12 research outputs found

    Modelling Evolution of Virulence in Populations with a Distributed Parasite Load

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    Modelling evolution of virulence in host-parasite systems is an actively developing area of research with ever-growing literature. However, most of the existing studies overlook the fact that individuals within an infected population may have a variable infection load, i.e. infected populations are naturally structured with respect to the parasite burden. Empirical data suggests that the mortality and infectiousness of individuals can strongly depend on their infection load; moreover, the shape of distribution of infection load may vary on ecological and evolutionary time scales. Here we show that distributed infection load may have important consequences for the eventual evolution of virulence as compared to a similar model without structuring. Mathematically, we consider an SI model, where the dynamics of the infected subpopulation is described by a von Förster-type model, in which the infection load plays the role of age. We implement the adaptive dynamics framework to predict evolutionary outcomes in this model. We demonstrate that for simple trade-off functions between virulence, disease transmission and parasite growth rates, multiple evolutionary attractors are possible. Interestingly, unlike in the case of unstructured models, achieving an evolutionary stable strategy becomes possible even for a variation of a single ecological parameter (the parasite growth rate) and keeping the other parameters constant. We conclude that evolution in disease-structured populations is strongly mediated by alterations in the overall shape of the parasite load distribution

    Investigating Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma in vitro and in vivo: Novel 3D Tools and Animal Models

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    Cutaneous Squamous Cell Carcinoma (cSCC) represents the second most common type of skin cancer, which incidence is continuously increasing worldwide. Given its high frequency, cSCC represents a major public health problem. Therefore, to provide the best patients' care, it is necessary having a detailed understanding of the molecular processes underlying cSCC development, progression, and invasion. Extensive efforts have been made in developing new models allowing to study the molecular pathogenesis of solid tumors, including cSCC tumors. Traditionally, in vitro studies were performed with cells grown in a two-dimensional context, which, however, does not represent the complexity of tumor in vivo. In the recent years, new in vitro models have been developed aiming to mimic the three-dimensionality (3D) of the tumor, allowing the evaluation of tumor cell-cell and tumor-microenvironment interaction in an in vivo-like setting. These models include spheroids, organotypic cultures, skin reconstructs and organoids. Although 3D models demonstrate high potential to enhance the overall knowledge in cancer research, they lack systemic components which may be solved only by using animal models. Zebrafish is emerging as an alternative xenotransplant model in cancer research, offering a high-throughput approach for drug screening and real-time in vivo imaging to study cell invasion. Moreover, several categories of mouse models were developed for pre-clinical purpose, including xeno- and syngeneic transplantation models, autochthonous models of chemically or UV-induced skin squamous carcinogenesis, and genetically engineered mouse models (GEMMs) of cSCC. These models have been instrumental in examining the molecular mechanisms of cSCC and drug response in an in vivo setting. The present review proposes an overview of in vitro, particularly 3D, and in vivo models and their application in cutaneous SCC research

    Impact of opioid-free analgesia on pain severity and patient satisfaction after discharge from surgery: multispecialty, prospective cohort study in 25 countries

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    Background: Balancing opioid stewardship and the need for adequate analgesia following discharge after surgery is challenging. This study aimed to compare the outcomes for patients discharged with opioid versus opioid-free analgesia after common surgical procedures.Methods: This international, multicentre, prospective cohort study collected data from patients undergoing common acute and elective general surgical, urological, gynaecological, and orthopaedic procedures. The primary outcomes were patient-reported time in severe pain measured on a numerical analogue scale from 0 to 100% and patient-reported satisfaction with pain relief during the first week following discharge. Data were collected by in-hospital chart review and patient telephone interview 1 week after discharge.Results: The study recruited 4273 patients from 144 centres in 25 countries; 1311 patients (30.7%) were prescribed opioid analgesia at discharge. Patients reported being in severe pain for 10 (i.q.r. 1-30)% of the first week after discharge and rated satisfaction with analgesia as 90 (i.q.r. 80-100) of 100. After adjustment for confounders, opioid analgesia on discharge was independently associated with increased pain severity (risk ratio 1.52, 95% c.i. 1.31 to 1.76; P < 0.001) and re-presentation to healthcare providers owing to side-effects of medication (OR 2.38, 95% c.i. 1.36 to 4.17; P = 0.004), but not with satisfaction with analgesia (beta coefficient 0.92, 95% c.i. -1.52 to 3.36; P = 0.468) compared with opioid-free analgesia. Although opioid prescribing varied greatly between high-income and low- and middle-income countries, patient-reported outcomes did not.Conclusion: Opioid analgesia prescription on surgical discharge is associated with a higher risk of re-presentation owing to side-effects of medication and increased patient-reported pain, but not with changes in patient-reported satisfaction. Opioid-free discharge analgesia should be adopted routinely

    Mathematical Modelling of Evolution in Complex Biological Systems

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    Modelling biological evolution is a growing area of research with different approaches used with ever-growing applications, proved to be beneficial in various real-world applications such as engineering, economics, biology, machine learning, optimal control. However, many aspects of modelling evolution remain understudied, especially concerning the situation where the life history trait/behaviour is described by a set of functions whose shape is unknown and/or the underlying system is highly complex, for example, infinite-dimensional. This thesis is comprised of two main parts, each of which investigates a different mathematical approach to reveal behaviours and life-history traits that emerged as a result of long-term evolution.Here, we attempt to formalise Darwin’s fundamental ideas of survival of the fittest to develop a new framework to obtain evolutionarily optimal life-history traits/behavioural patterns based on the reconstruction of evolutionary fitness using underlying equations for population dynamics, applicable to Hilbert spaces with infinitely high dimensional spaces for life-history traits. This inspired the novel method, based on the principles of evolution, of stochastic global optimisation in high or even infinite-dimensional Hilbert spaces, named Survival of the Fittest Algorithm (SoFA). We test the novel algorithm on a phenomenon of particular interest, the mass synchronised diel vertical migration (DVM) of zooplankton, whose fitness is highly dependent on the trajectories of these movements. Using this ecologically relevant case study, we demonstrate that for maximising fitness in high-dimensional spaces, our proposed novel evolutionary algorithm, SoFA, provides better performances compared to other stochastic global optimisation algorithms.We then apply current game-theoretical approaches to evolutionary optimisation to various complex models. Among many insightful results are the following. Considering an SI model with the infected subpopulation described by a von Förster-type model, in which the infection load plays the role of age. We demonstrate that in this infinite-dimensional system, for simple trade-off functions between virulence, disease transmission and parasite growth rates, multiple evolutionary attractors are possible. A result not observed in the case of unstructured models, indicating the benefits of additional complexity within modelling pathogens. Furthermore, theoretically exploring the co-evolution of life-history traits in a generic host-parasite-hyperparasite system, we find that in the presence of hyperparasites, the evolutionarily optimal pathogen virulence generally shifts towards more virulent strains. However, the use of hyperparasites in biocontrol is still justifiable since overall host mortality decreases. An intriguing possible outcome of the evolution of the hyperparasite can be its evolutionary suicide. The presented results help warrant biocontrol agents and programs in pathogen management and provide a better understanding of pathogenic infections.</div

    The Skin and Gut Microbiome and Its Role in Common Dermatologic Conditions

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    Microorganisms inhabit various areas of the body, including the gut and skin, and are important in maintaining homeostasis. Changes to the normal microflora due to genetic or environmental factors can contribute to the development of various disease states. In this review, we will discuss the relationship between the gut and skin microbiome and various dermatological diseases including acne, psoriasis, rosacea, and atopic dermatitis. In addition, we will discuss the impact of treatment on the microbiome and the role of probiotics
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