer of naloxone, (+)-naloxone (rats), or two independent genetic knock-outs of MyD88-TLR4-dependent signaling (mice), suppressed opioid-induced conditioned place preference. (+)-Naloxone also reduced opioid (remifentanil) self-administration (rats), another commonly used behavioral measure of drug reward. Moreover, pharmacological blockade of morphine-TLR4/MD2 activity potently reduced morphine-induced elevations of extracellular dopamine in rat nucleus accumbens, a region critical for opioid reinforcement. Importantly, opioid-TLR4 actions are not a unidirectional influence on opioid pharmacodynamics, since TLR4−/− mice had reduced oxycodone-induced p38 and JNK phosphorylation, while displaying potentiated analgesia. Similar to our recent reports of morphine-TLR4/MD2 binding, here we provide a combination of in silico and biophysical data to support (+)-naloxone and remifentanil binding to TLR4/MD2. Collectively, these data indicate that the actions of opioids at classical opioid receptors, together with their newly identified TLR4/MD2 actions, affect the mesolimbic dopamine system that amplifies opioid-induced elevations in extracellular dopamine levels, therefore possibly explaining altered opioid reward behaviors. Thus, the discovery of TLR4/MD2 recognition of opioids as foreign xenobiotic substances adds to the existing hypothesized neuronal reinforcement mechanisms, identifies a new drug target in TLR4/MD2 for the treatment of addictions, and provides further evidence supporting a role for central proinflammatory immune signaling in drug reward.M. R. Hutchinson... J. Thomas, K. van Steeg... A. A. Somogyi... et al

Pilomatrix-like high-grade endometrioid carcinoma of the ovary: case report, literature review, and differential diagnosis

Pilomatrix-like high-grade endometrioid carcinoma (PiMHEC) has recently been described as an aggressive variant of endometrial carcinoma. Herein, we described a case of ovarian PiMHEC, comparing it to endometrial PiMHEC and assessing previously published cases of putative ovarian PiMHEC. A 65-year-old woman underwent hysterectomy for an ovarian tumor characterized by solid nests of basaloid cells with prominent ghost cell keratinization. Immunohistochemistry showed nuclear β-catenin and CDX2 expression and loss of estrogen and progesterone receptors and PAX8. These features were consistently observed in all previously published cases and may represent diagnostic criteria of PiMHEC. Other frequent features were geographic necrosis and a low-grade endometrioid component. CK7, neuroendocrine, and basal/squamous markers were inconsistently expressed. All cases with available follow-up showed poor prognosis. PiMHEC should be distinguished from mimickers, such as high-grade endometrioid carcinoma with geographic necrosis, low-grade endometrioid carcinoma with ghost cell keratinization, and undifferentiated/dedifferentiated carcinoma. In conclusion, PiMHEC can also occur in the ovary and shows several consistent clinical, morphological, and immunophenotypical features. These features support that PiMHEC is a distinct entity requiring an aggressive management

A Large Series of Hyalinizing Trabecular Tumors: Cytomorphology and Ancillary Techniques on Fine Needle Aspiration

BACKGROUND: Hyalinizing trabecular tumors (HTTs) are rare, essentially benign, follicular cell-derived thyroid neoplasms characterized by a trabecular growth pattern and nuclear pseudoinclusions. Their cytological findings are misleading, because these tumors are often misinterpreted on fine needle aspirate cytology as malignant lesions, such as papillary thyroid cancer and/or medullary thyroid cancer, leading to unnecessary total thyroidectomy. The aim of this study was to analyze the cytomorphological features and application of ancillary techniques in a series of HTTs. METHODS: Of 26 histological cases of HTT collected from September 2001 to December 2018, 18 cases had concomitant cytopathology. Cytological cases were processed with liquid-based cytology (LBC). Immunocytochemistry for HBME-1 and galectine-3 as well as molecular testing for BRAF(V600E) mutation were performed on both LBC and histological specimens. RESULTS: The 18 lesions with fine needle aspirate cytology ranged in size from 5 to 45 mm. Cytological diagnoses included: 1 benign lesion favoring goiter (5.5%), 4 atypia of undetermined significance (22.2%), 6 follicular neoplasms (33.3%), 5 suspicious for malignancy favoring papillary thyroid cancer (28%), and 2 malignant (11%). Hence, 89% HTT had a negative concordant immunopanel, and they were 100% wild-type BRAF(V600E). CONCLUSION: The majority of our HTTs (83.3%) were diagnosed in the indeterminate Bethesda categories, suggesting that their cytomorphological features pose issues for reaching a conclusive cytological diagnosis. The ancillary test results in our series support the fact that HTT is a benign neoplasm. (c) 2019 American Cancer Society

A large series of hyalinizing trabecular tumors: Cytomorphology and ancillary techniques on fine needle aspiration

Background: Hyalinizing trabecular tumors (HTTs) are rare, essentially benign, follicular cell–derived thyroid neoplasms characterized by a trabecular growth pattern and nuclear pseudoinclusions. Their cytological findings are misleading, because these tumors are often misinterpreted on fine needle aspirate cytology as malignant lesions, such as papillary thyroid cancer and/or medullary thyroid cancer, leading to unnecessary total thyroidectomy. The aim of this study was to analyze the cytomorphological features and application of ancillary techniques in a series of HTTs. Methods: Of 26 histological cases of HTT collected from September 2001 to December 2018, 18 cases had concomitant cytopathology. Cytological cases were processed with liquid-based cytology (LBC). Immunocytochemistry for HBME-1 and galectine-3 as well as molecular testing for BRAFV600E mutation were performed on both LBC and histological specimens. Results: The 18 lesions with fine needle aspirate cytology ranged in size from 5 to 45 mm. Cytological diagnoses included: 1 benign lesion favoring goiter (5.5%), 4 atypia of undetermined significance (22.2%), 6 follicular neoplasms (33.3%), 5 suspicious for malignancy favoring papillary thyroid cancer (28%), and 2 malignant (11%). Hence, 89% HTT had a negative concordant immunopanel, and they were 100% wild-type BRAFV600E. Conclusion: The majority of our HTTs (83.3%) were diagnosed in the indeterminate Bethesda categories, suggesting that their cytomorphological features pose issues for reaching a conclusive cytological diagnosis. The ancillary test results in our series support the fact that HTT is a benign neoplasm

Waves of infection and waves of communication: the importance of sharing in the era of Covid-19

No abstract availabl

[Lazio dialysis registry: natives vs foreigners]

An increasing number of foreigners was observed in Italy even among chronic dialysis patients. We compared demographic, clinical, treatment characteristics and survival probability between groups of Italian and foreign patients with chronic dialysis in Lazio

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

365noBackground and aim: Over 80% (365/454) of the nation’s centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment. Methods: We investigated fixed factors and contextual effects by multilevel modeling. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to develop decision rules. Results: Increased positivity among hemodialysis patients was predicted by center location [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20–1.51], positive healthcare workers (IRR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02–1.17), test-all policy (IRR 5.94, 95% CI 3.36–10.45), and infected proportion in the general population (IRR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001–1.003) (all p < 0.01). Conversely, lockdown duration exerted a protective effect (IRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94–0.98) (p < 0.01). The province-contextual effects accounted for 10% of the total variability. Predictive factors for peritoneal dialysis and transplant cases were center location and infected proportion in the general population. Using recursive partitioning, we identified decision thresholds at general population incidence ≥ 229 per 100,000 and at ≥ 3 positive healthcare workers. Conclusions: Beyond fixed risk factors, shared with the general population, the increased and heterogeneous proportion of positive patients is related to the center’s testing policy, the number of positive patients and healthcare workers, and to contextual effects at the province level. Nephrology centers may adopt simple decision rules to strengthen containment measures timely.nonenoneNordio M.; Reboldi G.; Di Napoli A.; Quintaliani G.; Alberici F.; Postorino M.; Aucella F.; Messa P.; Brunori G.; Brunori G.; Bosco M.; Malberti F.; Mandreoli M.; Mazzaferro S.; Movilli E.; Ravera M.; Salomone M.; Santoro D.; PostorinoLimido M.A.; Bonomini M.; Stingone A.; Maccarone M.; Di Loreto E.; Stacchiotti L.; Malandra R.; Chiarella S.; D'Agostino F.; Fuiano G.; Nicodemo L.; Bonofiglio R.; Greco S.; Mallamaci F.; Barreca E.; Caserta C.; Bruzzese V.; Galati D.; Tramontana D.; Viscione M.; Chiuchiolo L.; Tuccillo S.; Sepe M.; Vitale F.; Ciriana E.; Santoro D.; Martignetti V.; Caserta D.; Stizzo A.; Romano A.; Iulianiello G.; Cascone E.; Minicone P.; Chiricone D.; Delgado G.; Barbato A.; Celentano S.; Molfino I.; Coppola S.; Raiola I.; Abategiovanni M.; Borrelli S.; Margherita C.; Bruno F.; Ida M.; Aliperti E.; Potito D.; Cuomo G.; De Luca M.; Merola M.; Botta C.; Garofalo G.; Alinei P.; Paglionico C.; Roano M.; Vitale S.; Ierardi R.; Fimiani V.; Conte G.; Di Natale G.; Romano M.; Di Marino V.; Scafarto A.; Meccariello S.; Pecoraro C.; Di Stazio E.; Di Meglio E.; Cuomo A.; Maresca B.; Rotaia E.; Capasso G.; Auricchio M.; Pluvio C.; Maddalena L.; De Maio A.; Palladino G.; Buono F.; Gigliotti G.; Mandreoli M.; Mancini E.; La Manna G.; Storari A.; Mosconi G.; Cappelli G.; Scarpioni R.; Gregorini M.; Rigotti A.; Mancini W.; Bianco F.; Boscutti G.; Amici G.; Tosto M.; Fini R.; Pace G.; Cioffi A.; Boccia E.; Di Lullo L.; Di Zazzo G.; Simonelli R.; Bondatti F.; Miglio L.; Rifici N.; Treglia A.; Muci M.; Baldinelli G.; Rizzi E.; Lonzi M.; De Cicco C.; Forte F.; De Paolis P.; Grandaliano G.; Cuzziol C.; Torre V.M.; Sfregola P.; Rossi V.; Fabio G.; Flammini A.; Filippini A.; Onorato L.; Vendola F.; Di Daniela N.; Alfarone C.; Scabbia L.; Ferrazzano M.; Grotta B.D.; Gamberini M.; Fazzari L.; Mene P.; Morgia A.; Catucci A.; Palumbo R.; Puliti M.; Marinelli R.; Polito P.; Marrocco F.; Morabito S.; Rocca R.; Nazzaro L.; Lavini R.; Iamundo V.; Chiappini M.; Casarci M.; Morosetti M.; Hassan S.; Alfarone C.; Ferrazzano M.; Firmi G.; Galliani M.; Serraiocco M.; Feriozzi S.; Valentini W.; Sacco P.; Garibotto G.; Cappelli V.; Saffioti C.; Repetto M.; Rolla D.; Lorenz M.; Pedrini L.; Polonioli D.; Galli E.; Ruggenenti P.; Scolari F.; Bove S.; Costantino E.; Bracchi M.; Mangano S.; Depetri G.; Malberti F.; La Milia V.; Farina M.; Zecchini S.; Savino R.; Melandri M.; Guastoni C.; Paparella M.; Gallieni M.; Minetti E.; Bisegna S.; Messa P.; Righetti M.; Badalamenti S.; Guastoni C.; Alberghini E.; Bertoli S.; Fabbrini P.; Albrizio P.; Rampino T.; Colturi C.; Rombola G.; Lucatello A.; Guerrini E.; Ranghino A.; Lenci F.; Fanciulli E.; Santarelli S.; Damiani C.; Garofalo D.; Sopranzi F.; Santoferrara A.; Di Luca M.; Galiotta P.; Brigante M.; Manganaro M.; Maffei S.; Berto I.; Besso L.; Viglino G.; Besso L.; Cusinato S.; ChiarinottiChiappero D.F.; Tognarelli G.; Gianoglio B.; Salomone M.; Forneris G.; Biancone L.; Savoldi S.; Vitale C.; Boero R.; Filiberti O.; Borzumati M.; Gesualdo L.; Lomonte C.; Gernone G.; Pallotta G.; Di Paolo S.; Vernaglione L.; Specchio A.; Stallone G.; Dell'Aquila R.; Aucella F.; Sandri G.; Russo F.; Napoli M.; Marangi A.; Morrone L.; Di Stratis C.; Fresu A.; Cicu F.; Murtas S.; Manca O.; Pani A.; Pilloni M.; Pistis R.; Cadoni M.; Contu B.; Logias F.; Ivaldi R.; Fancello S.; Cossu M.; Lepori G.; Lepori G.; Vittoria S.; Battiati E.; Arnone M.; Rome M.; Barbera A.; Granata A.; Collura G.; Dico C.L.; Pugliese G.; Di Natale E.; Rizzari G.; Cottone L.; Longo N.; Battaglia G.; Marcantoni C.; Giannetto G.; Tumino G.; Randazzo F.; Bellissimo L.; Faro F.L.; Grippaldi F.; Urso S.; Quattrone G.; Todaro I.; Vincenzo D.; Murgo A.; Masuzzo M.; Pisacane A.; Monardo P.; Santoro D.; Pontorierro M.; Quari C.; Bauro A.; Chimenz R.R.; Alfio D.; Girasole F.; Cascio A.L.; Caviglia A.; Tornese F.; Sirna F.; Altieri C.; Cusumano R.; Saveriano V.; La Corte A.; Locascio G.; Rotolo U.; Rome M.; Musso S.; Risuglia L.; Blanco G.; Minardo G.; Castellino S.; Zappulla Z.; Randone S.; Di Francesca M.; Cassetti C.C.; Oddo G.; Buscaino G.; Mucaria F.; Barraco V.I.; Di Martino A.; Mucaria F.; Rallo D.; Dani L.; Campolo G.; Manescalchi F.; Biagini M.; Agate M.; Panichi V.; Casani A.; Traversari L.; Garosi G.; Brunori G.; Tabbi M.; Selvi A.; Cencioni L.; Fagugli R.; Timio F.; Leveque A.; Manes M.; Mennella G.; Calo L.; Fiorini F.; Abaterusso C.; Calzavara P.; Nordio M.; Meneghel G.; Bonesso C.; Gambaro G.; Gammaro L.; Rugiu C.; Dell'Aquila R.; Dell'Aquila R.; Ronco C.; Rugiu C.Nordio, M.; Reboldi, G.; Di Napoli, A.; Quintaliani, G.; Alberici, F.; Postorino, M.; Aucella, F.; Messa, P.; Brunori, G.; Brunori, G.; Bosco, M.; Malberti, F.; Mandreoli, M.; Mazzaferro, S.; Movilli, E.; Ravera, M.; Salomone, M.; Santoro, D.; Postorinolimido, M. A.; Bonomini, M.; Stingone, A.; Maccarone, M.; Di Loreto, E.; Stacchiotti, L.; Malandra, R.; Chiarella, S.; D'Agostino, F.; Fuiano, G.; Nicodemo, L.; Bonofiglio, R.; Greco, S.; Mallamaci, F.; Barreca, E.; Caserta, C.; Bruzzese, V.; Galati, D.; Tramontana, D.; Viscione, M.; Chiuchiolo, L.; Tuccillo, S.; Sepe, M.; Vitale, F.; Ciriana, E.; Santoro, D.; Martignetti, V.; Caserta, D.; Stizzo, A.; Romano, A.; Iulianiello, G.; Cascone, E.; Minicone, P.; Chiricone, D.; Delgado, G.; Barbato, A.; Celentano, S.; Molfino, I.; Coppola, S.; Raiola, I.; Abategiovanni, M.; Borrelli, S.; Margherita, C.; Bruno, F.; Ida, M.; Aliperti, E.; Potito, D.; Cuomo, G.; De Luca, M.; Merola, M.; Botta, C.; Garofalo, G.; Alinei, P.; Paglionico, C.; Roano, M.; Vitale, S.; Ierardi, R.; Fimiani, V.; Conte, G.; Di Natale, G.; Romano, M.; Di Marino, V.; Scafarto, A.; Meccariello, S.; Pecoraro, C.; Di Stazio, E.; Di Meglio, E.; Cuomo, A.; Maresca, B.; Rotaia, E.; Capasso, G.; Auricchio, M.; Pluvio, C.; Maddalena, L.; De Maio, A.; Palladino, G.; Buono, F.; Gigliotti, G.; Mandreoli, M.; Mancini, E.; La Manna, G.; Storari, A.; Mosconi, G.; Cappelli, G.; Scarpioni, R.; Gregorini, M.; Rigotti, A.; Mancini, W.; Bianco, F.; Boscutti, G.; Amici, G.; Tosto, M.; Fini, R.; Pace, G.; Cioffi, A.; Boccia, E.; Di Lullo, L.; Di Zazzo, G.; Simonelli, R.; Bondatti, F.; Miglio, L.; Rifici, N.; Treglia, A.; Muci, M.; Baldinelli, G.; Rizzi, E.; Lonzi, M.; De Cicco, C.; Forte, F.; De Paolis, P.; Grandaliano, G.; Cuzziol, C.; Torre, V. M.; Sfregola, P.; Rossi, V.; Fabio, G.; Flammini, A.; Filippini, A.; Onorato, L.; Vendola, F.; Di Daniela, N.; Alfarone, C.; Scabbia, L.; Ferrazzano, M.; Grotta, B. D.; Gamberini, M.; Fazzari, L.; Mene, P.; Morgia, A.; Catucci, A.; Palumbo, R.; Puliti, M.; Marinelli, R.; Polito, P.; Marrocco, F.; Morabito, S.; Rocca, R.; Nazzaro, L.; Lavini, R.; Iamundo, V.; Chiappini, M.; Casarci, M.; Morosetti, M.; Hassan, S.; Alfarone, C.; Ferrazzano, M.; Firmi, G.; Galliani, M.; Serraiocco, M.; Feriozzi, S.; Valentini, W.; Sacco, P.; Garibotto, G.; Cappelli, V.; Saffioti, C.; Repetto, M.; Rolla, D.; Lorenz, M.; Pedrini, L.; Polonioli, D.; Galli, E.; Ruggenenti, P.; Scolari, F.; Bove, S.; Costantino, E.; Bracchi, M.; Mangano, S.; Depetri, G.; Malberti, F.; La Milia, V.; Farina, M.; Zecchini, S.; Savino, R.; Melandri, M.; Guastoni, C.; Paparella, M.; Gallieni, M.; Minetti, E.; Bisegna, S.; Messa, P.; Righetti, M.; Badalamenti, S.; Guastoni, C.; Alberghini, E.; Bertoli, S.; Fabbrini, P.; Albrizio, P.; Rampino, T.; Colturi, C.; Rombola, G.; Lucatello, A.; Guerrini, E.; Ranghino, A.; Lenci, F.; Fanciulli, E.; Santarelli, S.; Damiani, C.; Garofalo, D.; Sopranzi, F.; Santoferrara, A.; Di Luca, M.; Galiotta, P.; Brigante, M.; Manganaro, M.; Maffei, S.; Berto, I.; Besso, L.; Viglino, G.; Besso, L.; Cusinato, S.; Chiarinottichiappero, D. F.; Tognarelli, G.; Gianoglio, B.; Salomone, M.; Forneris, G.; Biancone, L.; Savoldi, S.; Vitale, C.; Boero, R.; Filiberti, O.; Borzumati, M.; Gesualdo, L.; Lomonte, C.; Gernone, G.; Pallotta, G.; Di Paolo, S.; Vernaglione, L.; Specchio, A.; Stallone, G.; Dell'Aquila, R.; Aucella, F.; Sandri, G.; Russo, F.; Napoli, M.; Marangi, A.; Morrone, L.; Di Stratis, C.; Fresu, A.; Cicu, F.; Murtas, S.; Manca, O.; Pani, A.; Pilloni, M.; Pistis, R.; Cadoni, M.; Contu, B.; Logias, F.; Ivaldi, R.; Fancello, S.; Cossu, M.; Lepori, G.; Lepori, G.; Vittoria, S.; Battiati, E.; Arnone, M.; Rome, M.; Barbera, A.; Granata, A.; Collura, G.; Dico, C. L.; Pugliese, G.; Di Natale, E.; Rizzari, G.; Cottone, L.; Longo, N.; Battaglia, G.; Marcantoni, C.; Giannetto, G.; Tumino, G.; Randazzo, F.; Bellissimo, L.; Faro, F. L.; Grippaldi, F.; Urso, S.; Quattrone, G.; Todaro, I.; Vincenzo, D.; Murgo, A.; Masuzzo, M.; Pisacane, A.; Monardo, P.; Santoro, D.; Pontorierro, M.; Quari, C.; Bauro, A.; Chimenz, R. R.; Alfio, D.; Girasole, F.; Cascio, A. L.; Caviglia, A.; Tornese, F.; Sirna, F.; Altieri, C.; Cusumano, R.; Saveriano, V.; La Corte, A.; Locascio, G.; Rotolo, U.; Rome, M.; Musso, S.; Risuglia, L.; Blanco, G.; Minardo, G.; Castellino, S.; Zappulla, Z.; Randone, S.; Di Francesca, M.; Cassetti, C. C.; Oddo, G.; Buscaino, G.; Mucaria, F.; Barraco, V. I.; Di Martino, A.; Mucaria, F.; Rallo, D.; Dani, L.; Campolo, G.; Manescalchi, F.; Biagini, M.; Agate, M.; Panichi, V.; Casani, A.; Traversari, L.; Garosi, G.; Brunori, G.; Tabbi, M.; Selvi, A.; Cencioni, L.; Fagugli, R.; Timio, F.; Leveque, A.; Manes, M.; Mennella, G.; Calo, L.; Fiorini, F.; Abaterusso, C.; Calzavara, P.; Nordio, M.; Meneghel, G.; Bonesso, C.; Gambaro, G.; Gammaro, L.; Rugiu, C.; Dell'Aquila, R.; Dell'Aquila, R.; Ronco, C.; Rugiu, C

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

Background and aim: Over 80% (365/454) of the nation’s centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment. Methods: We investigated fixed factors and contextual effects by multilevel modeling. Classification and Regression Tree (CART) analysis was used to develop decision rules. Results: Increased positivity among hemodialysis patients was predicted by center location [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.34, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.20–1.51], positive healthcare workers (IRR 1.09, 95% CI 1.02–1.17), test-all policy (IRR 5.94, 95% CI 3.36–10.45), and infected proportion in the general population (IRR 1.002, 95% CI 1.001–1.003) (all p &lt; 0.01). Conversely, lockdown duration exerted a protective effect (IRR 0.95, 95% CI 0.94–0.98) (p &lt; 0.01). The province-contextual effects accounted for 10% of the total variability. Predictive factors for peritoneal dialysis and transplant cases were center location and infected proportion in the general population. Using recursive partitioning, we identified decision thresholds at general population incidence ≥ 229 per 100,000 and at ≥ 3 positive healthcare workers. Conclusions: Beyond fixed risk factors, shared with the general population, the increased and heterogeneous proportion of positive patients is related to the center’s testing policy, the number of positive patients and healthcare workers, and to contextual effects at the province level. Nephrology centers may adopt simple decision rules to strengthen containment measures timely

Risk factors and action thresholds for the novel coronavirus pandemic. Insights from the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey

Over 80% (365/454) of the nation's centers participated in the Italian Society of Nephrology COVID-19 Survey. Out of 60,441 surveyed patients, 1368 were infected as of April 23rd, 2020. However, center-specific proportions showed substantial heterogeneity. We therefore undertook new analyses to identify explanatory factors, contextual effects, and decision rules for infection containment